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Cooling-related electricity use in Türkiye is on the rise
Türkiye's electricity use for space cooling is growing significantly faster than overall electricity demand, reaching 10 TWh in 2024. During peak summer hours and extreme heat events, cooling accounts for a substantial share of total consumption, reflecting the increasing pressure of climate change on the country's energy system.
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Document type: Report
Solar and flexibility: key to Türkiye’s rising cooling challenge
Türkiye's cooling-related electricity consumption reached 10 TWh in 2024, growing by 26% since 2022. This trend is shifting peak electricity demand from winter to summer, with the gap between summer and winter peaks widening to 9.1 GW by 2025. The report projects that cooling demand could reach 35 TWh by 2035, with peak hourly demand potentially hitting 85 GWh. To address this, the study recommends expanding distributed solar power, which aligns with peak cooling hours, implementing energy storage (including pumped-storage hydro), and improving data collection on air conditioner ownership to enhance demand forecasting.
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Document type: Report
CMW feedback on a potential downstream extension of the CBAM and new anti-circumvention rules
Carbon Market Watch argues against scrapping the CBAM despite industry complaints about administrative complexity, suggesting instead that the EU quantify actual carbon leakage and circumvention risks before expanding the mechanism to downstream products. The organization emphasizes that complementary EU policies like the Digital Product Passport and international standards can mitigate administrative burdens. It further recommends providing special treatment for Least Developed Countries (LDCs) and Small Island Developing States (SIDS) to align with UNFCCC principles.
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Document type: Statement
Nuclear weapons: beginner's guide
The document outlines the existential risk posed by the approximately 12,000 nuclear warheads held by nine nations. It explains the physics of fission and fusion weapons and analyzes the catastrophic effects of detonations, ranging from immediate blast and radiation deaths in urban centers to global climate disruption. The guide highlights the instability of 'launch on warning' postures and the potential for 'nuclear winter' and ozone depletion, arguing that even regional conflicts would cause global famine and societal collapse.
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Document type: Guide
Powering the Future: What 50 Years of Enhanced Geothermal Teaches Us Today
The report examines 50 years of Enhanced Geothermal Systems (EGS) development, synthesizing data from 103 projects to identify trends in drilling speed, cost, and production. It highlights a shift toward commercial viability driven by oil and gas techniques, such as horizontal drilling and multi-well pads, and notes a surge in power purchase agreements (PPAs) totaling over 610 MWe. The analysis emphasizes that while incremental and step-change innovations have improved performance, further research into superhot rock and better data transparency are needed for global scaling.
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Document type: Report
Cybersecurity and International Trade
The report analyzes the tension between national cybersecurity measures—such as data localization, technical standards, and technology bans—and the goal of open digital trade. It finds that while cybersecurity is essential for trust in the digital economy, divergent domestic regulations create market fragmentation and trade barriers. The document evaluates the lack of specific cybersecurity rules in WTO treaties, the emergence of 'soft' aspirational provisions in Preferential Trade Agreements (PTAs) and Digital Economy Agreements (DEAs), and the significant 'cyber capacity' gap facing developing countries and Least Developed Countries (LDCs). It concludes with recommendations for evidence-based domestic frameworks and enhanced international technical assistance to bridge the digital divide.
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Document type: Report
Marine plastic pollution and extended producer responsibility in the G20
The report examines how G20 nations, which generate approximately two-thirds of global plastic waste, can utilize extended producer responsibility (EPR) to combat marine plastic pollution. Through a scoping review of 100 sources, it identifies a disparity in effectiveness between mandatory and voluntary EPR schemes, noting that mandatory systems generally achieve higher recycling collection rates. The document provides a detailed mapping of EPR regulations across G20 members and proposes a multi-level approach combining legislative strengthening, market incentives for recycled plastics, technological innovation in ecodesign, and the formal integration of informal waste workers to prevent plastic leakage into the oceans.
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Document type: Report
What’s new with national renewable targets?
Two years after the COP28 agreement to triple global renewable capacity by 2030, national targets remain largely stagnant. As of July 2025, the global sum of national targets has increased by only 2% since COP28, reaching 7.4 TW, which is significantly below the 11 TW required to meet the tripling goal. Only 22 countries have updated their targets, with the majority of these being EU member states revising plans through the National Energy and Climate Plan (NECP) process. Most non-EU updates occurred through routine planning cycles rather than as a direct response to COP pledges. Major electricity markets, including the US, Russia, and Canada, have either not set explicit targets or are unlikely to update them in 2025.
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Document type: Report
CBAM must not be used to export pollution
Carbon Market Watch criticizes proposals to compensate EU exporters under the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM), arguing that the actual competitiveness risk is limited and that subsidies would reward polluters. The author contends that CBAM revenue should not be used to subsidize EU producers, as this could conflict with WTO rules and encourage the export of polluting products. Instead, the document advocates for targeted financial support for clean technology innovation and the global expansion of carbon pricing.
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Document type: Statement
Grounding Global Water Risk Assessments in Local Data
The document describes a methodology for bridging the gap between high-level global water risk assessments and local ground truths. Using Unilever as a case study, it illustrates how global tools like Aqueduct provide a necessary starting point for screening hundreds of sites, but require validation through facility manager feedback and expert consultants to correct for limitations in global modeling, such as the inability to account for human-made water transfers or local water quality issues.
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Document type: Case study
A G20 pathway towards oil and gas phase-out
The policy brief examines the barriers to phasing out oil and gas within G20 nations, noting that while renewable capacity has grown, fossil fuel subsidies and deep industrial integration persist. It advocates for measurable phase-out targets, subsidy reform, and increased concessional financing for the Global South to ensure a just energy transition.
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Document type: Policy brief
Turkey’s Strategic Push for Africa’s Minerals and Potential EU Collaboration
Turkey is aggressively expanding its presence in Africa's critical minerals sector to support its domestic defence, electric vehicle, and renewable energy industries. While Turkey employs a pragmatic, commercially driven approach—often coupling mining with defence cooperation in volatile regions like the Sahel—the paper argues that aligning Turkish commercial agility with EU financial instruments and ESG standards through the Minerals Security Partnership (MSP) could create more sustainable, trilateral value chains that benefit African host nations.
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Document type: Research paper
Türkiye’deki hibrit santrallere bakış
The report examines the growth of hybrid energy systems in Türkiye, noting that while solar power is the most preferred hybrid source, its installed capacity remains low relative to standalone solar growth. It details the regulatory evolution from 2020 to 2023 and provides data on how hybrid solar plants complement wind and run-of-river hydroelectric plants to increase grid efficiency and production continuity.
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Document type: Report
Bölüm 1: Türkiye’de ve dünyada bağlantı kapasitesi sorunu
The report details a critical shortage of grid connection capacity in Turkey and worldwide. In Turkey, 65% of unlicensed project applications were rejected between February 2024 and April 2025 due to regional capacity constraints. Globally, 1.65 TW of wind, solar, and hydro projects are awaiting connection. The document identifies economic risks, long construction timelines, cautious technical planning, and procedural inefficiencies as primary barriers to the energy transition.
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Document type: Report
Simple solutions are enough to unlock the potential
The report argues that implementing straightforward regulatory changes could unlock at least 8 GW of hybrid power potential in Türkiye. Key recommendations include removing the 100 MW capacity cap, eliminating the requirement for hybrid projects to be physically adjacent to the primary plant site, and establishing clear numerical targets and transparent data reporting for hybrid installations.
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Document type: Report
Bölüm 4: Politika Önerileri
The report argues that simple regulatory adjustments could quickly realize at least 8 GW of hybrid power potential in Türkiye. Key recommendations include removing the requirement for hybrid projects to be physically integrated with the primary plant site, eliminating capacity limits on additional power based on primary source size, and treating hybrid plants as a separate process from new connection capacity allocations. Additionally, the document calls for the establishment of clear numerical targets for hybrid plants within the 2053 goals and improved transparency and accessibility of capacity data for these facilities.
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Document type: Report
Status of hybrid solar plants in Türkiye
Türkiye's hybrid solar capacity reached 1.4 GW by May 2025, despite a larger volume of granted licenses. The report highlights that hybrid solar systems significantly improve transmission line efficiency, particularly when paired with run-of-river hydroelectric and wind plants, increasing electricity delivery to the grid by an average of 14% in 2024.
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Document type: Report
Hybrid solar potential in Türkiye
The report finds that Türkiye has a baseline hybrid solar potential of 8 GW at existing wind and hydroelectric sites, which could increase to 25.6 GW under more optimistic economic conditions. Dammed hydroelectric plants offer the highest potential due to their location in high-solar regions like the Mediterranean and Eastern Anatolia. Implementing this capacity could significantly increase the share of renewables in the electricity mix and mitigate the impact of drought-induced hydroelectric generation losses.
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Document type: Report
Türkiye can bypass grid constraints with hybrid solar power plants
Türkiye is facing significant grid connection bottlenecks, with 65% of unlicensed solar project applications rejected between February 2024 and April 2025. Hybrid solar plants, which share existing transmission lines with wind or hydroelectric facilities, offer a way to bypass these constraints without new grid investments. The report estimates a baseline hybrid solar potential of 8 GW, which could increase to 25.6 GW under more favorable economic conditions. Implementing these systems could raise total solar capacity to 30 GW and mitigate the impact of climate-induced droughts on hydroelectric generation.
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Document type: Report
Türkiye’de hibrit güneş santrali potansiyeli
The report identifies a base potential of 8 GW for hybrid solar plants at existing wind and hydroelectric sites in Türkiye, which could increase to over 25 GW under more favorable economic conditions. It highlights that 46% of this potential is located at dam-type hydroelectric plants, particularly in the Mediterranean and Eastern Anatolia regions. The document argues that realizing this potential would significantly increase the share of solar energy in the national grid and could mitigate the impact of drought-induced declines in hydroelectric production.
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Document type: Report