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The Economics of Climate Change in Kenya
The report finds that existing climate variability already costs Kenya up to 2% of GDP annually, with future climate change potentially adding a loss of 2.6% of GDP per year by 2030. Adaptation needs are estimated at $500 million per year for 2012, rising to $1-2 billion per year by 2030. The study also identifies significant opportunities for low-carbon growth, noting that over 80% of selected energy-related emission reduction options can be realized at a net negative cost.
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Document type: Report
The 40% Study
The study demonstrates that the EU can achieve domestic emission cuts of 40% by 2020 and 90% by 2050 through radical energy efficiency, a shift to renewables, and the phase-out of fossil fuels and nuclear power. It argues that such a transition is technically possible and economically bearable, costing approximately 2% of the EU's cumulative discounted GDP between 2010 and 2020. To achieve climate justice, the report asserts the EU must also provide between €150 billion and €450 billion annually by 2020 to support mitigation in developing countries.
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Document type: Executive summary
Europe’s Share of the Climate Challenge
The report presents a mitigation scenario for the EU27 to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 40% in 2020 and 90% by 2050 relative to 1990 levels. This is achieved through radical energy efficiency, a shift to renewables, and the phase-out of fossil fuels, nuclear power, and carbon capture and storage. The analysis also estimates that Europe's fair share of international climate finance for developing nations would range between €150 billion and €450 billion by 2020.
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Document type: Report
Carbon Leakage and the EU ETS
The document examines 'carbon leakage'—where EU production moves to non-EU territories lacking carbon pricing—and critiques the European Commission's broad identification of 'at risk' sectors. While the EU ETS aims to stimulate low-carbon investment, the author argues that excessive free allocation of allowances may undermine the carbon price signal and encourage lobbying. The briefing suggests a more targeted screening process for high-emitters and proposes a portfolio of measures, including border adjustments based on CO2 emissions and sectoral agreements, to maintain competitiveness without sacrificing climate goals.
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Document type: Briefing
The Africa South America Summit 27-28 September 2009
The second Africa South America Summit, held on Margarita Island, Venezuela, aimed to strengthen South-South cooperation as a counterweight to Northern influence. Key outcomes included the formalization of the Bank of the South to reduce reliance on the World Bank and IMF, the establishment of a Radio of the South, and joint mining ventures between Venezuela and several African nations. While Brazil reported a significant increase in bilateral trade from $6 billion in 2003 to over $36 billion by 2009, the summit was marked by ideological divisions, with some leaders pursuing a radical anti-imperialist agenda while others, including South Africa and Brazil, adopted a more nuanced approach to international relations.
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Document type: Research paper
Africa as an actor in global governance reform for development
The document assesses Africa's economic vulnerabilities and its limited role in global governance. It argues that while the G20 has emerged as a key coordinator for global challenges like climate change, Africa's voice is weakened by fragmented economies and colonial-era infrastructure. The author contends that Africa must increase intra-African trade and strengthen regional economic communities to earn a more significant place in world decision-making.
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Document type: Statement
Working towards mutually beneficial economic relations: Indonesia’s expected challenges in pursuing an FTA with the EU
The document argues that a proposed Indonesia-EU FTA (IEUFTA) could deepen economic imbalances unless Indonesia's development interests are prioritized. It identifies key friction points including policy space, market access barriers, and the risk of 'WTO-plus' commitments that could marginalize poor populations.
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Document type: Policy brief
China and Africa’s Natural Resources: The Challenges and Implications for Development and Governance
The document examines China's strategic pursuit of resource security in Africa, primarily focusing on oil and strategic minerals. It details the 'Angola mode' of infrastructure-for-resources deals and the complex internal bureaucracy of Chinese resource diplomacy. While acknowledging positive contributions to hard infrastructure, the paper highlights concerns regarding debt sustainability, environmental degradation, and the potential for 'no strings attached' loans to undermine governance reforms in neo-patrimonial regimes.
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Document type: Research paper
Trade in Electricity Services in the Southern African Customs Union: Towards a Negotiating Strategy
The electricity sector in SACU member states is characterised by chronic capacity shortages, underdeveloped infrastructure, and a dominance of state-owned monopolies. While the Southern African Power Pool (SAPP) facilitates cross-border trade, the region remains heavily dependent on South Africa's Eskom. The paper argues that the lack of cost-reflective tariffs and political reluctance to allow independent power producers (IPPs) hinder investment. It recommends a harmonised regional regulatory framework and a strategic approach to liberalisation through a mix of SADC, WTO GATS, and bilateral agreements to improve energy security and economic growth.
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Document type: Research paper
Ten Reasons to Reduce Tropical Deforestation
The Union of Concerned Scientists outlines ten reasons to reduce tropical deforestation, noting that it accounts for approximately 10 percent of global warming pollution. The document asserts that reducing these emissions is more cost-effective than reducing industrial fossil fuel emissions and can be achieved with a global investment of $20 billion per year to cut emissions in half by 2020. It highlights the role of tropical forests in carbon sequestration and biodiversity protection, while citing progress in Brazil and Indonesia as evidence that solutions are viable.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Africa’s Challenges in International Trade and Regional Integration: What Role for Europe?
The document examines the 'vicious circle' of underdevelopment in Africa, characterized by commodity dependence, poor infrastructure, and limited global trade integration. It analyzes the failures of the multilateral trading system (WTO) and the limitations of preferential schemes like the EU's 'Everything but Arms' (EBA) and the US's 'African Growth and Opportunity Act' (AGOA). The authors argue that while regional integration is often promoted, it frequently benefits only the strongest economies in a group. The paper concludes that Africa must improve its supply-side capacity—specifically physical infrastructure and trade financing—while the EU should reform its standards and ODA strategies to better support African exporters.
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Document type: Research paper
Power of Efficiency
A national energy efficiency resource standard (EERS) in Georgia could save $6.3 billion and create nearly 9,000 jobs by 2020, while reducing electricity consumption by 13% by 2015.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Power of Efficiency
The document argues that a national energy efficiency resource standard (EERS) is the most cost-effective way to meet new energy needs in North Carolina. By 2015, the state could reduce electricity use by 13%, which would offset approximately 90% of the projected increase in demand. Based on a 2009 ACEEE analysis for 2020 targets (15% for electricity and 10% for natural gas), the implementation of an EERS would result in $3.017 billion in energy savings, the creation of 6,426 net jobs, and a reduction of 11.5 million metric tons of CO2 emissions, alongside annual electricity savings of 13,840 GWh and peak demand savings equivalent to 15 300 MW power plants.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Power of Efficiency
The document argues that a national energy efficiency resource standard (EERS) would provide South Carolina with significant electricity savings, job creation, and CO2 emission reductions by 2020, while noting that energy efficiency is the most cost-effective way to meet new energy needs.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Reinforcing carbon markets under uncertainty
The document analyzes the 'boom and bust' pattern of carbon prices in emissions trading schemes, attributing it to fixed supply facing highly uncertain demand and asymmetric information. It argues that price collapses undermine low-carbon investment and economic efficiency. While rejecting carbon taxation as a viable alternative due to political and implementation hurdles, the author proposes several policy options to stabilize markets, highlighting reserve price auctions in the EU ETS as a feasible, low-complexity mechanism to reduce supply automatically if prices fall too low.
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Document type: Briefing
A Balancing Act: China’s Role in Climate Change
The report examines China's transition toward a low-carbon economy, highlighting how energy security and the 'Scientific Development Concept' drive its climate policies. It analyzes China's emissions trends, its dependence on coal, and its strategic positioning in international negotiations, arguing that China's domestic economic stability and the global 2°C target are inextricably linked.
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Document type: Report
Nuclear Loan Guarantees Another Taxpayer Bailout Ahead?
The report examines the history of nuclear power cost overruns and subsequent bailouts in the U.S., arguing that current federal loan guarantee programs under the Energy Policy Act of 2005 create significant risk for taxpayers. It highlights a pattern of underestimated construction costs and a lack of private financing interest, suggesting that the potential risk exposure to the government could reach $1.6 trillion depending on the number of plants built.
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Document type: Report
Urgent Need for Strong Action to Curb Global Warming
The document asserts that the United States must reduce greenhouse gas emissions by at least 80 percent below 2000 levels by 2050 to avoid severe climate impacts. It argues that the cost of action is small relative to the global and national economy, while the cost of inaction is significantly higher, citing potential losses of over 3.6% of U.S. GDP annually by 2100. The text advocates for a policy mix of market-based cap-and-trade systems and sector-specific incentives, warning that 'safety valves' or price caps would undermine investment in new energy technologies.
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Document type: Fact sheet
State Energy Activities – The Stimulus Package, Energy Legislation and State Actions
The document advocates for increased funding for SEP, WAP, and LIHEAP, noting that a NASEO survey identified over $8 billion in 'shovel ready' energy projects nationwide. It highlights the efficiency of these programs, specifically that weatherization reduces electricity costs by 19% and natural gas costs by 33%, while noting that LIHEAP demand is rising due to unemployment and energy prices.
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Document type: Briefing
Transport Services in SACU: Accelerating Harmonisation and Liberalisation
The document assesses the transport sectors of SACU member states, highlighting a significant shift from rail to road and the strategic importance of South African infrastructure for landlocked neighbors. It identifies regulatory fragmentation and high logistics costs as primary barriers to trade. The report advocates for the implementation of the SADC Transport Protocol and provides a strategic framework for member states to align their national policies with the General Agreement on Trade in Services (GATS) to attract investment and improve efficiency.
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Document type: Research paper