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2014 Market Intelligent Report: Water
The report examines South Africa's water sector, highlighting the country's status as the 30th driest globally and the resulting pressure on water resources. It details the governance roles of the Department of Water Affairs (DWA), water boards, and municipalities, while identifying critical challenges such as non-revenue water (approximately 36.8% of supply) and a chronic shortage of engineering skills. In the Western Cape, the report notes a high reliance on six major dams and the implementation of the Berg River Improvement Plan to address pollution. Future opportunities for the private sector are identified in desalination, artificial aquifer recharge, water re-use, and infrastructure maintenance, supported by various government grants like the Municipal Infrastructure Grant (MIG).
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Document type: Report
Greencape Market Intelligence Report 2014: Greening South African Buildings
The report analyzes the South African green building sector, detailing the regulatory environment governed by the National Building Regulations and SANS 10400. It highlights the growth of the commercial green building market, the adoption of alternative building technologies (ABTs) in social housing, and specific strategic initiatives in the Western Cape to promote a green economy.
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Document type: Report
Greencape Market Intelligence Report 2014: Energy Efficiency
The report details a transition in South Africa's energy efficiency landscape, marked by the introduction of new building codes (SANS 10400) and mandatory quality testing for solar water heaters. While the high-pressure solar water heater market is consolidating after a peak in 2011 and the low-pressure sector is described as 'virtually extinct', the embedded generation sector, particularly solar PV, is showing growth as it approaches price parity with Eskom retail pricing. Financial incentives are shifting from Eskom-funded rebates, which have been largely cancelled, toward tax deductions under Section 12L.
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Document type: Report
Greencape Market Intelligence Report 2014: Waste
The South African waste economy is valued at R15.3 billion, representing approximately 0.51% of GDP. While the National Environmental Management: Waste Act (NEM:WA) has shifted the sector toward 'cradle-to-cradle' solutions, developers face significant hurdles, including complex municipal procurement processes, long legal authorisation backlogs, and difficulties in securing long-term feedstock agreements. In the Western Cape, limited landfill airspace—with some sites having less than three years of capacity—is driving a need for decentralized waste-to-energy and recycling projects.
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Document type: Report
2014 Market Intelligence Report: Renewable Energy
The report details South Africa's transition toward renewable energy, highlighting the Independent Power Producer (IPP) Procurement Program and the Integrated Resource Plan (IRP). It examines four market segments: utility-scale projects, the Small Projects Bidding Programme, Eskom's Standard Offer Programme, and the growing private market. The document emphasizes the importance of local content and the Western Cape's role as a hub for renewable energy manufacturing and development.
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Document type: Report
GreenCape Market Intelligence Report 2014: Renewable Energy
The report examines South Africa's renewable energy landscape in 2014, detailing the regulatory framework, utility-scale and private markets, and the manufacturing of components. It highlights the role of the Integrated Resource Plan (IRP) and the Renewable Energy Independent Power Producer Procurement Programme (REIPPPP) in driving capacity, while noting grid constraints and the importance of the Western Cape as an industry hub.
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Document type: Report
GreenCape Market Intelligence Report 2014: Water
The report assesses South Africa's water-stressed environment, highlighting the dominance of agricultural water demand and critical challenges such as non-revenue water losses and a severe shortage of technical skills. It details the governance roles of the Department of Water Affairs and various grants available for municipal infrastructure. In the Western Cape, the report identifies specific projects like the Berg River Improvement Plan and various wastewater treatment plant upgrades as key areas of activity and private sector opportunity.
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Document type: Report
SPONSOR A DELEGATE ANNIVERSARY CAMPAIGN
The South African Institute of International Affairs (SAIIA) is seeking donations for its 'Sponsor a Delegate' campaign, the sole legacy project for its 80th anniversary in 2014. The funds support YOUTH@SAIIA, an outreach initiative that provides high school and university students with skills in diplomacy, research, and public speaking through programmes such as Model United Nations, the Environmental Sustainability Project, and inter-school quizzes. In 2013, these programmes reached over 5,000 learners and educators. SAIIA requests sponsorships ranging from R 200 to R 10,000 to cover costs such as transport, learning materials, and equipment, noting that the average cost per delegate is R 500.
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Document type: Report
Sustainable Livelihoods and Marine Resources: How Does South Africa’s Policy for the Small-Scale Fisheries Sector Consider Current Challenges on the Ground?
The document examines the tension between marine resource sustainability and poverty alleviation for small-scale fishers in South Africa. It analyzes the 2012 Policy for the Small Scale Fisheries Sector, noting that while it formally recognizes small-scale fishers and introduces community-based co-management and local monitors, it fails to address provincial variations, the lack of enforcement power for monitors, and the disconnect between government departments like DAFF and the dti. A case study of Hamburg highlights the failure of a 2002-2004 abalone permit pilot project and the ongoing prevalence of illegal, unreported and unregulated (IUU) fishing, which threatens both ecosystems and legal livelihoods.
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Document type: Research paper
POPULATION FUTURES: REVISITING SOUTH AFRICA’S NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT PLAN 2030
The analysis finds that South Africa's population is likely to be significantly higher by 2030 than the NDP 2030 forecasts, primarily due to differing assumptions regarding migration. While the NDP assumes migration rates decline toward zero, the IFs model suggests a range of 64.4 to 68.8 million people by 2030 depending on migration trends. The brief highlights that migration is the largest source of demographic uncertainty, with substantial implications for provincial service delivery, particularly in Gauteng and the Western Cape. It also notes a continuing decline in fertility rates and a recovery in life expectancy driven by the scale-up of antiretroviral therapies (ARTs), though it predicts a rising burden of non-communicable diseases by 2040.
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Document type: Policy brief
Defining South Africa’s Water Source Areas
The report identifies strategic water source areas (SWSAs) across South Africa, Lesotho, and Swaziland, finding that just 8% of the land surface area generates 50% of the region's mean annual runoff. It assesses the land cover and protection status of these areas, noting that while 63% of SWSAs in South Africa remain in a natural condition, only 16% have formal legal protection. The document highlights threats from plantation forestry, cultivation, and mining, specifically noting that over 70% of SWSAs in Mpumalanga are under mining or prospecting licenses.
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Document type: Report
“A” INTERNAL APPEAL TO THE DEPARTMENT OF MINERAL RESOURCES
The World Wide Fund for Nature South Africa (WWF-SA), represented by the Centre for Environmental Rights (CER), filed an internal appeal to the Department of Mineral Resources (DMR) on 26 July 2013. The appeal challenges the DMR's refusal to grant access to records regarding seabed prospecting rights and strategies in South Africa's territorial waters and Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ), which the DMR claimed would substantially and unreasonably divert its resources.
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Document type: Statement
Mining and Biodiversity Guideline
The Mining and Biodiversity Guideline establishes a framework for the South African mining industry to minimize ecological impacts through six core principles: applying the law, using best available biodiversity information, engaging stakeholders, employing best practice Environmental Impact Assessments (EIA), applying the mitigation hierarchy, and ensuring effective implementation of Environmental Management Programmes (EMP). It categorizes biodiversity priority areas into four risk levels (A to D), ranging from legally prohibited mining zones to areas of moderate risk. The guide emphasizes a 'risk-based approach' to protect natural capital and maintain a 'social licence to operate', detailing specific requirements for each stage of the mining life cycle: reconnaissance, prospecting, production, and decommissioning/closure.
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Document type: Guide
Potential Paths of Human Development in the Western Cape to 2040
The document assesses the potential for human development in the Western Cape through 2040 using the Human Development Index (HDI). The 'Base Case' forecast predicts significant improvements in life expectancy, income, and education, potentially reaching levels comparable to the UK and Austria by 2040. The brief explores three alternative policy-driven scenarios: an 'Education Push' to accelerate schooling attainment, a 'Broadband Initiative' to boost GDP through ICT infrastructure, and 'The End of AIDS' to reduce HIV prevalence and mortality. It concludes that a combined 'Accelerated Development' approach would yield the highest HDI gains through synergistic effects between health, education, and economic growth.
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Document type: Policy brief
An introduction to South Africa’s Water Source Areas
The report identifies that 8% of South Africa's land area generates 50% of its surface water run-off. These Water Source Areas (WSAs) are critical ecological infrastructures that feed the country's engineered water systems. The document details 21 specific WSAs across five provinces, highlighting that 16 are of national strategic importance. Major threats to these areas include coal mining, alien invasive vegetation, climate change, and land degradation. The report emphasizes that while engineered infrastructure is extensive, water security depends on the health of these natural catchments, many of which currently have low levels of formal protection.
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Document type: Report
South Africa: Weak internal processes for choosing leadership threaten the ANC in the long-term
The briefing argues that the ANC's lack of rules for open leadership campaigning and the use of 'slates' by President Jacob Zuma's supporters have created deep internal divisions. These processes, characterized by allegations of rigging and intimidation, risk alienating members and voters, potentially reducing the ANC's parliamentary majority in the 2014 elections and encouraging the formation of a breakaway left-wing party.
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Document type: Briefing
The effectiveness of financial disclosure regulations as an anti-corruption tool in local government
The paper assesses the implementation of financial disclosure regulations for municipal councillors in South Africa, finding that while laws are progressive, practical application is inconsistent across municipalities. Key failures include poor record quality, low compliance in some areas, restricted public access to information, and a lack of proactive monitoring and oversight. The authors argue that the current system focuses on formal compliance rather than the substantive detection of irregularities, which allows corruption in public procurement to persist. The document provides case studies of municipal corruption and recommends standardising disclosure templates, digitising submissions, and strengthening internal investigative capacities.
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Document type: Research paper
PROPOSED ‘GREEN TECHNOLOGY MANUFACTURING CLUSTER’ INDUSTRIAL DEVELOPMENT AND ASSOCIATED INFRASTRUCTURE ON FARM CA1183 PORTION 4 AND PORTION 1, ATLANTIS
The report assesses the development of a 38.65 ha industrial site in Atlantis for the manufacturing of wind turbine components, photovoltaic (PV) panels, and inverters. While the project is expected to generate significant socio-economic benefits, including up to 6,000 jobs and R6 billion in annual economic contribution, it will result in the permanent loss of endangered Cape Flats Dune Strandveld and critically endangered Atlantis Sand Fynbos. The Environmental Assessment Practitioner (EAP) recommends authorization provided that a biodiversity offset is implemented and an Environmental Management Programme is followed.
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Document type: Report
A 21st Century Scramble: South Africa, China and the Rare Earth Metals Industry
The document analyses the global rare earth elements (REE) industry, which is dominated by China with a 97% share of upstream production. It examines how China uses export restrictions and production quotas to leverage its monopoly, aiming to induce foreign downstream producers to relocate to China for technology transfer. The paper highlights the strategic importance of REEs for 'green' technology and military applications, and assesses South Africa's potential to re-enter the market through the Steenkampskraal and Zandkopsdrift projects. It also discusses global reactions, including Japan's efforts to reduce REE reliance and the emergence of junior mining companies seeking non-Chinese sources.
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Document type: Research paper
Statement by SAIIA's National Chairman Mr Fred Phaswana
The statement examines the instability of the Arab Spring, the complexities of the 'responsibility to protect' doctrine, and the geopolitical shift toward state capitalism. It specifically addresses South Africa's diplomatic efforts in Sudan and South Sudan, its aspirations within the African Union, and the role of the South African Development Partnership Agency. The author also highlights SAIIA's ranking as the top think-tank in Sub-Saharan Africa and its youth development initiatives.
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Document type: Statement