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2,011 documents from South African Institute of International Affairs
BUILDING CLIMATE RESILIENCE IN TANZANIA: INSTITUTIONAL REFORM AND CAPACITY DEVELOPMENT
The document argues that Tanzania's climate resilience is hindered by a lack of national policy, poor integration of climate issues into sectoral plans, and a significant disconnect between national-level data and local farming needs. It highlights the vulnerability of the agricultural sector, which supports over 80% of the population, to increasing temperatures and erratic rainfall. Key recommendations include decentralising meteorological services, increasing the number of trained climate scientists, and strengthening public-private partnerships to provide credit and insurance for adaptive technologies.
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Document type: Policy brief
EXPLORING TANZANIA’S INVESTMENT COMPETITIVENESS IN EAST AFRICA
Tanzania has liberalized its economy and leveraged political stability and strategic location to become a leading FDI destination in the East African Community. However, the country faces significant structural challenges, including a lack of skilled labor, cumbersome land tenure systems, and an outdated network of first-generation bilateral investment treaties that limit the government's policy space for industrial development. The paper recommends modernizing investment treaties, reforming land laws to empower smallholders, and strengthening the Tanzania Investment Centre to better integrate local SMEs into global value chains.
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Document type: Research paper
COOPERATIVE WATER GOVERNANCE FOR CLIMATE RESILIENCE: ARE INSTITUTIONAL ARRANGEMENTS IN SOUTHERN AFRICA FIT FOR PURPOSE?
The document argues that current transboundary water governance in Southern Africa is inadequate due to a prioritisation of national sovereignty over regional integration. It highlights how climate change acts as a 'stress multiplier', exacerbating water scarcity and threatening energy and food security, as seen in the 2015/16 hydropower crises in Zambia and Zimbabwe. The author contends that while bilateral agreements (like the Zambezi River Act) provide some success in benefit-sharing, broader basin-level cooperation is hindered by weak mandates for river basin organisations (RBOs) and a lack of quantified economic co-benefits. The paper advocates for a 'positive-sum' approach to water management, integrating climate risks into investment planning to unlock international climate finance and prevent cross-border disputes.
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Document type: Research paper
GOVERNING THE HIGH SEAS: MARINE GENETIC RESOURCES IN AREAS BEYOND NATIONAL JURISDICTION
The document examines the efforts of the UN General Assembly and the Preparatory Committee (Prepcom) to create a legally binding instrument under UNCLOS for the conservation and sustainable use of marine biological diversity in areas beyond national jurisdiction (ABNJ). It highlights significant divergences between developed and developing states regarding access and benefit-sharing (ABS) of marine genetic resources, the application of the 'common heritage of mankind' principle, and the design of institutional structures. While Prepcom 4 produced an outcome document identifying areas of convergence and divergence, the brief emphasizes the need for a focus on non-monetary benefits—such as capacity building and technology transfer—to address the technical and economic disparities between nations without disincentivizing marine scientific research.
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Document type: Policy brief
Lesotho: 4 ways to boost growth and stability
The briefing argues that Lesotho must diversify its economy beyond SACU revenue and textile exports to the US, improve human rights to maintain AGOA eligibility, and upskill its female workforce to mitigate the risks of automation and the 2025 expiration of preferential trade access.
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Document type: Briefing
Dangerous slippage in the DRC
The research paper examines 'le glissement' (slippage), the strategy used by President Joseph Kabila of the Democratic Republic of Congo to delay elections and extend his mandate beyond December 2016. The author argues that Kabila's appointment of a non-inclusive government and his disregard for the December 2016 agreement have fueled widespread demonstrations and insecurity. This instability creates a cycle that further justifies electoral delays. The document critiques the UN Security Council's decision to reduce MONUSCO troop levels despite rising violence in the Kasai and eastern regions, and notes that while South Africa has the logistical experience and diplomatic ties to assist, its commitment to non-interference and close relationship with Kabila may hinder its effectiveness as a mediator.
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Document type: Research paper
Joint Statement on Commitment to the Paris Climate Agreement
The statement asserts that the U.S. decision to withdraw from the Paris Climate Agreement isolates the country and threatens global efforts to limit temperature rise. It argues that climate protection is essential for the 2030 Agenda, job creation, and the protection of marginalised groups. The signatories call for Germany, the European Union, and middle-income countries in the South to intensify their implementation of the Accord and strengthen international climate alliances to counter the U.S. exit.
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Document type: Statement
THE NEXUS BETWEEN PROSPERITY IN THE AFRICAN MARITIME DOMAIN AND MARITIME SECURITY
The document examines the nexus between the 'Blue Economy' and 'maritime security' within the African maritime domain, arguing that economic prosperity from ocean resources is dependent on the protection of marine resources, property, and life. It highlights that maritime insecurity—driven by criminal activities such as piracy, trafficking, and fisheries crime—acts as a barrier to economic growth. The author emphasizes the need for African states to move beyond contested definitions and adopt holistic national maritime strategies. A central recommendation is the ratification and implementation of the African Charter on Maritime Security, Safety and Development (Lomé Charter) to foster regional collaboration, information sharing, and capacity building.
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Document type: Policy brief
LOW-CARBON ENERGY TRANSITION IN AFRICA: INSIGHTS FROM WEST AFRICA
The document argues that while Africa has immense renewable energy potential, its transition to a low-carbon economy is hindered by fragmented governance, inadequate investment, and a reliance on hydrocarbon assets that risk becoming 'stranded'. It highlights the specific challenges in West Africa, where over 57% of the population lacks electricity access despite abundant solar, wind, and hydro resources. Using Nigeria as a case study, the briefing notes a trend toward decentralized solar projects in universities and businesses, but warns that these must be integrated into national grids to avoid inefficient clusters. The authors recommend that African governments prioritize robust, adapted technologies and align country-level actions with regional visions to build climate resilience.
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Document type: Policy brief
IMPROVING FOREST GOVERNANCE IN EAST AFRICA’S EASTERN ARC MOUNTAINS
The Eastern Arc Mountains in Tanzania and Kenya have lost approximately 70% of their original forest cover due to deforestation and degradation. Despite a comprehensive legislative framework and significant donor funding—including $75 million for REDD+ activities in Tanzania between 2009 and 2014—governance remains ineffective. Key drivers include high population growth and a heavy reliance on biomass for energy, with Dar es Salaam residents using over 1,900 tonnes of charcoal daily. The document argues that while participatory forest management through Local Authority and Village Land Forest Reserves shows promise, success is hindered by poor land tenure, lack of economic alternatives to charcoal, and insufficient state capacity. It recommends strengthening the science-policy interface, promoting climate-smart agriculture, and increasing resource allocation for state forestry agencies.
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Document type: Policy brief
HOW CIVIC TECHNOLOGY CAN DRIVE ACCOUNTABILITY IN SOUTH AFRICA
The document examines the evolution of 'Technology for Accountability' (T4A) in South Africa, moving from early open data portals to civic technology apps, and finally to the 'accountability stack' approach. It argues that technology is merely a 'pipe' and not a driver of change itself; instead, sustainable impact requires partnering with civil society organisations (CSOs) and journalists to ensure data is used to solve human problems. The author highlights several South African tools—such as Wazimap and Municipal Money—and recommends that T4A projects be framed by the resolution of a person's problem rather than the delivery of a technical tool.
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Document type: Policy brief
African politics meets Chinese engineers: The Chinese-built Standard Gauge Railway Project in Kenya and East Africa
The document analyzes the Mombasa-Nairobi Standard Gauge Railway (SGR), a US$3.8 billion project financed largely by China. It argues that most controversies surrounding the project—including corruption, land disputes, and labor tensions—stem from Kenya's neo-patrimonial political culture and governance failures rather than Chinese predatory behavior. While the SGR has provided local employment and skills training, the authors highlight concerns over its economic viability, the lack of transparent bidding, and the environmental impact on wildlife corridors in Tsavo National Park.
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Document type: Research paper
CLIMBING THE INCLUSION LADDER: ARTISANAL GOLD MINING IN TANZANIA
The document examines artisanal and small-scale mining (ASM) in Tanzania as a critical but under-governed source of employment and income. It argues that while the sector provides a vital livelihood for approximately 1.5 million people, it is plagued by severe health and safety risks, specifically mercury poisoning and pit collapses, and environmental degradation such as deforestation. The author contends that current legislation, specifically the 2010 Mining Act, prioritizes large-scale mining (LSM) and creates bureaucratic and financial barriers that marginalize artisanal miners. To harness the sector's potential, the paper recommends lowering licensing costs, improving geological information access, and implementing context-sensitive technology rollouts, such as mercury-recycling retorts, through partnerships between the government, private sector, and international organizations.
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Document type: Research paper
HARNESSING INVESTMENT IN TANZANIA’S AGRICULTURAL SECTOR FOR INCLUSIVE GROWTH: WHERE TO FROM HERE?
The paper examines the gap between Tanzania's high agricultural growth potential and the persistent poverty of its smallholder farmers. It analyzes the role of the Tanzanian Investment Centre (TIC), the impact of land tenure insecurity, and the potential of 'mega-PPPs' like the Southern Agriculture Growth Corridor of Tanzania (SAGCOT) to drive inclusive development. The author argues that while policies exist to stimulate investment, structural bottlenecks in taxation, infrastructure, and land rights hinder smallholders from moving beyond subsistence farming into commercial value chains.
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Document type: Research paper
A REGIONAL POWER IN THE MAKING: ETHIOPIAN DIPLOMACY IN THE HORN OF AFRICA
The paper analyzes the Foreign Affairs and National Security Policy and Strategy (FANSPS) of Ethiopia, which prioritizes domestic security and development over external concerns. While this approach has supported economic growth and regional mediation roles, the author argues it has led to strategic vulnerabilities, including a failure to secure sea access and an underestimation of threats from Eritrea and Egypt. The document recommends a more proactive, opportunity-based diplomatic approach to enhance regional trade and security.
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Document type: Research paper
TANZANIA’S TRANSPORT HUB: WHAT PROSPECTS FOR REGIONAL TRADE AND LOCAL ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT?
The paper examines Tanzania's strategic potential as a maritime hub, focusing on the Dar es Salaam Port and the Central and Dar es Salaam corridors. It highlights significant infrastructure deficits, particularly in the rail sector, and evaluates the role of public-private partnerships (PPPs) and foreign direct investment (FDI) in bridging the finance gap. The author argues that while port upgrades are progressing, the dilapidated state of railways undermines regional competitiveness. The document concludes with recommendations to prioritise the repair of existing narrow-gauge railways, improve PPP management, and implement targeted strategies to ensure that infrastructure investments translate into local skills transfer and employment.
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Document type: Research paper
DEMOCRATIC DEVOLUTION: STRUCTURING CITIZEN PARTICIPATION IN SUB-NATIONAL GOVERNANCE
The document examines how decentralisation can enhance citizen engagement in governance, specifically at the regional level. Using South Africa as a primary case study, it argues that while basic participation methods are consistent across government levels, regional effectiveness is often hindered by unclear institutional design, a lack of authority to address demands, and the dominance of party-based political structures. The author evaluates various strategies—such as public hearings, petitions, and participatory budgeting—and concludes that robust participation requires a combination of clear division of responsibilities, adequate resourcing, responsive representation, and the strategic use of technology.
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Document type: Research paper
WILL TANZANIA’S NATURAL GAS ENDOWMENT GENERATE SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT?
Tanzania possesses estimated natural gas reserves of roughly 60 TCF, with the potential to generate up to $6 billion in annual revenue. While the country has established formal governance frameworks, including the Petroleum Act and the Tanzania Extractive Industries Transparency and Accountability Act, the paper argues that the actual impact on development depends on the political will to combat 'grand corruption' and the ability of civil society to hold the ruling coalition accountable. The author warns that windfall rents could incentivize elite predation and weaken the state's incentive to maintain a broad tax base, potentially destabilizing the political equilibrium.
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Document type: Research paper
THE EXTRACTIVE INDUSTRIES TRANSPARENCY INITIATIVE AND AFRICA’S MINERAL GOVERNANCE REGIME
The document examines the governance of Africa's extractive sectors, arguing that while the Extractive Industries Transparency Initiative (EITI) provides a valuable multi-stakeholder framework for revenue transparency, it must be complemented by national laws and regional cooperation to ensure true accountability. It highlights the gap between revenue disclosure and social spending, the challenges of beneficial ownership transparency, and the impact of political will on implementation. Case studies of Nigeria, Tanzania, and Zambia illustrate the varied success of institutionalising transparency and the persistent issues of reporting delays and exclusionary governance.
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Document type: Research paper
INTEGRATED COMMUNITY- AND ECOSYSTEM-BASED APPROACHES TO CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION
The document examines the shift from top-down, infrastructure-heavy climate adaptation to integrated, bottom-up approaches. It details the roles of Ecosystem-based Adaptation (EbA) and Community-based Adaptation (CbA), arguing that their conceptual overlap makes an integrated approach more effective. The author emphasizes the need for stronger quantitative evidence and the mainstreaming of these strategies into national and regional policy frameworks to achieve scale, drawing lessons from community-based natural resource management (CBNRM).
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Document type: Policy brief