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The briefing assesses the energy transition of the Three Seas Initiative (3SI) region, noting that while some countries have reduced gas demand and integrated grids, Russian gas imports rose in 2024 for several members. It warns that planned expansions of LNG and pipeline capacity by 2030 risk creating stranded assets due to declining demand. The author recommends that the 10th Three Seas Summit focus on a 2027 Russian gas phase-out, the creation of a 'Transmission Highway' for clean power, and the development of regional energy hubs.

The document critiques 'Method 2', a site-specific approach to estimating methane emissions at open-cut coal mines in Australia, noting that its compulsory implementation for large mines is undermined by measurement failures and a lack of independent verification. It advocates for the adoption of modern stationary and atmospheric measurement technologies and reforms in data collection and modelling to improve the accuracy of Australia's emissions inventory.

The document assesses the impact of Method 2 on coal mining emissions reporting in Australia, highlighting a significant gap between reported fugitive methane and satellite-derived estimates. It argues that the shift from state-based to site-specific emission factors has led to a consistent decrease in reported emissions, particularly in New South Wales, while production has continued to grow. The author recommends mandating regular updates to emission factors, increasing borehole density, expanding gas modelling extent, and implementing independent atmospheric verification using tools like the TROPOMI satellite to ensure the integrity of Australia's national inventory.

The policy brief examines the introduction of solar-hour time of day (ToD) tariffs for Indian households starting April 1, 2025. It assesses how these tariffs, which offer rebates during solar generation hours and surcharges during peak hours, affect non-rooftop solar (non-RTS) and rooftop solar (RTS) consumers across several states. The analysis finds that while non-RTS consumers may see bill reductions of 1-4%, RTS consumers may face longer payback periods due to peak surcharges. The author emphasizes that successful implementation requires accelerated smart meter deployment and state-specific, seasonal tariff designs.

A satellite-based study of six coal mining clusters in Australia indicates that fugitive methane emissions are significantly higher than official reports, with 2020 estimates showing 1.42 million tonnes released compared to the 1.01 million tonnes officially reported.

The report advocates for Australia to adopt satellite-based top-down verification for methane emissions to complement existing bottom-up estimates. It highlights the TROPOMI satellite's ability to provide frequent global daily coverage, making it suitable for verifying emissions across clustered coal mining areas despite its lower spatial resolution compared to point-source imagers. The document cites Canada's use of a hybrid reporting framework as a successful precedent and notes that 91% of Australia's annual coal production occurs in regions well-suited for such monitoring. It also identifies a need for spatially distributed methane inventories, noting that the Safeguard Mechanism's shift in April 2024 to report methane quantities rather than CO2-equivalent will facilitate these comparisons.

The report finds that officially reported coal mine methane emissions in Queensland and New South Wales are significantly under-reported. In Queensland, TROPOMI-based satellite estimates for 2020 showed emissions 11% higher than the state's total reported fugitives, despite only modelling four sub-regions. In New South Wales, satellite estimates for 2020 and 2021 identified methane levels nearly double the official reports, despite covering only approximately 61-64% of the state's coal production. Specific site analysis of the Hail Creek mine via satellite and aircraft measurements showed emissions 2.4 to 12.9 times higher than reported values.

Satellite analysis indicates that fugitive methane emissions from Australian open-cut coal mines are increasing, contradicting a decline in company-reported figures. This discrepancy is attributed to the adoption of 'Method 2', a site-specific emissions estimation approach that allows companies to move away from higher state-based averages. In New South Wales, where state-based factors are higher, 75% of open-cut mines use Method 2, contributing to a reported emissions decrease of 65–70% according to Reputex. Ember's reconstruction of emissions using the state-based 'Method 1' shows a closer correlation with satellite data, which found emissions 90% to 107% higher than reported figures for 2020 and 2021 respectively.

A satellite analysis using TROPOMI data reveals that Australia's coal mine methane emissions are significantly under-reported. For the 2020 financial year, satellite estimates for six mining clusters—representing 79% of black coal production—were 40% higher than the national total reported by the National Greenhouse Accounts. The discrepancy is most pronounced in New South Wales, where fugitive emissions were found to be approximately twice as high as official reports in both 2020 and 2021. The report attributes some of this variability to the adoption of 'Method 2', a site-specific company-led estimation approach for open-cut mines that often results in lower reported emissions compared to state-based averages (Method 1).

The UK government has announced a new subsidy package for Drax Power Station for 2027-2031 that is expected to reduce its electricity generation by 55% and lower its annual emissions to approximately 5.8 MtCO2e. While the strike price for the new Contract for Difference (CfD) mechanism increases to £113/MWh, the overall subsidy is estimated to fall to around £1.2 million per day. The report highlights that Drax remains the UK's largest emitting power station and relies heavily on imported wood pellets, primarily from North America. It argues that delivering 'Clean Power 2030' through wind, solar, and energy storage will further reduce the need for biomass and mitigate the risks associated with delayed and expensive Bioenergy with Carbon Capture and Storage (BECCS) projects.

The Türkiye Electricity Review 2025 reports that wind and solar power permanently overtook domestic coal generation in 2024, exceeding domestic coal's historic peak. While the total share of fossil fuels reached its lowest level since 1993, electricity demand growth continues to outpace the deployment of renewables.

In 2024, Türkiye's combined wind and solar electricity generation reached 62 TWh, surpassing the historical peak of domestic coal production (53 TWh in 2019). While solar generation grew by 39% to reach a 7.5% share of total production, wind growth slowed, maintaining a 10.7% share. Despite a record high in total coal generation (122 TWh), making Türkiye the highest coal-producing country in Europe, the overall share of fossil fuels fell to 55%, the lowest since 1993, driven by a decrease in natural gas use. However, renewable growth has not kept pace with a 5.5% increase in electricity demand, which was driven by record temperatures in June and July. Türkiye's new 2035 targets aim to quadruple wind and solar capacity to 120 GW, which could potentially reduce the fossil fuel share of electricity production to below 20%.

In 2024, wind and solar power in Türkiye permanently overtook domestic coal generation for the first time, reaching a combined share of 18% of electricity generation. Solar power saw a record year-on-year increase of 39%, while wind power growth slowed. Despite this, electricity demand grew by 5.5% in 2024, largely driven by record temperatures, meaning renewables are not yet expanding fast enough to fully displace imported fossil fuels. Türkiye has set ambitious 2035 targets to quadruple wind and solar capacity to 120 GW, which could potentially reduce the fossil fuel share of electricity to below 20%. However, the report notes that current 2030 targets are unambitious and that grid connection capacity remains a primary barrier to deployment.

In 2024, global electricity generation reached new record highs for solar, wind, hydro, gas, and coal. Solar was the fastest-growing source, increasing by 474 TWh to reach a 6.9% share of the global mix, with China contributing 53% of this growth. Wind generation also hit a record of 2,494 TWh, though growth slowed due to weather conditions. Hydro rebounded to an all-time high of 4,416 TWh following 2023 droughts, largely driven by China. Nuclear generation grew by 2.5% to 2,768 TWh, but its global market share fell to a 45-year low of 9%. Gas and coal both reached record generation levels in 2024, though their shares of the global electricity mix declined to 22% and 34% respectively, as electricity demand grew faster than their production.

The report highlights solar power as the primary engine of the global energy transition, noting it surpassed 2,000 TWh of generation in 2024 and doubles every three years. While emerging drivers such as data centres, EVs, and heat pumps have structurally increased electricity demand, clean generation is projected to grow fast enough to meet this demand and drive a structural decline in fossil fuels by 2030. Central to this shift is the progress in China and India, where clean power deployment is breaking the historical link between economic growth and fossil fuel expansion, potentially tipping the global balance toward a decline in fossil generation.

The report examines the 2024 power sectors of China, the US, EU, India, Russia, Japan, and Brazil. Key trends include China's massive solar growth despite record coal generation, the US's first-time transition to wind and solar overtaking coal, the EU's record decline in coal, and Brazil's high renewable share. While India and China continue to see demand growth met partly by coal, the EU and US show a stronger shift toward clean energy, though the US remains reliant on gas.

In 2024, clean power reached a milestone of 40.9% of global electricity generation, driven by a record surge in solar and a rebound in hydropower. Despite this growth, global power sector emissions reached a record high of 14.6 billion tonnes of CO2 because extreme heatwaves drove a 4.0% increase in electricity demand, forcing a 1.4% rise in fossil fuel generation to meet the additional cooling needs.

The World Electricity Review 2025 executive summary reports that low-carbon electricity exceeded 40% of global generation in 2024, driven by record growth in renewables, particularly solar. Despite this, fossil fuel generation increased slightly due to a surge in electricity demand caused by heatwaves, leading to record-high power sector emissions.

In 2024, global electricity demand rose by 4% to 30,856 TWh, driven largely by China and extreme heatwaves. Low-carbon sources reached a historic high of 40.9% of global generation, with solar and wind combined surpassing hydropower. Despite this, global power sector emissions hit a record high, increasing by 1.6% due to a rise in fossil generation linked to cooling demand during heatwaves.

In 2024, clean power surpassed 40% of global electricity generation for the first time since the 1940s, driven by record solar growth. Despite this, global power sector emissions reached an all-time high of 14.6 billion tonnes of CO2 because heatwaves drove a 1.4% increase in fossil generation to meet cooling demand. Solar generation doubled over the last three years, reaching 2,131 TWh, while emerging drivers like AI data centres, EVs, and heat pumps structurally increased demand growth. China and India are increasingly decoupling their electricity demand growth from fossil fuel expansion, with China's clean generation meeting 81% of its demand increase in 2024.