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Unconstitutional Changes of Government: The Democrat’s Dilemma in Africa
The document analyzes the AU's framework for democracy promotion, specifically its rejection of unconstitutional changes of government. It details the evolution of this principle from the Lomé Declaration of 2000 to the 2007 African Charter on Democracy, Elections and Governance, and discusses the 'democrat's dilemma' where popular uprisings to remove authoritarian leaders conflict with strict constitutionalism. The author argues for more consistent application of sanctions against leaders who refuse to leave office after elections and suggests the Pan-African Parliament develop guidelines for managing civilian-led transitions to democracy.
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Document type: Policy brief
India and Africa: Towards a Sustainable Energy Partnership
The document examines India's strategic shift toward Africa to diversify its energy imports and reduce dependence on the Middle East. It contrasts India's 'hybrid model' of engagement—which combines resource extraction with capacity building and infrastructure development—against the more mercantilist approaches of other powers. The author argues that for the partnership to be sustainable, India should leverage its expertise in renewable energy and rural electrification to support Africa's own development goals.
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Document type: Research paper
Enhancing the Governance of Africa’s Oil Sector
The document examines the 'resource curse' in Africa, where oil wealth often correlates with poverty, corruption, and conflict. It evaluates the impact of governance initiatives like the Extractive Industries Transparency Initiative (EITI), Publish What You Pay (PWYP), and Transparency International (TI) across eight oil-dependent states. The author argues that while these initiatives may be necessary for better governance, they are not sufficient on their own to overcome the systemic issues of rentier states, as evidenced by the continued prevalence of authoritarianism and corruption in several case studies.
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Document type: Research paper
Whither Human Rights in African International Relations?
The document assesses the role of human rights in African international relations, arguing that while the continent has established significant monitoring bodies and ratified treaties, human rights often remain a "variable concern" subordinated to national interests and geopolitical strategies. It highlights the influence of "African solutions to African problems" in conflict resolution and the impact of China's non-interference policy as an alternative to Western conditionality. The author concludes that for human rights to be central to foreign policy, African states must develop a unified continental approach that harmonizes trade, security, and justice while adhering to agreed-upon democratic standards.
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Document type: Research paper
Quid des droits humains dans les relations internationales africaines ?
The document examines how human rights are integrated into African international relations, noting a gap between formal commitments to regional and international treaties and the practical application of these norms. It highlights how national interests, historical colonial ties, and the emergence of non-conditional economic partnerships—particularly with China—often supersede human rights considerations. The author analyzes specific cases, such as the African Union's response to the ICC warrant for Omar Al-Bashir and South Africa's diplomatic balancing act, to argue that human rights often remain a "variable concern" rather than a central pillar of foreign policy.
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Document type: Research paper
Chinese Provinces as Foreign Policy Actors in Africa
The document analyzes how China's decentralization and internationalization have empowered its provinces to act as multilayered foreign policy actors in Africa. It details their roles in trade, construction, investment, and aid, noting that while they often act as agents of the central government, they increasingly pursue independent economic interests. The authors argue that this subnational engagement facilitates deeper Sino-African relations but can also create diplomatic friction due to labor disputes and unethical business practices. The paper suggests that African nations should adopt a multilevel approach to engagement by partnering directly with Chinese provinces to attract investment and share developmental expertise.
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Document type: Research paper
The Private Sector, Political Elites, and Underdevelopment in Sub-Saharan Africa
The document examines the failure of the private sector to drive economic growth in Sub-Saharan Africa, attributing this to the political dominance of elites who extract surplus from producers. It contrasts the vulnerability of African peasants and foreign firms with the relatively stronger private sector in South Africa. The author proposes a new form of democracy that empowers producers through land ownership and independent financial institutions to foster a genuine capitalist market economy.
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Document type: Research paper
Measuring the Unimportance of Being Earnest
The paper argues that foreign direct investment in Africa is often driven by natural resources rather than good governance or low corruption. While countries with poor governance rankings often attract significant FDI, the author contends that sound governance is necessary for long-term resource management and sustainable economic growth.
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Document type: Research paper
A Posse of Guns for Hire
The document discusses how the 2004 foiled coup attempt in Equatorial Guinea illustrates the danger of unemployed former soldiers and guerrilla fighters in Africa. It highlights the failure of disarmament, demobilisation and reintegration programmes to provide viable livelihoods for ex-combatants, specifically noting high unemployment among former South African Defense Force members. The text further argues that existing legal frameworks, such as the African Union's 1977 Convention and South Africa's 1998 Regulation of Foreign Military Assistance Act, are insufficient to curb mercenary activity amidst a global rise in private military services.
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Document type: Research paper
China’s Environmental Footprint in Africa
The document analyzes China's strategy of accessing previously untapped natural resources in Africa, often in ecologically fragile areas with weak governance. It highlights the central role of the China Exim Bank in financing large-scale infrastructure and extractive projects, noting a historical lack of adherence to international environmental standards. Using the Merowe Dam in Sudan as a primary case study, the author illustrates significant social and environmental failures. While the Chinese government has begun introducing social and environmental guidelines and 'green credit' policies, the report warns that stricter domestic regulations may inadvertently encourage the relocation of polluting industries to Africa.
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Document type: Briefing
LES HAUTS ET LES BAS : COMMENT LA VOLATILITÉ DES PRIX DES PRODUITS DE BASE EMPÊCHE LA RÉDUCTION DE LA PAUVRETÉ, ET CE QUE L’ON PEUT FAIRE
The document argues that commodity price volatility, which can vary by up to 50% in a single year, hinders long-term financial planning and environmental management, thereby trapping producers in a cycle of poverty and dependency. It emphasizes that the core issue is income volatility rather than price volatility itself. The report evaluates five strategic options: supply management (controlling output to influence price), national revenue management (using stabilization funds like National Revenue Funds), market-based risk management (using futures and options), compensatory financing (emergency grants or loans), and alternative trade initiatives (certification and fair trade). It concludes that no single 'silver bullet' exists and recommends a complementary approach involving the private sector and flexible, simple policies to achieve sustainable income stability.
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Document type: Report
Political economy of regionalisation in Central Africa
The report analyzes the failure of regional integration in Central Africa, linking it to the 'personalisation of power' and the 'resource curse' (specifically oil). It argues that regional organisations like ECCAS and CEMAC are often used to enhance regime security rather than human security. The document examines case studies of collapsed personalised regimes (Zaire, CAR, Equatorial Guinea) and surviving ones (Cameroon, Gabon), while assessing the operational weaknesses of regional security architectures and the impact of oil booms on institutional governance.
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Document type: Report
China and Gabon: A Growing Resource Partnership
The report analyzes the growing resource-based partnership between China and Gabon, highlighting China's increasing role in Gabon's oil, timber, and mining sectors. It details the strategic importance of the Belinga iron ore project and examines how Sino-Gabonese relations are shaped by resource extraction, infrastructure development, and environmental concerns.
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Document type: Report
Corruption and the extractive industries in Africa
The document examines the 'resource curse' in Africa, focusing on how corruption in the mining and oil sectors undermines human development. It contrasts 'state-centred' theories of corruption with 'corporate corruption' and 'state capture,' where companies illicitly influence policy. The author argues that transparency initiatives like the EITI are only partial solutions and that litigation is often hindered by political will and complex international contracts. The paper concludes that combating corruption must be balanced with broader goals of social justice and environmental protection to truly benefit African citizens.
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Document type: Research paper
REGIONAL INTEGRATION IN CENTRAL AFRICA
The briefing examines regional integration in Central Africa, contrasting the deeper economic and monetary integration of the Central Africa Economic and Monetary Community (CEMAC) with the broader, more politically focused Economic Community of Central African States (ECCAS). It highlights the influence of France and the EU, the economic role of Nigeria, and the complexities of Economic Partnership Agreement (EPA) negotiations, particularly regarding revenue loss from tariffs and the asymmetric development levels of member states.
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Document type: Briefing
China’s Development Policy in Africa
The report examines China's development policy in Africa, highlighting its shift from political goals to economic priorities, specifically energy security and market expansion. It contrasts China's 'non-interference' approach with Western conditionality, noting that China's willingness to engage with 'rogue states' provides it a comparative advantage in securing resources. While critics argue this undermines governance and debt relief, the authors suggest that China's presence breaks the traditional 'aid cartel' and may encourage G8 donors to improve aid effectiveness. The report recommends that Western donors integrate China into a collaborative development strategy rather than demonising its approach.
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Document type: Report
Boom or Bust
The report examines the 'commodity price problem,' characterized by extreme short-term volatility and a steady long-term decline in real prices relative to manufactured goods. While high prices can provide windfall revenues, the authors argue that dependence on primary commodities creates a 'resource trap' that undermines fiscal planning, exacerbates social inequality, and encourages environmental degradation. The document concludes that because developing countries lack the resources to hedge against these risks, the international community should focus on income stabilization through mechanisms such as compensatory financing, national revenue management, and risk management instruments.
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Document type: Report
List of Countries that have Signed, Ratified/Acceded to the AU Convention on the Prevention and Combating of Terrorism as at 23 June 2006
The document lists the signature, ratification, and deposit dates for 53 African entities regarding the AU Convention on the Prevention and Combating of Terrorism. As of 23 June 2006, 48 countries had signed the convention, while 36 had completed ratification or accession and deposited their instruments.
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Document type: Fact sheet
South African business marching north: is there a case for regulation?
The research paper examines the expansion of South African companies into other African markets, noting that these firms often invest in diverse sectors beyond extractive industries and employ innovative strategies to overcome infrastructural deficits. While South African business competitiveness is high, it has led to perceptions of dominance and 'bullying' in smaller economies. The author argues that while regulating criminal behavior like bribery is necessary, any broader code of conduct must avoid being overly restrictive to prevent deterring investment in a challenging business environment.
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Document type: Research paper
COP28 Pre-Summit Report
The report identifies three primary ecosystems driving climate mis- and disinformation: the 'attention economy' of online influencers, state-affiliated networks (specifically Russia), and the fossil fuel lobby. It details how the #ClimateScam hashtag has gained prominence on X, how ad tech companies monetise websites hosting climate denial, how Russian state media instrumentalises climate topics for geopolitical influence, and how fossil fuel companies use Facebook advertising for greenwashing. The document argues that these efforts undermine the public mandate for Net Zero and calls for structural changes to digital platform incentives and greater transparency in ad tech.
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Document type: Report