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ESKOM’S FINANCIAL CRISIS AND THE VIABILITY OF COAL-FIRED POWER IN SOUTH AFRICA
The report argues that Eskom is facing a liquidity and financial crisis driven by stagnant electricity demand and the high costs of its coal-fired power construction programme. Through system-level modelling and station-specific analysis, the study finds that the levelised costs of operating older coal stations (Arnot, Camden, Grootvlei, Hendrina, and Komati) exceed their system alternative value, meaning they can be replaced by cheaper alternatives without compromising security of supply. Specifically, decommissioning Grootvlei, Hendrina, and Komati early could save Eskom R12.5bn in present value terms. Additionally, the report finds that cancelling Kusile units 5 and 6 is economically viable if capital cost savings exceed a threshold of approximately R4.7bn. The authors conclude that South Africa no longer requires new nuclear, coal, or gas procurement, as solar PV and wind have become the most competitive new-build options.
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Document type: Report
Being serious about the Paris Agreement: Stop the ETS funding coal, Start a meaningful carbon price
A coalition of NGOs calls for the EU to ensure the post-2020 EU Emissions Trading System (ETS) does not subsidize coal plants and implements a tightening emissions cap to drive decarbonization in line with Paris Agreement goals.
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Document type: Statement
REQUEST FOR MEETING WITH CIVIL SOCIETY ORGANISATIONS REGARDING IRP/IEP
Civil society organisations, including Greenpeace Africa and the Life After Coal Campaign, have requested a meeting with South Africa's Minister of Energy to address the integrity of the Integrated Energy Plan (IEP) and Integrated Resource Plan (IRP). The signatories argue that the current process has "substantial flaws" and advocate for a just transition from coal to publicly-owned renewable energy and energy efficiency. They propose eleven principles for the IRP, emphasizing least-cost technology combinations, the inclusion of external costs to health and climate, and alignment with the Paris Agreement and South Africa's Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC). The letter specifically seeks clarity on timelines, public participation, the status of energy determinations for coal, nuclear, gas, and renewables, and the delay in Independent Power Producer agreements.
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Document type: Statement
Stop the ETS funding coal, Start a meaningful carbon price
A coalition of NGOs calls on the European Parliament, Council, and European Commission to ensure the post-2020 EU Emissions Trading System (ETS) supports the Paris Agreement. The statement argues that the ETS must stop subsidizing coal plants and instead tighten the carbon cap to drive decarbonization and a socially just transition, noting that unabated coal in Europe must reach zero by 2030 to meet climate targets.
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Document type: Statement
Prospects for a “just transition” away from coal-fired power generation in Australia: Learning from the closure of the Hazelwood Power Station
The document analyzes the 2017 closure of the Hazelwood Power Station in Victoria's Latrobe Valley, arguing that Australia's liberal market economy and majoritarian political institutions discourage long-term transition planning. It highlights how the closure was a commercial decision by Engie, which triggered reactive, large-scale assistance packages from both the Victorian and federal governments. The authors suggest that future 'just transitions' may require direct regulation of company obligations or the mobilization of institutional investors to pressure energy firms into adopting worker- and community-friendly closure policies.
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Document type: Research paper
STRENGTHENING NATIONAL COAL TRANSITIONS TO RAISE CLIMATE AMBITION
The briefing identifies critical policy gaps in national coal transitions, emphasizing that a 'just transition' requires more than carbon pricing. It highlights the need to protect workers, build local economic resilience, avoid stranded assets, coordinate international trade flows, and secure financing. The document frames these managed transitions as a credible way for countries to increase their climate ambition within the UNFCCC framework.
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Document type: Briefing
Transitioning beyond coal: Lessons from the structural renewal of Europe’s old industrial regions
The research examines the capacity of 'old industrial regions' (OIRs) to transition from declining mature industries to new growth paths. It utilizes the Regional Innovation Systems (RIS) framework to analyze 'lock-in'—functional, cognitive, and political—that hinders diversification. Using examples like Germany's Ruhr region, the paper argues that successful renewal requires 'regional branching' based on existing capabilities and a shift from top-down mandates to inclusive, bottom-up 'regional development coalitions'. It provides a typology of innovation support and warns against the 'regional resource curse' where renewable energy transitions may fail to create localized value.
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Document type: Research paper
Pricing carbon to achieve the Paris goals
The document assesses the current state of global carbon pricing, noting that most prices are below USD 10, far below the USD 40-100/tCO2 levels recommended by the High-Level Commission on Carbon Prices to meet Paris Agreement goals. It advocates for a 'climate policy portfolio' that combines carbon taxes or cap-and-trade systems with complementary measures to address non-price barriers and avoid 'waterbed effects' through price floors. The brief also calls for the abolition of counterproductive policies like fossil fuel subsidies and the use of carbon revenues to fund a just transition and fight energy poverty.
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Document type: Policy brief
Addressing fossil fuel production under the UNFCCC: Paris and beyond
The document examines the gap in the Paris Agreement regarding fossil fuel supply and proposes mechanisms to address it. It suggests that countries could use Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) and Long-Term Strategies (LTSs) to articulate production phase-downs. The authors argue that such actions would provide clearer signals to financial markets, foster international norms, and support a just transition for affected workers. The paper identifies several entry points within the Paris Agreement, including the enhanced transparency framework, the global stocktake, and finance reform, while acknowledging that consensus-based decision-making in the UNFCCC may require a 'coalition of the willing' to lead by example.
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Document type: Research paper
At the Crossroads: Balancing the financial and social costs of coal transition in China
The report analyzes the challenges facing Shanxi province as it transitions away from coal, highlighting the tension between national environmental goals and provincial economic dependence. It uses international case studies to argue that successful transition requires a comprehensive approach combining economic diversification, infrastructure investment, and social welfare to prevent long-term regional decline.
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Document type: Report
站在十字路口平衡 中国煤炭转型的财 务与社会成本
The report examines the challenges of coal transition in Shanxi, China, where high economic dependence on coal conflicts with national environmental goals. It analyzes international experiences—specifically South Wales (UK), Asturias (Spain), and Kentucky (USA)—to suggest a comprehensive approach that balances economic diversification, infrastructure improvement, and social protection to mitigate unemployment and community decline.
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Document type: Report
The End of Coal Mining in South Wales: Lessons learned from industrial transformation
The report analyzes the economic and social trajectory of coal mining in South Wales, from its industrial growth to its disappearance in the 1990s. It evaluates the effectiveness of mitigation policies, specifically the role of the Welsh Development Agency (WDA) and European Union funding, and emphasizes the impact of global economic factors and the necessity of local resilience during industrial transitions.
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Document type: Report
WRITTEN COMMENTS ON THE INTEGRATED RESOURCE PLAN UPDATE: ASSUMPTIONS, BASE CASE RESULTS AND OBSERVATIONS, REVISION 1 AND ON THE DRAFT INTEGRATED ENERGY PLAN
The Centre for Environmental Rights (CER) argues that South Africa's draft Integrated Energy Plan (IEP) and Integrated Resource Plan (IRP) Update are inconsistent with the Constitution, the National Environmental Management Act (NEMA), and the National Energy Act (NEA). The CER contends that the plans unjustifiably constrain renewable energy while promoting new coal-fired power stations, which they claim cause severe health impacts and contribute to climate change. They highlight that coal-fired power is no longer the least-cost option and risks creating stranded assets. The document recommends removing build limits on wind and solar, excluding new coal and nuclear power, and conducting a comprehensive assessment of external social and environmental costs.
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Document type: Statement
Principles for Public Policy
The Union of Concerned Scientists (UCS) argues that the impact of self-driving vehicles depends on policy guidance. To prevent increased vehicle miles traveled and emissions, the UCS recommends pairing autonomous technology with low-carbon vehicles, integrating them with mass transit, and incentivizing shared rides. The brief also emphasizes the need for equitable access, a 'just transition' for displaced workers in trucking and taxi industries, and open data-sharing to inform science-based policy.
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Document type: Policy brief
After Paris: can the private sector deliver climate compatible development?
The document examines the intersection of private sector activity and climate policy, highlighting the potential for a 'new industrial revolution' in green technology. It balances optimism regarding falling costs of renewables and new financial instruments with warnings about 'brown pillars' of the economy, market failures, and the risk of social dislocation similar to that seen during globalisation. The author argues for a public-private partnership where governments shape markets and provide social safety nets to ensure a just transition.
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Document type: Report
Energy Transition in the Power Sector in Europe: State of Affairs in 2016
In 2016, the European power sector saw a significant shift from coal to gas generation, which drove a 4.5% decrease in CO2 emissions. While renewable energy's share of the electricity mix rose slightly to 29.6%, growth was below previous trends due to poor weather conditions, although record-low auction prices for wind and solar suggest future potential. Electricity consumption remained largely stagnant, barely offsetting economic growth. The EU Emissions Trading System (EU-ETS) continued to suffer from a structural oversupply, with the surplus exceeding 3 billion tonnes of CO2 for the first time.
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Document type: Report
Coal Transition in the CZECH REPUBLIC
The Czech Republic has seen a significant decline in coal production and employment since 1990, with the share of coal in primary energy production falling from 89% to 58% by 2014. The transition has been characterized by the privatization of mines, the imposition of ecological territorial limits in the North Bohemian Brown Coal Basin, and state-funded environmental remediation. While the broader economic transformation is viewed as successful, specific mining regions have faced social isolation and economic distress. Future energy policy aims to further reduce coal's share in electricity and heat, favoring nuclear power and renewables.
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Document type: Case study
Coal Transition in SPAIN
Spain has experienced a sharp decline in coal production and employment over the last two decades, driven by EU legislation, falling international prices, and the rise of renewable energy. While government plans successfully reduced coal's share in the energy mix, efforts to mitigate socioeconomic impacts in mining regions were largely ineffective, focusing too heavily on public infrastructure rather than the creation of sustainable alternative industries.
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Document type: Case study
Lessons from previous ‘COAL TRANSITIONS’
The report analyses historical coal transitions in the UK, US, Spain, Poland, Czech Republic, and the Netherlands, concluding that proactive anticipation and comprehensive regional strategies are essential to avoid long-term socio-economic decline. It argues that the cost of failing to invest in a managed transition often exceeds the cost of the transition itself, as evidenced by high long-term social security costs and regional stagnation. Key recommendations include moving away from simple cash redundancy payments toward on-the-job retraining, diversifying regional economies through industrial clusters, and addressing the specific vulnerabilities of workers aged 35-45.
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Document type: Executive summary
Coal Transition in the UNITED KINGDOM
The UK has nearly completed its transition from coal, a process driven initially by market forces and later by a carbon tax, rather than a single planned strategy. While the 'dash for gas' in the 1990s and the 2013 carbon tax significantly reduced coal-fired power, the socio-economic recovery of mining communities remains incomplete. Despite regeneration efforts, former coalfields experience persistent 'economic inactivity' and high rates of incapacity benefit claims, indicating a long-term job shortfall that transcends the retirement of the original mining workforce.
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Document type: Case study