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Three key pressure points to improve mining outlook
The document identifies three primary pressure points affecting South Africa's mining outlook: a negative macroeconomic environment characterized by currency volatility and regulatory uncertainty, structural gaps in infrastructure and skills, and the need to better leverage existing strengths such as reserve size and financial services. It warns that internal instability and global headwinds, including slowing demand from China, are eroding South Africa's competitive edge relative to other sub-Saharan African nations and mature mining jurisdictions.
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Document type: Research paper
Recent Developments in Sudan’s Fuel Subsidy Reform Process
The report examines Sudan's fuel subsidy reform process, highlighting the September 2013 price hikes for petrol, diesel, and LPG. It analyzes the economic drivers, such as the loss of oil revenue following South Sudan's secession, and the subsequent social unrest and inflationary pressures. The document concludes with lessons learned regarding pricing systems, mitigation strategies, and the necessity of public support.
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Document type: Report
A Guidebook to Fossil-Fuel Subsidy Reform for Policy-Makers in Southeast Asia
The document outlines a generic planning process for fossil-fuel subsidy reform tailored for Southeast Asia, emphasizing three core elements: adjusting pricing systems, mitigating unwanted impacts, and managing internal and external communication to build support.
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Document type: Guide
Buildings Energy Efficiency in China, Germany, and the United States
The report analyzes building energy efficiency across China, Germany, and the United States, identifying four primary policy intervention points: new construction, building retrofits, equipment, and operations. It highlights how different national contexts—such as China's rapid urbanization, Germany's aging building stock, and the U.S.'s high per capita energy use—necessitate distinct policy priorities. The document details specific barriers to efficiency, such as split incentives and high upfront costs, and reviews the current policy landscapes and research efforts of the Climate Policy Initiative in these regions.
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Document type: Report
Fossil-Fuel Subsidy Reform: Challenges and opportunities
The report details a workshop in Bali, Indonesia, focused on reforming fossil-fuel subsidies in Southeast Asia. It presents a policy framework based on three pillars: getting energy prices right, managing reform impacts, and building public support. The document includes case studies from the Philippines, Vietnam, Indonesia, Malaysia, India, and Iran, highlighting the fiscal burdens of subsidies, the effectiveness of targeted cash transfers and 'lifeline' tariffs, and the political difficulties of price deregulation. It emphasizes that successful reform requires comprehensive communication strategies, impact assessments for vulnerable groups, and a transition toward market-based pricing to support green growth and energy efficiency.
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Document type: Report
A CITIZENS’ GUIDE TO ENERGY SUBSIDIES IN NIGERIA
The document examines Nigeria's energy subsidy regime, focusing on Premium Motor Spirit (PMS), household kerosene (hhK), and electricity. It highlights the immense fiscal burden on the government, with fuel subsidies alone estimated at over ₦2 trillion in 2011. The guide argues that these universal subsidies disproportionately benefit higher-income earners and are plagued by systemic corruption, such as inflated import claims and the diversion of kerosene to black markets. It also notes that under-pricing of energy has stifled investment in refining and power infrastructure, leading to high reliance on private generators and significant gas flaring. The document outlines the government's transition toward cost-reflective electricity tariffs via the Multi-Year Tariff Order (MYTO) and the attempted removal of gasoline subsidies through the SURE-P program, while providing international lessons on gradual price liberalization and targeted social compensation.
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Document type: Guide
The Fridge Factory
Palfridge Limited, a manufacturer of domestic, commercial, and solar refrigerators, faces significant operational hurdles including customs inefficiencies between Swaziland and South Africa, high electricity costs and disruptions, and trade policy barriers. The company suffers from high import duties on European components due to Swaziland's failure to ratify an Economic Partnership Agreement with the EU and is currently barred from the Zimbabwean market. Additionally, the firm struggles with the retention of skilled local labor and has been forced to retrench workers due to rising business costs.
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Document type: Case study
Comparison of Fossil-Fuel Subsidy and Support Estimates
The document outlines how different international organizations estimate fossil-fuel subsidies, highlighting the distinction between the 'Inventory Approach' used by the OECD and GSI and the 'Price-Gap Approach' used by the IEA and IMF. It notes that estimates vary based on the types of support included, the countries and fuels covered, and the time periods analyzed. While most focus on direct fiscal incentives, the IMF's 'post-tax' measure uniquely includes implicit support from the failure to charge for environmental damages and externalities.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Long Run Trends in the Price of Energy and Energy Services
The document analyzes historical energy price trends, specifically in the United Kingdom, to argue that while energy prices can be volatile, the long-term trend for energy services (such as heating and lighting) is downward due to efficiency gains. It posits that fossil fuel reserves remain abundant relative to current consumption, suggesting that future price trends may remain stable or decline despite short-term peaks. The author emphasizes that focusing on energy prices alone underestimates consumer welfare gains and misleads climate change and energy demand modeling.
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Document type: Policy brief
Economic Growth, the Recession and Greenhouse Gas Emissions
The document investigates how the global economic slowdown affects greenhouse gas emissions, arguing that while recessions reduce emissions in the short term, the long-term impact depends on whether the downturn permanently lowers the GDP trajectory and how it influences energy prices and investment. It finds that many official projections may underestimate the long-term reduction in emissions by treating the recession as a transitory business cycle effect rather than a permanent shift in output. The authors estimate that the global emissions trajectory could be lowered by 1-5% in the long run, or 5-9% if a 'price rebound' effect from lower energy prices is excluded.
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Document type: Research paper
Divergences in the Long Run Trends in the Price of Energy and of Energy Services
The research demonstrates a historical divergence between the cost of energy commodities and the cost of the services they provide. While energy prices often rose due to taxes or shifts to higher-quality fuels, the prices of energy services generally declined since the Industrial Revolution due to technological efficiency gains. The author argues that using energy prices instead of service prices in economic models leads to incorrect estimates of consumer responsiveness and inaccurate forecasts of carbon dioxide emissions.
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Document type: Research paper
Measuring Energy Subsidies Using the Price-Gap Approach
The document examines the 'price-gap' method of measuring energy subsidies, which calculates the difference between domestic and world reference prices. While the author acknowledges its simplicity and utility for international benchmarking, the paper argues that the method creates 'blind spots' by ignoring subsidies that do not alter market prices, such as credit subsidies, R&D funding, and risk transfers. This leads to a significant understatement of the total fiscal and environmental costs of fossil fuel supports. The author recommends a hybrid approach, combining annual price-gap tracking with comprehensive 'transfer-based' evaluations every five years for major energy nations.
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Document type: Research paper
Climate Change in the American Mind
A 2008 survey of 2,164 American adults found that while the economy was the highest priority for 76% of respondents, a majority believe global warming is a real, human-caused threat. Over 90% of participants supported U.S. action to reduce global warming despite potential economic costs, and 67% supported unilateral action regardless of other countries' efforts. The most valued positive outcomes of action were providing a better life for future generations and protecting God's creation, while the primary concerns were increased government regulation and rising energy prices.
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Document type: Executive summary
INTERNATIONAL SUPPORT FOR DOMESTIC CLIMATE POLICIES
The document identifies three primary policy areas for GHG mitigation in India's power sector: the adoption of supercritical and ultra-supercritical coal technologies, the replacement of inefficient agricultural pump sets, and the upgrade of distribution networks to High Voltage Distribution Systems (HVDS). It argues that while these options have large mitigation potential, implementation is hindered by resource constraints, poor financial health of utilities, and political challenges regarding metering. The author advocates for moving beyond the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) toward long-term North-South cooperation to facilitate technology transfer and financing.
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Document type: Research paper
TOWARD PRACTICAL GUIDANCE FOR ADAPTIVE POLICIES
The document outlines a four-year research project aimed at creating a pragmatic set of tools for adaptive policy-making, specifically focusing on sectors like agriculture and water resources management. It presents a preliminary framework for adaptive policies that distinguishes between mechanisms for adapting to anticipated conditions—such as integrated assessments and automatic adjustments—and those for unanticipated conditions, including the promotion of variation, subsidiarity, and self-organization. The project utilizes community-level case studies in Canada and India to identify policy mechanisms that facilitate short-term coping and long-term adaptation.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Wind Power in New England
The document outlines the advantages of wind energy for New England, focusing on reducing dependence on imported fossil fuels, stabilizing energy costs, and generating local economic growth through taxes, lease payments, and jobs. It highlights specific projects in Massachusetts and Vermont to demonstrate positive community impact and environmental gains.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Towards Assessing the Distributional Impacts of Meeting Kyoto Targets in Canada
The research develops MARKAL-Equity to assess how different income terciles in Canada respond to the energy price increases associated with meeting Kyoto targets. Findings indicate that low-income households are the most vulnerable, experiencing the greatest reductions in energy service demand and consumption, and lacking the financial capacity to switch to more efficient technologies compared to middle- and high-income groups.
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Document type: Research paper
Case Studies of Power Sector Reform in Developing Countries
The document details the transition of Bulgaria's power sector from a state-monopoly under the National Electric Company (NEC) to a restructured model featuring independent producers and distributors. It highlights the tension between the Bulgarian government's rapid implementation and the IMF/World Bank's preference for a sequenced approach starting with a robust regulatory framework. Key issues include the social burden of rising energy costs on impoverished households, the environmental impact of lignite coal, and the geopolitical pressure from the EU to decommission old nuclear units at Kozloduy NPP.
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Document type: Report
Economics of Greenhouse Gas Limitations COUNTRY STUDY SERIES Ecuador
The report analyzes Ecuador's energy sector, focusing on its heavy reliance on oil and the potential for reducing CO2 emissions. It proposes a mitigation scenario involving increased energy efficiency in households, industry, and transport, alongside a shift toward renewable energy in power generation.
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Document type: Report
Did extreme weather change European public opinion in summer 2026?
The document finds that the extreme heat and wildfires of summer 2026 significantly increased the salience of climate change as a top public concern in most surveyed European countries, particularly those most affected. This shift led to a modest increase in support for government policy actions, such as carbon taxes and fuel duty increases, although personal lifestyle changes remained stagnant. The research highlights a strong public link between the weather events and climate change, rendering climate denial politically toxic, while noting that the primary political debate has shifted toward the pace and cost of the energy transition rather than the necessity of action.
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Document type: Research paper