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The document analyzes power sector reforms in East and Southern Africa, arguing that current commercialization and privatization efforts often exclude the poor. Through case studies of Ethiopia, Tanzania, and Zimbabwe, it highlights how high connection costs, restrictive lending terms for local entrepreneurs, and a lack of integrated public-benefit policies hinder rural electrification and urban energy access.

The document details the outcomes of a workshop stream titled 'Supporting Protected Areas in Times of Violent Conflict' at the 2003 World Parks Congress. It argues that peace is a fundamental precondition for conservation and that protected areas can either exacerbate or help mitigate conflict depending on their management. Key recommendations include establishing an international crisis response team, recognizing the neutrality of field staff, and integrating conservation ethics into military and humanitarian operations. The report emphasizes the need for proactive community engagement, continued donor support during crises, and the use of specialized monitoring tools like Peace and Conflict Impact Assessments (PCIA) to manage the dynamic relationship between biodiversity conservation and violent conflict.

The document argues that the deployment of peacekeeping forces in Africa must account for the widespread presence of anti-personnel landmines. It discusses the development of the African Stand-by Force and the role of the Ottawa Convention in banning landmines, highlighting the specific challenges in the SADC region and South Africa's legislative efforts to criminalise landmine possession and production.

The document highlights a critical gap between the SADC's strategic visions and the actual state of its infrastructure. While some corridors like the Trans-Kalahari show success, most regional transport networks suffer from severe degradation, inefficiency at borders, and a lack of financial commitment from member states. The report emphasizes the dominant role of South Africa in regional investment and the potential of privatization and concessions, as seen in Zambia's railways and Maputo's port, to improve efficiency. It also addresses the impact of political crises in Zimbabwe on regional logistics, the strategic importance of transboundary water management, and the growth of wireless communications over fixed lines.

The document analyzes the rise of investor-state arbitration under Bilateral Investment Treaties (BITs), noting a significant increase in cases compared to NAFTA's Chapter 11. Using ICSID data, it highlights pending cases that challenge government emergency measures in Argentina, tax policies in Burundi, and environmental regulations in Mexico and Peru. It also examines disputes over water privatization in Bolivia and Argentina, and the risks of using opaque, ad-hoc arbitration rules (like UNCITRAL) which can lead to conflicting rulings and a lack of public transparency, potentially undermining the legitimacy of the process and hindering the ability of developing nations to manage foreign investment.

As of April 2003, Burundi faced a severe humanitarian crisis characterized by massive internal displacement, food insecurity due to drought, and a fragmented political transition. An estimated 300,000 people had died since 1993, and over 500,000 were internally displaced. The document highlights that international aid remains limited because donors are withholding support until a comprehensive ceasefire and the Arusha agreement reforms are implemented. High population density and land scarcity further complicate the potential return of over 840,000 refugees, primarily located in Tanzania. The report concludes that humanitarian conditions will not improve until the government ends impunity and protects civilians, and until political elites prioritize peace over power struggles.

This research paper by David H. Shinn analyzes Sudan's strategic position in Africa, focusing on its internal civil war, the economic impact of oil, and its complex bilateral relations with its nine neighboring countries as of March 2003.

The SADC Barometer assesses the restructuring of SADC institutions, noting that while the transition from sectoral units to four central directorates was completed by December 2002, the process suffered from missed deadlines, understaffing, and a lack of human resource planning. The report highlights significant economic and political divergence within the region, particularly the dominance of South Africa, and warns that political instability in Zimbabwe and the impact of HIV/AIDS on food security threaten regional stability. It also examines the challenges of implementing a regional Free Trade Area, citing restrictive rules of origin and non-tariff barriers as major obstacles, while discussing the potential of South-South cooperation through a SACU-Mercosur trade agreement.

The document examines the transition from formal peace to social peace in Angola, focusing on the DD&R of UNITA and FAA combatants. It highlights the critical link between the reintegration of ex-soldiers and the resettlement of millions of internally displaced persons (IDPs), arguing that sustainable peace requires a community-based approach to avoid local conflict. The authors analyze the failures of the Bicesse and Lusaka processes—citing rigid timetables, insufficient resources, and poor reintegration planning—and evaluate the 2002 'Memorandum of Understanding' and the subsequent General Demobilisation and Reintegration Programme (PGDR). Key challenges identified include the proliferation of small arms among civilians, the lack of sustainable livelihoods in rural areas, and the institutional weakness of coordinating agencies like IRSEM.

The document analyzes South Africa's diplomatic approach toward Swaziland and Zimbabwe, arguing that Pretoria employs 'persuasive diplomacy' and limited engagement due to a complex balance of regional economic stability, national interests, and the principle of national sovereignty. While Zimbabwe's economic collapse poses a significant threat to the Southern African Development Community (SADC), Swaziland's smaller economic footprint results in less regional urgency despite similar human rights abuses. The author notes that South Africa's reluctance to take forceful action against Robert Mugabe is driven by fears of regional isolation, the potential for increased refugee flows, and Mugabe's status as an anti-colonial icon.

The document examines mine action in Southern Africa, focusing on the transition from emergency de-mining to sustainable development. It highlights the role of the Southern African Development Community (SADC) and the Ottawa Convention, while providing detailed case studies on Mozambique's impact surveys and Angola's operational challenges. The report argues that mine action should be treated as a core development activity rather than a stand-alone technical task, recommending better coordination, national capacity-building, and the use of socio-economic impact surveys to prioritize resources.

Following the April 2002 ceasefire, Angola faces immense reconstruction needs, including the reintegration of approximately 105,000 ex-combatants and the resettlement of 4.3 million internally displaced persons. While the country possesses vast oil and mineral wealth, structural crises persist in health, education, and agriculture. A critical strategic concern is the Okavango River Basin; as Angola develops the headwaters in Kuando-Kubango province, potential increases in water abstraction and dam construction could negatively impact the downstream ecosystems and water security of Namibia and Botswana. Cooperation is managed through the Permanent Okavango River Basin Water Commission (OKACOM), but Angola's lack of technical capacity and hydrometric data hinders its participation in integrated water resource management.

Following the death of Jonas Savimbi on 22 February 2002, the Angolan government initiated a 15 Point Plan to end the 28-year civil war, including a unilateral truce and a proposed blanket amnesty for UNITA fighters. While pre-negotiations between the Angolan Armed Forces (FAA) and UNITA forces (FALA) began in March 2002, the process is complicated by deep divisions within UNITA. The movement is split between the military faction (UNITA-Savimbista), parliamentarians in Luanda, an external mission led by Isaias Samakuva in Paris, and the government-recognized UNITA-Renovada under Eugenio Manuvakola. The document notes that the lack of a clear, unified leadership within UNITA and the potential for the government to delay peacetime administrative reforms may hinder a swift transition to peace.

As of mid-2001, Africa hosted approximately 5 million refugees and 21 million internally displaced persons (IDPs). The report highlights that IDPs now outnumber refugees globally and that in Africa, 80% of refugees are hosted by least developed countries. Significant displacement is driven by conflict and drought, particularly in Sudan, Angola, and the DRC. Children under 18 make up 56% of all refugees in Africa, exceeding 60% in countries such as Angola, Togo, Guinea, Burundi, Rwanda, Sudan, and the DRC.

The author argues that since 1994, South Africa has treated Zimbabwe as a marginal interest, moving through phases of policy vacuum, brinkmanship, and eventually a 'twin-track' strategy of constructive engagement and containment. This lack of cohesion is highlighted by the failure to resuscitate the 1964 Customs Agreement, leading to severe trade imbalances and economic regression in Zimbabwe. Security cooperation also suffered due to disagreements over the SADC Organ on Politics, Defence and Security, particularly regarding interventions in the DRC. The paper concludes that while the Bi-National Commission provides a starting point for dialogue, a harmonised macro-economic and security framework is essential for regional stability.

The paper examines the unique trajectory of democratisation in Southern Africa, arguing that the region's governance is shaped by colonial legacies, the 'big man' syndrome, and socio-economic crises rather than Western democratic indicators. It highlights how traditional power structures and ethnic loyalties often hinder democratic participation, while citing Botswana as a positive example of good governance. The author concludes that the ability of these governments to meet the basic needs of their populations and empower civil society is more critical for stability than adhering to Western models of democracy.

Following the June 2000 elections, the opposition Movement for Democratic Change (MDC) made significant gains, particularly in urban areas and Matabeleland, though ZANU-PF retained a slim majority. Despite these results, the document argues that the MDC lacks real legislative power. Economically, Zimbabwe faces a severe crisis characterized by hyperinflation, a contracting GDP, and a budget deficit reaching 16.9% of GDP. The government's 'fast track land resettlement programme' is identified as a primary driver of economic instability, threatening the commercial farming sector and risking mass impoverishment. The appointment of Simba Makoni as Minister of Finance was initially seen as a positive sign, but his efforts are undermined by President Mugabe's continued commitment to farm seizures and military intervention in the Congo.

In an address to the Kosovo, Africa and Humanitarian Intervention Conference, President Nelson Mandela highlights a "disparity of treatment" in how the international community responds to crises in different regions. He contrasts the readiness of the international community to intervene and commit resources to Kosovo with the failure to act during the genocide in Rwanda and the lack of promised support for peacekeeping in Sierra Leone. Mandela emphasizes that the lessons from the Independent International Commission on Kosovo should help advance dialogue on conflict resolution and calls for the global village to share concern for human suffering regardless of geography. He concludes by citing the Burundi peace process as a positive example of renewed international interest in African stability and reconstruction.

The document examines the transition of African security from Cold War paradigms to a new era of 'human security' and regional peace support. It argues that traditional UN peacekeeping is often insufficient for African conflicts, which frequently require 'peace enforcement' and a more robust, integrated military doctrine. The text highlights the role of regional bodies like the OAU, ECOWAS, and SADC, while critiquing the 'ECOMOG model' for its reliance on regional hegemons like Nigeria and the use of private military companies. It also explores the phenomenon of 'warlordism,' where leaders exploit global markets and natural resources to sustain predatory armed factions in failing states. Finally, it advocates for security sector reform (SSR) that is 'indigenised' to African contexts rather than merely applying Eurocentric models.

The document analyzes the cycle of violence in Congo-Brazzaville, specifically the 1997 conflict that saw Denis Sassou-Nguesso return to power with foreign military support. It describes a political environment where power is contested by armed militias loyal to specific elites—namely Sassou-Nguesso, Pascal Lissouba, and Bernard Kolélas. The paper highlights the critical role of Angolan military intervention in securing Sassou-Nguesso's victory and the ongoing fragility of the state due to socio-economic distress and regional instability in the Democratic Republic of Congo and Angola.