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AFRICA CURRENT PATH: THEMATIC FUTURES
This research paper by the Institute for Security Studies analyzes trends in stability and armed conflict in Africa, highlighting the role of state-based violence, organized crime, and rapid urbanization in driving fatality rates.
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Document type: Research paper
Stagnation or Growth? Algeria’s development pathway to 2040
This document is the 'Purpose and Scope' section of a special report titled 'Stagnation or Growth? Algeria’s development pathway to 2040'. It outlines the use of the International Futures modelling platform to analyze Algeria's current development state and project its trajectory to 2040, contrasting a 'Current Path' forecast with a positive 'Algerian Dream' scenario characterized by democratic governance and prosperity.
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Document type: Report
Address by Dirco Deputy Minister Alvin Botes at a Symposium on SA's Foreign Policy
An address by Dirco Deputy Minister Alvin Botes detailing South Africa's strategic foreign policy approach amidst a shifting geopolitical landscape. The speech emphasizes non-alignment, the role of multilateralism through BRICS+ and the G20, and the necessity of addressing regional security and climate change to protect national interests.
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Document type: Statement
Summit of the Future: forging consensus on adapting UN mediation
This policy brief argues that United Nations (UN) mediation must adapt to a fragmented geopolitical landscape characterized by increased conflict intensity and the rise of diverse mediation actors. It calls for the Summit of the Future and the Pact for the Future to be used as catalysts for renewing political consensus, enhancing partnerships with regional organisations, and adopting innovative approaches to address geoeconomic and geoecological threats.
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Document type: Policy brief
Assessment of the Post-Paris Agreement Era
This research paper assesses bilateral climate finance provided between 2016 and 2020 to ten developing countries with low governance scores, identifying a heavy skew toward mitigation and a concentration of funding from Japan to Uzbekistan.
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Document type: Research paper
Methane Corporates
A November 2022 briefing by Global Energy Monitor (GEM) identifies 30 fossil fuel companies responsible for 43% of the energy sector's global methane emissions. The analysis breaks down emissions by fuel sector (oil/gas and coal) and ownership type (national/state-owned vs. international/investor-owned), highlighting the disproportionate impact of a small number of large producers.
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Document type: Briefing
Russia's play for influence in Africa could be curtailed by its lack of financial muscle
This research paper examines Russia's efforts to expand its diplomatic and security influence in Africa, arguing that while Moscow has increased its presence since the Cold War, its ambitions are severely limited by a lack of financial resources compared to rivals like China, the US, and the EU. The author contends that Russia's strategy relies heavily on security partnerships and 'non-interference' rhetoric, which cannot substitute for the large-scale infrastructure and financial aid provided by other global powers.
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Document type: Research paper
The Climate-Conflict Nexus in Africa: A Conflict-Sensitive Approach
This report by the South African Institute of International Affairs examines the complex relationship between climate change and violent conflict in Africa. It argues that while climate change acts as a 'risk multiplier' that can exacerbate existing political, social, and economic tensions, the link to violence is indirect and highly contextual. The document emphasizes the need for conflict-sensitive climate adaptation strategies, particularly in fragile contexts, and calls for the Global North to fulfill climate finance commitments to support the Global South.
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Document type: Report
Continuing global conflicts demonstrate the need for a new eco-social contract
The Green Economy Coalition (GEC) and partners of The People’s Global Summit issued a statement of solidarity with victims of military violence globally, specifically highlighting the humanitarian crisis in Ukraine and the broader need for a 'New Eco-Social World'.
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Document type: Statement
Walking with the Bear? Russia and the A3 in the UN Security Council
This policy brief analyzes the relationship between Russia and the three elected African member states (A3) in the UN Security Council (UNSC) from 2014 to 2020. Using statistical voting data, the authors argue that Russia's influence over the A3 is often exaggerated, as African states remain more aligned with the P3 (US, UK, and France) and act largely independently of Russian vetoes and abstentions.
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Document type: Policy brief
Five things we learned about development finance while building Aid Atlas
This policy brief by the Stockholm Environment Institute describes the development and utility of Aid Atlas, an interactive platform designed to simplify the analysis of global development finance data from the OECD's Creditor Reporting System (CRS). Using the tool, the authors identify several trends and data gaps in development aid between 2013 and 2017, including the low proportion of funding for general environment protection, the impact of the European refugee crisis on donor budgets, and significant disbursement challenges specifically associated with climate finance.
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Document type: Policy brief
The National Security Impacts of Climate Change
This issue brief examines how climate change impacts United States national security, detailing the Department of Defense's (DOD) conceptualization of climate change as a 'threat multiplier' and the resulting operational, infrastructural, and geopolitical challenges. It outlines the adaptation and mitigation strategies adopted by the DOD and other security agencies, while analyzing the role of Congressional legislation and funding in shaping these efforts.
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Document type: Briefing
RMI Statement on U.S. Withdrawal from the Paris Agreement
A statement from RMI expressing disappointment over President Trump's decision to withdraw the United States from the Paris Climate Agreement, while asserting that subnational actions and the global energy transition will continue.
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Document type: Statement
Pulling out of Paris Would be "Deeply Misguided"
A statement from the World Resources Institute's President and CEO, Andrew Steer, arguing against the potential withdrawal of the United States from the Paris Agreement.
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Document type: Statement
Toward Widespread Ratification of the Mauritius Convention on Transparency in Treaty-‐based Investor-‐State Arbitration
This briefing paper by the Center for International Environmental Law (CIEL) and the International Institute for Sustainable Development (IISD) advocates for the widespread ratification of the Mauritius Convention on Transparency in Treaty-based Investor-State Arbitration. The document explains how the Convention provides a mechanism for states to 'opt-in' to the UNCITRAL Rules on Transparency for disputes arising from investment treaties concluded before April 2014, thereby increasing public accountability and democratic governance in investor-state arbitrations.
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Document type: Briefing
The EU-Turkey migrant deal: will it work and at what cost?
This research paper analyzes the 2016 EU-Turkey migrant deal, arguing that while it has succeeded in its primary goal of deterring arrivals via the Aegean Sea, it has done so at a significant humanitarian and legal cost. The author contends that the deal, combined with border closures across Eastern and South Eastern Europe, has trapped refugees in squalid conditions and pushed migrants toward more dangerous smuggling routes, while potentially undermining the international principle of non-refoulement.
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Document type: Research paper
In their words: Communication for development
This case study describes a partnership between the Institute for Security Studies (ISS) and the telecommunications company MTN to develop a security and intelligence system for operations in volatile markets.
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Document type: Case study
Friends of the Earth International statement of solidarity with refugees
A statement by Friends of the Earth International (FOEI) calling for global solidarity with refugees, specifically addressing the crisis in Europe and the conflict in Syria, while outlining systemic root causes such as resource extraction and climate change.
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Document type: Statement
Declaración de Amigos de la Tierra Internacional en solidaridad hacia los refugiados
A statement by Friends of the Earth International calling for global solidarity with refugees, specifically those fleeing the conflict in Syria, and outlining systemic changes needed to prevent future displacement, including climate justice and resource management.
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Document type: Statement
South African Foreign Policy and the UN Security Council: Assessing its Impact on the African Peace and Security Architecture
This policy brief examines South Africa's two terms as a non-permanent member of the UN Security Council (UNSC) in 2007–2008 and 2011–2012. It focuses on South Africa's efforts to strengthen the African Peace and Security Architecture (APSA) by formalising institutional links between the UNSC and the African Union (AU), advocating for predictable financial resources, and promoting the role of regional organisations in security management under Chapter VIII of the UN Charter.
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Document type: Policy brief