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2,011 documents from South African Institute of International Affairs
Managing Resources and the Democratic Order: The Experience of Botswana
The paper argues that Botswana's success is not due to minerals alone but to a combination of professional public institutions, disciplined leadership, and the integration of traditional Tswana democratic values with modern governance. It highlights the role of the Ministry of Finance and Development Planning in linking revenue to specific projects and the strategic partnership with De Beers. However, the authors warn that this 'miracle' is threatened by high income inequality, over-reliance on diamond exports, a high HIV/Aids prevalence, and an excessively powerful executive presidency.
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Document type: Research paper
La gestion des ressources et l’ordre démocratique : L’expérience du Botswana
The document analyzes Botswana's 'miracle' of economic growth and political stability following the discovery of diamonds. It attributes this success to a professional, merit-based bureaucracy, the integration of traditional Tswana consultative values with modern democratic principles, and disciplined leadership. However, it warns that this image is challenged by persistent poverty, high income inequality (Gini index of 60.5), a 23.8% unemployment rate, and an over-reliance on diamond exports, which account for approximately one-third of the GDP.
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Document type: Research paper
Africa’s Challenges in International Trade and Regional Integration: What Role for Europe?
The document examines the 'vicious circle' of underdevelopment in Africa, characterized by commodity dependence, poor infrastructure, and limited global trade integration. It analyzes the failures of the multilateral trading system (WTO) and the limitations of preferential schemes like the EU's 'Everything but Arms' (EBA) and the US's 'African Growth and Opportunity Act' (AGOA). The authors argue that while regional integration is often promoted, it frequently benefits only the strongest economies in a group. The paper concludes that Africa must improve its supply-side capacity—specifically physical infrastructure and trade financing—while the EU should reform its standards and ODA strategies to better support African exporters.
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Document type: Research paper
Socio-economic Problems Facing Africa: Insights from six APRM Country Review Reports
The paper examines socio-economic challenges in Algeria, Benin, Ghana, Kenya, Rwanda, and South Africa. It highlights systemic issues such as poverty, gender inequality, and poor infrastructure, while noting that a lack of reliable data and political will often hinder the implementation of solutions. The author argues that many visible problems are offshoots of unstable economies and historical political dysfunction.
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Document type: Research paper
The more things change, what Zuma’s presidency means for the rest of Africa
The author argues that despite a change in leadership from Thabo Mbeki to Jacob Zuma, South Africa's foreign policy is likely to maintain continuity. This continuity is expected to manifest as ongoing support for the African Union (AU), NEPAD, and the African Peer Review Mechanism (APRM), as well as a persistent 'anti-imperial' philosophical approach in international relations and continued engagement in regional conflicts such as those in Zimbabwe and Sudan.
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Document type: Research paper
The Evolution and Development of the Movement for Multiparty Democracy in Zambia
The document traces the MMD's transition from a civil society coalition to a dominant political party in Zambia. It analyzes the party's internal organization, its reliance on state resources for funding, and the impact of ethnic tensions and policy failures on its declining national support base.
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Document type: Research paper
The African Peer Review Mechanism: Assessing Origins, Institutional Relations and Achievements
The document examines the African Peer Review Mechanism (APRM) as a voluntary self-monitoring tool for promoting good governance in Africa. It traces the APRM's genealogy from the New Partnership for Africa's Development (Nepad) and the African Union (AU), analyzing the institutional tensions and evolving coordination between these bodies. The author highlights the APRM's success in widening political space and identifying governance gaps in member states, while noting limitations in its ability to enforce solutions or ensure peer learning. The paper concludes that the mechanism's future depends on the commitment of African leadership and its ability to demonstrate incremental progress to maintain international support.
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Document type: Research paper
Le Mécanisme africain d’évaluation par les pairs : Evaluer les origines, les relations institutionnelles et les réalisations
The document examines the African Peer Review Mechanism (APRM) as a voluntary tool for self-assessment and peer learning in governance. It traces the APRM's genealogy from the Organization of African Unity (OAU) through the New Partnership for Africa's Development (NEPAD) to the African Union (AU). While the author notes that the APRM has expanded its membership to over half of African states and fostered greater political space for citizens, the paper highlights significant institutional challenges, including rivalries between the AU and NEPAD, leadership vacancies, and the inability to enforce its non-binding recommendations. The author concludes that the APRM's future success depends on strong African leadership and the ability to demonstrate tangible governance reforms.
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Document type: Research paper
Chinese Development Co-operation in Africa: The Case of Tembisa’s Friendship Town
The paper examines Chinese development assistance in Africa, focusing on the 'Friendship Town' housing project in Tembisa, South Africa. It details the shift in Chinese policy from ideological solidarity to a 'mutual benefit' framework and analyzes how the Tembisa project utilized a grant to build 664 housing units. The authors argue the project was a success due to community involvement, local capacity building, and the leadership of key individuals, though they note a lack of formal independent evaluation.
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Document type: Research paper
Prospects of the SPLA/M’s Transition into a Political Party in Sudan
The paper argues that the SPLA/M is unlikely to transition into a political party in the short term due to persistent security threats, lack of trust in the Khartoum government, and internal structural issues. It highlights how the Sudanese government's support for Southern militias and the linkage of the Comprehensive Peace Agreement (CPA) to the conflict in Darfur disincentivize the SPLA/M from disarming. The author emphasizes that a successful transition requires a clear settlement of North-South relations, the disarmament of pro-government militias, and a resolution to the Darfur crisis.
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Document type: Research paper
Multiple Truths and No Reconciliation: The International Criminal Court Not Yet in Sudan
The paper analyzes the legal precedents established by the ICC's pursuit of President Bashir, including the first summons of a sitting Head of State and the use of a UN Security Council referral under Resolution 1593. It explores the tension between state sovereignty and international justice, the potential for the Security Council to defer prosecutions under Article 16 of the Rome Statute, and the humanitarian crisis resulting from the Sudanese government's expulsion of aid agencies. The author argues that regional bodies like the African Union and the Arab League should prioritize human rights and the fight against impunity over defensive views of sovereignty.
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Document type: Research paper
National Chairman's Annual Statement 2009
The National Chairman of the South African Institute of International Affairs (SAIIA) assesses the impact of the 2009 global financial crisis on the Western liberal order and the African continent. The statement advocates for Africa to avoid protectionism and instead develop a 'global stimulus plan' focused on infrastructure and clean energy. It calls for a new South African white paper on post-transformation foreign policy that aligns national interests with domestic socio-economic needs. Finally, it identifies climate change as a critical threat to 'global public goods' that requires active African participation in finding sustainable development paths.
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Document type: Statement
Prioritising Energy Security in Southern Africa
The paper identifies national-level energy planning as a barrier to energy access in Africa and proposes regional integration to expand market size and diversify energy sources. It specifically critiques the Southern Africa Power Pool (SAPP) for its 'loose pool' structure and suggests creating a regional energy regulator and a regional bourse to increase transparency, reduce risk, and engage the private sector.
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Document type: Research paper
Democracy and Accountability: Balancing Majority Rule and Minority Rights
The document argues that accountability—defined as the obligation of those in power to justify their decisions—is the essential ingredient for functional constitutionalism. It proposes three tests for constitutionalism: limitations on government power, domestic legitimacy, and the protection of human rights. Using South Africa as a primary example, the author highlights a tension where liberation movements often transition from fighting for people's freedom to securing elite power, leading to the erosion of judicial independence and the failure to implement constitutional rights in practice. The paper concludes that a culture of accountability and a vigilant civil society are necessary to prevent a 'winners and losers' scenario and to protect individuals without needing specific group rights.
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Document type: Research paper
Démocratie et responsabilité : Equilibrer le principe majoritaire et les droits de la minorité
The paper argues that accountability—defined as the obligation of those in power to justify their decisions—is the essential ingredient for successful constitutionalism. It proposes three tests for constitutionalism: the imposition of limits on government power, national legitimacy, and the protection of human rights. Using South Africa as an example, the author highlights a tension where liberation movements often transition into power-seeking elites, leading to the erosion of independent institutions, such as the dissolution of the 'Scorpions' anti-corruption unit and attempts to exert executive control over the judiciary. Despite a strong legal framework, the document notes significant gaps in the practical realization of socio-economic rights, citing high inequality, unemployment, and failures in education and healthcare. It concludes that a vigilant civil society and a culture of justification are necessary to prevent a 'winners and losers' scenario and to ensure that individual human rights supersede the need for group-based privileges.
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Document type: Research paper
Common African Political Governance Issues: Lessons from Six Early APRM Reports
The paper analyzes APRM Country Review Reports for Ghana, Rwanda, Kenya, Algeria, South Africa, and Benin, identifying systemic gaps between constitutional intentions and reality. It highlights a recurring pattern where the executive branch dominates the legislature and judiciary, undermining the separation of powers. Other common issues include electoral manipulation, systemic corruption, human rights abuses—particularly against women and children—and conflicts over land ownership. The author concludes that the APRM's effectiveness is limited by the lack of political will to implement its recommendations, suggesting that following these recommendations should become mandatory for member states.
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Document type: Research paper
Questions communes de gouvernance politique africaine : Leçons des six premiers rapports du MAEP
The document examines governance in Ghana, Rwanda, Kenya, Algeria, South Africa, and Benin, identifying a systemic gap between constitutional intentions and practical implementation. The author argues that a lack of 'constitutionalism' leads to executive dominance, weakened legislatures, and compromised judicial independence. Key areas of concern include the manipulation of electoral systems, systemic corruption, marginalization of women and children, and land ownership conflicts. The paper concludes that while the APRM is an effective early-warning system, its impact is limited because member states often ignore its recommendations.
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Document type: Research paper
The Economics of Intellectual Property Rights in Developing Countries
The document examines the tension between protecting innovators through temporary monopolies and ensuring societal welfare, particularly in developing nations. It analyzes the application of patents, copyrights, trademarks, and geographical indications across sectors like pharmaceuticals and ICT, and critiques the TRIPS Agreement and 'TRIPS-plus' bilateral agreements for potentially biasing commercial interests over development needs. The author argues that the impact of IPRs depends on a country's existing 'absorptive capabilities' and suggests that many successful developing economies grew during periods of weak IP protection.
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Document type: Briefing
Adopting the Rand would paint Zimbabwe into a corner in a bid to revive its economy
The author contends that Zimbabwe's entry into the Common Monetary Area (CMA) would undermine the agreement's credibility due to Zimbabwe's inability to back currency issuance with foreign reserves. Furthermore, the move would strip Zimbabwe of its monetary and fiscal sovereignty, lead to an overvalued currency that destroys export competitiveness, and fail to curb inflation without the removal of trade barriers. Politically, such a surrender of sovereignty is viewed as unpalatable for Zimbabwe's leadership.
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Document type: Research paper
A Stitch Out of Time: Africa’s Solution to the Zimbabwean Crisis
The document evaluates the Global Political Agreement in Zimbabwe as a successful example of an 'African solution' to a political stalemate, while critiquing the slow pace of the diplomatic response. It highlights the agreement's goals of dividing executive power and restoring basic services, but notes that the delay in action allowed for extreme economic collapse, including hyperinflation and a cholera pandemic.
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Document type: Research paper