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1,869 documents from World Resources Institute
Decision Making and Climate Change Uncertainty: Setting the Foundations for Informed and Consistent Strategic Decisions
The author argues that climate change adaptation should be treated as a continuous, learning-based process rather than a set of static decisions. The proposed framework rests on four pillars: establishing flexible socio-institutional frameworks, managing knowledge and information, maintaining a portfolio of diverse adaptation options, and implementing continuous monitoring and evaluation. The paper emphasizes the deep interconnection between adaptation and development, suggesting that policies addressing poverty and inequality simultaneously build adaptive capacity. It highlights the need for 'bottom-up' participatory processes and the creation of enabling environments that allow citizens to adapt autonomously. Using Quito, Ecuador, as an example, the text illustrates the importance of bridging the gap between scientific research and policy through dedicated bodies like the Quito's Climate Change Panel.
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Document type: Research paper
Climate Change Adaptation and Decision Making in the Sudan
Sudan is highly vulnerable to climate change due to its reliance on rain-fed agriculture, with projections indicating significant declines in crop yields and increased water scarcity by 2060. The document argues that while the country has established frameworks like the Environmental Protection Act of 2001 and the National Adaptation Program of Action (NAPA), effective adaptation is hindered by political instability, top-down planning, and land tenure conflicts. It recommends a comprehensive approach including land tenure reform, a national early warning system, and the integration of climate risks into all levels of national development planning.
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Document type: Research paper
Decision Making in a Changing Climate
The document argues that the ability of developing countries to integrate climate risks into their decision-making processes is a key determinant of their success in mitigating future impacts. It emphasizes that development agencies must move beyond supporting individual adaptation interventions to strengthening the institutional frameworks and policies that allow national governments to make robust, flexible, and durable decisions in the face of climate uncertainty and long-term variability.
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Document type: Briefing
Role of Development Partners in Adaptation Planning
The author argues that while development partners (DPs) typically act in a consultative rather than direct capacity during national planning, they can significantly enhance adaptation by collaborating with civil society organizations to implement indigenous and low-cost technologies. Using Uganda's National Development Plan (NDP) and the Climate Change Unit (CCU) as examples, the text highlights the need for DPs to shift from viewing climate change as a purely environmental issue to integrating it into broader development portfolios. Key recommendations include investing in institutional strengthening, establishing national early warning systems, and promoting organic agriculture to build resilience for the rural poor.
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Document type: Research paper
Changing the Course of Development: UNDP's Role in Supporting National-Level Decision-Making Processes in a Changing Climate
The document outlines the UNDP's strategy to integrate climate change adaptation into national development priorities, emphasizing the need to move beyond technical climate modeling toward strengthening political leadership, financial management, and accountability systems. It identifies four primary barriers to effective national decision-making: sporadic political commitment, fragmented technical knowledge, limited institutional capacity for direct fund access, and weak reporting systems. To address these, the UNDP implements initiatives such as the Africa Adaptation Programme and the Adaptation Learning Mechanism, while promoting the use of National Multi-Donor Climate Funds to shift from agency-led to nationally-led financial management.
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Document type: Research paper
Learning from Water Wars: Development Assistance for a Changing Climate
The author argues that climate adaptation should be integrated into existing national development goals and governance processes rather than treated as a separate, donor-driven agenda. He proposes five guiding principles: enhancing aid effectiveness by reducing transaction costs for recipients, integrating adaptation into short-term national priorities, ensuring national ownership of policies, avoiding sectoral 'silos' (such as the tendency for Ministries of Environment to capture resources via NAPAs), and respecting the political realities of decision-making. The paper cautions against 'overselling' available climate data and warns that traditional donor processes can sometimes impose higher transaction costs and less respect for partner preferences than emerging BRIC donors.
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Document type: Research paper
"No Regrets" Approach to Decision-Making in a Changing Climate
The author proposes a 'no-regrets' framework for development agencies to help vulnerable countries adapt to climate change. This approach integrates disaster risk management (DRM), climate change adaptation (CCA), and social protection (SP) into 'adaptive social protection'. The author emphasizes the use of 'spatially enabled governance'—utilizing GIS, spatial data infrastructure (SDI), and ICT—to implement territorial planning, such as watershed management, to protect assets and livelihoods. The paper also advocates for a 'risk-adjusted Social Protection Floor' that guarantees basic needs while incorporating climate-related hazard triggers and innovative finance like weather-index insurance.
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Document type: Research paper
Question Four: Must We Fundamentally Change Course to Conserve Ecosystems in a Changing Climate?
The document examines the necessity of evolving ecosystem conservation strategies in the face of climate change. It highlights that while ecosystems provide vital services like climate regulation and water, they have undergone unprecedented transformation due to human consumption and degradation. The author argues that climate change exacerbates these trends and may hinder the natural adaptation of ecosystems, particularly those already fragmented, thereby threatening the livelihoods of the rural poor. The briefing asks experts to evaluate whether existing policy instruments—such as command-and-control or incentive-based measures—are sufficient or if radically different approaches and a stronger adherence to the precautionary principle are needed to manage climate-related risks and irreversible ecosystem changes.
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Document type: Briefing
Forests and Adaptation to Climate Change: What is at Stake?
The authors propose a two-fold linkage between forests and climate adaptation: using forest ecosystem services to reduce social vulnerability ('forests for adaptation') and implementing measures to protect forests from climate impacts ('adaptation for forests'). They advocate for Ecosystem-based Adaptation (EbA) as an overarching framework to integrate these goals, noting that ecological infrastructure is often more cost-effective and adaptive than engineered alternatives. The paper highlights the need for cross-sectoral governance, financial transfers like payments for ecosystem services, and the integration of mitigation policies such as REDD+ to avoid maladaptation and ensure long-term resilience.
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Document type: Research paper
Ecosystem Management: The Need to Adopt a Different Approach Under a Changing Climate
The paper contends that current economic and political models fail to value ecosystems, which are critical for both climate mitigation and adaptation. It argues that climate stabilisation requires a three-way balance between human-induced emissions, natural ecosystem emissions, and the absorptive capacity of global ecosystems. Because ecosystem absorptive capacity is declining by approximately 1% per decade, the authors propose a radical change that places ecosystem conservation at the heart of decision-making, serving as a 'safety net' against failures in human emission reductions. The document recommends four strategies—political commitment, investment, incentives, and information—and urges policymakers to integrate ecosystem-based adaptation and mitigation into international frameworks like the UNFCCC and national plans such as NAMAs and NAPAs.
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Document type: Research paper
New Streams of Thought: Managing Water and Ecosystems for Climate-Sustainable Development
The document examines the negative impacts of massive water infrastructure expansion on freshwater ecosystems and the resulting vulnerability of human societies to climate-driven mismatches. It proposes a shift from stationary climate assumptions in engineering to a holistic, basin-scale approach that treats healthy ecosystems as critical infrastructure. The author identifies policy silos, a tendency to discount future risks, and financial disparities between nations as primary obstacles to implementing these resilient practices.
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Document type: Research paper
Tomorrow's Approach: Food Production and Ecosystem Conservation in a Changing Climate
The document examines the conflict between increasing food production to meet a growing global population and the degradation of ecosystem services. It argues that the current model of enhancing a few food services at the expense of others is unsustainable and risks irreversible tipping points. The authors propose two primary solutions: a risk-assessment tool to integrate climate and ecosystem risks into decision-making, and a three-pronged strategy to reconcile food and conservation by restoring degraded lands, increasing productivity on existing farms, and managing food demand.
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Document type: Research paper
Question Five: How Can Information for Adaptation Decision Making Be Collected and Disseminated?
The document establishes a framework for exploring how climate risk and vulnerability information can be effectively gathered and shared. It emphasizes that the mere existence of data is insufficient; information must be translated into usable formats and distributed through systems that connect national and local levels. The briefing identifies the need for long-term political will, community buy-in, and innovative distribution methods—such as cell phone text messages for rural areas—to ensure that data reaches the most vulnerable populations and decision-makers.
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Document type: Briefing
Putting Vulnerable People at the Center of Communication for Adaptation: Knowledge Sharing through Participatory Games and Video Tools
The document examines how participatory communication tools, specifically video and games, can bridge the information gap for the most vulnerable people affected by climate change. It highlights that treating end-users as partners in co-learning rather than target audiences improves the adoption of adaptation strategies. Case studies demonstrate that participatory video in Malawi, Nepal, and Ethiopia helped farmers and children advocate for and implement adaptation measures. Additionally, the paper discusses how games can simplify complex systems, such as probabilistic forecasts for humanitarian action in Senegal or micro-insurance concepts for farmers in Ethiopia and Malawi, to build trust and facilitate better decision-making.
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Document type: Research paper
ICTs as a Key Technology to Help Countries Adapt to the Effects of Climate Change
The document argues that ICTs are essential enablers for climate change adaptation, facilitating the collection of environmental data and the dissemination of early warnings to vulnerable populations. It highlights the role of the International Telecommunication Union (ITU) in supporting the Nairobi Framework and the Hyogo Framework for Action by developing standards, improving telecommunications infrastructure, and deploying weather stations in under-served regions like Africa.
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Document type: Research paper
Question Six: What Types of Information Are Needed for Adaptation Decision Making?
The document argues that effective climate change adaptation requires accurate data on climate risks, population vulnerability, and adaptation options. It categorizes information needs into three frameworks: responsive policymaking for sudden disasters (e.g., flooding in Pakistan), proactive planning for long-term threats (e.g., sea level rise in West African coastal cities), and robust planning for uncertain outcomes (e.g., glacier melt in Europe). The briefing seeks to determine what specific information sets, including non-climatic data, are sufficient to advance interventions and which stakeholders should define these needs.
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Document type: Briefing
What Types of Information Are Needed for Adaptation Decision Making?
The author contends that 'perfect' information does not exist and that adaptation decisions require 'decision-relevant' information rather than just accurate data. This information must align with the geographical scale and timeframes of specific policy and investment schedules while remaining scientifically credible. The paper highlights that information needs vary depending on whether the goal is identifying vulnerabilities, setting priorities, or evaluating post-implementation outcomes. To avoid the 'barrier to decision making' created by an abundance of data, the author advocates for a joint responsibility where providers and users engage in a continuous learning process to tailor information to the specific needs of the decision-making community.
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Document type: Research paper
What Types of Information Are Needed for Climate Change Adaptation Decision Making in Africa?
The document argues that Africa's vulnerability to climate change is exacerbated by weak environmental information systems and a lack of data-driven policy. It categorizes information needs into three types: responsive (rapid data for early warning and disaster response), proactive (long-term bio-physical projections and sectoral data), and robust (managing uncertainty through regional climate models). The author highlights South Africa's use of the Wide Area Monitoring Information System (WAMIS) and the Disaster Management Act of 2002 as models for integrating disaster risk reduction into local development planning. The paper concludes that African nations must leverage international networks like the Group on Earth Observation (GEO) to overcome technical capacity gaps and avoid 'mal-adaptation' costs.
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Document type: Research paper
Decision Making Needs in a Changing Environment
The document outlines a framework for climate adaptation information needs, categorised by the type of policy response. Responsive planning requires basic climatology, impact assessments, and logistics data to manage immediate disasters. Proactive planning necessitates long-term science-based projections, GIS-based risk maps, and population dynamics to reduce future risks. Robust planning demands inter-agency coordination, the integration of traditional and scientific knowledge, and the use of worst-case scenarios to inform legislation. The author emphasizes a multi-stakeholder approach involving governments, local communities, NGOs, and meteorological services to ensure effective resource allocation and resilience.
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Document type: Research paper
Information Needs for Climate Risk Management
The author argues that while information needs for climate adaptation are context-specific, responsive, proactive, and robust planning strategies overlap in their reliance on identifying vulnerabilities, hazards, and risks. The paper details the necessity of integrating historical observations, real-time data, and probabilistic forecasts to manage climate variability and long-term change, while emphasizing that 'no regrets' strategies can improve efficiency but may overlook critical trade-offs. It highlights the importance of participatory approaches and the need to plan for 'surprises'—low-probability, high-impact events—by moving beyond a sole reliance on historical records.
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Document type: Research paper