Türkiye’de hibrit güneş santrali potansiyeli

The report identifies a base potential of 8 GW for hybrid solar plants at existing wind and hydroelectric sites in Türkiye, which could increase to over 25 GW under more favorable economic conditions. It highlights that 46% of this potential is located at dam-type hydroelectric plants, particularly in the Mediterranean and Eastern Anatolia regions. The document argues that realizing this potential would significantly increase the share of solar energy in the national grid and could mitigate the impact of drought-induced declines in hydroelectric production.

• Under base economic assumptions, the potential for hybrid solar plants at existing wind and hydroelectric sites is 8 GW, which is nearly equal to the capacity of Türkiye's current run-of-river hydroelectric plants (8.4 GW). Adding this to the May 2025 solar capacity of 22.5 GW would bring total solar capacity above 30 GW, potentially making solar the energy source with the highest installed capacity in the country.
• Dam-type hydroelectric plants account for 46% (3.6 GW) of the total 8 GW hybrid solar potential, as these sites are often located in regions with higher solar potential, such as the Mediterranean and Eastern Anatolia. In contrast, while wind plants have a higher total installed capacity (12 GW compared to 9.2 GW for dam plants), their hybrid solar potential is 1.4 GW lower because many are located in the Marmara region where solar potential is relatively lower.
• Hybrid solar systems are presented as a solution to drought risks affecting hydroelectric performance. In 2021, one of the driest years on record, water inflow to main basin dams was 44% lower than the long-term average, contributing to a 10.6 point drop in the capacity factor of dam-type hydroelectric plants and a 9 point decrease in hydroelectricity's share of total electricity production compared to the previous year.
• If the 8 GW potential had been realized, it would have generated approximately 12 TWh in 2024, representing 46% of that year's total solar production. This would have raised the combined share of wind and solar in 2024 electricity production to 21.6%, placing them second only to imported coal (21.8%).
• The hybrid solar potential is highly sensitive to financing costs. While the base scenario assumes a 9% USD interest rate, a scenario with a 4% interest rate increases the potential to 25.6 GW, which would exceed the current installed capacity of natural gas (24.6 GW).

APA

Ember (2025). Türkiye’de hibrit güneş santrali potansiyeli. https://ember-energy.org/tr/chapter/turkiyede-hibrit-gunes-santrali-potansiyeli/

Chicago

Ember. Türkiye’de hibrit güneş santrali potansiyeli. 2025. https://ember-energy.org/tr/chapter/turkiyede-hibrit-gunes-santrali-potansiyeli/.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |author=Ember |title=Türkiye’de hibrit güneş santrali potansiyeli |date=18 June 2025 |url=https://ember-energy.org/tr/chapter/turkiyede-hibrit-gunes-santrali-potansiyeli/ |access-date=23 October 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{ember2025trkiyede, author = {{Ember}}, title = {{Türkiye’de hibrit güneş santrali potansiyeli}}, institution = {Ember}, year = {2025}, month = jun, url = {https://ember-energy.org/tr/chapter/turkiyede-hibrit-gunes-santrali-potansiyeli/}, urldate = {2026-10-23}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }