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42 results
Publicly accessible data retrofit social housing
The paper examines the use of publicly accessible data and computer vision to address the challenge of incomplete building information for energy retrofits in the UK. The authors find that combining data from sources like Google Street View and Energy Performance Certificates with machine learning models can effectively categorize wall construction and architectural styles, providing a viable evidence-gathering resource for early-stage planning. However, a workshop with industry and government stakeholders revealed that inconsistent data formats and limited sharing continue to hinder systematic planning, suggesting that practical application requires better standardization and human oversight.
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Document type: Research paper
A Care Approach to Achieving Gender Justice in Southern African Food Systems in the Context of Climate Change
The document examines the intersection of climate change, gender, and food systems in southern Africa, arguing that climate shocks intensify the burden of unpaid care work disproportionately borne by rural and working-class women. It critiques technocratic, productivity-focused agricultural policies and proposes a framework based on Feminist Ecological Economics and Feminist Political Ecology to reorient food systems around human needs and ecological regeneration. Key recommendations include the redistribution of care work, support for agroecology, and the implementation of gender-responsive fiscal policies.
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Document type: Research paper
Capacity development for locally led knowledge co-production
The paper addresses a gap in literature regarding the practical capacities needed to facilitate transdisciplinary knowledge co-production. Drawing on lessons from the DIRECTED project's real-world labs in Europe, the authors propose a framework of four key capacities—collaborative, systems thinking, creative, and reflexive—and detail the corresponding skills necessary for both academic researchers and practitioner hosts to effectively manage local sustainability and disaster resilience challenges.
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Document type: Research paper
Intraseasonal teleconnections between South America and South Africa
The research identifies strong intraseasonal teleconnections between South American and South African daily rainfall, with South American anomalies leading by 4-5 days. The mechanisms vary by season: summer involves both local Walker cell modulation and extratropical Rossby wave trains, while winter is dominated by Rossby wave trains and subtropical influences. These processes create circulation changes in southern Africa that favor rainfall-producing systems like cutoff lows.
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Document type: Research paper
Towards A Global AI Auditing Framework: Assessment and Recommendations
The report analyzes the current AI audit ecosystem, identifying critical gaps in auditor independence, data access, and the failure to account for global sociotechnical impacts. It uses New York City's Local Law 144 as a case study to illustrate how regulatory-driven audits often prioritize transparency over actual harm mitigation. To address these issues, the authors propose a comprehensive Global AI Auditing Framework that emphasizes multidisciplinary teams, participatory stakeholder engagement, and the inclusion of labor and environmental criteria to ensure accountability across the AI supply chain.
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Document type: Research paper
Boosting adaptation through climate change literacy in Africa
The research paper examines the role of climate change literacy in Africa, highlighting a significant gap in public understanding of the human causes of climate change despite high perceptions of its impacts. It argues that increasing literacy—particularly for women and vulnerable populations—is essential for informed adaptation decisions, reducing vulnerability, and achieving the UN 2030 Sustainable Development Goals. The paper emphasizes the need for localized climate data, early warning systems, and the integration of climate literacy into education and policy to manage risks such as climate-forced migration and economic disruptions in sectors like hydropower.
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Document type: Research paper
Making blended finance work for nature-based solutions
The document argues that the global biodiversity finance gap—estimated at an annual need of USD 536 billion by 2050—cannot be closed by grants alone. It proposes a blended finance approach that integrates information, regulatory, economic, institutional, and financial instruments to de-risk investments and catalyze private capital. Using the Green Climate Fund's (GCF) portfolio as a basis, the paper demonstrates how combining instruments (e.g., pairing carbon credits with parametric insurance), sequencing them along a maturity-concessionality gradient (e.g., the Amazon Bioeconomy Fund), and establishing long-term partnerships (e.g., Project Finance for Permanence) can create sustainable financial models for nature-based solutions.
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Document type: Research paper
The Epidemic-Terrorism Nexus and How to Safeguard Africa Against Bioterrorism
The document explores the 'epidemic-terrorism nexus,' specifically how terrorist groups exploit disease crises and disrupt public health efforts. Using the Global Polio Eradication Initiative (GPEI) as a case study in Nigeria, Pakistan, and Afghanistan, the author argues that bioterrorism should be redefined to include the indirect undermining of health interventions through violence and anti-vaccination rhetoric. The paper warns that Africa's vulnerability to this nexus is under-researched, particularly following the disruptions caused by the COVID-19 pandemic.
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Document type: Research paper
How are the big three rating agencies impacting African countries?
The paper examines the rise of Eurobond issuance in Africa as governments seek alternatives to aid, noting that sovereign credit ratings from Moody’s, Fitch, and S&P are essential for market access. It finds that most African countries' ratings have deteriorated since their first assessment, leading to higher borrowing costs and prioritizing debt repayment over human rights and health during the COVID-19 pandemic. The authors criticize the 'big three' for their oligopolistic nature, unreliable methodologies, and limited physical presence in Africa, recommending increased regulation, accountability, and transparency in how Eurobond funds are utilized.
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Document type: Research paper
Fair contributions versus fastest possible reductions
The authors contend that because urgent global emission reductions are required, the focus must shift from whether a national pathway is 'fair' to how quickly emissions can be reduced in all countries. They propose a framework where developed countries, whose domestic potential may be lower than their fair share responsibility, provide financial and non-financial support to developing countries to implement high-ambition reductions and avoid sectoral lock-ins. This support should target difficult-to-decarbonize sectors such as energy supply, industry, buildings, and transport, utilizing instruments like international climate finance and Article 6.4 market mechanisms.
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Document type: Research paper
Analysis of Optimal Thresholds for the Identification of Open Water Using MODIS-Derived Spectral Indices in Two Coastal Wetland Systems, Mexico
The study evaluates remote sensing approaches using MODIS data to map open water surfaces, concluding that the MNDWI6 spectral index effectively maps large water bodies and that a new method for optimizing detection thresholds improves accuracy.
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Document type: Research paper
Unifying explanation for variation in ozone sensitivity among woody plants
The research finds that ozone tolerance in woody plants is closely linked to leaf dry mass per unit leaf area (LMA). The study demonstrates that using a mass-based stomatal flux index rather than an area-based one reduces the variation in ozone sensitivity across species and allows the responses of broadleaf and needle-leaf species to converge, suggesting that LMA is a key trait for improving large-scale ozone impact assessments.
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Document type: Research paper
Addressing fossil fuel production under the UNFCCC: Paris and beyond
The document examines the gap in the Paris Agreement regarding fossil fuel supply and proposes mechanisms to address it. It suggests that countries could use Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) and Long-Term Strategies (LTSs) to articulate production phase-downs. The authors argue that such actions would provide clearer signals to financial markets, foster international norms, and support a just transition for affected workers. The paper identifies several entry points within the Paris Agreement, including the enhanced transparency framework, the global stocktake, and finance reform, while acknowledging that consensus-based decision-making in the UNFCCC may require a 'coalition of the willing' to lead by example.
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Document type: Research paper
Understanding ‘bankability’ and unlocking climate finance for climate compatible development
The document explores the multifaceted meaning of 'bankability' in climate finance, arguing that it extends beyond traditional financial returns to include socioeconomic and environmental impacts. It provides lessons from CDKN's work in Africa, Asia, and Latin America, highlighting how bankability requirements differ between public and private funders and between mitigation and adaptation projects. The paper concludes with a guiding checklist for project developers to improve the success rate of proposals submitted to multilateral funds like the Green Climate Fund (GCF).
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Document type: Research paper
The Role of Public Procurement in Deploying Sustainable Infrastructure
The document argues that sustainable public procurement is essential for deploying infrastructure that optimizes value for money (VfM) across the entire asset life cycle. It details the roles of governments, development banks, and private investors in managing environmental and social risks, and examines the legal instruments—such as UNCITRAL and EU directives—that enable the integration of sustainability into tendering. The paper also discusses the importance of Environmental Impact Assessments (EIAs) and the use of financial incentives like green bonds and accelerated depreciation to encourage green innovation.
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Document type: Research paper
Communicating Drought Risk
The document introduces a set of 10 principles for communicating drought risks in a changing climate, developed as part of the DRY (Drought Risk and You) research project. This project investigates how the integration of science and storytelling can produce new decision-making tools for managing drought risks, noting that climate change may lead to the simultaneous occurrence of droughts and floods.
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Document type: Research paper
PUBLIC-PRIVATE PARTNERSHIPS IN CHINA
The document examines the evolution of public-private partnerships (PPPs) in China, highlighting 2014 as a pivotal year due to a surge in official guidelines and a strategic shift toward market-led resource allocation. It identifies high local government debt and massive infrastructure needs for urbanization as primary drivers. However, it notes significant barriers, including political and regulatory uncertainties, poor risk allocation, and a lack of 'value for money' (VFM) evaluations. The paper recommends shifting the focus from PPPs as mere funding sources to tools for efficiency and innovation, advocating for performance-based specifications and life-cycle asset management to ensure sustainable development.
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Document type: Research paper
Community-Company Engagements: “Good” Practice in the Extractive Industries?
The document analyzes the evolution of community-company engagements in the mining, oil, and gas sectors, emphasizing the need for community-driven processes to ensure fair outcomes. It categorizes types of agreements—ranging from Joint Venture Agreements to Consultation and Negotiation Agreements—and evaluates the risks associated with government-led processes. Through case studies in Papua New Guinea, Indonesia, and Ghana, the paper highlights the importance of self-identification of affected communities and the role of international human rights frameworks, such as the UN Guiding Principles and FPIC, in protecting community rights.
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Document type: Research paper
La pobreza energética y sus implicaciones
The document defines energy poverty as the lack of access to adequate, affordable, and sustainable energy services, highlighting its severe impacts on health, economic productivity, and the environment. It notes that 1.3 billion people lack electricity and 2.7 billion rely on biomass for cooking, with the highest concentrations in Sub-Saharan Africa and Asia. The author argues that while energy consumption is a necessary condition for development, universal access could be achieved by 2030 with an annual investment of 30-35 billion USD, a sum significantly lower than current global fossil fuel subsidies.
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Document type: Research paper
Scaling up carbon finance through CDM Programmes of Activities: challenges for low-income household energy projects in South Africa
The document examines the limitations of the Kyoto Protocol's Clean Development Mechanism (CDM), specifically its single-site approach, and evaluates the potential of Programmes of Activities (PoA) to better support household energy projects in low-income areas of South Africa.
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Document type: Research paper