Search Climate Insights Directory
42 results
Peaking: A Theory of Rapid Transition
The document introduces a new analytical framework called 'The Peak, Plateau, and Decline' to map the patterns of fossil fuel demand as it peaks and declines across different countries and sectors.
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Document type: Report
EU’s Russian Oil Curtain Call: A Crossroads for Climate
The EU is phasing out Russian oil, which accounted for over 25 percent of its 2021 imports. While replacing these streams is technically complex due to refinery design requirements regarding sulfur and density, the report argues that the EU can reduce its carbon footprint by sourcing lower-emissions crudes. For example, Saudi Arab Light is identified as a potential substitute for Russian Urals crude that could lower emissions. Additionally, the report suggests that using hydrotreated intermediates could reduce EU refinery hydrogen demand, which currently represents nearly 10 percent of EU natural gas imports from Russia.
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Document type: Report
Review of federal pesticide law must centre on protecting human health and the environment
The document outlines eleven specific priorities for the targeted review of Canada's Pest Control Products Act, arguing that current regulations fail to address increasing pesticide use and its associated risks to biodiversity, climate, and vulnerable populations.
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Document type: Statement
In Search of a Triple Win
The briefing analyzes energy policies in buildings, mobility, power, and resource extraction across 30 countries to determine their impact on poverty and inequality. It finds that while 60% of analyzed policies are likely to decrease poverty, only 11% are likely to decrease inequality, and only 13% provide both positive social and environmental impacts. The author argues that energy policies must be integrated with social policies, such as worker retraining and the use of tax revenues for social benefits, to prevent exacerbating social disparities during the clean energy transition.
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Document type: Briefing
ENERGY SECURITY BENEFITS OF CONGRESSIONAL CLIMATE AND CLEAN ENERGY POLICY
The report argues that increasing fossil fuel production is an ineffective short-term solution for energy security due to the global nature of oil and gas markets. Instead, it uses the U.S. Energy Policy Simulator (EPS) to demonstrate that clean energy incentives—such as EV tax credits and building electrification—would significantly reduce U.S. fossil fuel demand. In a 'Moderate Scenario', these policies would reduce annual oil consumption by over 180 million barrels by 2030, more than offsetting 2021 Russian oil imports, and reduce natural gas consumption by 4.7 trillion cubic feet, roughly 85% of the EU's 2021 Russian gas imports. The report also estimates GHG emission reductions of 740 to 1,230 million metric tonnes by 2030.
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Document type: Report
Statement on the Release of the Alberta Public Inquiry Into Anti-Alberta Energy Campaigns
The International Institute for Sustainable Development (IISD) welcomes the findings of the Alberta Public Inquiry Into Anti-Alberta Energy Campaigns, which concluded that no individuals or organizations committed wrongdoing or illegal acts, but rather exercised their rights to free speech. The IISD reaffirms its commitment to advocating for the phase-out of fossil fuel subsidies and a clean energy transition, noting that countries with 2050 net-zero targets represent 68% of global GDP and that IEA forecasts project a decline in oil demand.
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Document type: Statement
Confronting the Plastic Pollution Pandemic
The document examines the systemic failure of plastic recycling and the environmental and health impacts of plastic pollution. It evaluates the potential for a new global treaty versus voluntary measures and highlights the link between plastic production and fossil fuel demand.
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Document type: Policy brief
Review of Mulder et al. 2020
The document reviews a report by Mulder et al. (2020), which was commissioned by Shell, regarding the impact of Shell's production limits on global energy consumption. The author, Peter Erickson, argues that Mulder et al. use misleading evidence to downplay the link between supply restrictions and price increases. Erickson asserts that reducing supply leads to higher prices and lower consumption, thereby reducing CO2 emissions. He further disputes the claim that other companies would simply take over Shell's licenses, citing national policy shifts in countries like Denmark and the potential for increased investment risk across the fossil fuel sector.
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Document type: Briefing
CASE STUDY: RUSSIA
The document details Russia's high reliance on fossil fuels, which accounted for 90% of its total energy supply in 2017 and 23.6% of general government revenue. It highlights the dominance of state-owned enterprises like Gazprom and Rosneft, the government's strategy to expand exports to the Asia-Pacific region, and the significant fiscal gap created by the under-taxation of fossil fuel consumption. The report also examines various forms of production and consumption subsidies, as well as the role of the National Welfare Fund in managing windfall revenues.
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Document type: Case study
Beyond Fossil Fuels: Fiscal Transition in BRICS
Brazil's economy is influenced by significant fossil fuel reserves, particularly 'pre-salt' oil, though it is the least dependent on fossil fuels among BRICS nations due to biofuels and hydropower. In 2017, fossil fuel revenues accounted for 6.8% of general government revenue, while subsidies represented 0.3% of GDP. The government continues to seek increased oil and gas production despite climate commitments to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 43% by 2030. Fiscal complexities include high state-level VAT on fuels, significant tax exemptions for production, and the earmarking of royalties for health and education.
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Document type: Case study
Más allá de los combustibles fósiles: Transición fiscal en México
The document analyzes the fiscal dynamics of fossil fuels in Mexico, noting a decline in extraction revenues and an increase in consumption revenues. It argues for a cost-benefit analysis of continued fossil fuel reliance versus renewable alternatives and calls for increased transparency in hydrocarbon and coal revenues. The report warns against regressive generalized subsidies and highlights the tension between the administration of Andrés Manuel López Obrador's goal to increase oil extraction for energy security and the resulting environmental and social challenges.
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Document type: Report
BP's corporate reporting regarding oil demand forecast to 2035: potential legal risks
ClientEarth asserts that BP's 'base case' oil demand forecast to 2035 is at odds with independent analysis and automotive industry trends, potentially misleading investors and exposing BP to compensation claims under UK law.
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Document type: Statement
Letter to EU Environment and Transport Ministers on Aviation Emissions
The letter argues that aviation is the fastest growing transport mode and that ICAO's proposed offset mechanisms are inadequate. It calls for the EU to establish a common position, phase out tax-free fuel and VAT status, and push for legally binding emissions reduction carbon budgets for 2030 and 2050 to keep global warming below 2°C.
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Document type: Statement
Air Conditioner Efficiency Standards: SEER 13 vs. SEER 12
The document compares the impacts of the SEER 13 and SEER 12 energy efficiency standards for central air conditioning units in the U.S. It asserts that SEER 13 provides significantly greater energy savings, lower carbon emissions, and reduced power plant construction compared to SEER 12, while dismissing claims that the higher standard imposes prohibitive costs or size constraints on consumers and manufacturers.
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Document type: Fact sheet
CENTER FOR INTERNATIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL LAW COMMENTS TO THE IFC BAKU-TBLISI-CEYHAN PIPELINE PROJECT
The Center for International Environmental Law (CIEL) argues that the BTC Pipeline Project's legal framework undermines the rule of law and sovereign regulatory power in Azerbaijan, Georgia, and Turkey. CIEL identifies significant deficiencies in the project's approach to climate change, public consultation, and compensation for affected populations, particularly in Turkey. The document further contends that the project fails to demonstrate a measurable contribution to poverty alleviation, potentially violating IFC mandates.
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Document type: Statement
Impact of Covid lockdown on Air Pollution Levels in Bengaluru
The report finds that the COVID-19 lockdown led to a significant reduction in air pollution in Bengaluru, primarily due to a sharp decline in motorized transportation. Analysis of 26 monitoring stations showed an average 28% drop in PM2.5 levels, while satellite data indicated a 40% reduction in NO2. The most significant decrease occurred near Bellandur Lake (75%), attributed to the halt of construction and vehicular movement. Conversely, the lowest reduction was seen near Halasuru Hospital (14%), likely due to continued essential hospital visits. The study concludes that the transportation sector is the primary driver of air pollution in the city and recommends shifting to electric vehicles, enhancing public transport, and promoting non-motorized transportation to maintain breathable air quality.
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Document type: Report
WHAT ARE SUSTAINABLE PLASTICS?
The document argues that current plastic production and consumption are unsustainable and that solutions must be applied based on specific product applications to avoid trade-offs between durability, biodegradability, and recyclability. It highlights the risks of chemical additives and the inefficiency of waste management systems, particularly the export of plastic waste from Europe to Asia. The authors propose a comprehensive definition of sustainable plastics based on environmental, economic, and social criteria to guide the UNEP's international policy instrument.
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Document type: Policy brief
Key Facts and Policy Implications
The document outlines the financial impact of a low-carbon transition across four major economies. It highlights that net oil consumers, including China, the EU, India, and the US, could see significant financial benefits from reducing oil demand. However, it warns of substantial asset stranding risks in China and India due to planned coal-fired power capacity exceeding IEA two-degree thresholds. In contrast, the EU and US face lower coal stranding risks but must manage the eventual peak of natural gas consumption by 2030 to minimize value loss.
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Document type: Fact sheet
SUMMARY OF FOSSIL FUEL COMMITMENTS IN NATIONALLY DETERMINED CONTRIBUTIONS
The briefing asserts that the omission of fossil fuel production and consumption from NDCs undermines the 1.5°C temperature limit and may constitute a breach of international law. Citing the International Court of Justice, it argues that NDCs are binding obligations requiring 'highest possible ambition' and due diligence. The document calls for 2025 NDCs to include comprehensive packages addressing production, consumption, exploration licenses, and subsidies, while ensuring a just transition and policy coherence between supply and climate goals.
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Document type: Briefing
Increasing Taxes on Fossil Fuel Consumption
The document analyzes how Saudi Arabia, China, and South Africa have implemented various taxes on fossil fuel consumption to address budget deficits and fund renewable energy. It highlights China's Renewable Electricity Surcharge, which raised USD 16 billion in 2016, and South Africa's multi-layered approach including fuel and electricity levies. Saudi Arabia's 2018 introduction of a 5% VAT is noted as a move to diversify revenue away from oil dependency.
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Document type: Case study