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How innovative technologies, business strategies, and policies can dramatically enhance energy security and prosperity
The document outlines a strategy for U.S. energy independence based on three pillars: resilient infrastructure, phasing out unreliable fuel sources, and eliminating oil reliance. It advocates for decentralized 'micropower' over nuclear power to reduce proliferation risks and suggests that oil use can be eliminated by the 2040s through tripled-efficiency vehicles and advanced biofuels at a fraction of the current market price of oil.
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Document type: Briefing
Natural Disasters and Resource Rights
The paper argues that resource rights—whether private or communal—are critical determinants of disaster vulnerability and recovery. In the pre-disaster phase, secure rights encourage investment in resilience and sustainable resource management, such as protecting mangrove buffers. Post-disaster, the loss of documentation and titleholders often delays reconstruction and compensation, potentially leading to opportunistic land grabs or social conflict. The authors emphasize that equitable re-allocation of resource rights is essential for restoring sustainable livelihoods and reducing long-term vulnerability.
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Document type: Research paper
The Environment and our Security
The document analyzes how environmental degradation and natural resource management intersect with global security. It identifies four theoretical frameworks: the Toronto school's focus on resource capture and ecological marginalization; ENCOP's link between market transitions and violence; PRIO's analysis of conflict over abundant resources; and the 'network threats' perspective on global issues like climate change. The author argues that while environmental stress is rarely the sole cause of conflict, it increases the severity and duration of violence. The paper concludes with policy recommendations for managing resource scarcity and abundance, conflict-sensitizing protected areas, and using environmental cooperation as a confidence-building measure in post-conflict reconstruction.
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Document type: Research paper
Tackling climate change: role of the engineer
The paper discusses engineering strategies to mitigate climate change, focusing on energy production shifts, technical efficiency, and social changes, while analyzing the ethical risks of nuclear power and carbon capture.
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Document type: Research paper
The Devil in the Demographics: The Effect of Youth Bulges on Domestic Armed Conflict, 1950-2000
The study finds that youth bulges significantly increase the risk of domestic armed conflict, particularly when combined with economic stagnation. Using a dataset of sovereign states and dependent areas from 1950 to 2000, the author argues that the risk is heightened in regions like Sub-Saharan Africa and the Arab world where youth bulges coexist with poor economic performance and unstable political regimes. The research rejects Samuel P. Huntington's theory of a specific 'critical level' threshold for conflict and suggests that previous World Bank studies failed to find these effects due to flawed measurement methods. Additionally, the author identifies migration as a critical 'safety valve' that can mitigate youth discontent.
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Document type: Research paper
Afghan Refugees in Iran: From Refugee Emergency to Migration Management
The document examines the challenges of managing a population of 2.3 million Afghans in Iran, distinguishing between legal refugees and labour migrants. It argues for a comprehensive migration management approach that includes screening, sustained reconstruction in Afghanistan, and regional cooperation to facilitate gradual, voluntary repatriation while maintaining legal labour channels.
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Document type: Policy brief
Sustainable Livelihoods & Climate Change Adaptation
The report details Phase One (2001-2003) of a collaborative initiative to integrate disaster risk reduction, environmental management, and poverty reduction into climate adaptation. It argues that protecting natural services and enhancing sustainable livelihoods (SL) reduce the vulnerability of the poor to climate-related hazards. Through case studies and desk assessments in regions such as Sudan, Bolivia, and Vietnam, the project demonstrated that ecosystem management and restoration (EM&R) activities—such as watershed rehabilitation and mangrove reforestation—increase community resilience. The report provides lessons for field implementation and policy integration, specifically suggesting entry points for these micro-scale activities within UNFCCC processes like National Adaptation Programmes of Action (NAPAs) and the UNDP Adaptation Policy Framework (APF).
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Document type: Report
Environment and Security: Transforming risks into cooperation
The report identifies critical environment and security risks in the Southern Caucasus, focusing on environmental degradation in conflict zones, cross-border resource management, and rapid urban growth in capital cities. It details national vulnerabilities in Armenia, Azerbaijan, and Georgia, including Soviet industrial legacies, seismic risks, and water scarcity, while proposing a multi-pillar work programme for vulnerability assessment, policy development, and institutional capacity building.
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Document type: Report
Conflictual Peacebuilding: Afghanistan Two Years after Bonn
The report describes a 'conflictual peacebuilding' process in Afghanistan where the goals of the Bonn Agreement were often undermined by an ongoing war, a heavy dependence on foreign aid, and the continued influence of warlords. While it notes achievements in establishing a political arena and increasing school enrollment, it highlights critical failures in demobilization, human rights, and regional integration. The authors argue that the market-driven reconstruction model risks exacerbating regional inequalities and creating a 'rentier state' accountable to donors rather than citizens.
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Document type: Report
Unscrambling a space career from military forces
The document argues that space technology is deeply intertwined with military agendas, often masking military goals as civilian or scientific. It highlights the militarisation of NASA, the high costs and instability of missile defence systems, and the risks of nuclear power in space, providing a framework for professionals to evaluate the ethics of their employment in the sector.
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Document type: Briefing
DRYLANDS, PEOPLE, AND ECOSYSTEM GOODS AND SERVICES
The report provides a geospatial analysis of the world's drylands, which cover approximately 40 percent of the global land area and support over two billion people. It evaluates the provision of ecosystem services including forage for livestock, food production, biodiversity conservation, freshwater, carbon storage, and energy. The analysis highlights that while drylands are often perceived as unproductive, they are critical for human survival, though they face significant threats from soil degradation, water scarcity, and human activities such as overgrazing and urbanization.
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Document type: Report
AFGHANISTAN AND THE INTERNATIONAL COMMUNITY: WHAT NOW?
The briefing argues that establishing a functioning state in Afghanistan requires a new power-sharing formula that avoids reliance on military strength, a long-term commitment from neighboring states to prioritize Afghan stability over regional rivalries, and a shift in international aid from short-term emergency relief to long-term peacebuilding and capacity-building. It warns that any new government must be developed from within to be legitimate, though it suggests an international presence—potentially involving the UN and the Organization of the Islamic Conference—may be necessary to support the transition.
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Document type: Briefing
Countermeasures
The report concludes that the planned US National Missile Defense (NMD) system is technically unworkable because any state capable of deploying long-range ballistic missiles could also deploy simple countermeasures to defeat it. The authors identify three primary countermeasures: submunitions for biological or chemical weapons, anti-simulation balloon decoys for nuclear warheads, and cooled shrouds for nuclear warheads. They argue that the NMD system's reliance on hit-to-kill interceptors and infrared sensors makes it vulnerable to these tactics. Furthermore, the report asserts that deploying NMD would destabilize international security by prompting Russia and China to increase their nuclear arsenals or adopt riskier launch-on-warning postures, while potentially driving emerging missile states toward alternative delivery methods like cruise missiles or clandestine smuggling. The authors recommend postponing deployment until the system is successfully tested against realistic countermeasures and suggest focusing on deterrence, diplomacy, and export controls instead.
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Document type: Report
POLITICAL MOBILISATION AMONG THE HAZARA OF AFGHANISTAN, 1978–1992
The study examines the evolution of Hazara political organisation across five phases between 1978 and 1992. It tracks the transition from local resistance led by traditional 'mir' leaders to a regional administration under the 'sayyid' clergy, followed by a civil war and the eventual rise of the Islamist-dominated Hezb-e Wahdat party. The author argues that mobilisation was driven by external threats and competition over political influence, while the success of specific organisations depended on their ability to provide private goods and maintain internal control.
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Document type: Research paper
NP TREATY inserts f#1D8261.fh11
The document outlines the three pillars of the NPT—non-proliferation, disarmament, and peaceful use of nuclear energy—and examines the specific role of African States within this framework. It highlights the importance of the Treaty of Pelindaba in establishing Africa as a nuclear-weapon-free zone and discusses the challenges facing the NPT, including non-compliance by states like North Korea and Iran. The guide provides recommendations for African countries to engage in the 2010 Review Conference to ensure access to peaceful nuclear technology while preventing military diversion.
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Document type: Guide
COP28 Pre-Summit Report
The report identifies three primary ecosystems driving climate mis- and disinformation: the 'attention economy' of online influencers, state-affiliated networks (specifically Russia), and the fossil fuel lobby. It details how the #ClimateScam hashtag has gained prominence on X, how ad tech companies monetise websites hosting climate denial, how Russian state media instrumentalises climate topics for geopolitical influence, and how fossil fuel companies use Facebook advertising for greenwashing. The document argues that these efforts undermine the public mandate for Net Zero and calls for structural changes to digital platform incentives and greater transparency in ad tech.
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Document type: Report
Letter to Sen. Schumer on Climate & AI
The letter argues that large language models (LLMs) increase carbon emissions through high energy demands and accelerate the spread of climate disinformation. It calls for mandatory reporting on energy use, emissions, and critical mineral consumption, as well as safeguards against AI-generated disinformation.
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Document type: Statement
Superhot Rock Geothermal in Iran
The document highlights Iran's significant superhot rock geothermal resources, noting that just 1% of this endowment could generate 3,121,694 GWh of electricity, far exceeding the country's 2021 consumption of 344,157 GWh. It argues that this energy source offers a low land-use footprint, provides reliable 24/7 power, and creates a transition pathway for Iran's oil and gas workforce.
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Document type: Fact sheet
CENTER FOR INTERNATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL LAW COMMENTS TO THE IFC BAKU-TBLISI-CEYHAN PIPELINE PROJECT
The Center for International Environmental Law (CIEL) argues that the BTC Pipeline Project's legal framework undermines the rule of law and sovereign regulatory power in Azerbaijan, Georgia, and Turkey. CIEL identifies significant deficiencies in the project's approach to climate change, public consultation, and compensation for affected populations, particularly in Turkey. The document further contends that the project fails to demonstrate a measurable contribution to poverty alleviation, potentially violating IFC mandates.
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Document type: Statement
Breathing Plastic
The document highlights that micro- and nanoplastics are ubiquitous atmospheric pollutants that can travel thousands of kilometers, leading to significant human inhalation. It details how these particles can penetrate deep into the lungs and enter the vascular system, acting as vectors for toxic chemicals. The report links exposure to various respiratory, metabolic, and reproductive health issues and calls for a legally binding international agreement to address the full life cycle of plastics.
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Document type: Executive summary