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Summary report of activities from 1 June 2025 to date by the IAI Directorate
The IAI Directorate has advanced several strategic mandates between June 2025 and January 2026, including the expansion of its Associate network with the WMO and AGU, and the operationalization of the Indigenous Peoples Advisory Committee (IPAC). Key efforts focused on science diplomacy in preparation for UNFCCC COP30, the launch of transdisciplinary research programs on climate-health and ocean science, and the development of the IAI Science Diplomacy Center. The Directorate also expanded its educational reach through virtual courses on remote sensing and health adaptation, while pursuing new member state adhesion, specifically with El Salvador.
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Document type: Report
Materially Neglected: Agricultural Methane and Investor Risk
The report finds that agricultural methane is a 'systemic blind spot' for major global investors. Despite significant financial exposure to high-emitting agrifood companies, most of the 25 investors analysed have no standalone methane policies or targets, often folding methane into broader CO2-equivalent frameworks. The analysis highlights that a small number of investors, including Vanguard, BlackRock, and Fidelity Investments, account for a disproportionate share of financed methane emissions. While some companies like Danone and Marfrig have set methane targets, others, such as Nestlé, have withdrawn from collaborative initiatives like the Dairy Methane Action Alliance. The report warns of increasing regulatory, transition, and reputational risks, particularly in the EU, and calls for investors to align with the Global Methane Pledge to reduce emissions by 30% by 2030.
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Document type: Report
Assessing Climate Risk, Framing Resilience, and Reporting Impact
The document outlines a three-goal approach for climate finance vehicles to manage climate risk and build resilience. Goal 1 focuses on a five-step process to identify and manage physical climate hazards to align with international standards like the ISSB and Paris Agreement. Goal 2 guides the creation of an evidence-backed adaptation thesis to secure investor commitments, particularly for those targeting Multilateral Development Bank (MDB) funding. Goal 3 provides a methodology for designing impact measurement frameworks, including theories of change and indicator tables, to track resilience outcomes and avoid maladaptation.
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Document type: Guide
Global Coal Plant Tracker Methodology
The Global Coal Plant Tracker (GCPT) monitors coal-fired electrical generating plants of 30 MW or larger, including operating units, those proposed since 2010, and those retired since 2000. The methodology employs a two-level system consisting of a database for unit-level tracking and detailed wiki pages for project histories. Data is validated through government records, company reports, NGO tracking, and on-the-ground contacts, with updates occurring bi-annually in January and July. The tracker categorizes plant status into nine stages, ranging from 'Announced' to 'Retired', and calculates carbon dioxide emissions based on unit capacity, emission factors for coal types, heat rates for combustion technology, and global average utilization rates.
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Document type: Guide
SNOW LOSS PUBLIC OPINION in 7 countries calls for fossil fuel ad ban IN WINTER SPORTS
A briefing by the New Weather Institute reporting on public opinion across seven countries, showing widespread concern for snow loss due to global warming and strong support for banning fossil fuel advertising in winter sports and the Winter Olympics.
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Document type: Briefing
Insurance and reinsurance under climate stress
The report examines how the insurance and reinsurance sectors are responding to intensifying climate disruptions in global supply chains. It identifies critical structural, market, and modelling limits that undermine the industry's ability to absorb systemic risk, noting a trend toward 'un-insurability' in high-risk regions. The author argues that without a shift from simple risk transfer to a stewardship model integrated with long-term adaptation and public-private coordination, the sector may amplify rather than stabilize economic volatility.
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Document type: Research paper
When climate hits home
The report finds widespread concern about climate impacts across the political spectrum, with a strong public demand for government-led adaptation efforts. Respondents primarily link climate change to economic risks, such as the cost of living and job security, and view adaptation as a necessary complement to, rather than a replacement for, emissions reductions.
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Document type: Report
Appraising country platforms: Aligning climate finance with development in developing and emerging economies
The report examines country platforms (CPs) as vehicles to integrate climate finance with national development goals in emerging economies. It argues that CPs must be country-led and grounded in macro-fiscal analysis to avoid debt vulnerabilities and ensure social inclusivity. Using the South African Just Energy Transition Partnership (JETP) as a primary example, the document outlines criteria for effectiveness—including whole-of-government approaches and credible project pipelines—and proposes a four-quadrant analytical framework to guide their design. It also highlights the role of philanthropy in funding early-stage technical work and the necessity of overcoming structural path dependencies to achieve genuine economic diversification.
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Document type: Report
European Electricity Review
In 2025, the EU reached a milestone where wind and solar generated more electricity (30.1%) than all fossil fuel sources (29.0%) for the first time on record. Solar generation grew by 20.1% to reach a record 369 TWh, while coal fell to a historic low of 9.2% of the mix. Despite this, gas generation rose by 8% due to low hydro output, increasing the EU power sector's gas import bill by 16% to €32 billion. The report highlights the role of a growing battery pipeline—exceeding 10 GW of large batteries in 2025—in reducing reliance on expensive gas and mitigating the curtailment of clean power, particularly in Germany.
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Document type: Report
Confronting Misinformation Produced with Generative AI: A Meta-Analysis of Experimental Scientific Evidence
The report finds that textual GenAI misinformation is increasingly perceived as credible over time, while visual GenAI misinformation, such as deepfakes, shows a decline in perceived credibility. Preventive corrective information and content labeling are identified as effective countermeasures, though their impact varies by context.
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Document type: Report
Responding to Generative AI Misinformation
The report finds that text-based generative AI misinformation currently poses a greater persuasive risk than visual misinformation. It identifies preventive corrective information as the most consistently effective intervention to reduce the perceived credibility of such content, while noting that content labeling is promising but highly dependent on consistent design and implementation. The authors highlight a critical evidence gap, as current research is heavily concentrated in English-language and high-income countries.
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Document type: Executive summary
Répondre à la désinformation générée par l’IA générative
The document analyzes the impact of generative AI misinformation, finding that textual misinformation currently poses a higher persuasion risk than visual misinformation. It highlights a significant global data gap, as research is heavily concentrated in high-income, English-speaking countries. Among countermeasures, preventive corrective information is identified as the most consistent intervention for reducing perceived credibility, while content labeling is effective only when applied consistently and with rigorous design.
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Document type: Executive summary
Respuesta a la desinformación generada por inteligencia artificial generativa Resultados de un metaanálisis de la evidencia científica
The report finds that generative AI-produced textual misinformation currently poses a higher persuasion risk than visual misinformation. It identifies preventive corrective information as the most consistently effective intervention for reducing the perceived credibility of such content, while content labeling shows promising but inconsistent results depending on design. The analysis highlights a significant global evidence gap, as most research is concentrated in high-income, English-speaking countries.
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Document type: Executive summary
Реагирование на дезинформацию, создаваемую генеративным ИИ
The report analyzes 60 effect estimates from 24 peer-reviewed studies (33,801 participants) published between 2018 and 2025 to evaluate generative AI (GenAI) misinformation. It finds that GenAI-generated text currently poses a higher risk of persuasive impact than visual misinformation. The most consistently effective countermeasure is the preemptive provision of corrective information, while content labeling shows variable effectiveness depending on design and application. The authors highlight a significant global knowledge gap, as research is heavily concentrated in English-speaking, high-income countries.
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Document type: Executive summary
التصدي للمعلومات المضللة المنشأة بواسطة الذكاء الاصطناعي التوليدي: نتائج تحليل تجميعي للأدلة العلمية
The report finds that text-based generative AI misinformation poses a higher persuasive risk than visual misinformation. It identifies a significant knowledge gap due to research focusing primarily on high-income, English-speaking countries. Among countermeasures, preemptive corrective information is the most consistent and effective intervention, while content labeling shows promising but inconsistent results depending on design and application.
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Document type: Executive summary
Bridging Policy and Research under the DSA: A Structured Research Agenda for Identifying Systemic Risks
The report addresses the definitional ambiguity of 'systemic risks' in the Digital Services Act (DSA) by proposing a structured research agenda. This framework operationalises risk assessment through six dimensions: severity (scale, scope, and remediability) and likelihood (platform characteristics, historical patterns, and contextual factors). Using asymmetric amplification of political content during elections as a case study, the authors demonstrate how a plurality of observational and experimental methods is necessary to generate the evidence required for regulatory decisions. The report concludes that current data access constraints, including limited API functionality and restrictive Virtual Computing Environments, hinder the ability of researchers to fulfill their legally recognised role under the DSA.
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Document type: Report
Lessons from Extremism Prevention for Countering Hybrid Threats
The research paper argues that hybrid threats—combining hostile state operations with extremist violence—require a 'whole-of-society' prevention approach. It suggests adopting a 'public health' model of prevention, categorised into primary (building resilience), secondary (targeted vulnerability efforts), and tertiary (minimising acute harm) interventions. The authors emphasize the need to break down government silos between domestic and foreign security, avoid the over-securitisation of communities, and integrate gender and intersectional analysis into threat assessments.
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Document type: Research paper
UNDERSTANDING, IMPROVING, AND IMPLEMENTING TRACEABILITY FOR KEY FOREST & AGRICULTURAL COMMODITIES
The document outlines the drivers and challenges of traceability in global commodity supply chains, advocating for 'material-forward tracking' over 'product-backward tracing'. It details the technical elements of effective traceability, including event-based tracking, data standards (such as GS1 EPCIS), and the distinction between serialized and lot-based methods. The guide also evaluates supporting tools like geospatial analysis, certification systems, and scientific testing to combat fraud. Finally, it provides a 12-step implementation road map for downstream companies to build traceability capabilities, from securing leadership support to fostering industry-wide collaboration.
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Document type: Guide
Mainstreaming von Klimaschutzmassnahmen im nigerianischen Verkehrssektor
The document analyzes Nigeria's transport sector, which is heavily dependent on fossil fuels and accounts for 24% of national GHG emissions. It evaluates current policies, emerging green initiatives like the P-CNGI and Lagos E-Mobility Project, and provides recommendations for integrating climate action into national transport planning, drawing on lessons from Ethiopia and Kenya.
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Document type: Briefing
Climate change is leading to less and worse tasting sparkling wine
Climate change is driving global wine production to historic lows, with sparkling wine facing specific threats to its quantity and quality. Extreme weather in France, Spain, and Italy has led to reduced yields and price increases for labels like Cava and Prosecco. Higher temperatures are accelerating ripening, which alters the balance of sugar and acid, potentially resulting in higher alcohol levels and less fizzy wines. Projections suggest that if global temperatures rise by 2°C, over half of suitable wine-growing regions could shrink, with up to 90% of traditional areas in southern Europe becoming economically unviable. Adaptation strategies, such as relocating vineyards or using protective technology, are costly and may fail to preserve the unique cultural and flavour characteristics of traditional sparkling wines.
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Document type: Briefing