Seasonal Climate Outlooks for Europe February 2026

Europe experienced its coldest January since 2010, with temperatures 1.63°C above the 1991-2020 mean, though regional variations were significant. Forecasts for March-May 2026 project warmer-than-average temperatures across the continent, particularly in eastern and southeastern Europe, and generally weakly positive precipitation anomalies.

• January 2026 was the coldest January for Europe since 2010, with a monthly-mean temperature 1.63°C above the 1991-2020 mean. Temperature anomalies were significantly below normal in Scandinavia, Poland, Germany, and northeast Europe, while southeastern Europe saw temperatures significantly above average.
• Precipitation in December was wetter than normal across much of Europe, with record-high positive anomalies in the Iberian Peninsula, the British Isles, the western Balkans, Greece, Turkey, Russia, and large parts of the western and central Mediterranean, though central Europe and parts of Scandinavia were exceptions.
• Seasonal forecasts for March-May 2026 project Europe to be warmer than average, with temperature anomalies ranging from 0.75°C in western Europe to 1.5°C in eastern and southeastern Europe. Total precipitation is expected to show weakly positive anomalies (up to +10%) for most of Europe, though southwestern regions may see slightly negative anomalies (up to -10%). Soil moisture is projected to be positive in Russia, southeastern Europe, and the Iberian peninsula, and weakly negative in northeastern Europe.

APA

Hankus, A. (2026). Seasonal Climate Outlooks for Europe February 2026. Climate Strategies. https://climatestrategies.org/seasonal-climate-outlooks-for-europe-february-2026/

Chicago

Hankus, Adela. Seasonal Climate Outlooks for Europe February 2026. Climate Strategies, 2026. https://climatestrategies.org/seasonal-climate-outlooks-for-europe-february-2026/.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |last1=Hankus |first1=Adela |title=Seasonal Climate Outlooks for Europe February 2026 |publisher=Climate Strategies |date=11 March 2026 |url=https://climatestrategies.org/seasonal-climate-outlooks-for-europe-february-2026/ |access-date=23 October 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{hankus2026seasonal, author = {Hankus, Adela}, title = {{Seasonal Climate Outlooks for Europe February 2026}}, institution = {Climate Strategies}, year = {2026}, month = mar, url = {https://climatestrategies.org/seasonal-climate-outlooks-for-europe-february-2026/}, urldate = {2026-10-23}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }