Search Climate Insights Directory

The document assesses six policy options to raise cocoa prices and farmer incomes to combat poverty, deforestation, and child labour. It concludes that most trade-based interventions, such as export price regimes or import duties, are unsustainable in the long term due to risks of over-supply, reduced consumer demand, and WTO compatibility issues. The author identifies bilateral partnership agreements as the most promising approach to create the governance and sustainability standards necessary for a comprehensive sector reform.

The briefing argues for a mandatory product-based due diligence framework for Forest and Ecosystem Risk Commodities (FERCs) and their derivatives. It recommends that the regulation cover not only forests but all natural ecosystems and human rights violations, specifically the rights of Indigenous Peoples and local communities. The authors call for equivalent obligations for financial institutions, a robust enforcement mechanism including criminal penalties and access to EU courts for harmed third parties, and accompanying measures to support producer countries and reform EU consumption patterns.

The document finds that cattle productivity in the Legal Amazon is uniformly low and extensive, meaning that disseminating the practices of the region's most productive municipalities would only increase production value by 17.6-29.4%. This is significantly lower than the potential gains seen in grain production. To achieve major productivity increases without deforestation, the authors argue for the adoption of new technologies—such as crop-livestock integration systems (ICLS)—and the combatting of land grabbing and illegal deforestation, which currently incentivize low-productivity extensive ranching for land speculation.

The report finds that livestock productivity in the Legal Amazon is highly homogeneous and characterized by an extensive production model with low input use. While disseminating existing best practices from the most productive municipalities could increase production value by 17.6-29.4% without further deforestation, this is significantly lower than the potential seen in crop agriculture. The authors argue that substantial gains require a new business model involving technologies not yet used at scale, such as integrated crop-livestock systems, and the combatting of land grabbing (grilagem), which incentivizes low-productivity extensive ranching for land speculation.

The document evaluates the substitute text for PL No. 2633/2020 proposed by Deputy Bosco Saraiva. While it notes improvements in inter-agency consultation and the requirement for an active Rural Environmental Registry (CAR), it criticizes the lack of effective environmental safeguards and the creation of unjustified benefits for small properties that decouple land policy from environmental policy.

In 2020, a significant increase in coal plant development in China offset a global retreat from coal, leading to the first increase in global coal capacity since 2015. While China commissioned 38.4 GW of new capacity, the rest of the world saw a decline of 17.2 GW, driven by record retirements in the U.S. and EU27. South and Southeast Asian nations, including Indonesia, Bangladesh, the Philippines, and Vietnam, announced plans to cut up to 62 GW of planned coal power due to falling renewable costs and financing difficulties. Despite these regional shifts, the report finds that global coal capacity remains far above the levels required to meet the IPCC 1.5 degree pathway, with an estimated 1,350 GW needing to be cancelled or retired.

In 2020, global coal-fired power capacity increased by 12.5 GW, driven primarily by China, which operated 38.4 GW of new capacity. This offset record closures in the US (11.3 GW) and EU27 (10.1 GW). While China's development grew as an economic stimulus during the pandemic, other Asian nations like Indonesia, Vietnam, Bangladesh, and the Philippines announced plans to cancel up to 62 GW of planned projects due to falling renewable costs and financing difficulties. The report concludes that current global trajectories remain far from the 1.5°C warming limit, with approximately 1,350 GW of capacity needing to be cancelled or closed to meet IPCC targets.

The document examines the unsustainable trajectory of global natural resource use, noting that material demand per capita grew from 7.4 tons in 1970 to 12.2 tons in 2017. It highlights systemic inequalities in resource distribution, where high-income countries have a material footprint thirteen times larger than low-income countries. The brief argues that current governance often favors powerful actors and marginalizes women, Indigenous Peoples, and local communities. To address this, it recommends adopting circular economy models, strengthening tenure rights, and implementing extended producer responsibility to decouple economic activity from environmental degradation.

The report finds that baseline projections for oil, gas, and coal production are significantly higher than the levels required to limit global warming to 1.5°C or 2°C. It highlights that the largest production increases are projected in the United States, Brazil, Iran, Canada, and Saudi Arabia. The analysis argues that a managed wind-down of production is necessary to avoid inequitable outcomes, as the projected production from high-income and low-dependence countries alone would exceed the 1.5°C-consistent global budget.

The GEC Steering Group met to discuss 'Building the Coalition', a strategic pathway aimed at transitioning from a UK-led hub to a distributed global network of autonomous hubs. The group emphasized organic growth, the need for sustainable resourcing, and the importance of maintaining collective integrity while decentralizing. The meeting also reviewed five strategic priorities for 2021, noting that green recovery, inequality approaches, and SME policy networks are progressing, while the network function is marked as 'amber' due to delays. The group agreed to rename the network development task force to a 'reflection and learning group'.

The report positions urban centers as critical drivers for climate leadership and economic recovery, specifically examining Brazil, China, India, Indonesia, Mexico, and South Africa to propose pathways for inclusive and climate-resilient futures.

The paper explores the concept of Buen Vivir, rooted in indigenous Latin American paradigms, and its potential as an alternative to the anthropocentric and growth-based models of development prevalent in Europe. It highlights the tension between Buen Vivir and the 'Green Economy' or 'European Green Deal', arguing that while the latter seeks to 'decouple' growth from resource use, Buen Vivir rejects the logic of infinite economic growth entirely. The authors note that while official EU-Latin American diplomatic recognition of Buen Vivir has been limited and largely stagnant since a 2015 resolution, local-level initiatives in European cities—such as Amsterdam—and countries like Spain and Greece are increasingly adopting practices aligned with Buen Vivir, including agroecology, local currencies, and the promotion of the 'commons'.

The submission argues that the UNCITRAL Working Group III's draft work plan must better facilitate the participation of developing states and ensure the inclusion of critical cross-cutting issues in ISDS reform. The authors propose moving to an opt-out participation model for intersessional work, providing translation services for non-English speaking delegations, and increasing transparency regarding drafting processes and expert roles. Additionally, they call for the explicit inclusion of cross-cutting issues—such as regulatory chill, exhaustion of local remedies, and the calculation of damages—which they claim have been notably absent from recent agendas and working papers.

The document analyzes how gender norms, poverty, and social structures exacerbate the vulnerabilities of women and girls to heat stress and limit their access to cooling services. It highlights specific risks in healthcare, domestic labor, and agriculture, while calling for sex-disaggregated data and gender-transformative policies to achieve universal sustainable cooling.

The report finds that Austrian supermarkets have poor sustainability standards for aquaculture, with none meeting half of the evaluated indicators. It highlights the environmental and social costs of 'reduction fisheries' used to produce fishmeal and fish oil, and argues for a decoupling of aquaculture from wild-capture fisheries through alternative feeds.

The document establishes a two-component eligibility framework for hydropower certification: a Mitigation Component and an Adaptation & Resilience (A&R) Component. The Mitigation Component uses a 'predictive screen' based on power density to identify low-risk assets, while others must undergo a GHG assessment using the G-res tool or on-site studies to meet emissions intensity thresholds of 100g CO2e/kWh (pre-2020) or 50g CO2e/kWh (post-2020). The A&R Component requires assets to be assessed via the ESG Gap Analysis Tool, with strict limits on the number of 'significant gaps' allowed and a requirement for an Environmental and Social Action Plan (ESAP) to close those gaps within 24 months. Additionally, the criteria mandate Free, Prior and Informed Consent (FPIC) for indigenous peoples and public disclosure of compliance data.

The briefing analyzes forest degradation in the Brazilian Amazon from 2007 to 2016, defining it as the partial loss of forest biomass. It finds that degradation is more widespread than clear-cut deforestation, averaging 11,000 km2 per year, and is concentrated in the 'Arco do Desmatamento', specifically in Mato Grosso and Pará. The study highlights that the relationship between degradation and subsequent deforestation varies by land tenure category: while conversion is low in protected territories, it is higher in small private properties and rural settlements, where degradation may serve as a low-cost precursor to total forest removal. The authors argue that degradation should be used as an indicator of imminent environmental damage to better allocate scarce public resources.

The briefing analyzes Bill (PL) No. 510/2021, which seeks to modify Law No. 11.952/2009 regarding the regularization of land holdings on federal public lands in Brazil. The authors argue that the bill facilitates land grabbing and illegal deforestation by relaxing requirements for land regularization, extending simplified titling procedures to larger properties, and weakening environmental safeguards. It specifically highlights that PL No. 510/2021 allows individuals who already own rural property or have previously benefited from agrarian reform to regularize additional land, and permits those who sell their titles to benefit from such programs again.

This policy brief examines the supply and demand side barriers to financing climate-smart urban infrastructure, focusing on the role of National Development Banks (NDBs). It introduces a 12-dimension 'City Maturity Model' to help city officials improve their strategic, financial, and operational capacities to attract green investment. The brief highlights that while NDBs are well-positioned as intermediaries, only 4% of Public Development Banks are specifically mandated to finance local governments. It provides recommendations for city officials to engage national policymakers, strengthen revenue capture, and build technical expertise, supported by case studies from Cape Town, Chefchaouen, and Belo Horizonte.

The report presents survey data from March 2021 on U.S. registered voters' attitudes toward international climate action. It finds broad support for the U.S. reducing emissions regardless of other countries' actions, participation in the Paris Climate Agreement, and pressuring other nations to reduce carbon pollution. While there is strong consensus that developing and industrialized nations should do more to address global warming, support for providing financial and technical aid to developing countries for mitigation and adaptation is more divided along partisan lines.