What’s new with national renewable targets?

Two years after the COP28 agreement to triple global renewable capacity by 2030, national targets remain largely stagnant. As of July 2025, the global sum of national targets has increased by only 2% since COP28, reaching 7.4 TW, which is significantly below the 11 TW required to meet the tripling goal. Only 22 countries have updated their targets, with the majority of these being EU member states revising plans through the National Energy and Climate Plan (NECP) process. Most non-EU updates occurred through routine planning cycles rather than as a direct response to COP pledges. Major electricity markets, including the US, Russia, and Canada, have either not set explicit targets or are unlikely to update them in 2025.

• The global aggregate of national 2030 renewable capacity targets has increased by only 2% since COP28, rising from 7,238 GW to 7,380 GW.
• Current national targets collectively amount to 7.4 TW, leaving a gap of approximately 3,700 GW to reach the 11 TW tripling goal pledged at COP28.
• Only 22 countries have updated their 2030 national renewable targets since COP28; of these, only seven are outside the EU: Australia, Brazil, Indonesia, Mexico, South Korea, the UK, and Viet Nam.
• Within the EU, 15 countries revised their targets as part of the National Energy and Climate Plans (NECPs) process, resulting in a net increase of 41 GW.
• Many of the world's largest power sectors have not updated their targets; specifically, nine of the top 20 electricity producers have yet to do so, with the US, Russia, and Canada unlikely to revise targets this year.
• In the United States, the 'One Big Beautiful Bill Act' is expected to roll back parts of the Inflation Reduction Act, potentially reducing cumulative new solar capacity by 29 GW and wind capacity by 43 GW between 2025 and 2030.
• India and Saudi Arabia have national plans that align with the tripling pledge; India targets 509 GW of renewable capacity by 2030, while Saudi Arabia aims for renewables to provide 50% of its electricity by 2030.

APA

Altieri, K., & Jones, D. (2025). What’s new with national renewable targets? Ember. https://ember-energy.org/app/uploads/2025/07/Ember-Whats-new-with-national-renewables-targets_-Nothing-much-1.pdf

Chicago

Altieri, Katye, and Dave Jones. What’s new with national renewable targets? Ember, 2025. https://ember-energy.org/app/uploads/2025/07/Ember-Whats-new-with-national-renewables-targets_-Nothing-much-1.pdf.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |last1=Altieri |first1=Katye |last2=Jones |first2=Dave |title=What’s new with national renewable targets? |publisher=Ember |date=31 July 2025 |url=https://ember-energy.org/app/uploads/2025/07/Ember-Whats-new-with-national-renewables-targets_-Nothing-much-1.pdf |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{altieri2025whats, author = {Altieri, Katye and Jones, Dave}, title = {{What’s new with national renewable targets?}}, institution = {Ember}, year = {2025}, month = jul, url = {https://ember-energy.org/app/uploads/2025/07/Ember-Whats-new-with-national-renewables-targets_-Nothing-much-1.pdf}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }