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Assessment of Decarbonization Pathways for California’s Cement Sector
The report analyzes four decarbonization pathways for California's cement sector, all incorporating carbon capture and storage (CCS) to address process emissions. Pathways involving limestone calcined clay cement (LC3) and alternative fuels (woody biomass or engineered municipal solid waste) demonstrate the lowest lifetime carbon abatement costs, around $100 per metric ton of CO2. In contrast, full electrification combined with CCS is the most expensive at $479 per metric ton. While all pathways significantly reduce emissions relative to a baseline, the report highlights that energy costs are the primary driver of lifetime expenses. Qualitatively, the transition to these technologies is expected to provide net air quality benefits by reducing SO2 and particulate matter, although amine-based CCS may slightly increase VOC emissions.
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Document type: Report
Climate Bonds’ Equivalence Methodology - Climate Mitigation
The Climate Bonds Initiative has developed an Equivalence Methodology to reduce market fragmentation caused by the proliferation of over 65 national and regional sustainable finance taxonomies. The methodology provides a technical framework to determine if externally developed activity-level and measures-level criteria are 'equivalent' to Climate Bonds' science-based standards. Criteria deemed equivalent will be integrated into the Climate Bonds Taxonomy and its Standard & Certification Scheme, creating a single reference point for global capital flows. The process involves screening for alignment with temperature goals, scientific robustness, and governance transparency, with a specific distinction between criteria applicable globally versus those limited to a specific local jurisdiction.
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Document type: Report
Strait Talk
The document reports that non-fossil sources reached a record 46.2% of the global electricity mix in April, with wind and solar accounting for 21.3%. It discusses how the instability of the Strait of Hormuz has exposed the fragility of fossil fuel supply chains, prompting countries like China, Poland, and the Philippines to accelerate electrification and renewable energy adoption. Despite this, global fossil fuel subsidies are expected to exceed USD 1 trillion this year, and major energy firms like Shell and BP are pivoting back toward traditional oil and gas models. The text also notes the climate risks evidenced by record heatwaves in Europe and record global carbon emissions in 2025.
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Document type: Newsletter
Maximizing the Climate Co-Benefits of Sustainable Aviation Fuel via Targeted Allocation
The report proposes optimizing the limited supply of sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) by targeting its use at airports with the highest contrail and particulate matter (PM) impacts. Analysis of 16.6 million flights in 2024 reveals that 2% of flights generate 80% of contrail-related warming. In the U.S., JFK, LAX, and O'Hare are identified as primary targets, while Heathrow, Istanbul Airport, and Paris CDG are the top candidates in Europe. The study finds that a 50% SAF blend can reduce LTO particulate emissions by 26-28% and contrail-related warming by 30-40%. While airport-wide targeting is simplest, time-based and flight-based strategies are more fuel-efficient. Implementation faces logistical hurdles, particularly at airports using hydrant fuel systems, but the report suggests these can be overcome through policy incentives and infrastructure investment.
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Document type: Research paper
The solarisation of Pakistan’s energy economy
Between FY23 and FY25, Pakistan experienced a rapid surge in distributed solar deployment, reaching an estimated 38 GW by June 2025. This transition has driven a 21% increase in national electricity demand, which was met entirely by solar generation as grid generation slightly declined. Distributed solar has significantly increased Pakistan's electrification rate to 21.7%, nearly matching the global average of 22.0%. The report highlights sector-specific impacts: in agriculture, solar tubewells have largely displaced diesel pumps; in industry, solar has filled the gap left by declining captive gas and coal use; and in the residential sector, it has unlocked suppressed demand for cooling appliances. Economically, the shift has avoided over $12 billion USD in fossil fuel imports by February 2026 and provided a cheaper alternative to grid and diesel power.
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Document type: Report
INDIA’S AVIATION OPPORTUNITY: TURNING AGRICULTURAL RESIDUE AND LOW-COST SOLAR INTO COMPETITIVE SUSTAINABLE AVIATION FUEL WITH POWER-AND-BIOMASS-TO-LIQUIDS
The report argues that India is uniquely positioned to lead in sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) production via the power-and-biomass-to-liquids (PBtL) pathway. By combining world-leading low-cost green hydrogen (driven by cheap solar power) with an abundance of surplus agricultural residue, India can produce SAF at costs significantly lower than global benchmarks. The analysis shows that PBtL is more resource-efficient and has a lower carbon intensity than other pathways like HEFA, ATJ, and BtL. The report projects that PBtL SAF could reach price parity with fossil aviation turbine fuel (ATF) in the 2030s, providing a hedge against crude oil price volatility and reducing air pollution from crop residue burning. It identifies regions around Delhi, Pune, and Mumbai airports as ideal for first-of-a-kind demonstration projects.
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Document type: Report
Data Methodology Coal Mine Methane Data Tracker
The document details the technical processes Ember uses to track coal mine methane (CMM) emissions, including how it fills historical data gaps using emission intensity factors and forecasts future emissions based on IEA production data. It outlines a confidence scoring system (0-6) for national reporting based on recency, similarity to independent estimates, and methodology robustness. Additionally, it explains how Ember calculates the proportion of surface versus underground mining and the percentage of hard coal production associated with satellite-detected methane plumes.
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Document type: Guide
2025 in Review
In 2025, global electricity generation reached a historic milestone as renewables overtook coal power for the first time in 100 years, accounting for 33.8% of the global mix. This shift was driven by a record increase in solar power generation (636 TWh), which alone met 75% of the global electricity demand growth. Consequently, global fossil generation saw a slight decline of 38 TWh, marking the first such decrease since 2020 outside of a global recession or exceptionally mild year. This trend was most prominent in China and India, where fossil generation fell for the first time simultaneously in the 21st century. While Asia remains the only region where coal still exceeds renewables, the global emissions intensity of electricity fell to 458 gCO2e per kilowatt hour in 2025.
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Document type: Report
Electricity demand and supply trends
In 2025, global electricity generation saw a significant shift toward low-carbon sources, with solar and wind reaching a combined 17.3% share of total generation. Solar was the fastest-growing source, adding 636 TWh and meeting 75% of global demand growth. Conversely, coal's share of global electricity fell below one-third for the first time on record to 33.0%, and renewable generation exceeded coal generation for the first time. Low-carbon sources (including nuclear) reached 42.6% of total generation, while the emissions intensity of electricity dropped by 2.7% in 2025, the largest annual decline in two decades.
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Document type: Report
Major Countries and Regions
The report provides a detailed analysis of the power sectors of seven major countries and regions in 2025, which collectively represent 72% of global electricity demand. Key trends include China's unprecedented solar growth and first absolute decline in power sector emissions since 2015, the US seeing wind and solar overtake nuclear power for the first time, and the EU's wind and solar generation exceeding fossil generation. India saw renewable growth double its demand increase, while Brazil maintained one of the cleanest systems globally with 87% renewable generation. Conversely, Russia and Japan continue to rely heavily on fossil fuels, with Russia's wind and solar remaining marginal at less than 1% of its mix.
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Document type: Report
Global Electricity Review 2026
In 2025, global electricity demand grew by 2.8% (849 TWh), all of which was met by low-carbon power generation, leading to a 0.2% decline in fossil fuel generation. Solar power was the primary driver, increasing by a record 636 TWh (30%) and meeting 75% of the net demand increase. For the first time in the modern era, renewables (33.8%) overtook coal (33.0%) in the global electricity mix. This shift was led by China and India, both of which saw declines in fossil generation in 2025. Additionally, battery storage is scaling rapidly, with costs falling 45% in 2025, enabling the shift of daytime solar generation to other hours.
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Document type: Report
Scaling Transition Intelligence
The document demonstrates how banks can move beyond high-level corporate ambition assessments by using bottom-up, asset-level data to project emissions trajectories. Using ArcelorMittal as a case study, it shows that comparing these projections against company targets and global/regional transition pathways reveals 'execution gaps' and exposure to transition risks. This 'transition intelligence' allows sustainability, risk, and front-office teams to identify specific technology lock-in risks and structure tailored transition-finance products.
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Document type: Briefing
Leveraging Copper for Economic Transformation
Zambia, the world's 10th-largest copper producer, seeks to diversify its economy by moving beyond raw mineral exports. While the country has strong midstream capacity, refining and downstream manufacturing remain limited. The report identifies critical bottlenecks, most notably unreliable electricity and high logistics costs, and recommends a phased strategy: first scaling smelting and refining to capture immediate revenue, then building the infrastructure and skills necessary for high-value manufacturing. It emphasizes that Zambia's low-carbon energy mix is a strategic advantage for attracting global buyers seeking sustainable copper.
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Document type: Report
A response to Bohigas et al
The document argues that the global military carbon footprint estimates provided by Bohigas et al (ranging from 0.5% to 1.3% of global emissions) are unreliable due to implausible assumptions and incomplete data. Specifically, it notes that the lower estimate assumes non-US militaries have zero emissions, while the upper estimate relies on US emissions intensity which may not reflect the higher fossil-fuel intensity of other major military spenders like China, Russia, India, and Saudi Arabia. The author further highlights the omission of aviation's upper-atmosphere heating effects, 'scope 3+' war-fighting impacts, and the potential of environmentally-extended input output models (EEIOMs) to provide more accurate data.
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Document type: Statement
Methane intensity for oil and gas production: Key methodological considerations
The report examines various formulas for calculating methane intensity, evaluating trade-offs between simplicity, accuracy, and applicability. It specifically addresses the needs of the EU Methane Regulation, which requires a methodology for producer-level intensity by August 2027 to set maximum intensity thresholds for oil and gas placed on the Union market by 2030. The analysis covers key decisions such as using single versus separate formulas for oil and gas, the choice between produced and marketed product denominators, and the appropriate level of granularity for reporting.
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Document type: Report
Built to peak: Coal power expansion runs out of room in China
China experienced a record surge in coal power commissioning and project proposals in 2025, despite a decline in actual coal power generation and the rapid growth of clean energy and storage. The report highlights a growing gap between investment decisions and system realities, noting that new capacity is dominated by large, inflexible units designed for baseload operation. This trend risks creating stranded assets and structural barriers to decarbonisation. The authors argue that the 15th Five-Year Plan must end net coal capacity growth and shift coal's role from a primary energy source to a flexible, residual support system to meet 2030 climate targets.
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Document type: Report
How many emissions are in a standard barrel of oil and gas? It’s complicated but quantifiable.
RMI explains that emissions from oil and gas are not uniform and vary based on resource type, asset age, and location. Using its Oil Climate Index plus gas (OCI+) tool, RMI highlights that methane emissions intensities in the United States can vary more than 10-fold. The document emphasizes the disproportionate impact of 'marginal wells'—which make up 75% of producing wells in the US but contribute less than 5% of production—and advocates for life-cycle emissions analysis to guide strategic interventions.
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Document type: Fact sheet
A Decade of Transformation: China's Path to Fertilizer Reduction and Efficiency Gains
The document highlights the high carbon intensity of synthetic fertilizer production, which relies heavily on coal and natural gas, and the significant nitrous oxide emissions released during field application. It identifies China as a key global market player that has implemented an integrated governance framework combining policy, market mechanisms, and technology to coordinate the low-carbon transition of its fertilizer industry.
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Document type: Report
ERS Spotlight Electrification and Energy Efficiency
The document examines how electrifying heating systems and improving energy efficiency in buildings can reduce urban emissions, highlighting Copenhagen's achievement of reducing building-related emissions by over 60% between 2019 and 2023. It notes that while such measures reduce emissions at the source, they can increase induced emissions if the electricity grid remains carbon-intensive.
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Document type: Fact sheet
How To Assess the Alignment of Corporate Investment Pipelines
The document outlines a forward-looking framework for financial institutions to evaluate corporate investment alignment. It moves beyond high-level disclosures by analyzing asset-level data to project future emissions and production trajectories. The process involves selecting metrics, gathering asset data, calculating company-level trajectories, choosing benchmarks (such as IEA scenarios or company targets), and interpreting the 'alignment delta' to identify transition risks and engagement opportunities.
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Document type: Guide