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Summary and key findings insummary:"conflict of interest"
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  • In 2024, global electricity generation reached new record highs for solar, wind, hydro, gas, and coal. Solar was the fastest-growing source, increasing by 474 TWh to reach a 6.9% share of the global mix, with China contributing 53% of this growth. Wind generation also hit a record of 2,494 TWh, though growth slowed due to weather conditions. Hydro rebounded to an all-time high of 4,416 TWh following 2023 droughts, largely driven by China. Nuclear generation grew by 2.5% to 2,768 TWh, but its global market share fell to a 45-year low of 9%. Gas and coal both reached record generation levels in 2024, though their shares of the global electricity mix declined to 22% and 34% respectively, as electricity demand grew faster than their production.

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    Document type: Report

    Regions: World
  • The report finds that 676 million women, or 17% of the global female population, lived within 50 km of a deadly conflict event in 2024, more than doubling the number since 1990. It highlights that while high-intensity conflicts gain more media attention, medium-intensity protracted conflicts are strongly correlated with lower Human Development Index (HDI) scores. The brief identifies Bangladesh as having the highest absolute number of women exposed to conflict, while 100% of women in Syria, Lebanon, and Israel/Palestine were affected. Using Nigeria as a case study, it demonstrates significant subnational variation in conflict intensity and types of violence, including state-based, communal, and criminal violence.

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    Document type: Policy brief

    Regions: World
  • The briefing identifies capacity constraints and policy incoherence as primary obstacles to implementing the European Green Deal in Sweden and Estonia, specifically regarding CBAM, EED, LULUCF, and JTF regulations.

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    Document type: Briefing

    Regions: SwedenEstonia
  • The report finds that EU imports of Russian gas increased by 18% in 2024, despite a goal to phase them out by 2027. It highlights a significant misalignment between gas infrastructure expansion and stagnating demand, predicting that supply capacity will exceed demand by 131 bcm by 2030. The document argues that the EU is replacing one fossil fuel dependency with another via LNG, which exposes the region to price volatility and high emissions. It recommends legally binding phase-out targets, reduced gas demand across all sectors, and more efficient use of existing infrastructure to ensure energy security and climate alignment.

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    Document type: Report

  • The author contends that prioritizing military spending over green and social investments risks exacerbating Europe's vulnerabilities to climate change and social fragmentation. The text calls for a revision of EU fiscal rules to allow borrowing for high-multiplier public investments and suggests new revenue streams, such as taxes on centimillionaires, to fund these needs.

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    Document type: Statement

  • The document details Georgia's evolution into a regional biosecurity leader through long-term partnerships with the US Cooperative Threat Reduction (CTR) program, specifically the Biological Threat Reduction Program (BTRP). It highlights the establishment of the Richard Lugar Center for Public Health Research as a critical hub for disease surveillance and pathogen security in the Caucasus. However, the authors warn that recent domestic political turmoil—including a contested 2024 election, the 'foreign agents' bill, and the suspension of EU accession—combined with persistent Russian disinformation campaigns targeting Georgian labs, jeopardizes these security gains and global health security.

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    Document type: Briefing

    Regions: Georgia
  • On 24 February 2025, the UN Security Council and General Assembly passed three resolutions on Ukraine, revealing significant fractures in Western unity and a strategic shift in the Global South's approach. While Europe continues to demand Russian accountability and territorial integrity, the Trump administration has pivoted toward de-escalation and negotiations, leading the US to abstain from or oppose resolutions with harsh condemnatory language. Concurrently, Global South nations, including South Africa, India, and Brazil, are increasingly adopting a pragmatic, non-aligned stance that prioritizes diplomatic mediation and national interests over binary confrontations.

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    Regions: Ukraine
  • The report examines Arla's climate strategies, finding that its net-zero commitments fail to meet most UN recommendations and that its focus on technological solutions like biogas does not address its primary methane emissions. It further alleges that Arla engages in lobbying to derail EU climate legislation and uses misleading marketing campaigns to present its products as carbon neutral.

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    Document type: Executive summary

    Regions: World
  • The document examines the uncertainty surrounding the second Trump administration's approach to foreign aid and global security. It highlights a 90-day freeze on all U.S. foreign assistance and the withdrawal from the Paris Climate Agreement and the World Health Organization. The text notes a divide in perception, where populations in BRICS nations are more positive about Trump's presidency for global peace compared to those in the EU and UK, despite an overall increase in global conflicts and expansionist rhetoric regarding territories like Greenland and Panama.

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    Document type: Statement

  • Since the launch of the European Green Deal in 2019, the EU has seen a significant transformation of its power sector, with renewables increasing from 34% to 47% of the electricity mix by 2024. This shift was primarily driven by wind and solar, which together increased their share from 17% to 29%. This transition reduced the emissions intensity of EU electricity generation by 26% and avoided €59 billion in fossil fuel import costs. While coal use has dropped from 16% to under 10% of the mix, and gas power has declined from 20% to 16%, the EU still faces challenges with Russian gas imports, which accounted for 14% of total gas consumption in 2024.

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    Document type: Report

  • In 2024, the EU power sector saw fossil fuel generation fall to its lowest level in over forty years, reaching 793 TWh. This decline was driven primarily by record solar growth, which saw generation increase by 22% to 304 TWh, overtaking coal for the first time. Renewables accounted for 47% of EU power generation, while clean sources reached a record 71% of the mix. Despite a small 1% increase in total EU power demand and increased exports to the UK and Ukraine, coal and gas generation fell by 16% and 6% respectively, leading to a 9% drop in power sector emissions to an estimated 585 million tonnes of CO2.

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    Document type: Report

  • The research identifies a lack of awareness regarding existing climate tools and a strong preference for user-friendly, native-language information to support climate risk mitigation and adaptation.

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    Document type: Research paper

  • The document explores the intersection of culture, politics, and ecology, highlighting how neoliberalism, far-right nationalism, and generative AI threaten artistic freedom and worker security. It advocates for 'green cultural policymaking' that prioritises accessibility, rural inclusion, and the protection of creators. Through various case studies—including Spain's Cultural Rights Plan, the impact of AI on indigenous knowledge, and the use of culture as resistance in Ukraine—it argues that arts and culture should be viewed as essential social infrastructure rather than mere drivers of GDP growth.

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    Document type: Report

  • The report examines the criticality of six priority minerals—copper, lithium, manganese, neodymium, nickel, and silicon—essential for India's clean energy transition. It analyzes the global value chain, highlighting China's dominance in midstream processing and the geographical concentration of reserves. The document forecasts India's CETM demand up to 2050, identifies systemic gaps in domestic exploration and refining, and evaluates international policy responses. It concludes with strategic recommendations to enhance India's mineral security through domestic exploration, international cooperation via partnerships like the Mineral Security Partnership (MSP), and the promotion of circular economy practices and ESG standards.

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    Regions: India
  • The report examines the dual-use nature of AI in peacebuilding, highlighting its potential to enhance conflict forecasting, real-time mapping, and inclusive dialogue while warning against risks such as algorithmic bias, surveillance, and the erosion of human facilitation skills. It emphasizes that AI's effectiveness depends on a healthy information environment and a rights-based approach to design and governance.

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    Regions: World
  • The report identifies a highly interlinked ecosystem on Telegram where pro-Kremlin narratives permeate conspiracy and radical communities in Europe. It finds that while pro-Kremlin and conspiracy groups are strongly connected across France, Germany, and Italy, the level of interaction with far-right groups varies by country, being stronger in France and Germany than in Italy. The study highlights the role of Russian state-affiliated channels and influencers, such as Alina Lipp, in bridging ideological divides and amplifying disinformation, particularly regarding the Russia-Ukraine war and COVID-19.

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  • The document analyzes the spillover of conflict-related online risks—such as disinformation, hate speech, and technology-facilitated gender-based violence—into domestic environments. It argues that while the EU's Digital Services Act (DSA) and UK's Online Safety Act (OSA) were not primarily designed for conflict settings, their systemic risk assessments and crisis protocols can be leveraged to hold platforms accountable. The brief highlights critical gaps, including the erasure of war crime evidence due to over-moderation and the role of engagement-driven algorithms in amplifying harmful content. It recommends structured cross-border cooperation, the development of evidence-preservation protocols, and a shift toward outcome-based metrics in platform risk reporting.

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    Document type: Policy brief

  • The report identifies a persistent FIMI landscape in Poland, characterized by Russian and Belarusian operations targeting Ukrainian refugees, the EU, and democratic institutions. It highlights the use of coordinated inauthentic behavior, AI-generated content, and content laundering to amplify polarizing narratives. While public resilience and civil society interventions limited the impact, the report notes significant platform failures—particularly on X, Meta, and TikTok—and a regulatory vacuum due to the absence of a permanent Digital Services Coordinator in Poland.

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    Regions: Poland
  • The Institute for Strategic Dialogue (ISD) identified 545 domestic extremist accounts in Canada, analyzing 413,288 posts across platforms like X and Telegram. The study found that while the volume of hate speech decreased by 34% from the previous period, anti-migrant and antisemitic content remained prevalent. Violent speech peaked in January 2025, coinciding with Justin Trudeau's resignation and Donald Trump's rhetoric regarding Canada. Key narratives included misogyny, conspiracy theories surrounding Romana Didulo, and anti-government sentiment. The report also highlights a 'Revolutionary Movementarianism' strategy aimed at blending public political activism with the secret build-up of paramilitary structures.

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    Document type: Briefing

    Regions: Canada
  • The report identifies 545 domestic extremist accounts in Canada, analyzing over 413,000 posts. It finds that ethnonationalists and white supremacists are the most prolific, while anti-Muslim extremists achieve the highest engagement. Hate speech decreased by 34% from the previous period, with migrants and Jewish people being the primary targets. The document also introduces a new analysis of violent speech, noting peaks coinciding with political events like Justin Trudeau's resignation and Donald Trump's rhetoric regarding Canada.

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    Document type: Briefing

    Regions: Canada
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