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Executive Summary: Just Transitions in Kenyas Low Carbon Economy Development Path
The report examines Kenya's path toward a low-carbon economy, highlighting that while a net-zero transition offers economic opportunities and green jobs, it risks marginalizing vulnerable groups—particularly women, youth, and informal workers—if not managed inclusively. It analyzes sector-specific risks in agriculture, energy, transport, industry, forestry, waste, and tourism, noting that while Kenya has a robust legal framework via the Climate Change Act (2016), just transition objectives are not yet mainstreamed into primary development plans like Vision 2030. The document advocates for stakeholder engagement, social protection, and gender-sensitive policies to ensure the transition reduces existing inequalities rather than compounding them.
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Document type: Executive summary
Harnessing Research for Climate Ambition and Transparency
The report details the proceedings of the 4th GCPC, highlighting the critical need for a science-policy interface amidst rising political populism. It identifies governance and finance as primary cross-cutting challenges, while also examining specific policy contexts including urban adaptation, land-use coordination, trade regulations, and the social dimensions of energy transitions.
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Document type: Report
Aprovechando la Investigación para la Ambición Climática y la Transparencia
The report details the proceedings of the 4th GCPC, highlighting the critical need for a science-policy interface amidst rising populism and funding cuts. It identifies governance and finance as overarching challenges, while specifically examining urban adaptation, land use coordination, trade regulations under WTO norms, and the necessity of a just energy transition in the Global South.
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Document type: Report
Mobilizando Pesquisas para Ambição Climática e Transparência
The report details the proceedings of the 4th GCPC, highlighting the critical need for a science-policy interface amidst rising populism and funding cuts. It identifies governance and finance as overarching challenges, while specifically examining urban adaptation, land use coordination, trade regulations under WTO rules, and the necessity of a 'just transition' in the energy sector. The document emphasizes the role of regional networks and institutional experimentation in overcoming climate inertia.
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Document type: Report
Just Transition Planning Masterclass Webinar 1 Pre-read: Introducing Just Transitions
The document defines a 'Just Transition' as a framework to ensure that the shift toward a green economy is fair and inclusive, preventing vulnerable populations from bearing disproportionate costs. It traces the concept's evolution from 1980s US trade union concerns over pollution regulations to a broader global framework integrated into the UNFCCC and the 2015 Paris Agreement. The text emphasizes three types of justice—procedural, distributional, and restorative—and argues that transition planning must be participatory and cross-governmental. Using Malawi's agricultural mechanization as an example, it illustrates how top-down transitions can marginalize smallholder farmers despite overall GDP growth. While historically focused on the energy sector and fossil fuel phase-outs, the document asserts that Just Transition principles are equally critical for sectors like agriculture, transport, waste, and forestry, especially regarding adaptation priorities in the global south.
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Document type: Briefing
Just Transition Planning Masterclass Webinar 3 Pre-Read
The document argues that meaningful participation from diverse, affected groups is essential for a just transition to ensure procedural justice, improve policy efficiency, and increase ownership of climate policies. It identifies barriers to engagement, such as time constraints, costs, and low trust, and suggests a people-centered design approach to overcome them. The text highlights the necessity of coordination bodies to manage state and non-state actors across different political levels. Examples include Costa Rica's Just Transition Governance Scheme and South Africa's Presidential Climate Commission, both of which serve as platforms for multi-stakeholder collaboration and policy co-creation.
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Document type: Briefing
BÚSSOLA DE TRANSIÇÃO JUSTA
The 'Just Transition Compass' provides a strategic framework to move just transition concepts from high-level dialogue to scalable implementation. It identifies four core elements of a just transition: addressing existing injustices, aligning structural changes with Paris Agreement goals, ensuring meaningful stakeholder participation, and fair distribution of costs and benefits. The document argues that national transitions cannot succeed without international cooperation and proposes the creation of a permanent Just Transition coordination body within the UNFCCC to reduce fragmentation, align financial flows, and share best practices across sectors beyond energy, such as agriculture and transport.
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Document type: Executive summary
Just Transition Planning Masterclass Summary Report
The Just Transition Planning Masterclass provided a platform for stakeholders from Kenya, Ghana, Namibia, and Uganda to explore how to manage the socio-economic disruptions of sustainable development transitions. The program combined webinars and an in-person workshop in Nairobi to discuss the definition of a 'just transition', the role of standalone frameworks versus integrated policies, and the impact of colonial resource extraction on current fiscal and governance capacities. Key findings highlight significant barriers to implementation, including a lack of disaggregated data for impact analysis, difficulties in accounting for the informal economy, and limited funding for the social components of transition, such as stakeholder dialogue and re-skilling. The report concludes with a set of best practices for developing holistic impact understandings, enabling participatory decision-making, and ensuring policy cohesion through co-created justice indicators.
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Document type: Report
Incorporating Just Transition Strategies in Developing Country NDCs and post-Covid responses
The document describes a project to bridge the gap in the practical application of just transition concepts within developing countries. By analyzing South America, Southeast Asia, and West Africa—with case studies on Colombia, Indonesia, and Ghana—the project identifies that these nations often lack the regulatory and institutional capacity to support just transitions. Key findings highlight a high prevalence of informal labor markets (often 50% to 80% of the workforce) that are currently overlooked in climate and pandemic responses. The project seeks to develop recommendations for revised NDCs ahead of COP26 and facilitate links between governments, investors, and donors to provide the necessary technical and financial support.
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Document type: Report
panama-workshop-outcomes-and-systematization-4bba0a6d2d825caf.pdf
The report details a workshop in Panama aimed at moving Just Transition from dialogue to implementation. It presents case studies from the Dominican Republic, Spain, and Brazil, and synthesizes group discussions on creating a Just Transition taxonomy, defining monitoring indicators, and establishing core guiding principles to support developing countries and the COP30 presidency.
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Document type: After-action report
Climate Strategies’ Pathway to Impact 2026-2029 Summary
Climate Strategies' 2026-2029 strategy focuses on bridging the gap between research and policy to drive systemic climate change mitigation and adaptation. The organization identifies five strategic impact areas: transitioning oil- and gas-dependent economies, enhancing nature-based food systems, empowering the global majority, governing carbon and climate innovation technologies, and countering climate obstruction. To achieve these, the organization plans to transform its business model by enhancing horizon scanning, diversifying its membership, engaging the private sector through blended models, and strengthening its Secretariat's operational capacity.
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Document type: Executive summary
Political Economy of Net Zero: Indonesia
Indonesia faces significant structural barriers to achieving net-zero emissions by 2060, including an unstable policy environment, inconsistent signals regarding fossil fuel subsidies, and a lack of coordinated strategy across sectors. The country requires approximately $200 billion annually for its climate agenda, yet domestic public budget contributions from 20152020 averaged only $4.5 billion. To address these gaps, the briefing suggests three key interventions: the use of blended finance to de-risk renewable energy projects like geothermal power, the operationalization of 'Just Transition' principles through the Indonesia Just Energy Transition Partnership (INO-JETP), and the implementation of multi-level coordination mechanisms to engage sub-national governments and standardize greenhouse gas reporting.
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Document type: Briefing
BRIEFING: AZERBAIJAN PROSPERITY POST FOSSIL FUELS
The document examines Azerbaijan's transition from a fossil-fuel-dependent economy to one incorporating renewable energy, highlighting the role of COP29 as a catalyst for climate ambition. It identifies key risks, such as the economic reliance on oil rents and the potential for renewables to merely supplement rather than replace hydrocarbons. The author recommends developing a targeted energy transition strategy, protecting vulnerable groups from subsidy removals, and increasing private sector competition to ensure a just and sustainable transition.
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Document type: Briefing
BRIEFING: BRAZIL PROSPERITY POST FOSSIL FUELS
The document analyzes Brazil's unique energy landscape, where a predominantly renewable electricity mix coexists with a significant reliance on petroleum for transport and a growing oil production sector. It highlights the tension between the government's climate commitments and its plans to expand oil production, particularly in the Equatorial Margin. The briefing suggests that Brazil can leverage its G20 and COP30 leadership to promote the reduction of fossil fuel subsidies and use oil revenues to fund green innovation and forest conservation, while recommending the introduction of an upstream carbon tax to manage environmental externalities.
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Document type: Briefing
BRIEFING: Ghana PROSPERITY POST FOSSIL FUELS
Ghana is navigating a contradictory energy landscape where the government pursues both petroleum exploration and a net-zero target by 2070. While the National Energy Transition Framework (2022-2070) outlines a path toward decarbonization, the country's energy mix remains heavily dependent on oil and gas, which provided 64.1% of the energy supply as of April 2024. The transition is complicated by a top-down technocratic approach that has led to public resistance against policies like the ban on salvaged vehicles and carbon levies on petrol and diesel cars. Furthermore, there is a tension between domestic desires to utilize all available fossil resources for economic growth and global donor-driven pressures to accelerate the phase-out of hydrocarbons. The document recommends operationalizing a National Energy Transition Fund, improving procedural justice through public engagement, and harmonizing donor engagement to ensure a more equitable transition.
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Document type: Briefing
BRIEFING: INTERNATIONAL PROSPERITY POST FOSSIL FUELS
The briefing argues that while the transition away from fossil fuels is accelerating due to economic costs, clean energy opportunities, and geopolitical drivers, significant gaps remain in production and emissions. It highlights the vulnerability of fossil-fuel-dependent nations and the need for a 'globally just transition' supported by redirected finance, debt relief, and stronger governance to avoid economic disruption and systemic financial risks.
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Document type: Briefing
BRIEFING: NIGERIA PROSPERITY POST FOSSIL FUELS
The document analyzes Nigeria's struggle to balance its economic reliance on oil and gas with climate ambitions. It highlights the risk of 'carbon lock-in' through policies like the Petroleum Industry Act and the fiscal vulnerability of sub-national governments. It proposes shifting from a natural-resource-dependent model to one based on high-value manufacturing and services, leveraging renewable energy and critical minerals like lithium. Key recommendations include developing multi-sectoral transition policies, securing international climate finance, and implementing social protections for displaced workers and the Niger Delta region.
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Document type: Briefing
The Russian Coal Sector Challenges and transition opportunities
The document outlines the history, current state, and future challenges of the Russian coal sector, highlighting its economic significance and climate impact. It details a research project aimed at exploring just transition pathways for coal regions in the context of the Paris Agreement and shifting global demand. Key data points include coal's 17.5% share of Russia's domestic electricity generation at the end of 2019 and the sector's 22% contribution to Russia's total greenhouse gas emissions in 2018.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Aligning Just Transition in the UNFCCC Process with Real-World Action Workshop Outcomes
The report details a workshop in Bonn that brought together over 70 stakeholders to bridge the gap between international Just Transition (JT) negotiations and on-the-ground realities. Key discussions focused on overcoming barriers in the Global South—such as limited technical capacity, fragmented governance, and financial constraints—and the importance of national ownership. The document highlights South Korea's coal phase-out fund as a case study and proposes five key outcomes for the Just Transition Work Programme (JTWP), including the establishment of a Global JT Mechanism and the integration of JT into national climate plans like NDCs. Participants emphasized that JT should be framed as a development opportunity and an enabler of climate ambition rather than a cause for delay.
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Document type: Report
Political Economy of Net Zero: India
India aims for net-zero emissions by 2070, with interim 2030 goals including 500 GW of non-fossil fuel capacity and 50% energy requirements from renewables. The transition faces significant hurdles, including a heavy reliance on coal (84% of power generation) and high import dependency for crude oil and solar components. Financial requirements are immense, estimated between USD 5.7 trillion by 2050 and USD 10.1 trillion by 2070. The report emphasizes the need for a 'just transition' to protect the livelihoods of approximately 13 million people dependent on coal mining and to address regional economic imbalances. Opportunities for acceleration include the green hydrogen policy, expansion of offshore wind, and the development of domestic energy storage manufacturing to reduce reliance on China.
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Document type: Report