Search Climate Insights Directory
205 results
Spillover
The report details how Shell and TotalEnergies integrate themselves across the VCM value chain—from project development and trading to influencing governance—to maintain fossil fuel production while claiming progress toward net-zero. It highlights systemic issues with the integrity of the credits they use, specifically in forestry and cookstove projects, and notes that neither company has a decarbonisation plan aligned with the Paris Agreement.
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Document type: Policy brief
Analysing the methodologies for certifying carbon farming
The policy brief by Carbon Market Watch criticises the EU's CRCF carbon farming methodologies for agriculture, agroforestry, afforestation, and peatland rewetting. It argues that the framework lacks clear use cases, potentially allowing for problematic offsetting, and suffers from flawed quantification, weak additionality tests, and insufficient sustainability safeguards. The report warns that these deficiencies could lead to the overestimation of carbon removals and undermine the EU's climate goals and international reputation.
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Document type: Policy brief
Analysing the methodologies for certifying carbon farming
The report critiques the EU's CRCF carbon farming methodologies, highlighting systemic flaws in quantification, additionality, and sustainability safeguards. It argues that the current framework allows for potential overcrediting and greenwashing, particularly if units are used for offsetting. The author recommends shifting from a credit-based system to an activity-based performance model to ensure environmental integrity.
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Document type: Policy brief
Is the CRCF Carbon Farming Delegated Act fit for purpose?
The study finds that the draft CRCF methodology for carbon farming is not fit for purpose, setting a lower integrity standard than the PACM and risking the issuance of units not backed by actual emission reductions. Key failures include insufficient additionality and permanence requirements, the omission of leakage and indirect land-use change (ILUC) risks, and a lack of systematic safeguards. The authors recommend revising the methodology to align with international benchmarks and prohibiting the use of CRCF carbon farming units for offsetting purposes.
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Document type: Report
Trading carbon credits for human rights: Does Article 6.4 of the Paris Agreement protect Indigenous Peoples and local communities?
The report argues that the Article 6.4 Sustainable Development (SD) Tool is primarily procedural and fails to protect Indigenous Peoples and local communities due to an overreliance on national laws, narrow definitions of Indigenous status, and a restrictive approach to Free, Prior and Informed Consent (FPIC). Geospatial analysis reveals that hundreds of projects in the Article 6 pipeline—including both new notifications and transitioning Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) projects—overlap with or are in close proximity to Indigenous and community lands, particularly in Asia. Documented cases in India, Kenya, Colombia, and Brazil demonstrate that these gaps have already led to involuntary resettlement, inadequate compensation, and long-term land conflicts.
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Document type: Report
The Agriculture scenario
The document outlines a simulated agricultural revolution in Africa based on eight interventions: increasing crop yields, expanding irrigation, increasing water withdrawal, protecting forests, improving supply chains, enhancing rural road access, and increasing per capita calories. The scenario predicts that by 2043, average crop yields will reach 7 tons per hectare (a 37% increase over the 'Current Path') and irrigated land will grow to 17.4 million hectares. It emphasizes the role of these interventions in reducing food loss and waste—projected to drop to 19.4% by 2033—and improving rural accessibility to 69%. The model balances agricultural expansion with forest protection, aiming to save 30 million hectares of forest land by 2043 compared to the Current Path forecast.
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Document type: Research paper
How Sub-Saharan African Cities are Building Climate Resilience
The SUNCASA project has implemented nature-based solutions (NbS) across three Sub-Saharan African cities, planting 2.4 million trees and shrubs and restoring over 3,500 hectares of land within its first two years. In Dire Dawa, the project focuses on afforestation and agroforestry to combat soil erosion and improve food security. In Kigali, efforts center on riparian buffer zones and agroforestry to reduce flood risks. Johannesburg's primary focus is the removal of alien invasive species to protect water quality and biodiversity. The project integrates gender equality and social inclusion (GESI) to ensure marginalized groups participate in climate adaptation. Cost-benefit analyses indicate significant future savings in flood-related infrastructure and health expenses across all three cities.
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Document type: Case study
Leaning on Uncertainty
Finland relies on Bioenergy with Carbon Capture and Storage (BECCS), biochar, and land sinks to reach its 2035 carbon neutrality target, but faces significant delivery risks. The government has disregarded scientific advice from the Finnish Climate Change Panel to moderate logging levels to restore the declining land sink, which currently shows rising net emissions. While the government is pursuing BECCS, it lacks domestic geological storage and must rely on international transport and storage, which are constrained by limited capacity in Northern Europe. Furthermore, current financial allocations for BECCS are significantly lower than the estimated needs to achieve projected removal volumes.
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Document type: Case study
Leaning on Uncertainty
The French government's strategy for climate neutrality relies on a combination of vulnerable land sinks and industrial carbon dioxide removal (CDR) technologies. While France has binding gross-emission-reduction targets, its land sink has declined by more than 20 Mt CO2eq over the last decade due to a forestry crisis. To compensate, the Draft Third National Low Carbon Strategy (SNBC3) increases reliance on industrial removals, including Direct Air Capture and Carbon Storage (DACCS) and Bioenergy with Carbon Capture and Storage (BECCS). However, the report finds that projections for these technologies are inconsistent and lack foundational assessments regarding energy demand, land-use impacts, and domestic CO2 storage capacity. Furthermore, France plans to increase wood harvesting to 60 million m3 by 2030, which may further erode the forest carbon sink.
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Document type: Case study
Leaning on Uncertainty
The document examines Ireland's climate strategy, highlighting a systemic over-reliance on carbon dioxide removals (CDR) and afforestation to bridge gaps in emission reductions. It identifies significant delivery risks for industrial removals like BECCS, which may not be operational until the mid-2030s, and notes that afforestation targets are consistently missed. The report criticizes the lack of transparency regarding residual emissions and the potential for 'temperature neutrality' goals to lower overall climate ambition.
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Document type: Case study
How to Measure Mindset Shifts on Gender and Social Inclusion
The SUNCASA project utilizes a monitoring, evaluation, and learning (MEL) framework to track changes in gender and social inclusion norms among participants in Ethiopia, Rwanda, and South Africa. Using pre- and post-training surveys with Likert-style questions, the project recorded an 82% increase in participants' knowledge of GESI issues, exceeding its 50% target. The project emphasizes an intersectional approach to identify how learning outcomes vary by gender, age, and marginalized status, specifically noting significant gains in household power dynamic awareness among women in Kigali and social equity understanding among youth in Johannesburg.
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Document type: Guide
Nature-based solutions Kigali
The Sustainable Asset Valuation (SAVi) assessment of the SUNCASA project in Kigali finds that nature-based solutions—including afforestation, reforestation, agroforestry, riparian restoration, and urban tree planting—are highly cost-effective for climate adaptation. Over a 25-year period, these interventions yield a benefit-cost ratio of 2.09, with a payback period of 7 years. The primary benefits derive from reduced flood damage to urban infrastructure, alongside significant public health savings and a projected 30% increase in carbon storage (approximately 600,000 tons of carbon dioxide). The project targets 2,500 hectares across six micro-catchments and includes the planting of 85,000 urban trees to mitigate risks from extreme rainfall, heat, and soil erosion.
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Document type: Report
A Sustainable Asset Valuation Assessment of Nature-Based Solutions in Kigali, Rwanda
The assessment finds that nature-based solutions (NbS) in Kigali—including afforestation, reforestation, agroforestry, and urban tree planting—are economically viable, with a discounted benefit-to-cost ratio (BCR) of 2.09 and cumulative net benefits of RWF 17,039 million from 2025 to 2050. The primary economic driver is the avoidance of flood damage to infrastructure, valued at RWF 17,311 million, alongside significant intangible benefits from reduced water pollution and carbon sequestration. Sensitivity analyses indicate that higher valuations for carbon and water pollution further increase the project's economic viability, with BCRs reaching up to 2.94.
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Document type: Report
Environmental and Social Management Plan for Jomotshangkha Wildlife Sanctuary for 2026
The 2026 ESMP for Jomotshangkha Wildlife Sanctuary outlines mitigation strategies for four key activities: lowland grassland restoration, waterhole maintenance, bio-engineering at the Tashithang landslide area, and a 5-hectare plantation at Lauri. The plan categorizes the project as 'Category B,' meaning impacts are site-specific and reversible. It details environmental risks such as invasive species spread and soil erosion, and social risks including worker safety from wildlife attacks and potential disruption of grazing rights. The document specifies a total budget of Nu. 2,000,000 and mandates compliance with both Royal Government of Bhutan laws and WWF's Social Safeguards Integrated Policies and Procedures.
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Document type: Report
A Sustainable Asset Valuation Assessment of Nature-Based Solutions in the Dechatu River Catchment in Dire Dawa, Ethiopia
The Sustainable Asset Valuation (SAVi) assessment of the SUNCASA initiative in Dire Dawa, Ethiopia, finds that nature-based solutions (NbS) such as afforestation and urban tree planting provide a return of USD 1.36 in benefits for every USD 1 invested over 25 years. Key economic benefits include USD 1.35 million in avoided flood damage to infrastructure and USD 930,000 in savings from climate-related health expenses. Environmentally, the interventions are projected to store up to 175,000 tonnes of carbon dioxide and create nearly 7,000 jobs by 2050, enhancing the city's resilience to floods, droughts, and heat.
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Document type: Report
A Sustainable Asset Valuation Assessment of Nature-Based Solutions in the Dechatu River Catchment in Dire Dawa, Ethiopia
The report evaluates the impact of SUNCASA-implemented nature-based solutions (NbS) in Dire Dawa, Ethiopia, focusing on the Dechatu River Catchment. Using the SAVi methodology, it projects that interventions including afforestation, agroforestry, and urban tree planting will generate a discounted net benefit of ETB 101.6 million from 2025 to 2050, with a benefit-cost ratio (BCR) of 1.36. The primary economic driver is the avoidance of flood-related infrastructure damage, valued at ETB 188.1 million. The assessment also highlights significant intangible benefits, such as avoided health costs from water pollution (ETB 65.8 million) and carbon sequestration (ETB 54.2 million). Sensitivity analyses indicate the project remains viable even with a 94% tree survival rate or under higher carbon pricing scenarios.
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Document type: Report
A Government-Led Advance Market Commitment for Carbon Removal
The document identifies a significant funding and deployment gap for carbon removal, estimating a need for at least 100 megatons per annum (Mtpa) and $20 billion per year by 2035. It proposes a government-led Advance Market Commitment (AMC) as a mechanism to guarantee future markets, reduce costs through economies of scale, and harmonize global standards. The paper provides a design framework for such an AMC, covering product eligibility, procurement processes, and cross-border funding, while outlining the complementary roles of corporations, philanthropy, NGOs, and academia.
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Document type: Research paper
Climate Adaptation Plan for New Juaben South Municipal Assembly: Ghana
The New Juaben South Municipal Assembly (NJSMA) Adaptation Plan (2024–2030) outlines a strategic framework to mitigate climate risks in Ghana's Eastern Region. Following a vulnerability assessment, the plan prioritizes interventions across eight sectors, with agriculture and water resources identified as the most vulnerable. Key strategies include promoting climate-smart agriculture (e.g., aquaculture and animal husbandry), protecting water catchments through afforestation, and improving urban drainage to reduce flooding. The plan emphasizes gender-responsive actions, such as creating social support groups and promoting palm kernel processing for women. Implementation is led by the Municipal Planning Coordination Unit (MPCU) and supported by a multi-stakeholder governance framework and a Monitoring, Evaluation, and Learning (MEL) system.
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Document type: Report
Expert feedback on CRCF methodologies Part II
The document outlines the structure of the EU's Carbon Removals and Carbon Farming (CRCF) certification framework and its associated methodologies for permanent removals, carbon farming, and carbon storage in products. It highlights the 'QU.A.L.ITY' criteria used for certification and expresses concern that the EU Carbon Removals Expert Group (CREG) is dominated by industry lobbyists, prompting Carbon Market Watch to commission independent expert reviews of the draft methodologies published in April 2025.
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Document type: Report
South Africas G20 Presidency: Placing African Concerns on the Global Table
South Africa's G20 presidency, themed "Solidarity, Equality, Sustainability," seeks to reform the international financial architecture to better serve developing nations. Key priorities include addressing the high cost of capital and structural flaws in debt restructuring, scaling up adaptation finance for climate-vulnerable African countries, and combating illicit financial flows that cost the continent billions annually. The presidency aims to ensure the G20 remains relevant by shifting its focus from pure financial stability to tangible developmental outcomes for the Global South.
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Document type: Research paper