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Seasonal Climate Outlooks for Europe February 2026
Europe experienced its coldest January since 2010, with temperatures 1.63°C above the 1991-2020 mean, though regional variations were significant. Forecasts for March-May 2026 project warmer-than-average temperatures across the continent, particularly in eastern and southeastern Europe, and generally weakly positive precipitation anomalies.
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Document type: Briefing
Seasonal Climate Outlooks for Europe – January 2026
The document reports that Europe experienced its joint-fourth warmest December on record in 2025, with temperatures 1.99°C above the 1991-2020 mean. For the spring of 2026 (March-May), forecasts project warmer-than-average temperatures across the continent, with the highest anomalies in northeastern Europe, and generally weakly positive precipitation anomalies.
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Document type: Briefing
Seasonal Climate Outlook for Europe October
Europe's September 2025 was its 5th warmest on record, with significant temperature and precipitation variations across the continent. Forecasts for the December 2025 – February 2026 winter period project above-average temperatures, particularly in eastern and northeastern Europe, and weakly positive precipitation anomalies.
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Document type: Briefing
Power grid issues are the leading cause of blackouts
The document asserts that blackouts are predominantly caused by infrastructure failure, human error, and extreme weather, rather than the deployment of variable renewables. It highlights a significant investment gap in electricity grids, noting that while renewable energy investment has more than doubled since 2015, grid investment has only grown by 24%. The briefing argues that modernising grids with storage, interconnections, and decentralised generation can enhance adequacy, operational security, and resilience, including 'black start' capabilities. However, the IEA warns that grids risk becoming the "weak link" in the energy transition due to underinvestment in ageing assets and the inability to keep pace with rising global electricity demand.
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Document type: Briefing
Iberian Blackout Polling: Spanish and UK Exposure to Big Tech-Spread Conspiracy Theories
The report finds that while a majority of respondents in Spain and the UK acknowledge human-caused climate change, a significant portion (70% in Spain and 60% in the UK) believed at least one false narrative regarding the causes of the April 2025 Iberian blackout. The most prevalent disinformation was that the blackout resulted from an 'over-reliance on renewable energy', a belief particularly strong among far-right voters. General attitudes toward energy sources are divided, with about half of respondents wrongly believing that net zero policies increase energy dependence or that abandoning oil and gas would cause extreme hardship for the poor. Despite this, over 70% of respondents in both countries believe preventing climate disinformation is necessary to protect freedom of speech. There is broad support for measures such as legally obligating social media companies to stop spreading misleading climate information, banning fossil fuel advertising, and increasing support for fact-checking organizations.
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Document type: Report
Seasonal Climate Outlook for Europe June 2025
The document reports that May 2025 saw colder than average temperatures in eastern Europe and extreme drought in the British Isles. For the July-September 2025 period, most of Europe is projected to be 1-2°C warmer than average, with expected increases in 'Warm Days' and projected negative soil moisture anomalies persisting in central Europe and the British Isles.
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Document type: Briefing
Iberian Outage Report
Following a major power outage in Spain and Portugal on 28 April 2025, disinformation networks utilized social media algorithms to spread false claims attributing the event to renewables and net zero policies. The report notes that these falsehoods were often presented as speculation or news reporting to undermine climate solutions, mirroring patterns seen during extreme weather events.
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Document type: Briefing
The Case for Recalibrating Europe’s Hydrogen Strategy
The report argues that the EU's initial hydrogen targets were overly ambitious and calls for a pragmatic shift toward 'hard-to-electrify' sectors. It identifies a significant gap between current production (0.02 Mtpa) and 2030 targets, projecting regulated demand between 2.2 and 2.8 Mtpa. The authors advocate for a 'carrots and sticks' approach—combining subsidies with enforceable RED III mandates and penalties—to drive offtake. Financially, the report estimates that €13.9 billion in public funding is needed to meet mandates, potentially rising to €45.6 billion under an Accelerated Transition Scenario, which could unlock €276 billion in private investment.
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Document type: Report
EDP: Science-based target case study
EDP has committed to science-based targets to reduce scope 1 and 2 emissions from electricity production by 55% per TWh and scope 3 emissions by 25% by 2030, relative to 2015 levels. To achieve these, the company is expanding its renewable energy portfolio by at least 700 MW annually until 2020 and investing in energy efficiency, including the deployment of smart meters in Iberia and Portugal. EDP reports a 57% reduction in CO2 intensity compared to 2005 and aims for 75% by 2030. The company identifies political and regulatory uncertainties as primary challenges and advocates for transparent carbon pricing to accelerate the energy transition.
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Document type: Case study
European Renewable Energy Policy and Investment
The report examines the relationship between policy design and investor behavior in the European renewable energy sector. It argues that a diverse range of investors—from small households to large utilities—can lower the overall cost of capital, but that policy choices (such as the shift from feed-in tariffs to auctions) can either encourage or exclude specific investor groups. The document provides comparative analysis of the UK, Germany, Iberia, and the Nordic region, highlighting how different regulatory environments have led to varying levels of deployment and cost-effectiveness across solar PV, onshore wind, and offshore wind technologies.
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Document type: Report
Ubóstwo oraz kryzys ekologiczny
The author contends that the global ecological crisis and social poverty are linked, requiring a radical political shift toward sustainability and social justice. Using Portugal as an example, the text highlights the severe climate risks facing the Iberian Peninsula—including water scarcity, soil degradation, and rising sea levels—while noting that Portuguese public and political discourse remains dominated by short-term economic concerns and austerity. Despite this, the document points to the success of Portugal's renewable energy sector, which provided 27% of the country's energy and created 40,000 jobs in 2013, as evidence that climate policy can drive economic growth and employment.
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Document type: Statement
Landuse change, biofuels and rural development in the La Plata Basin
The provided text is a publication list for a project titled 'Landuse change, biofuels and rural development in the La Plata Basin'. It enumerates various academic papers, theses, and reports published between 2006 and 2011. The listed works focus on ecohydrology, satellite monitoring of land use, the environmental and social impacts of biofuels in South America, and the ecological footprint of agricultural expansion, particularly in Argentina, Brazil, and Uruguay.
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Document type: Fact sheet
European and Global Climate Change Projections
The ClimateCost project analysed three emissions scenarios (A1B, E1, and RCP8.5) to project temperature and precipitation changes. Findings indicate that global temperatures could rise by 2.4°C to 3.4°C by 2071-2100 under the A1B scenario, with Europe experiencing more intense summer warming, particularly in the south. While the E1 mitigation scenario reduces these increases, projections for all scenarios do not significantly diverge until after 2040, emphasizing the need for immediate adaptation. Precipitation projections show higher uncertainty, but suggest wetter winters for Northern Europe and drier conditions for Southern Europe.
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Document type: Policy brief