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Insecurity in South Sudan: A threat to the IGAD Peace Process
The document argues that the IGAD peace process in Sudan is undermined by a lack of trust between the Government of Sudan (GoS) and the SPLM/A, systemic failures in monitoring security agreements, and the GoS's use of proxy militias to maintain influence. It highlights specific breaches of the Cessation of Hostilities Agreement in the Shilluk Kingdom and Western Upper Nile, where civilian abuses and cattle looting occurred. The author concludes that sustainable peace requires a democratic transformation of the Sudanese state to address root grievances, rather than focusing solely on security maintenance.
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Document type: Report
Update on the DRC transition: The case of the Kivu provinces
The document examines the failure of the Democratic Republic of Congo's transitional government to establish security and effective administration in the Kivu provinces. It highlights the persistence of parallel military command structures, the failure of disarmament and demobilization (DDR) processes, and the continued influence of foreign militias and Rwandan interests. While North Kivu shows some economic recovery under Governor Eugène Serufuli, the report warns that systemic corruption, ethnic tensions—particularly regarding the Banyarwanda—and political infighting in Kinshasa threaten the entire transition process.
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Document type: Report
The South Sudan Defence Force (SSDF): A challenge to the Sudan Peace Process
The South Sudan Defence Force (SSDF) is a fragmented coalition of militias and former SPLM/A fighters that provides critical security for Sudan's oil fields and government-held towns in the south. Despite its strategic importance, the SSDF was omitted from the September 2003 Framework Agreement on Security Arrangements, which recognized only the Government of Sudan (GoS) and the SPLM/A. This exclusion, combined with the GoS's policy of dividing southern forces and the SPLM/A's reluctance to acknowledge the SSDF's military capacity, threatens the viability of the peace process. The report highlights ongoing violence in Western Upper Nile and among the Shilluk community as evidence of the instability caused by the lack of south-south reconciliation.
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Document type: Report
Hawks, Doves or Penguins? A Critical Review of the SADC Military Intervention in the DRC
The document analyzes the roles of SADC member states in the DRC conflict, categorizing them as 'hawks' (military interveners), 'doves' (diplomatic proponents), or 'penguins' (avoidant/complex positions). It argues that while the intervention by Angola, Namibia, and Zimbabwe caused economic strain and international criticism, it was grounded in SADC principles of sovereignty and solidarity. The paper contends that perceived rifts between these 'allies' and South Africa were largely mythical, as evidenced by subsequent regional security protocols and the SADC Mutual Defence Pact.
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Document type: Research paper
Hawks, Doves or Penguins?
The document analyzes the roles of SADC member states in the DRC conflict, categorizing them as 'hawks' (interveners), 'doves' (peace-seekers), or 'penguins' (avoidant). It argues that while the military intervention by Angola, Namibia, and Zimbabwe created perceived rifts with states like South Africa, these divisions were largely mythical. The paper concludes that SADC has demonstrated maturity and cohesion through the development of a Mutual Defence Pact and a shared commitment to regional security, positioning the organization as a critical partner for the United Nations in stabilizing the DRC.
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Document type: Research paper
The Sudan - IGAD Peace Process. Signposts for the Way Forward
The paper analyzes the Sudan-IGAD peace process, highlighting the shift from the first stage of negotiations between the Government of Sudan (GoS) and the SPLM/A to a necessary second stage focused on inclusivity and democratic transformation. It argues that the success of the Machakos Protocol depends on expanding the process to include civil society and northern opposition groups, as well as resolving volatile bilateral relations with neighbors like Eritrea and Uganda. The author emphasizes the critical role of US pressure and the need for a successful referendum on self-determination for southern Sudan to prevent a return to conflict.
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Document type: Research paper
The Sudan–IGAD Peace Process
The document analyzes the IGAD-led peace process between the Government of Sudan (GoS) and the Sudan Peoples Liberation Movement/Army (SPLM/A), highlighting the critical role of US pressure and the Machakos Protocol. It warns that the initial 'elite-driven' and 'secretive' approach must be replaced by transparency and democratic engagement to prevent instability from marginalized groups, such as the SSDF and the SLM/A in Darfur. The author emphasizes that internal stability is inextricably linked to resolving contentious bilateral relations with neighbors, particularly Eritrea and Uganda, and calls for a comprehensive regional framework to secure the peace.
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Document type: Research paper
From Protection to Empowerment: Civilians as Stakeholders in the Democratic Republic of the Congo
The document examines the marginalisation of civilians, particularly women, children, and displaced persons, in the peace processes of the Democratic Republic of the Congo. It critiques the UN's 'mainstreaming' approach as often limited to humanitarian protection rather than political empowerment. The author argues that sustainable peace requires the inclusion of non-combatants in decision-making, addressing the root causes of conflict such as the illegal exploitation of natural resources and systemic gender-based violence, and moving beyond power-sharing agreements between belligerents.
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Document type: Research paper
FINAL REPORT: STANDARDS FOR SUSTAINABLE TRADE
The report assesses the capacity of developing countries in South America, South Asia, and Southern & Eastern Africa to comply with international trade standards. It argues that while regional cooperation in accreditation, early-warning systems, and awareness-raising can offset national institutional weaknesses, the WTO's TBT Agreement is often unrealistic for 'standards-takers' who lack the scientific and legal capacity to influence international standards or prove their inappropriateness. The report recommends integrating technical assistance needs into national development plans and establishing mediation mechanisms outside the formal WTO dispute process.
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Document type: Report
Delivery Mechanisms for Rural Electrification
The report details a workshop on rural electrification in Eastern and Southern Africa, emphasizing that modern energy services must be integrated with income-generating activities and social welfare to drive development. It evaluates various delivery mechanisms—including grid extension, solar home systems, and micro-hydro power—and argues that while the private sector can play a role, government support, subsidies, and decentralized institutional frameworks are essential for sustainable rural energy access.
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Document type: Report
The Experience of South African Firms Doing Business in Africa
The report examines the expansion of South African business into the rest of Africa, highlighting a shift from traditional construction and mining into sectors like banking, telecommunications, and retail. While South African firms possess competitive advantages in capital and technology, they face significant structural hurdles, including political risk, corruption, poor infrastructure, and currency volatility. The document provides detailed case studies on sectors (Banking, Telecommunications, Retail, Mining) and countries (Uganda, Morocco, Mozambique, Ghana), concluding that sustainable growth requires improved governance, the rule of law, and stronger regional integration through initiatives like Nepad.
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Document type: Report
Back to the Blackboard
The report argues that sub-Saharan Africa's focus on Universal Primary Education (UPE) is insufficient for economic development if not paired with a robust secondary education sector. It identifies critical gaps in teacher quantity and quality, the devastating impact of HIV/Aids on educators and students, and the prevalence of corruption in school funding. The document advocates for a shift toward vocational training, science and mathematics education, and a 'basic education' framework (extending to age 16) to avoid a bottleneck of primary graduates who cannot progress. It highlights East Asia's historical success in integrating education planning with job creation as a model for the continent.
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Document type: Report
Doce razones para excluir a las grandes represas hidroeléctricas de las iniciativas renovables
The report presents twelve reasons why large hydroelectric projects are incompatible with the goals of renewable energy initiatives. It contends that these projects fail to alleviate poverty, divert funding from cleaner decentralized technologies, and often suffer from underestimated costs and overestimated benefits. The text highlights severe social and environmental impacts, including the forced displacement of 40 to 80 million people and the emission of greenhouse gases from reservoirs. It further argues that large dams increase vulnerability to climate change, are inflexible and costly to build, and are not truly renewable due to sedimentation.
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Document type: Report
Burundi: Critical challenges to the peace process
The peace process in Burundi remained deadlocked in September 2003 despite multiple regional summits. The impasse centers on the CNDD-FDD's refusal to recognize the Arusha Accord and the TGoB's insistence on maintaining the existing political balance. Key points of contention include the division of power—specifically the demand for a Second Vice-President post—and the reform of the armed forces, including the abolition of the gendarmerie and the control of military zones. Regional mediators from South Africa, Uganda, and Tanzania have pursued differing strategies, ranging from military intervention to diplomatic compromise, but have failed to secure a final agreement.
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Document type: Report
Sudan - Interview on the Prospects for Sustainable Peace with the Leader of the Opposition Umma Party, Al-Sadig al-Mahdi
The document details an interview with Al-Sadig al-Mahdi, who argues that the bilateral peace talks between the Sudanese government and the SPLM/A are insufficient. He advocates for an 'IGAD Plus' approach that incorporates 'new forces'—including marginalized minorities and armed resistance in Darfur—and a transition to a religiously neutral, democratic constitution. Al-Mahdi proposes a strategic alliance between the Umma Party and the SPLM/A to ensure a united, democratic Sudan, while criticizing the National Islamic Front (NIF) and the historical role of the US in supporting regional dictatorships.
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Document type: Briefing
Peace and Security through Good Governance
The document analyzes the NEPAD African Peer Review Mechanism (APRM), detailing its five-stage review process, its organizational structure involving the APR Forum and Panel of Eminent Persons, and its complex relationship with the African Union. It highlights the tension between political governance review and economic governance, the role of partner institutions like the UNECA and the African Commission on Human and Peoples' Rights, and the challenges of financing and institutional capacity in ensuring the mechanism's efficacy.
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Document type: Research paper
SITUATION REPORT: SUDAN AND HER NEIGHBOURS
This research paper by David H. Shinn analyzes Sudan's strategic position in Africa, focusing on its internal civil war, the economic impact of oil, and its complex bilateral relations with its nine neighboring countries as of March 2003.
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Document type: Research paper
Exploring Small Arms Demand
The paper argues that small arms demand among African youth is driven by a combination of social, economic, and political exclusion. It contends that current international policies focus too heavily on the supply side of arms proliferation, neglecting the 'demand triggers' such as poverty, state failure, and the destruction of social infrastructures. By analyzing contexts ranging from child soldiering in Sierra Leone and Uganda to urban gang violence in South Africa and militia recruitment in Somalia, the authors demonstrate how the absence of basic rights and services transforms weapons into tools for survival, identity, and empowerment.
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Document type: Research paper
SADC Barometer
The SADC Barometer assesses the restructuring of SADC institutions, noting that while the transition from sectoral units to four central directorates was completed by December 2002, the process suffered from missed deadlines, understaffing, and a lack of human resource planning. The report highlights significant economic and political divergence within the region, particularly the dominance of South Africa, and warns that political instability in Zimbabwe and the impact of HIV/AIDS on food security threaten regional stability. It also examines the challenges of implementing a regional Free Trade Area, citing restrictive rules of origin and non-tariff barriers as major obstacles, while discussing the potential of South-South cooperation through a SACU-Mercosur trade agreement.
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Document type: Report
SITUATION REPORT: REFUGEES AND INTERNALLY DISPLACED PEOPLE'S IN AFRICA
As of mid-2001, Africa hosted approximately 5 million refugees and 21 million internally displaced persons (IDPs). The report highlights that IDPs now outnumber refugees globally and that in Africa, 80% of refugees are hosted by least developed countries. Significant displacement is driven by conflict and drought, particularly in Sudan, Angola, and the DRC. Children under 18 make up 56% of all refugees in Africa, exceeding 60% in countries such as Angola, Togo, Guinea, Burundi, Rwanda, Sudan, and the DRC.
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Document type: Report