Search Climate Insights Directory
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COP29 cheatsheet
The document outlines the structure of climate negotiations at COP29, listing various negotiating blocs such as the G77+China, EU, and AOSIS, while providing a glossary of terms and a calendar of thematic focus areas.
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Document type: Fact sheet
FAQ: Fixing Article 6 Carbon Markets at COP29
The document analyzes the implementation of Article 6 of the Paris Agreement, focusing on the distinctions between the bilateral/multilateral trades of Article 6.2 and the UN-overseen global market of Article 6.4. It highlights critical loopholes, including the risk of double counting in aviation offsetting (CORSIA), the lack of oversight for Article 6.2 trades, and the potential for 'junk' credits from the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) to transition into the new system. The author argues for stricter authorization processes, mandatory transparency, and a 'firewall' between carbon markets and the new climate finance package being negotiated at COP29.
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Document type: Guide
A Survey of Artificial Intelligence and High Performance Computing Applications to Fusion Commercialization
The document argues that AI and HPC are transforming fusion development from an empirical, physical testing process to an 'in silico' approach, significantly reducing the time and cost required to reach commercial viability. It identifies five critical technical areas where these tools are essential: materials selection, high-temperature superconductors, inertial fusion energy (IFE) challenges, tritium breeding/extraction, and plasma diagnostics and control. Furthermore, the report suggests that AI can support the creation of fit-for-purpose regulations and reduce the Levelized Cost of Electricity (LCOE) through predictive maintenance and optimized remote handling. The authors highlight a symbiotic relationship where AI accelerates fusion's development, and fusion eventually provides the carbon-free, firm power required to sustain the energy-intensive growth of AI data centers.
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Document type: Executive summary
Big Emissions, Empty Promises
The briefing examines the climate impact of 22 global meat and dairy corporations, finding that their combined emissions are comparable to those of entire countries or major oil companies. It argues that the industry uses 'green smokescreens'—such as weak net-zero targets, unproven techno-fixes, and regenerative agriculture—to distract from the need to reduce livestock production. The document further highlights a lack of mandatory agricultural methane targets in the 11 countries where these companies are headquartered, attributing this to 'agricultural exceptionalism' and industry political influence.
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Document type: Briefing
Big Emissions, Empty Promises
The report examines 22 of the world's largest meat and dairy companies, finding that their combined emissions are comparable to those of major oil companies and entire nations. It argues that corporate net-zero targets are largely non-aligned with the 1.5°C warming limit and that the industry relies on 'techno-fixes'—such as feed additives and biogas—and 'regenerative agriculture' to distract from the need to reduce livestock production. The analysis further highlights a lack of mandatory agricultural methane targets in the 11 countries where these companies are headquartered, attributing this to 'agricultural exceptionalism' and industry political influence.
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Document type: Report
Revealing and comparing the gaps in carbon pricing policy for the aviation sector
The document assesses the effectiveness of the EU ETS and CORSIA in addressing aviation emissions, finding that both schemes fail to cover non-CO2 effects and that CORSIA's reliance on low-quality offsets and a high baseline limits its climate impact. It recommends extending the EU ETS to all flights departing from the European Economic Area (EEA) by 2027.
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Document type: Policy brief
The EU's and ICAO's diverging ambitions to reduce aviation's climate impacts
The report finds a substantial divergence in ambition between the EU ETS and CORSIA. While the EU ETS is moving toward 100% auctioning of allowances by 2026 and high carbon prices, CORSIA relies on offsetting emissions above a baseline, resulting in significantly lower emissions coverage and a much weaker price signal. The EU may expand the EU ETS to extra-EEA flights by 2027 if CORSIA is deemed insufficient to meet climate goals.
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Document type: Report
Warming Projections Global Update
The November 2024 update reveals a three-year stagnation in global warming projections, with current policies setting the world on a path toward 2.7°C of warming by 2100. While renewable energy and electric vehicle deployment have seen record growth, these gains are offset by all-time high fossil fuel subsidies and increased funding for fossil fuel projects. The report warns that without a substantial increase in the ambition of 2030 and 2035 targets, the 1.5°C limit will likely be breached in the early 2030s, leading to a multidecadal overshoot.
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Document type: Report
EUROPEAN BANKS AND TRANSITION: Time for a reality check
The report finds that the 20 largest European banks provided US$200.3 billion to companies expanding upstream and midstream oil and gas between 2021 and 2023, with Barclays and HSBC as the largest supporters. Despite net zero pledges, most banks lack robust policies to end corporate financing for fossil fuel expansion, and financing to diversified oil and gas companies remains overwhelmingly directed toward fossil fuel activities rather than sustainable transitions.
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Document type: Report
Climate Article 6 can make or break carbon markets at COP29. Here’s all you need to know.
The document details the operational and structural differences between Article 6.2 (bilateral/multilateral agreements), Article 6.4 (a UN-overseen global carbon market), and Article 6.8 (non-market approaches). It highlights the role of 'corresponding adjustments' in preventing double-counting and the specific financial contributions required under Article 6.4, such as the Share of Proceeds for the Adaptation Fund and the Overall Mitigation of Global Emissions. The author emphasizes that establishing high standards for credit quality and transparency is essential for the success of these markets at COP29.
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Document type: Briefing
The State of European Pension Funds’ Net-Zero Transition
The report finds a positive trend in European pension funds' commitment to sustainable investing, with significant growth in the adoption of mitigation targets and climate risk management. However, a persistent gap remains between these commitments and actual real-economy impact, as pension funds rarely invest directly in projects and often hold fragmented indirect ownership. The analysis highlights that larger funds, those in net-zero coalitions, and funds in countries with strong regulatory frameworks—such as the Nordic countries, the Netherlands, and France—are leading the transition. Key challenges include the gap between asset ownership and management, the difficulty of transitioning passive investments, and limited capital flow to emerging markets and developing economies (EMDEs).
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Document type: Report
Werksoekvoorwaardelikheid is net slegte beleid
The Institute for Economic Justice argues that requiring social grant recipients in South Africa to prove active job-seeking is a flawed policy. It contends that unemployment is structural rather than a result of individual effort, and that conditionality would exclude millions of needy people, increase administrative costs, and potentially lead to labor exploitation and lower wages. The document advocates for an unconditional Universal Basic Income Guarantee (UBIG) as a more effective and just alternative.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Taelo ya gore motho o swanetše go bontšha gore o tsoma mošomo ke molao o mobe
The Institute for Economic Justice (IEJ) argues that requiring social grant recipients in South Africa to prove they are actively seeking work is a flawed policy. The document contends that unemployment in South Africa is structural rather than a result of individual effort, noting an expanded unemployment rate of 42.6% (12.38 million people). It asserts that job-seeking conditions create high administrative costs, penalize caregivers—particularly women—and may force workers into low-wage, exploitative employment. The IEJ advocates for an unconditional Universal Basic Income Guarantee (UBIG) as a constitutional right, contrasting this with proposals from the World Bank, National Treasury, and certain political parties to replace the COVID-19 Social Relief of Distress (SRD) grant with conditional job-seeker support.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Imibandela yokufuna umsebenzi yinqubomgomo embi
The Institute for Economic Justice (IEJ) argues that imposing work-seeking conditions on social grants in South Africa is a flawed policy. It contends that unemployment is driven by structural economic failures rather than a lack of effort from job seekers. The document highlights that the costs of searching for work—estimated at R1,469 per month for youth—far exceed the R370 provided by the Social Relief of Distress (SRD) grant, making conditionality a barrier to survival. Furthermore, it argues that such requirements violate constitutional rights to social assistance and could lead to labor exploitation by forcing people into low-wage, poor-quality jobs.
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Document type: Fact sheet
Work-seeking conditionality is just bad policy
The document contends that requiring social grant recipients in South Africa to prove they are actively seeking work is an ineffective policy that ignores the structural nature of the country's unemployment. It argues that such conditions would exclude millions in need, impose high administrative and compliance costs, and violate constitutional rights to social assistance. The author specifically critiques proposals from the World Bank, National Treasury, and political parties (DA and Rise Mzansi) to replace the Covid-19 Social Relief of Distress (SRD) grant with a conditional work-seekers' grant, noting that the cost of job searching (approximately R1469 for youth) far exceeds the grant value (R370).
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Document type: Fact sheet
Credit Check: Should Canada get climate credit for its liquefied natural gas exports?
The document argues that claiming climate credits for LNG exports is likely impossible and environmentally unsound. It highlights the difficulty of proving 'additionality'—that exports actually cause a switch from coal to gas—and warns that such a mechanism could lead to overstated emissions reductions. The author concludes that any feasible route to these credits would require costly subsidies that would violate Canada's own policies and lock in fossil fuel infrastructure.
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Document type: Policy brief
Capping Potential Blowouts
The document examines the proposed regulatory framework to cap GHG emissions in Canada's oil and gas sector. It argues that existing carbon pricing is insufficient to incentivize decarbonization, as profit margins for production remain higher than those for emissions reductions. While the cap is deemed necessary for Canada to meet its Paris Agreement goals, the author warns that a 25-million-tonne 'compliance flexibility' cushion—comprising a Decarbonization Fund, domestic offsets, and Internationally Transferred Mitigation Outcomes (ITMOs)—could dilute the cap's impact by up to 25%. The brief specifically cautions against the use of ITMOs for LNG exports, citing risks of double counting, lack of additionality, and potential fossil fuel subsidies.
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Document type: Policy brief
Fitting the Pieces of the Puzzle
The research paper identifies six recurring themes in due diligence regulations: risk management, transparency, traceability, legality, accountability, and stakeholder engagement. It highlights the challenges faced by Global South actors and SMEs in complying with these often unilaterally developed laws. The author suggests a 'smart-mix' approach, where voluntary sustainability standards (VSSs) and digital tools (such as satellite imagery and traceability platforms) complement public policies to reduce the compliance burden.
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Document type: Research paper
How Can World Trade Organization Rules and Flexibilities Promote Food Security in Least Developed Countries?
The document argues that while WTO rules provide significant policy space for LDCs to invest in agriculture through the 'Green Box' and 'Development Box', the primary barrier to increasing agricultural productivity is a lack of fiscal space rather than regulatory constraints. It suggests that new WTO rules should focus on reducing trade-distorting 'Amber Box' subsidies in developed and large developing countries to make LDC agriculture more competitive and attractive to private investors. Additionally, it recommends improving LDC market access by simplifying sanitary and phytosanitary (SPS) and technical barriers to trade (TBT) measures and expanding duty-free market access for key agricultural exports.
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Document type: Policy brief
Comment les règles et les flexibilités de l’Organisation mondiale du commerce peuvent-elles promouvoir la sécurité alimentaire des pays les moins avancés ?
The document argues that while WTO rules provide significant policy space for LDCs to invest in agriculture through 'Green Box' and 'Development' categories, these countries are primarily constrained by fiscal limitations rather than trade rules. It suggests that food security in LDCs can be improved by reducing trade-distorting 'Amber Box' subsidies in developed nations for key products like cotton and rice, and by easing non-tariff barriers and import duties to stimulate LDC exports.
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Document type: Policy brief