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The Russian coal sector in a low-carbon world: Prospects for a Coal Transition?
The Russian coal sector provides a negligible contribution to the national GDP but remains politically significant due to regional employment and historical stability concerns. While the Russian government continues to anticipate growth in coal exports, particularly to Asia, the report argues that this is unrealistic given the global low-carbon transition, the obsolescence of Russia's coal-fired power fleet, and the increasing competitiveness of renewable energy. The document highlights that the sector is heavily reliant on indirect government subsidies, such as reduced rail tariffs. It proposes a three-part just transition framework consisting of social re-employment programmes, regional economic diversification (especially in the Kuzbass region), and the implementation of a domestic carbon price to internalize environmental costs.
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Document type: Report
THE NEW LEGAL FRAMEWORK FOR RAILROAD AUTHORIZATIONS REQUIRES ADJUSTMENTS TO STRENGTHEN THE SOCIO-ENVIRONMENTAL, GOVERNANCE, AND TRANSPARENCY ASPECTS OF PROJECTS
The briefing argues that Brazil's new railroad authorization system, designed to streamline private sector infrastructure grants, lacks the necessary procedural clarity and transparency to ensure adequate socio-environmental oversight. It identifies critical gaps in the requirements for technical studies, the autonomy of the analyzing authority, and the public disclosure of project data, proposing specific amendments to PL no. 261/2018 to mitigate these risks.
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Document type: Briefing
STUDIES AGREE 80 PERCENT CLEAN ELECTRICITY BY 2030 WOULD SAVE LIVES AND CREATE JOBS AT MINIMAL COST
The report analyzes 11 recent studies, concluding that a transition to 80% clean electricity by 2030 in the U.S. is feasible, affordable, and critical for meeting national climate goals. Key findings indicate that such a transition would be driven primarily by wind, solar, and battery storage, resulting in significant job growth, reduced premature deaths, and substantial avoided health and climate damages, with minimal impact on consumer electricity bills.
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Document type: Report
NO NEW COAL BY 2021
The global pipeline of proposed coal power plants has collapsed by 76% since the 2015 Paris Agreement, with 1,175GW of projects cancelled. While China remains the largest pursuer of coal, hosting 55% of the remaining pre-construction pipeline, many OECD and non-OECD countries have already committed to or are positioned for 'no new coal'. The report highlights that action by six countries—China, India, Viet Nam, Indonesia, Turkey, and Bangladesh—could remove 82% of the remaining global pre-construction pipeline.
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Document type: Report
The Three Seas Initiative’s Failing Case For Gas
The Three Seas Initiative (3SI) is criticized for prioritizing fossil gas infrastructure over renewable energy, which risks locking in emissions beyond 2050 and violating the EU's Climate Law. As of July 2021, fossil gas projects outnumber renewables in the 3SI database by more than two to one. Many of these gas projects are described as 'zombie projects'—outdated relics that have failed to attract financing or remain unutilized, such as the BRUA and Eastring pipelines. The document highlights that EU gas consumption must decline sharply to meet a 55% emissions reduction by 2030. While the 3SI Investment Fund (3SIIF) recently made its first energy investment in solar developer Enery Development, the briefing argues that significant political and financial shifts, including from the US, are needed to catalyze the region's renewable energy potential and align with the 'Fit for 55' package.
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Document type: Briefing
ACHIEVING A FOSSIL-FREE RECOVERY IN INDONESIA
The document analyzes Indonesia's National Economic Recovery (PEN) program, finding that 2020 spending heavily favored fossil fuel-related state-owned enterprises and subsidies over clean energy. It highlights a gap in renewable energy targets—reaching only 11.2% in 2020 against a 13.4% target—and recommends reforming fossil fuel subsidies and implementing conditional fiscal support to accelerate the energy transition.
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Document type: Policy brief
Global update
The September 2021 Global Update by the Climate Action Tracker (CAT) finds that global climate action continues to lag behind the requirements for limiting warming to 1.5°C. While some countries have updated their NDCs, the 2030 emissions gap remains significant, estimated at 20 to 23 GtCO2e. The report introduces a new rating system that integrates targets, policies, and climate finance, revealing that only The Gambia is overall 1.5°C Paris Agreement compatible. Most net zero targets are rated as poor or incomplete, and developed countries are failing to provide sufficient international climate finance or implement policies that align with their fair share of global mitigation efforts.
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Document type: Briefing
Climate Action Tracker CAT rating methodology
The Climate Action Tracker (CAT) 2021 rating methodology employs a dual-framework approach, combining 'fair share' principles and 'modelled domestic pathways' to assess government climate action. It evaluates targets (domestic and international), implemented policies, and climate finance to determine an overall rating. The system distinguishes between developed countries, which are expected to provide finance and meet stringent domestic targets, and developing countries, which may require international support to achieve full decarbonisation. The methodology specifically excludes land use, land-use change, and forestry (LULUCF) from main ratings but flags them when they significantly impact a country's emissions profile.
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Document type: Report
Closing the gap
The report finds that current G20 commitments put the world on a trajectory for 2.4°C of warming by 2100. While announced but non-formalised pledges could lower this to 2.1°C, only an 'enhanced ambition' scenario—where all G20 members align 2030 targets with 1.5°C pathways and commit to mid-century net zero—could limit warming to 1.7°C. The authors argue that G20 countries, accounting for 75% of global emissions, are uniquely positioned to close three-quarters of the temperature gap, provided they accelerate near-term action and developed nations ramp up financial support to developing countries.
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Document type: Research paper
Assessment of new coal generation capacity targets in South Africa’s 2019 Integrated Resource Plan for Electricity
The study finds that new coal generation is unnecessary for energy security, more expensive than renewable alternatives, and incompatible with the Paris Agreement. Modelling shows that forcing 1.5 GW of new coal into the power system increases total discounted costs by R23 billion in a reference scenario and R109 billion in a climate policy scenario, while reducing GDP and employment.
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Document type: Research paper
GREEN BONDS IN SOUTH AFRICA
The report examines how green bonds and transition finance can support South Africa's shift from a coal-dependent energy system to a low-carbon economy. It highlights the critical role of the two largest emitters, Eskom and Sasol, and proposes various financial models, including sovereign green bonds and asset-backed securities, to attract international capital while managing the social implications of a 'Just Transition'.
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Document type: Report
PECULIARIDADES DO CRÉDITO RURAL NO CERRADO
The report examines rural credit in the Cerrado, noting that while the biome accounts for about one-third of Brazil's rural credit and agricultural production, financing is highly concentrated. Average contract values in the Cerrado are 181% higher than in other biomes, primarily benefiting large-scale soy and cattle producers. While there is a growing trend toward private funding sources like Agribusiness Credit Notes (LCA), public banks—specifically Banco do Brasil—continue to dominate distribution. The study highlights a significant gap in credit access for small and medium producers (Pronaf and Pronamp), arguing that improving this access is essential for increasing productivity and reducing deforestation pressures.
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Document type: Report
NUEVA TECNOLOGÍA, NUEVO NEGOCIO: Opciones de políticas mineras frente a las nuevas tecnologías
The document analyzes how disruptive technologies—including AI, automation, and 5G—are transforming large-scale mining, potentially reducing low-skilled employment and eroding tax bases. It proposes a collaborative policy framework involving education reform, local innovation support, and the use of mining data to improve government oversight and community resilience.
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Document type: Executive summary
CURRENT STATUS OF MINE CLOSURE READINESS: ARE GOVERNMENTS PREPARED?
The document evaluates global government preparedness for mine closure, finding significant gaps in policy, financial assurance, and community engagement regardless of a country's development level. It highlights that while most jurisdictions require closure plans, the quality of these plans and the capacity of regulators to review them are often insufficient. Key risks include a lack of full financial assurance for closure costs and a widespread absence of records for closed or abandoned mines. The briefing argues that capacity and experience are the primary barriers to readiness and recommends that governments adopt international standards, engage communities throughout the mine life cycle, and build internal technical expertise.
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Document type: Briefing
SITUACIÓN ACTUAL RESPECTO AL GRADO DE PREPARACIÓN EN CIERRE DE MINAS: ¿CÓMO ESTÁN LOS GOBIERNOS EN ESTE SENTIDO?
The document reveals that while most governments recognize the importance of mine closure, many lack the policies, financial instruments, and technical capacity to manage them effectively. Key gaps include insufficient financial assurances, low community participation, and a lack of formal records for closed mines. The report emphasizes that these deficiencies pose environmental and social risks, particularly as hundreds of medium and large-scale mines are expected to close in the coming decades.
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Document type: Briefing
ÉTAT ACTUEL DE LA PRÉPARATION À LA FERMETURE DES MINES : LES GOUVERNEMENTS SONT-ILS PRÊTS ?
The document finds that while most governments recognize the importance of mine closure, many lack the policies, financial guarantees, and technical capacity to manage the process effectively, leaving them exposed to environmental and social risks.
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Document type: Briefing
NEW TECH, NEW DEAL: Mining policy options in the face of new technology
The report examines how the 'Fourth Industrial Revolution'—including AI, automation, and IoT—is transforming large-scale mining. While these technologies improve safety and efficiency, they risk displacing low- and semi-skilled workers and reducing local procurement. The authors propose a 'New Deal' comprising updated education and skills training, innovative social impact investing, revised taxation, and the use of technology itself to benefit local communities and artisanal mining.
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Document type: Report
New Tech, New Deal: Mining policy options in the face of new technology
The report examines how digitization, AI, and automation are restructuring the mining industry, potentially reducing low-skilled employment and altering fiscal revenues for host countries. It suggests a 'new deal' based on collaboration between governments and companies, focusing on skills training, economic diversification through social impact investing, and the strategic use of technology to benefit local communities and artisanal miners.
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Document type: Executive summary
Nouvelles technologies, nouvelle donne
The document examines how digitalization, automation, and AI are transforming the mining sector, potentially reducing low-skilled employment and eroding tax bases in host countries. It suggests a shift toward collaborative policies focusing on STEM education, social impact investments for economic diversification, and the use of mining data to improve fiscal governance and community safety.
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Document type: Executive summary
Too Hot to Work
The report finds that without action to reduce emissions, outdoor workers in the US will face a three- to fourfold increase in exposure to dangerous heat (heat index above 100°F) by midcentury, putting up to $55.4 billion in annual earnings at risk. It highlights that Black/African American and Hispanic/Latino workers are disproportionately represented in outdoor occupations and will bear a heavier burden of these losses. The authors argue that current voluntary heat guidelines are insufficient and call for the enactment of the Asunción Valdivia Heat Illness and Prevention Act of 2021 to establish mandatory, enforceable federal heat safety standards.
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Document type: Report