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The report argues that G20 countries have failed to meet their 2009 pledge to phase out inefficient fossil fuel subsidies, with spending reaching USD 665 billion in 2023. It introduces a categorization framework that divides subsidies into 'quick phase-out' (within 1 year), 'phase-out with a robust strategy' (2-4 years), and 'time-limited exemptions' (4+ years). Applying this to Brazil, Germany, Italy, Mexico, and South Africa, the authors find that while a significant number of measures (30-55%) can be removed quickly, the majority of fiscal value is tied to deeply embedded structural subsidies requiring sequenced reform and mitigation measures.

The report analyzes the 'petroganda' strategies of oil companies like Equinor, Shell, and BP, focusing on their use of community 'gifts' and cultural sponsorships to build social legitimacy and silence critics. It highlights specific cases in Norway and Brazil, such as the First Lego League and the Rouanet Youth Program, and discusses resistance strategies including civil disobedience and the 'Petroganda Prize'.

The report examines various global regulatory models for electricity revenue determination, including rate-of-return, incentive-based, performance-based, and market-based pricing. It details the technical process of Cost of Supply (CoS) studies—comprising functionalisation, classification, and allocation—and discusses the trade-offs between fixed and variable tariff charges. The document concludes that South Africa should move toward unbundled, cost-reflective tariffs supported by regular, audited CoS studies and a more robust, incentive-driven revenue determination methodology to support its transition to a wholesale market.

Analysis of the Lloyd's insurance market reveals that while its sustainable energy business grew by 18% annually from 2020 to 2024, its fossil fuel business grew by 2.4% per year, contrasting with a 2.8% decline in the wider global insurance market. Lloyd's remains the world's largest center for fossil fuel insurance, capturing an estimated 9% of the global market and one dollar in every eight of global oil and gas premiums. The report identifies Hiscox Syndicates as a significant outlier among managing agents for its high reliance on fossil fuel premiums. Furthermore, it highlights a growing talent crisis, noting that two-thirds of students who would consider the insurance sector would only apply to companies that do not insure fossil fuel projects or have commitments to reduce such underwriting.

The document analyzes a 'cross-cutting disinformation network' involving corporations, the provincial government of Río Negro, and regional media to legitimize the Vaca Muerta Oil Sur (VMOS) project. It details how the repeal of Law 3308, which had protected the San Matías Gulf for over twenty years, paved the way for a 400 km pipeline and an oil port. The study identifies a pattern of 'Pink Slime' journalism, where newly created digital outlets with low organic reach use paid advertising to simulate social consensus and frame fossil fuel expansion as essential for regional development and public welfare, while omitting socio-environmental risks.

The report analyzes disinformation surrounding the Saguaro Project, finding that a significant portion of content on Facebook (43%) and YouTube (39%) used misleading narratives to frame the fossil gas project as a climate solution and driver of economic growth. Government accounts and media outlets were primary sources of this content, often employing 'transition fuel' rhetoric to legitimize the project despite its environmental impacts and legal challenges.

The document analyzes a coordinated communication strategy involving the Argentine government, YPF, and a network of newly created digital media outlets to legitimize the Vaca Muerta Oil Sur (VMOS) project. It argues that these actors use 'pink slime' tactics—creating low-impact local news sites funded by advertising—to frame fossil fuel expansion as essential for regional progress and employment while omitting environmental risks and legal controversies. The study highlights the derogation of Law 3308, which previously protected the Golfo San Matías, and the use of the RIGI framework to protect corporate interests for 30 years.

The report finds that while Kenya has successfully increased its renewable electricity generation to 87% by 2022, the transition lacks policy coherence regarding affordability and equity. High electricity tariffs, driven by infrastructure investments and a distribution monopoly, hinder industrial competitiveness and limit energy access for vulnerable groups. The analysis identifies a significant trade-off between coal-based industrialization goals and climate mitigation targets, though the latter has gained dominance due to international financial pressure. Institutional barriers, including corruption and limited resources for social equity, further impede a just transition.

The document examines the alignment of Indonesia's business sector with the 2035 NDC, highlighting a potential investment opportunity of USD 3.8 trillion. While over 100 Indonesian companies have adopted science-based targets, the report identifies significant barriers including regulatory uncertainty, fragmented institutional responsibility, and a lack of a standardized 'green investment' definition. It proposes solutions such as 'power wheeling' for renewable energy access, blended finance mechanisms, and sectoral decarbonization roadmaps for energy, industry, and transport to ensure the NDC is 'investible' and supports the national goal of net-zero by 2060.

The document advocates for shifting the $1.1 trillion spent annually on fossil fuel subsidies toward clean energy technologies. It presents a business case where renewables-based power systems drive industrial competitiveness, attract private investment, and reduce exposure to volatile fuel markets. The report details how strategic incentives in China and India have accelerated EV adoption and suggests that power market reforms—such as decoupling electricity prices from natural gas—are essential to unlock the full potential of the energy transition.

The document examines how Poland's high energy intensity and reliance on fossil fuels create economic vulnerabilities, specifically through high electricity and gas prices and EU ETS costs. It posits that transitioning to low-emission technologies and improving energy efficiency can lower production costs and boost GDP. The briefing highlights the role of renewable energy, such as wind and solar, and Power Purchase Agreements (PPAs) in stabilizing energy prices. It also discusses the importance of emission transparency for consumer appeal and provides case studies of Polish companies like ORLEN, Galmet, and Kompania Piwowarska implementing decarbonization strategies.

The We Mean Business Coalition calls on governments to redirect public finance away from fossil fuels and toward clean energy to unlock business investment. The statement argues that current national climate plans are insufficient and that removing approximately $1 trillion in annual fossil fuel subsidies is a critical economic strategy to ensure energy security and market fairness.

The document argues that Europe's electricity grid is struggling to keep pace with the energy transition due to institutional bottlenecks, fragmented planning, and slow permitting. It recommends coordinating national and EU planning cycles on a two-year basis, extending planning horizons from 10 to 20 years, and establishing national 'one-stop shops' for permitting. Additionally, it advocates for the adoption of grid-enhancing technologies to increase network capacity by 20-40% and the creation of a centralized EU energy data platform to harmonize system planning.

The report finds that 27 countries have set national offshore wind targets, with global capacity projected to almost triple from 83 GW in 2024 to 238 GW by 2030. While targets have driven market growth, many countries are expected to miss their 2030 goals due to cost inflation, supply chain pressures, and permitting delays. The analysis highlights a significant gap between current projections and the 413 GW required by 2030 to align with the UAE consensus for tripling renewable capacity.

The document analyzes Nigeria's climate policy through four 'policy moments', highlighting a persistent struggle with institutional overlap and fragmented governance. It examines how internal competition between bodies like the National Council on Climate Change (NCCC) and the Office of the Special Presidential Envoy on Climate (OSPEC) dilutes Nigeria's international bargaining power. The paper also discusses the impact of global energy market shifts, the divestment of onshore assets by International Oil Companies (IOCs), and the challenges of removing fuel subsidies. It concludes that Nigeria must move away from transplanting foreign institutional models and instead develop a domestically driven, streamlined framework that integrates the petroleum sector into its climate goals.

Nigeria's climate agenda is hampered by overlapping institutions and a lack of elite consensus, which diminishes its bargaining power internationally. While the Tinubu administration has attempted to centralize governance through the Office of the Special Presidential Envoy on Climate (OSPEC) and the Presidential Climate Action Committee (PCAC), these moves risk further fragmentation by sidelining statutory bodies like the National Council on Climate Change (NCCC). Externally, Nigeria faces declining oil exports to China and India and increased competition from the US in European markets, intensifying the need for a successful energy transition. The report highlights a trend of International Oil Companies (IOCs) divesting from onshore assets due to regulatory instability, while noting that agile local firms are better positioned to navigate domestic complexities.

The paper examines the geopolitical and economic landscape of mining in West Africa, highlighting a shift toward resource nationalism in countries like Burkina Faso and Ghana. It discusses the influence of foreign powers such as France, Russia, and China, and identifies critical barriers to growth, including mineral smuggling, illegal artisanal mining, and a lack of processing infrastructure. While ECOWAS has attempted to harmonize mining regulations through directives and policies, the document notes that poor coordination and political instability have hindered their effectiveness.

India's coal fleet is shifting from baseload to flexible balancing to integrate rising solar and wind energy. By FY 2031–32, coal plants will need to operate closer to their technical minimums, with a projected average plant load factor (PLF) drop from 69% to 55%. This transition will disproportionately impact high-cost, less efficient units, suggesting that the 35 GW of coal capacity currently under construction is sufficient for supply security without further additions.

The report analyzes the rising effective costs of coal power in India due to underutilisation, which is expected to increase average tariffs by roughly 25% as PLFs fall. It highlights that fixed costs drive 85% of this increase, making new coal capacity economically inferior to Firm and Dispatchable Renewable Energy (FDRE). The author concludes that India's 2032 power goals can be met with the ~35 GW of coal already in the pipeline, rendering further expansion unnecessary and financially risky for distribution companies (DISCOMs).

The report argues that as India expands solar and wind capacity, coal's role will shift from baseload provider to a flexible balancing resource, leading to lower plant load factors (PLFs) and higher effective costs. By FY 2031-32, coal-based electricity is projected to be roughly 25% costlier than in FY 2024-25. The analysis suggests that the ~35 GW of coal capacity currently under construction is sufficient for reliability, making further coal expansion uneconomical compared to firm and dispatchable renewable energy (FDRE) and storage options.