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The Economic Impact of AB 32 on Localities: A Look at Chula Vista
The study finds that AB 32 is expected to have a minimal economic impact on Chula Vista and similar California cities because energy expenditures constitute a small portion of local budgets. While clean energy policies may slightly increase energy prices, the direct and indirect costs are projected to be very low; for Chula Vista, the budget gap by 2020 could be covered by collecting $1.97 more per resident annually. The analysis notes that these findings are conservative, as they do not account for potential job creation from clean energy or the high costs of climate change adaptation if emissions are not reduced.
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Document type: Executive summary
Defining climate compatible development
The policy brief introduces 'climate compatible development' as a framework to move beyond the traditional separation of adaptation, mitigation, and development strategies. It argues that policy makers must integrate these three pillars to achieve 'triple win' strategies that minimize climate threats while maximizing development opportunities. The document highlights the 'new development landscape' characterized by shifting trade patterns, new climate finance mechanisms based on 'polluter-pays' principles, and the need for long-term national consensus to navigate risks and uncertainties.
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Document type: Policy brief
Hidden Stories and the Power of Law - Center for International Environmental Law
The document highlights the accelerating loss of Arctic sea ice and the resulting threats to indigenous communities and global populations as evidence of the climate crisis. It argues that while law alone cannot solve climate change, international law is a vital instrument for achieving justice and protecting the rights of those most vulnerable to environmental degradation. The text frames the mission of the Center for International Environmental Law (CIEL) as using transformative legal approaches to hold powerful entities accountable and protect human health and the environment on a global scale.
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Document type: Statement
Scenario-Based Planning for a Changing Climate in the Bras d’Or Ecosystem
The report details a two-day workshop in January 2010 where stakeholders used participatory scenario development (PSD) to explore three future trajectories for the Bras d’Or ecosystem to the year 2060. The process identified critical climate impacts—primarily sea-level rise, increased storminess, and heavy rainfall—and proposed adaptation strategies centered on integrated land-use planning, shoreline retreat, and capacity building. The findings emphasize that a 'best case' scenario involving integrated governance and a UNESCO Man and the Biosphere (MAB) designation provides the highest resilience against projected climate changes.
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Document type: Report
Coastal Capital: Dominican Republic
The report provides economic valuations of coastal ecosystem services in the Dominican Republic, highlighting the financial risks of beach erosion to the hotel industry and the decline of reef-dependent fisheries. It argues that protecting coral reefs and mangroves is more cost-effective than temporary engineering solutions like beach nourishment. Case studies demonstrate the potential for dive tourism in La Caleta National Marine Park to provide alternative livelihoods for fishermen and the significant domestic spending generated by the Jaragua-Bahoruco-Enriquillo Biosphere Reserve.
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Document type: Research paper
Understanding Scientific Terms About Climate Change
The document clarifies that in science, uncertainty refers to the degree to which something is known rather than a complete lack of knowledge. It explains that climate scientists use specific probabilistic language—such as 'very likely' to denote a greater than 90 percent chance—to inform public policy and decision-making. While certain facts are established without uncertainty, such as the role of fossil fuels and the greenhouse effect in warming the Earth, uncertainties remain regarding the exact magnitude of future warming and the timing of specific ecological losses, often depending on future human actions to reduce emissions.
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Document type: Guide
Heads above water
Using GIS methodology and 2006 census data, the document identifies that approximately 19 million people in the 23 coastal states of the conterminous U.S. live within 1 km of the shoreline, and 11.6 million live below a three-meter elevation. Florida, Louisiana, and New York have the highest absolute numbers of people living below 3 meters, while states like Rhode Island and Maine have high relative shares of their population within 1 km of the coast. These populations are identified as highly vulnerable to the combined effects of projected sea-level rise—estimated by the IPCC to be 18-59 cm by 2100—and increased cyclone activity.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Con la cabeza fuera del agua. ¿Cuánta gente vive en las zonas costeras vulnerables de EE.UU.?
The document details research by Nina Lam and her team at Louisiana State University using GIS and 2006 census data to map population vulnerability to sea-level rise and storms in 23 US coastal states. It finds that approximately 19 million people live within 1 km of the coast and 11.6 million live in areas below 3 meters elevation, with Florida, Louisiana, and New York having the highest numbers of vulnerable residents.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Climate Change Challenges in ASEAN-facilitated Interventions in the Mekong Subregion
The report examines the intersection of trade and climate change in the Mekong subregion (Cambodia, Lao PDR, Myanmar, Thailand, and Vietnam). It argues that while ASEAN promotes economic integration and trade liberalization, these frameworks often lack explicit climate change commitments, potentially increasing the region's vulnerability. The document highlights projected climate risks—such as sea-level rise, altered precipitation, and temperature increases—that threaten agricultural production and natural resources. It concludes that ASEAN's trade agreements (FTAs/EPAs) generally fail to incorporate climate risk assessments or mitigation strategies, recommending the mainstreaming of climate concerns into economic cooperation frameworks.
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Document type: Report
Adaptation to climate change in Sweden: knowledge, policy and practice in decision-making
The document identifies a gap between the recognition of scientific knowledge and its practical application in Swedish climate adaptation. While County Administrative Boards coordinate regionally, local action is often hindered by a lack of political prioritization and a preference for short-term gains over long-term vulnerability management. Sector-specific analysis reveals that forestry lacks a formal adaptation strategy due to a focus on short-term productivity, and the water sector's investments are limited by a reliance on strict cost-benefit analyses and a lack of regulatory requirements.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Adapting to Climate Change: A Challenge and Opportunity
The author contends that existing reactive decision-making frameworks are insufficient for climate change adaptation, which involves both frequent climatic hazards and slow-onset risks. He advocates for a shift from disaster management to disaster preparedness, citing Bangladesh's success in reducing cyclone fatalities as a model. The paper emphasizes that adaptation will require science-oriented approaches, increased climate literacy, and a global responsibility to manage planned relocation for communities in uninhabitable areas. Finally, it suggests that rich countries can learn from the participatory and institutional experiences of Least Developed Countries (LDCs) and community-based adaptation initiatives.
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Document type: Research paper
Climate Change Adaptation: A Case for Preventative Action and Risk Transfer
The paper advocates for a risk management approach to climate adaptation that integrates physical prevention with financial risk transfer. It highlights that while many climate losses can be averted through cost-effective measures, residual risks necessitate insurance and capital market instruments to protect vulnerable economies. Using examples from India and the Caribbean, it emphasizes the role of public-private partnerships and quantitative cost-benefit analysis in building climate resilience.
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Document type: Research paper
Question Four: Must We Fundamentally Change Course to Conserve Ecosystems in a Changing Climate?
The document examines the necessity of evolving ecosystem conservation strategies in the face of climate change. It highlights that while ecosystems provide vital services like climate regulation and water, they have undergone unprecedented transformation due to human consumption and degradation. The author argues that climate change exacerbates these trends and may hinder the natural adaptation of ecosystems, particularly those already fragmented, thereby threatening the livelihoods of the rural poor. The briefing asks experts to evaluate whether existing policy instruments—such as command-and-control or incentive-based measures—are sufficient or if radically different approaches and a stronger adherence to the precautionary principle are needed to manage climate-related risks and irreversible ecosystem changes.
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Document type: Briefing
New Streams of Thought: Managing Water and Ecosystems for Climate-Sustainable Development
The document examines the negative impacts of massive water infrastructure expansion on freshwater ecosystems and the resulting vulnerability of human societies to climate-driven mismatches. It proposes a shift from stationary climate assumptions in engineering to a holistic, basin-scale approach that treats healthy ecosystems as critical infrastructure. The author identifies policy silos, a tendency to discount future risks, and financial disparities between nations as primary obstacles to implementing these resilient practices.
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Document type: Research paper
Question Six: What Types of Information Are Needed for Adaptation Decision Making?
The document argues that effective climate change adaptation requires accurate data on climate risks, population vulnerability, and adaptation options. It categorizes information needs into three frameworks: responsive policymaking for sudden disasters (e.g., flooding in Pakistan), proactive planning for long-term threats (e.g., sea level rise in West African coastal cities), and robust planning for uncertain outcomes (e.g., glacier melt in Europe). The briefing seeks to determine what specific information sets, including non-climatic data, are sufficient to advance interventions and which stakeholders should define these needs.
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Document type: Briefing
What Types of Information Are Needed for Climate Change Adaptation Decision Making in Africa?
The document argues that Africa's vulnerability to climate change is exacerbated by weak environmental information systems and a lack of data-driven policy. It categorizes information needs into three types: responsive (rapid data for early warning and disaster response), proactive (long-term bio-physical projections and sectoral data), and robust (managing uncertainty through regional climate models). The author highlights South Africa's use of the Wide Area Monitoring Information System (WAMIS) and the Disaster Management Act of 2002 as models for integrating disaster risk reduction into local development planning. The paper concludes that African nations must leverage international networks like the Group on Earth Observation (GEO) to overcome technical capacity gaps and avoid 'mal-adaptation' costs.
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Document type: Research paper
Decision Making Needs in a Changing Environment
The document outlines a framework for climate adaptation information needs, categorised by the type of policy response. Responsive planning requires basic climatology, impact assessments, and logistics data to manage immediate disasters. Proactive planning necessitates long-term science-based projections, GIS-based risk maps, and population dynamics to reduce future risks. Robust planning demands inter-agency coordination, the integration of traditional and scientific knowledge, and the use of worst-case scenarios to inform legislation. The author emphasizes a multi-stakeholder approach involving governments, local communities, NGOs, and meteorological services to ensure effective resource allocation and resilience.
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Document type: Research paper
World Resources 2010-2011
The report identifies five critical elements for effective climate adaptation decision-making: public engagement, decision-relevant information, institutional design, planning tools, and resources. It argues that governments must move from reactive disaster relief to proactive risk management, accounting for extremes, heightened variability, and long-term change. The document emphasizes that vulnerability—shaped by social, economic, and geographic factors—determines the impact of climate change, necessitating targeted interventions for the most disadvantaged. Through various case studies and research, it recommends integrating climate risks into existing sectoral policies and utilizing flexible, robust, and durable decision-making frameworks to manage uncertainty.
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Document type: Report
Question Two: How Can We Balance Today's Pressing Needs with Long Term Risks?
The document examines the 'balancing act' required by national decision makers to address current socio-economic challenges while preparing for future climate impacts. It highlights that waiting for certainty before acting may lead to missed opportunities for risk management, especially in vulnerable nations where long-term climate risks threaten the achievement of development goals. The text provides illustrative dilemmas, such as managing sea level rise in coastal areas and rainfall uncertainty in the Sahel, to prompt further discussion on interventions, economic incentives, and public engagement strategies for long-term planning.
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Document type: Briefing
The Economics of Climate Change in Kenya
The report finds that existing climate variability already costs Kenya up to 2% of GDP annually, with future climate change potentially adding a loss of 2.6% of GDP per year by 2030. Adaptation needs are estimated at $500 million per year for 2012, rising to $1-2 billion per year by 2030. The study also identifies significant opportunities for low-carbon growth, noting that over 80% of selected energy-related emission reduction options can be realized at a net negative cost.
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Document type: Report