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1,495 results
Climate Change, Armed Conflict and Global Public Health: A Reinforcing Cycle of Harm
The report examines the 'polycrisis' created by the convergence of climate change and armed conflict, which amplifies threats to global public health and disproportionately affects vulnerable populations. It highlights the role of military emissions and disinformation in exacerbating these crises and calls for integrated climate, health, and peacebuilding strategies.
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Document type: Report
Turning Tides: How Women are Reshaping Fisheries Sector Belize
This case study documents the emergence of women's leadership in Belize's small-scale fisheries, moving from unrecognized informal labor to the establishment of the National Women in Fisheries Association (NWIFA) in 2024. It emphasizes that while only 3% of licensed commercial fishers are women, their role in the value chain is critical for sustainable resource management and climate resilience.
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Document type: Case study
SEYCHELLES DEVELOPMENT FUTURES: GEOGRAPHIC FUTURES
This report analyzes the 'Combined Agenda 2063 scenario' for Seychelles, which integrates 11 sectoral scenarios to forecast economic and social outcomes by 2043. The scenario predicts significant growth in GDP per capita and overall economy size, alongside a reduction in extreme poverty, while highlighting the country's vulnerability to climate change and tourism-related shocks.
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Document type: Report
UGANDA DEVELOPMENT FUTURES: GEOGRAPHIC FUTURES
This report concludes a modeling exercise of Uganda's development trajectories toward 2040, stating that the country will not reach middle-income status by 2040 on its current path. It outlines a 'Combined Agenda 2063 scenario' that could see GDP per capita reach US$9,568 by 2045 and a significant reduction in extreme poverty, provided specific sectoral interventions in education, infrastructure, agriculture, and governance are implemented.
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Document type: Report
Tunisia: Introduction
This research paper provides an introductory overview of Tunisia's political and economic trajectory, from its independence in 1956 through the 2010 revolution and subsequent democratic regression starting in 2021.
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Document type: Research paper
Niger: Introduction
This introductory report provides an overview of Niger's geographic, political, and socio-economic landscape, detailing its transition from a democratic state to a military-led government following a coup in July 2023. It highlights the country's reliance on natural resources, its vulnerability to climate change, and its recent strategic shift away from Western security partnerships toward new regional alliances and partners such as Russia and China.
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Document type: Report
Almost USD 1 billion in Europe-bound Brazilian soy exposed to river port disruption annually by mid-century
A report by Zero Carbon Analytics quantifies the economic risk to Europe-bound Brazilian soy exports caused by declining river levels in the Amazon. The analysis indicates that by mid-century, up to USD 1 billion in annual soy trade passing through the ports of Manaus and Santarém could be exposed to disruption due to critically low river flows driven by climate change and deforestation.
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Document type: Report
AFRICA IN THE WORLD 2043: THEMATIC FUTURES
This research paper by the Institute for Security Studies analyzes the potential economic and social impacts on Africa by 2050 across four global scenarios: Sustainable World, Growth World, Divided World, and World at War. It identifies the success of integration efforts, such as the AfCFTA, as the primary driver of divergent outcomes, noting that the Sustainable World scenario offers the most significant gains in GDP per capita, poverty reduction, and human development, while the World at War scenario presents the worst outcomes.
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Document type: Research paper
Morocco Development Futures
This report by the Institute for Security Studies analyzes Morocco's development trajectory toward 2043, comparing a 'Current Path' forecast with eight sectoral scenarios and a combined 'Agenda 2063' scenario. It highlights Morocco's transition toward higher-value manufacturing, its strategic geographic position, and critical challenges including water scarcity, energy import dependence, and regional territorial disputes.
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Document type: Report
Kenya
This report analyzes Kenya's current development and projects its trajectory to 2043 through eight sectoral scenarios and a combined 'Agenda 2063' scenario. It evaluates progress in demographics, health, education, infrastructure, agriculture, manufacturing, trade, and governance, highlighting the potential for significant GDP growth and poverty reduction if strategic policy interventions are implemented.
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Document type: Report
Kenya: Background
This report provides a comprehensive background on Kenya, detailing its political evolution from independence in 1963 to the 2010 constitution, its economic structure as a regional hub, and the strategic framework of Vision 2030 and its subsequent Medium Term Plans.
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Document type: Report
Morocco: Introduction
This introductory report provides a geographic, political, and demographic overview of the Kingdom of Morocco, detailing its territorial disputes, governance structure, and climate vulnerability.
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Document type: Report
Ethiopia: Conclusion
This conclusion from the 'Ethiopia Development Futures' report identifies the systemic constraints hindering Ethiopia's sustainable growth and provides policy recommendations focused on governance, economic diversification, agricultural productivity, and education.
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Document type: Report
Mozambique: INTRODUCTION
This introductory research paper provides a socio-economic profile of Mozambique, detailing its transition from a period of rapid post-civil war growth (1993-2015) to a more recent period of economic slowdown and structural challenges. It highlights the country's extreme poverty, high inequality, and the risks and opportunities associated with its extractive industries.
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Document type: Research paper
DR Congo: Conclusion
This report conclusion outlines the development challenges and strategic policy recommendations for the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DR Congo) to achieve inclusive and sustainable growth, warning that the country is currently on a path to fail most 2030 SDG targets.
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Document type: Report
Côte d'Ivoire: Conclusion
This conclusion section of the 'Côte d'Ivoire Development Futures' report outlines policy recommendations to accelerate development in Côte d'Ivoire, emphasizing a holistic strategy across eight sectors to reduce poverty and increase GDP by 2043.
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Document type: Report
Mali: Introduction
This introductory report provides a geographic, environmental, and political overview of Mali, detailing its climate challenges, history of military coups, and shifting international alliances, including its withdrawal from ECOWAS to form the Confederation of Sahel States.
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Document type: Report
Comoros: Introduction
This research paper provides an introductory overview of Comoros, detailing its geography, climate vulnerability, economic structure, and political history. It highlights the intersection of natural hazards, such as cyclones, and political instability as primary barriers to the country's sustainable development.
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Document type: Research paper
Comoros: Conclusion
This research paper concludes a study on the development futures of Comoros, comparing a 'Current Path' projection with a 'Combined scenario' of sectoral interventions. While macroeconomic indicators are improving, the document highlights systemic weaknesses in governance, infrastructure, and human capital that hinder sustainable growth. It provides a comprehensive set of policy recommendations across governance, finance, agriculture, and education to lift the country out of economic fragility.
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Document type: Research paper
Mauritius Development Futures: Current Path
This report by the Institute for Security Studies provides a 'Current Path' development forecast for Mauritius from 2019 to 2043. It analyzes demographic shifts toward an aging population, steady economic growth driven by services, the reduction of extreme poverty, and the country's energy dependence and climate vulnerability.
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Document type: Report