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Is Africa Changing China?
This research paper argues that China's engagement with Africa is fundamentally transforming China's own foreign policy and self-conception. While Western perspectives often focus on how China's 'no conditions' approach undermines good governance in Africa, the author contends that ties with African 'pariah and petro-states' are instead reshaping Beijing's diplomatic certitudes, forcing it to move away from its strict principle of non-intervention toward supporting internationally-sanctioned interventions in specific conflicts.
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Document type: Research paper
Nature’s Gift, Man’s Curse: Oil, Violence and Prospects for Peace in the Niger Delta of Nigeria
This seminar report, presented by Dr. Victor Ojakorotu on 14 August 2008, examines the historical roots and current drivers of conflict in Nigeria's Niger Delta. It analyzes how the shift from regional to federal control of oil revenue, combined with environmental degradation and governance failures, has led to instability and armed rebellion.
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Document type: Report
CORRUPTION AND GOVERNANCE IN THE DRC DURING THE TRANSITION PERIOD (2003–2006)
This report examines the history and state of corruption in the Democratic Republic of Congo, focusing on the transition period between 2003 and 2006. It traces a legacy of predation from King Leopold II's forced labour regime and Mobutu's state capture to the resource looting by foreign occupying forces and the Kabila administration. The author argues that without learning from this history and strengthening anti-corruption institutions and legal frameworks to meet international standards, the DRC risks returning to a cycle of bad governance and conflict despite the democratic progress made during the 2006 elections.
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Document type: Report
Zimbabwe’s Plight, South Africa’s Failure
This research paper argues that South Africa and the Southern African Development Community (SADC) have failed to hold Robert Mugabe's regime accountable for electoral fraud and violence in Zimbabwe. The author contends that South Africa has underplayed its influence and calls for a decisive regional response, including sanctions and the recognition of the March 29, 2008, election results, to protect democratic institutions in Africa.
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Document type: Research paper
Catching the Middlemen Fuelling African Conflicts
This research paper examines the role of transnational organised crime networks and 'middlemen' in fueling African conflicts through the illicit trade of weapons and natural resources. Using the case studies of Leonid Minin and Victor Bout, the document highlights the sophistication of these networks, their use of front companies and tax havens, and the systemic failures of international law enforcement and national legislation to prosecute sanctions-busting activities.
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Document type: Research paper
A Posse of Guns for Hire
This research paper examines the intersection of poor governance and the presence of unemployed former combatants in Africa, using the foiled 2004 coup attempt in Equatorial Guinea as a case study to highlight the risks of mercenary activity and the inadequacy of current legal frameworks.
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Document type: Research paper
Leveraging the Dragon Toward an Africa That Can Say No
This research paper by the South African Institute of International Affairs analyzes the evolving relationship between China and Africa. It argues that African nations must shift from an ideological 'liberation paradigm' to a pragmatic 'economic paradigm' to avoid Chinese dominance and ensure mutual benefit. The author suggests that Africa should leverage China's need for energy resources to secure technology transfer, local development projects, and fairer trade terms, while utilizing the China-Africa Co-operation Forum to coordinate a continent-wide strategy.
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Document type: Research paper
Côte d'Ivoire: Warning Signs of Another Rwanda
This research paper by the South African Institute of International Affairs warns that Côte d'Ivoire is at risk of a genocide similar to Rwanda's due to deep-seated insecurities over national identity, economic control, and a political deadlock between President Laurent Gbagbo and rebel forces.
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Document type: Research paper
Can the South African business experience in Africa offer a way forward?
This research paper by the South African Institute of International Affairs examines the role of South African business investment in Africa, contrasting the high risks and low foreign direct investment (FDI) levels on the continent with the strategic success and high returns achieved by South African firms.
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Document type: Research paper
National Chairman's Annual Statement 2008
The National Chairman's Annual Statement 2008 from the South African Institute of International Affairs (SAIIA) discusses South Africa's evolving role in global affairs as it approaches the 2009 elections. The statement emphasizes the link between domestic governance and international credibility, outlining three critical tests for the state: responsible leadership during political transition, the resilience of democratic institutions, and the quality of policy implementation in areas such as climate change and conflict resolution. It further addresses regional instability in Africa, the influence of emerging powers like China and India, and the necessity of transitioning to a low-carbon economy.
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Document type: Statement
France promotes new relationship with continent
This research paper by Romy Chevallier of the South African Institute of International Affairs analyzes the shift in French foreign policy toward Africa under President Nicolas Sarkozy. It describes a transition from 'la Françafrique'—characterized by colonial ties and personal relationships with corrupt elites—toward a multilateral 'Eurafrique' model based on economic partnerships and European integration.
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Document type: Research paper
The African Standby Force
This research paper by the Institute for Security Studies provides an update on the operationalisation of the African Standby Force (ASF), a multidisciplinary force designed for rapid deployment in peace support operations across Africa. While the AU has made progress in developing doctrine, training policies, and standard operating procedures, the document highlights significant hurdles in logistics, AU-level leadership capacity, and sustainable financing.
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Document type: Research paper
Force Africaine en Attente
This research paper by the Institute for Security Studies provides a progress update on the establishment of the African Standby Force (ASF), a multidisciplinary force designed to enable the African Union (AU) to respond to conflicts through peace support missions and interventions.
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Document type: Research paper
China’s preferential trade policy for Africa
This briefing by the South African Institute of International Affairs (SAIIA) analyzes China's preferential trade policy for African Least Developed Countries (LDCs). While the policy is designed to align with the export capacities of these nations, the author argues that its economic impact is modest compared to its symbolic and diplomatic value in signaling China's rise as a global power and alternative to Western donors.
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Document type: Briefing
Migration in Southern Africa. Migration Management Initiatives for SADC Member States
This research paper examines international migration patterns in southern Africa, focusing on the challenges of data collection and the implementation of the Southern African Development Community (SADC) Draft Protocol on Facilitation of Movement of Persons. It analyzes the typology of voluntary and forced migration, the prevalence of xenophobia in destination countries, and the need for harmonized legislation to achieve regional integration.
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Document type: Research paper
Migration in southern Africa
This research paper examines international migration patterns in southern Africa, focusing on the challenges of data collection and the implementation of the Southern African Development Community (SADC) Draft Protocol on Facilitation of Movement of Persons. It analyzes the dynamics of voluntary and forced migration, the prevalence of xenophobia in destination countries, and the need for harmonized legislation to achieve regional integration.
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Document type: Research paper
Charting Africa's Chinese Future
This research paper examines the evolving economic and political relationship between China and Africa following a strategic partnership summit. It analyzes the tensions between China's rapid investment and development goals and the emerging concerns in Africa regarding colonial-style economic ties, labor standards, and the risk of deindustrialization.
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Document type: Research paper
REGIONAL INTEGRATION IN CENTRAL AFRICA
This briefing examines the state of regional integration in Central Africa, focusing on the roles and interactions of the Central Africa Economic and Monetary Community (CEMAC) and the Economic Community of Central African States (ECCAS). It analyzes the institutional frameworks, the impact of colonial legacies, the influence of external actors like France and the EU, and the challenges posed by overlapping memberships and the Economic Partnership Agreement (EPA) negotiations.
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Document type: Briefing
Confronting money laundering in South Africa: An overview of challenges and milestones
This report analyzes the development and effectiveness of South Africa's anti-money laundering (AML) and counter-terrorist financing (CTF) infrastructure between 2004 and 2007. It evaluates the roles of the Financial Intelligence Centre (FIC) and the Asset Forfeiture Unit (AFU), highlighting a shift toward civil asset forfeiture and the challenges posed by economic crime, alternative remittance systems, and the need for stronger supervisory powers.
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Document type: Report
RECs in Eastern and Southern Africa: Attractive Aspects for Zimbabwe
This briefing by Dr M Masiiwa of the South African Institute of International Affairs (SAIIA) analyzes the strategic options for Zimbabwe as it faces a choice between joining the proposed Customs Unions of the Southern African Development Community (SADC) or the Common Market for Eastern and Southern Africa (COMESA). While Zimbabwe has stronger existing trade links and political ties with SADC, the document suggests a preference for COMESA due to its larger market, more balanced economic competition, and faster pace of integration.
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Document type: Briefing