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The briefing note critiques the OECD's two-pillar solution for its lack of transparency and failure to recover the $400 billion lost annually to tax abuse, noting that high-income countries benefit most. It advocates for the UN Framework Convention on International Tax Cooperation as a democratic alternative for all 193 UN member states. The document urges South Africa, during its 2025 G20 presidency, to champion global minimum standards for taxing the super-rich and build consensus for the UN Convention to support sustainable development and the SDGs.

California possesses vast untapped geothermal potential, particularly in superhot rock resources, which could significantly support the state's clean energy goals. However, the industry faces substantial barriers, including a lack of long-term strategic planning, complex and lengthy permitting processes, outdated regulations, and interconnection uncertainties. The report recommends the creation of a statewide strategic plan, streamlining environmental reviews, updating well regulations, and establishing a clean energy infrastructure financing fund to attract private capital and accelerate deployment.

The report argues for a 'hybrid market model' in Europe that combines proactive procurement for the market with competition in the market to ensure a reliable, 24/7 decarbonised power system. It identifies significant gaps in current National Energy and Climate Plans (NECPs), noting that many Member States are not on track to meet 2030 EU targets. To address this, the authors recommend expanding system needs assessments to include flexibility and resilience (including climate and cyber risks) and extending their time horizon to 2050. On the contracting side, the report suggests enhancing Power Purchase Agreements (PPAs) through standardisation and public demand, and improving Contracts for Difference (CfDs) by embedding dispatch incentives to avoid distorting market signals. It also proposes a tripartite contracting framework involving a central public entity to hedge risks for both the state and industrial consumers, thereby fostering industrial electrification and competitiveness.

ClientEarth advocates for a shift from 'paper commitments' to legal action to address the ocean crisis. The briefing prioritises the enforcement of existing frameworks, such as the UN Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS) and the Kunming-Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework (GBF), to protect marine biodiversity and combat climate change. It specifically calls for the elimination of harmful fisheries subsidies, the banning of bottom trawling in marine protected areas (MPAs), and the ratification of the BBNJ Agreement to protect the high seas. The document also highlights the need for a 'Protection Principle' that makes ocean conservation the default norm and outlines specific legal priorities for the EU, Mediterranean, China, and the UK.

Canada possesses significant reserves of six priority critical minerals—cobalt, copper, graphite, lithium, nickel, and rare earth elements—essential for the global energy transition. However, current investment is insufficient to meet a projected domestic demand of over $16 billion per year by 2040. The report identifies three primary risks deterring investors: financial volatility, environmental liabilities, and risks to Indigenous rights. To address these, the authors recommend that the federal government implement financial risk-sharing agreements (such as contracts for difference and equity investments), scale up capacity-building and capital access for Indigenous communities, and mandate global environmental standards for tailings management. The report warns that attempting to speed up project approvals by cutting environmental or consultation requirements is likely to backfire by increasing local opposition and litigation.

The document outlines the operationalization of Indonesia's Sustainable Finance Committee (SFC) under Law No. 4/2023. It proposes a three-tier governance structure involving the Ministry of Finance, Bank Indonesia, and the Financial Services Authority (OJK) to bridge institutional silos and align national climate targets with financial market mechanisms. The paper emphasizes the need for a formal Government Regulation to ensure the SFC's authority, the creation of a centralized data platform for ESG transparency, and the use of sectoral coalitions to co-create bankable financial solutions for priority sectors like energy and transport.

The document argues that the EU ETS1 is fit for purpose until 2035, after which a supply-demand mismatch for allowances may emerge. It strongly warns that integrating international carbon credits (Article 6) or carbon removals into the ETS would undermine the carbon price incentive, risk emissions mitigation avoidance, and divert investment away from domestic decarbonisation. For the upcoming ETS2, the brief recommends allowing the market to function for several years before making adjustments due to high price uncertainty. It also cautions against merging ETS1 and ETS2 due to differences in market actor price sensitivity and suggests maintaining national targets beyond 2030 to support the ETS.

The report finds that the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) would significantly increase U.S. household energy costs, lead to substantial job losses in manufacturing and clean energy, and increase greenhouse gas emissions and premature deaths. By repealing key tax credits and environmental standards, the bill is projected to shrink cumulative GDP by $1.1 trillion between 2025 and 2034 and reduce new electricity capacity by 330 GW by 2035. While the bill expands oil and gas leasing, the report argues that the resulting increase in production is offset by higher demand-driven prices for fossil fuels.

The report argues that direct electrification is the most efficient way to decarbonize industrial process heat, outperforming alternatives like green hydrogen, bioenergy, and carbon capture. It identifies three primary barriers: economics (high electricity costs relative to fossil fuels), grid readiness (slow interconnection and outdated planning), and technology maturity (lack of awareness and scale for high-temperature solutions). To overcome these, the authors recommend a combination of financial incentives (such as a Clean Heat Production Tax Credit), grid reforms (including surplus interconnection and real-time pricing), and foundational RD&D and workforce training.

The report outlines the regulatory complexities of the energy transition toward low-emissions hydrogen, emphasizing the high uncertainty of future demand. It provides specific guidance for electricity and gas regulators on managing infrastructure investments, pricing, and safety risks. The authors argue that regulators must balance government policy goals with their mandate to ensure affordable and safe service, warning against 'stranded assets' if hydrogen investments are based on hype rather than economic reality. Key technical concerns include hydrogen's propensity for pipeline embrittlement, low roundtrip efficiency in power generation, and the necessity of high-integrity emissions accounting to avoid greenwashing.

The document examines the risks associated with South Africa's increasing reliance on IFI loans, particularly for climate finance under the Just Energy Transition Partnership (JET-P). It highlights a lack of transparency and parliamentary oversight, noting that loan conditionalities can undermine constitutional rights and sovereignty. The authors propose a five-step approval procedure involving sustainability, human rights, development, and sovereignty assessments, alongside a public consultation and majority vote in the National Assembly.

The report addresses the need for a transparent mechanism to measure the workforce transition in Canada following the enactment of the Canadian Sustainable Jobs Act in June 2024. It argues that tracking must go beyond counting 'green jobs' to include job quality, social equity, and governance. The authors propose a framework based on 'Risk, Response, and Results,' identifying 18 key indicators—such as community susceptibility, Indigenous partnership in governance, and sustainable job compensation—to monitor federal progress. The report emphasizes that these indicators require operational definitions and a whole-of-government approach to data collection to ensure the transition is equitable and aligned with the Paris Agreement.

Brazil is projected to increase oil and gas production by over 20% by 2030, with Petrobras driving more than half of this growth. However, analysis shows that up to 85% of Petrobrass new oil production would be economically unviable in a 1.5C world, creating significant stranded asset risks. Petrobras plans to invest USD 97 billion in oil and gas from 2025 to 2029, which is six times its spending on decarbonization and diversification. The report finds that Petrobras lags industry peers in target setting and business model diversification. To mitigate these risks, the authors recommend that the Brazilian government curb exploration licenses, redefine Petrobrass mandate toward a "harvest mode" strategy, and redirect financial flows toward clean energy, where an annual investment gap of USD 16 billion is projected by 2035.

The report examines the limitations of rigid debt rules in emerging markets and developing economies (EMDEs), proposing a transition to a 'constrained discretion regime'. It argues that current rules-based approaches often lead to complexity and unenforceability, particularly when multiple fiscal rules are layered incrementally. The authors recommend replacing rigid ceilings with flexible 'debt anchors' embedded in a broader institutional framework featuring independent fiscal councils, transparent disclosure rules, and a clear distinction between long-term sustainability goals and short-term budgetary instruments.

The report analyzes the sources of development finance for low-income countries (LICs), identifying tax revenues as the primary source but highlighting systemic risks such as cuts to official development assistance (ODA), trade fragmentation, and an impending external debt crisis. It argues that while domestic resource mobilization (DRM) is essential, it must be balanced with 'external revenue mobilization' through export diversification to avoid balance of payments crises. The authors propose a pragmatic approach to the Financing for Development (FfD) agenda, recommending specific international reforms—such as separating poverty-reduction ODA from global public goods funding—and national reforms, including the removal of fossil fuel subsidies and the implementation of wealth and natural resource taxes.

The report analyzes the intersection of traditional and municipal land governance in Limpopo's Vhembe District, focusing on the Rambuda, Tshivhase, and Masia traditional councils. It finds that while legislative frameworks like SPLUMA (2013) allow for traditional council participation, these bodies often lack voting power in municipal planning tribunals, leading to poor integration and friction. The study highlights a 'land development value chain' where traditional authorities issue Permissions to Occupy (PTO) and manage communal land, but often operate through informal or semi-formal systems. Case studies reveal challenges such as land invasions in the Homu Traditional Area and the successful implementation of professional planning standards for the Tshakhuma Shopping Mall. The report recommends digitalizing land records, enhancing the role of traditional leaders in municipal tribunals, and adopting the 'Record, Engage, Collaborate and Avoid' (RECA) model to manage land disputes.

The report argues that the Opportunity Zone program, created by the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, serves as a subsidy for private equity firms rather than a tool for community redevelopment. PESP identified $16.2 billion raised for Qualified Opportunity Funds (QOFs) by approximately 200 firms, with Bridge Investment Group Holdings, CIM Group, and Griffin Capital Company among the top beneficiaries. The document details how firms profit via capital gains tax deferrals and annual management fees, often ranging from 1.25% to 2%. Case studies in Los Angeles, Atlanta, and Arizona suggest the program encourages the development of luxury housing and the displacement of low-income residents through 'substantial improvement' requirements that necessitate evictions. The report also highlights political ties between major QOF investors and the Trump administration, and criticizes the lack of federal reporting requirements to track the program's actual impact on poverty.

The report argues that outsourcing critical school functions to private equity-backed firms prioritizes short-term profit over student wellbeing and worker stability, leading to lower service quality, increased staff turnover, and risks to student data privacy.

Nigeria possesses a significant 'youth bulge', with approximately 70% of its population under 30 and a median age of 18.1 years. While this presents an opportunity for a 'demographic dividend'—accelerated economic growth driven by a large working-age population—the document warns that failure to invest in human capital and economic reform could lead to a 'demographic disaster'. Key obstacles include high youth unemployment (estimated at 53.4% for ages 15–24 in 2020), a mono-economy dependent on crude oil, and an education system that fails to align curricula with market needs. The brief argues that unlocking this potential requires a multi-pronged approach focusing on human capital, economic opportunity, gender equality, and effective governance.

The document examines the critical role of African IFIs in bridging the continent's infrastructure gap to enable the AfCFTA. It highlights a significant annual financing need of $130–$170 billion, with transport being the most deficient sector. While IFIs like the AfDB, AFC, and Afreximbank have invested billions, the author argues that financing still relies too heavily on governments with limited fiscal space. The brief recommends establishing a results-oriented coordination model and a dedicated agency to improve project bankability to better attract private institutional investors.