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The document refutes the claim that Canada can obtain internationally transferred mitigation outcomes (ITMOs) under Article 6.2 of the Paris Agreement by exporting LNG. It asserts that such exports likely do not reduce global emissions and that foreign buyers would not provide credits for free. The brief further notes that using Article 6.2 for coal-to-LNG switching would be a costly subsidy for domestic gas producers and would violate commitments against subsidizing fossil fuels abroad.

The document asserts that Canada's oil and gas sector emissions, which comprise nearly one-third of the national total, are rising and threaten climate commitments. While supporting the proposed emissions cap, the brief warns that a 25 Mt cushion of 'compliance flexibilities'—specifically the Decarbonization Fund and internationally transferred mitigation outcomes (ITMOs)—may allow firms to emit more without real reductions. It further cautions that domestic offsets should only be used if they are permanent and additional.

The UK became the first G7 country to phase out coal power on September 30, 2024, with the closure of the Ratcliffe-on-Soar plant. However, the author contends that this domestic achievement is contradicted by the actions of UK financial institutions, which provided US$6.5 billion to the global coal industry between 2021 and 2023. The document calls for stronger financial regulations to end coal expansion funding and redirect capital toward renewable energy and early decommissioning.

The briefing examines the expansion of LNG infrastructure in Latin America and the Caribbean, highlighting significant planned investments in Mexico, Argentina, and Brazil. It argues that these projects risk becoming stranded assets and conflict with global climate goals to limit warming to 1.5°C, suggesting that the region should instead prioritize its abundant renewable energy resources.

The document argues that claiming climate credits for LNG exports is likely impossible and environmentally unsound. It highlights the difficulty of proving 'additionality'—that exports actually cause a switch from coal to gas—and warns that such a mechanism could lead to overstated emissions reductions. The author concludes that any feasible route to these credits would require costly subsidies that would violate Canada's own policies and lock in fossil fuel infrastructure.

The document examines the proposed regulatory framework to cap GHG emissions in Canada's oil and gas sector. It argues that existing carbon pricing is insufficient to incentivize decarbonization, as profit margins for production remain higher than those for emissions reductions. While the cap is deemed necessary for Canada to meet its Paris Agreement goals, the author warns that a 25-million-tonne 'compliance flexibility' cushion—comprising a Decarbonization Fund, domestic offsets, and Internationally Transferred Mitigation Outcomes (ITMOs)—could dilute the cap's impact by up to 25%. The brief specifically cautions against the use of ITMOs for LNG exports, citing risks of double counting, lack of additionality, and potential fossil fuel subsidies.

The 2024 Private Equity Climate Risks Scorecard reveals that 21 analyzed private equity firms are responsible for an estimated 1.17 gigatons of annual emissions from upstream operations, LNG terminals, and coal plants. The report argues that the industry's lack of transparency and continued investment in fossil fuels obstruct the global transition to a 1.5°C warming scenario. It ranks firms from 'B' to 'F', with EIG Global Energy Partners receiving the lowest grade due to its high emissions and low alignment with climate demands. The authors call for mandatory disclosures and a just transition for workers and impacted communities.

The report finds that the majority of Lloyd's managing agents lack formal policies to stop underwriting new fossil fuel projects, contradicting the market's net-zero goals. While some have restricted coal, very few have restricted oil and gas, and none have restricted LNG export terminals. The analysis identifies specific deals where Lloyd's syndicates provided coverage for major US coal mines, Arctic oil and gas assets, and US LNG terminals.

The 2024 Private Equity Climate Risks Scorecard reveals that the energy portfolios of 21 analyzed private equity firms are responsible for 1.17 gigatons of annual CO2 equivalent emissions. As of July 2024, 66 percent of these portfolios remain invested in fossil fuels, primarily in upstream fossil fuels, LNG terminals, and coal plants. The report argues that these investments expose firms and their investors—including public sector pension funds—to significant financial risks such as asset stranding, citing the bankruptcy of at least 60 U.S. coal companies between 2012 and 2022. The firms are evaluated against standards including science-based targets, fossil fuel disclosure, energy transition plans, environmental justice, and lobbying transparency.

NGOs are demanding an international investigation into reports that Mozambican security forces committed massacres, torture, and sexual violence near the Mozambique LNG project site between July and September 2021. The statement highlights TotalEnergies' controversial relationship with the Mozambican military and calls on financial institutions to cease their support for the project due to severe human rights and environmental risks.

A group of NGOs, including Reclaim Finance and Friends of the Earth, is demanding an official investigation into reports of a massacre of civilians by Mozambican public security forces near TotalEnergies' premises in 2021. The NGOs highlight the company's financial and equipment ties to the Mozambican army and argue that financial institutions supporting the project must address these human rights risks.

The report argues that Senegal's investment in LNG is a high-risk gamble that could lead to stranded assets and entrenched fossil fuel dependency, especially as European demand is forecast to decline. It suggests that prioritizing renewable energy is a safer and more effective path to meeting energy targets and economic growth.

The report examines the push for natural gas as a 'transition fuel' in South Africa, contrasting government plans with the environmental and financial risks of stranded assets. It details the activities and financing of Kinetiko Energy's Mpumalanga Gas Project and Renergen's Virginia gas field, highlighting significant concerns regarding groundwater contamination, methane leakage, and a lack of transparency in governance.

The report examines Senegal's transition to an LNG exporter, highlighting risks such as high breakeven prices, potential stranded assets, and socio-economic disruptions to coastal fishing communities. It argues that relying on optimistic revenue projections is risky given the IEA's projected decline in natural gas demand by 2050 and recommends prioritizing renewable energy and strategic revenue management to avoid fossil fuel lock-in.

The document examines TotalEnergies' use of the bond market to secure long-term financing, noting a trend toward abnormally long maturities extending to 2064. It argues that these bonds provide the company with unrestricted funds to pursue fossil fuel expansion, contrary to IEA Net Zero scenarios, while creating systemic and financial risks for the banks and investors involved. The report identifies specific financial institutions facilitating these issuances and calls for a total cessation of support for companies developing new oil and gas projects.

The document examines how fossil fuel price volatility contributes to inflation in Canada, noting that energy prices accounted for 33% of overall inflation between February 2021 and June 2022. It argues that transitioning to net-zero electricity grids by 2050 could save Canada up to CAD 15 billion annually in total energy costs. The brief suggests that policies such as carbon pricing and incentives for heat pumps and electric vehicles can improve affordability by reducing reliance on volatile global oil and gas markets.

An analysis of five leading private infrastructure firms—Macquarie Asset Management, Global Infrastructure Partners, Stonepeak, IFM Investors, and I Squared Capital—reveals a total lack of sectoral policies to prevent investment in fossil fuel expansion. Despite the sector's growth, with global assets under management surpassing US$1 trillion in 2023, these firms continue to invest heavily in midstream infrastructure and liquefied natural gas (LNG) projects, posing a risk to the global carbon budget.

The document examines how fossil fuel price volatility contributes to overall inflation in Canada, noting that energy prices accounted for 33% of Canada's overall inflation from February 2021 to June 2022. It argues that transitioning to a net-zero electricity grid by 2050 could save Canadian households an average of CAD 1,500 annually and reduce total energy costs by CAD 15 billion per year. The brief highlights the 'spillover effect' where energy price hikes increase costs for non-energy items, such as food, and can lead to central bank interest rate hikes that further squeeze affordability. It recommends policies that encourage fuel switching to electric vehicles and heat pumps, as well as investments in renewable energy infrastructure to ensure long-term price stability.

The US Treasury is criticized for not opposing World Bank Group financing of fossil fuel projects, including recent International Finance Corporation commitments to oil and gas in Nigeria and Mali, and a feasibility study for a Liquid Natural Gas terminal in Morocco.

Reclaim Finance criticizes the involvement of over 20 financial institutions, including BNP Paribas, HSBC, and UBS, in a June 2024 secondary share offering (SSO) of 1.55 billion Saudi Aramco shares. While noting that an SSO does not provide new capital to the company for fossil fuel expansion, the author argues that such transactions reinforce the attractiveness of fossil fuel stocks. The document calls for a total ban on financial services—including coordination, bookrunning, and advisory—for any energy company continuing fossil fuel expansion, specifically targeting primary share offerings (PSOs) as a critical funding mechanism that must be prohibited to align with the IEA's Net Zero Emissions scenario.