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The analysis finds that while exempting heating oil has a negligible effect on emissions, adding a natural gas exemption would increase 2030 emissions by 4.5 megatonnes. Furthermore, such exemptions would reduce the carbon rebate payments available to most households, negatively impacting affordability, particularly for lower-income groups.

The analysis finds that exempting natural gas and heating oil from the federal carbon price would increase emissions and reduce household affordability, particularly for low-income Canadians, due to a decrease in the value of Climate Action Incentive Payments.

The report assesses the economic impact of natural infrastructure in Alberta, Saskatchewan, and Manitoba, estimating that the sector supported over 58,500 jobs and contributed CAD 7 billion to GDP in 2022. It projects that additional annual investments of CAD 40 million to CAD 100 million could increase direct employment by 18% to 26% and direct GDP by 10% to 16% by 2030, enhancing climate resilience against floods and droughts.

The report establishes a statistical framework for the natural infrastructure sector in the Canadian Prairies, dividing it into watershed management, municipal natural infrastructure, education/training, and regulatory/public administration. Using 2022 as a baseline, it projects that a 'Stretch Growth' scenario involving CAD 100 million annual investment would increase total jobs in the region to 73,420 and total GDP to CAD 8.2 billion by 2030.

The Canadian Climate Institute and Clean Energy Canada propose adjustments to the Clean Electricity Regulations (CER) to ensure they are achievable and cost-effective. Key recommendations include raising the performance standard to 60 tonnes of CO2 per GWh, increasing the capacity factor for peaker plants to 15%, and introducing interim standards for facilities commissioned after 2025. To complement the CER, the authors argue for reforming the Output-based Pricing System (OBPS) to apply full carbon pricing to the electricity sector, federally procuring negative emissions via DAC-CCS and BECCS to offset residual emissions, and increasing support for demand-side management and distributed energy resources.

The report identifies the oil and gas sector as the primary obstacle to Canada's 2030 climate targets due to rising emissions. It proposes four complementary policies: strict methane regulations, targeted public support for carbon capture and storage (CCS), an emissions cap for the sector, and a government-backed transition investment taxonomy. The author emphasizes that explicitly addressing regional equity is essential for the political durability and success of these climate policies.

The Canadian Climate Institute proposes a four-part policy framework to decarbonize Canada's oil and gas sector while addressing regional fairness. The sector is identified as Canada's largest and fastest-growing source of emissions, contributing 189 Mt of greenhouse gases in 2021 (28% of the national total). To balance climate targets with economic stability, the report recommends stringent methane regulations, targeted public support for carbon capture and storage (CCS), a sector-specific emissions cap, and a government-backed transition investment taxonomy. This approach aims to ensure that oil and gas-producing regions contribute their fair share of reductions while protecting the trade balance and mitigating the risk of stranded assets as global demand for fossil fuels declines.

The document argues that CCS costs remain persistently high due to design complexity and a high need for customization, which prevents the technology from achieving the experience rates and economies of scale seen in renewable energy. In Canada, actual project costs often exceed modelled estimates, and the technology's viability in the oil and gas sector relies heavily on ongoing government subsidies. While CCS may be useful for hard-to-decarbonize industries like cement, the brief suggests it is an inefficient use of public funds for the oil and gas sector compared to alternatives like methane reduction and electrification.

The document analyzes the persistent high costs of carbon capture and storage (CCS), particularly within the Canadian oil and gas sector. It argues that high design complexity and the need for customization prevent the cost reductions seen in renewable technologies like solar and wind. While CCS may be vital for hard-to-abate sectors like cement, the brief concludes that public investment in CCS for oil and gas is risky and inefficient.

Canada's current electricity grid is 84 per cent non-emitting, providing a competitive advantage for low-carbon industrial production. To maintain this lead and meet the G7 goal of a net zero grid by 2035, the federal government has introduced the Clean Electricity Regulations and investment tax credits covering 15 to 30 per cent of project costs. While some provinces like Alberta have resisted these measures, the document notes that wind and solar are already cheaper than natural gas in Alberta and Ontario. The transition is expected to reduce household energy costs through technologies like heat pumps and electric vehicles while insulating the economy from fossil fuel price volatility.

The research finds that human-induced climate change significantly increased the intensity and probability of extreme fire weather in eastern Canada in 2023, particularly in Québec, where the cumulative severity of the fire season was approximately 50% more intense and at least seven times more likely to occur.

The Canadian Climate Institute outlines five key areas of concern regarding the federal Clean Electricity Regulations (CER), including the treatment of gas-powered facilities built after 2025, the 'prescribed' lifespan of existing gas plants, rules for using gas to balance renewables, the management of post-2035 residual emissions, and the potential shift from output-based to full carbon pricing for the electricity sector.

The document argues that clean electricity is essential for Canada to reach its climate targets, noting that switching from fossil fuels to clean electricity alone could contribute 37 per cent toward the 2050 net zero goal. It highlights that Canadians are projected to spend 12 per cent less on energy by 2050 due to the efficiency of electric vehicles and heat pumps. The text asserts that a net zero electricity grid by 2035 is achievable and necessary for economic competitiveness, particularly relative to the United States. Furthermore, it notes that the federal government has allocated over $30 billion to support provinces and territories in upgrading grids, with solar and wind already being competitive or cheaper than natural gas in Alberta and Ontario.

The Canadian Climate Institute asserts that a clean electricity grid is essential for Canada to reach its climate goals, noting that transitioning from fossil fuels to clean electricity alone would achieve 37% of the 2050 net-zero target. The document highlights that Canada's grid is already 84% clean and that wind and solar are becoming the cheapest options in provinces like Ontario and Alberta. It emphasizes that federal investment, including over $30 billion for provinces and territories, is critical to maintaining competitiveness against the United States, which also aims for net-zero electricity by 2035.

The document argues that British Columbia's proposed methane regulations lag behind international best practices, particularly regarding timelines for existing facilities and the lack of a policy for compressor engine exhaust. The coalition recommends accelerating the target for near-zero methane emissions to 2030, implementing stricter standards for pneumatic devices, tanks, and compressor seals by 2025, and adopting a monthly instrument-based leak detection and repair (LDAR) regime.

The Canadian Climate Institute's analysis indicates that CCS projects in the oilsands sector are economically viable under current and proposed federal and provincial policies, including carbon pricing and investment tax credits. The study finds that these projects can generate substantial private returns, suggesting that additional public subsidies beyond those already announced are unnecessary and could lead to excessive corporate profits. While CCS can improve carbon competitiveness and reduce the risk of stranded assets in a declining global oil market, it does not eliminate long-term transition risks associated with the Paris Agreement goals.

The author argues that Canada's commitments to phase out fossil fuel subsidies conflict with growing public funding for emission reduction technologies like carbon capture, utilization and storage (CCUS). To manage the risk of stranded assets and inefficient spending, the paper suggests a rigorous framework based on net-zero consistency, economic value relative to alternatives, community vulnerability, and the risk level of the policy tool used. It emphasizes that the burden of proof for public benefit should lie with the companies seeking support.

The analysis finds that CCS projects in Canadian oil sands are economically viable under current and proposed climate policies, such as carbon pricing and investment tax credits, potentially offering private returns of up to 21%. Consequently, the authors argue that additional public funding beyond what is already announced is unnecessary and could lead to excessive corporate profits. While CCS improves the carbon intensity of oil sands production, it does not eliminate the long-term transition risk associated with declining global oil demand.

The author argues that Canada's goal to eliminate fossil fuel subsidies may conflict with its plans to cap oil and gas emissions and maintain sustainable jobs. To resolve this, the document suggests a rigorous framework to ensure public funds are not wasted on assets that may become stranded due to declining global demand. The proposed framework evaluates project alignment with net-zero scenarios, comparative economic value against clean energy alternatives, impacts on worker and community vulnerability, and the matching of policy instruments to project risk levels.

The document examines how systemic racism excludes Indigenous knowledge from Canadian climate policy and proposes the use of nêhiyawak storytelling and the medicine wheel as a framework for transformational change. Using the tale of 'Birds of Colour: Part 2', the author demonstrates how Indigenous perspectives on interdependence, agency, and biodiversity can guide climate adaptation and mitigation. The study concludes with policy recommendations for federal and provincial governments to co-create climate strategies led by Indigenous nations, incorporating traditional knowledge without requiring Western scientific validation.