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Transforming South Africa’s Racial Bureaucracy
The authors examine the transition from traditional public administration to New Public Management (NPM) in South Africa. They argue that the post-apartheid state's desire to distance itself from the 'bureaucratic' nature of the apartheid regime led to the creation of autonomous agencies like CIPRO, which suffered from a confused identity as both a government regulator and a business entity. This structural flaw, combined with a neglect of core administrative processes, resulted in severe operational failures, including high staff turnover, corruption, and the hijacking of companies.
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Document type: Research paper
Hong Kong — South Africa’s Gateway to China
The document argues that Hong Kong serves as a critical hub for South African entry into China due to its free-market economy, legal framework, and logistics infrastructure. It examines the broader China-South Africa strategic partnership, noting that while trade has grown significantly, South Africa struggles with a trade imbalance and a lack of mineral beneficiation. The author suggests that while Hong Kong will remain a key gateway for at least ten years, South Africa should expand its diplomatic presence in other Chinese cities to maintain competitiveness as new regional hubs emerge.
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Document type: Research paper
Beyond the Popular Discourse
The author argues that the South African state's shift from a traditional Weberian bureaucracy to a managerialist model (New Public Management) has led to ill-defined leadership roles requiring unrealistic skill combinations. This structural change, combined with affirmative action targets, has resulted in high vacancy rates and extreme staff volatility, as departments often poach qualified personnel from one another to meet statistical equity goals rather than filling gaps with meritocratic recruitment. The paper suggests that the resulting 'skills shortages' are actually a consequence of poor job design and the erosion of professional administrative standards.
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Document type: Research paper
Recent Developments in International Investment Agreements: Negotiations and disputes
The document analyzes the growth and modification of International Investment Agreements (IIAs), noting a trend toward more precise treaty language to preserve state regulatory space, particularly regarding environmental and labor standards. It also details the rise in investor-State disputes, highlighting that while states and investors have similar win rates in concluded cases, the financial stakes and costs of defense are increasing, with developing countries frequently appearing as respondents.
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Document type: Briefing
GOVERNING & MANAGING THE DEFENCE SECTOR
The report argues that a well-functioning security sector is the foundation of state stability and that defence must be integrated into government-wide structures to be effective. It critiques traditional 'civil-military relations' theories that view the military primarily as a threat to be controlled, suggesting instead that the military should be seen as a public service providing force or the threat of force to support state policy. The author emphasizes a 'task-based' rather than 'threat-based' approach to security policy and advocates for integrated hierarchies in ministries of defence to foster cooperation between civilian and military personnel. The text also details the technical aspects of intelligence collection, the management of defence budgets, and the importance of democratic accountability through parliament and transparency.
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Document type: Report
China’s Sustainable Trade Strategy: An overview
The paper reviews China's rapid growth in foreign trade since 1978, highlighting its shift from primary commodity exports to manufactured goods. It identifies critical challenges, including a high dependence on external energy and resources, low value-added exports due to a lack of intellectual property rights, and increasing trade frictions with partners like the US and EU. The author proposes a 'sustainable trade strategy' based on three pillars: economic, social, and environmental sustainability. Key recommendations include upgrading manufacturing to increase value-added, expanding the service sector, reducing the export of energy-intensive and polluting products, and fostering the growth of Chinese multinational corporations.
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Document type: Research paper
Balancing climate concerns and energy security
The document argues that China's climate mitigation efforts are primarily a "positive side effect" of ambitious energy security policies designed to address peaking domestic oil and coal supplies. While China has set aggressive domestic targets for energy intensity and renewable energy expansion, its international diplomacy is characterized by a struggle to balance its reputation as a responsible global power with the need to maintain economic development latitude. The brief highlights a gap between China's international pledges under the Copenhagen Accord and its more ambitious domestic goals, noting that China views climate change as a geopolitical issue and coordinates with the BASIC group to protect the development opportunities of emerging economies.
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Document type: Policy brief
Win-Win Solutions from a New Green Revolution
The author proposes a new green revolution focused on sustainable land management and water harvesting to meet development goals and climate risks. He argues that investing in small-scale rainfed agriculture and conservation agriculture can double or triple crop yields while sequestering carbon. The document identifies systemic barriers, such as the policy fixation on large-scale irrigation and the administrative split between 'wet' water ministries and 'dry' agriculture ministries, and calls for integrated national strategies in Africa to scale these solutions.
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Document type: Briefing
Breaking the Waves? Does Education Mediate the Relationship Between Youth Bulges and Political Violence?
The research finds that large youth cohorts significantly increase the risk of political violence primarily in societies with low male secondary education levels. This effect is most pronounced in low and middle-income countries, particularly in Sub-Saharan Africa. The study supports the 'opportunity cost' hypothesis, suggesting that higher education reduces the incentive for young men to join rebel organizations. Conversely, it finds no evidence that rapid educational expansion or low progression ratios between education levels increase conflict risk.
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Document type: Research paper
The Economics of Intellectual Property Rights in Developing Countries
The document examines the tension between protecting innovators through temporary monopolies and ensuring societal welfare, particularly in developing nations. It analyzes the application of patents, copyrights, trademarks, and geographical indications across sectors like pharmaceuticals and ICT, and critiques the TRIPS Agreement and 'TRIPS-plus' bilateral agreements for potentially biasing commercial interests over development needs. The author argues that the impact of IPRs depends on a country's existing 'absorptive capabilities' and suggests that many successful developing economies grew during periods of weak IP protection.
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Document type: Briefing
The State of Governance in Africa
The author contends that structural adjustment programmes (SAPs) and subsequent 'good governance' prescriptions failed to spur development in Africa because they focused on formal institutional arrangements while ignoring neo-patrimonialism. In neo-patrimonial states, rulers are primarily accountable to followers (clients) rather than the general public, creating a tension with Western norms of transparency. The paper suggests that state decay occurs when the informal sphere fully takes over formal structures, leading to a 'self-reinforcing spiral of state decay'. To reverse this, the author argues that African governments must move away from donor-driven blueprints and instead operationalise local, indigenous measures of legitimacy and accountability to serve developmental goals.
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Document type: Research paper
L’état de la gouvernance en Afrique
The paper examines the failure of structural adjustment programs and subsequent 'good governance' initiatives in Africa. It posits that the tension between formal institutional norms and informal neo-patrimonial practices—where leaders prioritize clients over the general public—has led to state decay. The author argues that for governance to be effective, it must be conceptualized locally, integrating informal realities into development plans rather than merely replicating Western models of transparency and accountability.
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Document type: Research paper
China’s Development Policy in Africa
The report examines China's development policy in Africa, highlighting its shift from political goals to economic priorities, specifically energy security and market expansion. It contrasts China's 'non-interference' approach with Western conditionality, noting that China's willingness to engage with 'rogue states' provides it a comparative advantage in securing resources. While critics argue this undermines governance and debt relief, the authors suggest that China's presence breaks the traditional 'aid cartel' and may encourage G8 donors to improve aid effectiveness. The report recommends that Western donors integrate China into a collaborative development strategy rather than demonising its approach.
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Document type: Report
Hong Kong Update
The document assesses the progress and deadlocks of the Doha Round negotiations as of November 2005. It highlights significant stalemates in agricultural market access, non-agricultural market access (NAMA), and services, while detailing specific disputes over fisheries subsidies, intellectual property rights (TRIPS), and the implementation of special and differential treatment for developing countries. It also reviews the impact of the 2005 expiry of textile and clothing quotas and the ongoing efforts to improve the WTO's Dispute Settlement Understanding.
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Document type: Briefing
ECO-LABELING STANDARDS, GREEN PROCUREMENT AND THE WTO: SIGNIFICANCE FOR WORLD BANK BORROWERS
The report concludes that WTO rules generally do not prevent World Bank borrowers from using eco-labels in government procurement due to specific 'carve-outs' in major agreements. However, it highlights significant concerns from developing countries regarding the costs and technical burdens of compliance, recommending that the World Bank provide financial and capacity-building support to mitigate these barriers.
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Document type: Report
Aiding or Abetting?
The document examines the dual role of foreign aid in the Melanesian Pacific, where it serves both as a tool for peace-building and as a potential driver of political instability. While aid supports basic services and peace processes, it is often driven by the geo-strategic interests of donors like Australia, Japan, and China rather than recipient needs. The author argues that aid can inadvertently exacerbate corruption, widen wealth disparities, and provide a 'prize' for political elites to contest, contributing to the region's reputation as an 'arc of instability'.
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Document type: Research paper
WHAT CAN HONG KONG DELIVER TO SOUTH AND SOUTHERN AFRICA?
The report outlines the divergent trade priorities of South Africa and other Southern African nations ahead of the 2005 WTO Hong Kong Ministerial. South Africa focuses on agricultural liberalisation, specific non-agricultural market access (NAMA) gains in developing economies, and defensive positions on services. In contrast, Southern African countries are more concerned with the impact of domestic support and export subsidies on world prices and the potential erosion of preferential market access. The document argues that Southern African nations should leverage South Africa's negotiating capacity and the G90 coalition to achieve developmental outcomes while avoiding a total impasse in the WTO process.
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Document type: Report
São Tomé and Príncipe Update
The document details a period of significant political volatility in São Tomé and Príncipe, marked by the dismissal of Prime Minister Maria das Neves amid corruption allegations involving the food aid organisation Gabinete de Gestão da Ajuda (GGA). It examines the subsequent formation of a new coalition government under Damião Vaz de Almeida and the increasing influence of President Fradique de Menezes. Substantial focus is placed on the oil industry, specifically the Joint Development Zone (JDZ) with Nigeria, the approval of a US-drafted oil revenue management law, and the strategic security interests of the United States. Additionally, it covers developments in tourism, telecommunications, and bilateral relations with Angola and Taiwan.
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Document type: Briefing
South Africa’s Defence Industry
The document traces the South African defence industry's shift from a state-driven system designed for apartheid-era isolation to a competitive global actor. Following the end of the Cold War and the transition to democracy in 1994, the industry underwent significant downsizing and restructuring, moving away from total self-sufficiency toward strategic partnerships and export-led growth. Key entities like Armscor and Denel were reorganized to separate procurement from manufacturing, while the private sector consolidated. The paper highlights the role of the Strategic Defence Packages (SDPs) and Industrial Participation (IP) in revitalizing the sector, alongside the challenges of implementing black economic empowerment and aligning industrial policy with regional foreign policy goals.
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Document type: Research paper
The Singapore Issues: Investment, Competition Policy, Transparency in Government Procurement and Trade Facilitation
The document details the progress and disputes surrounding the four 'Singapore issues' following the Doha Ministerial Declaration. It highlights a recurring rift between developed nations (such as the EU, US, and Japan), who seek multilateral rules, and developing nations (such as India and Brazil), who express concern over policy flexibility, resource constraints, and the necessity of new binding obligations. For each issue, the briefing outlines the specific mandates, the current state of play in Working Group discussions, and the differing positions of member states regarding definitions, transparency, and the role of technical assistance.
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Document type: Briefing