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Mozambique’s Foreign Policy: Pragmatic Non-Alignment as a Tool for Development
The document analyzes Mozambique's foreign policy across three periods: liberation and civil war, post-conflict consolidation, and the current era of attracting foreign direct investment. It highlights how Mozambique's 'pragmatic non-alignment' allowed it to maintain diverse partnerships with Western donors, emerging powers like China and Brazil, and regional partners such as South Africa. While the country is viewed as a post-conflict success story, the paper warns that corruption, inequality, and a lack of domestic accountability threaten long-term stability as the country transitions toward financial independence driven by vast coal and natural gas discoveries.
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Document type: Research paper
A Bright Economic Future for the Mountain State
The report details a multi-stakeholder forum focused on transitioning West Virginia from a coal-dependent economy to a diversified one. It identifies key assets such as natural gas, tourism, and a strong workforce, while highlighting the need for state-level leadership and policies like the proposed West Virginia Future Fund. The document emphasizes the role of innovation, STEM education, and energy efficiency in creating sustainable, high-quality jobs.
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Document type: Report
Angola, the Reluctant SADC Trader
The paper examines why Angola, SADC's second-largest economy, has remained outside the SADC Free Trade Area (FTA) despite signing the Protocol on Trade (PoT) in 2003. While the government of Angola (GoA) cites the need to rebuild its war-ravaged industry and protect 'infant industries' from cheap imports, the author argues that this protectionism is contradictory given Angola's openness to imports from China, Brazil, and Portugal. The analysis suggests that vested interests—specifically 'Empresários de Confiança' (trusted businessmen with political links)—benefit from existing high-cost import monopolies and may be discouraging the FTA. The document also critiques the SADC Secretariat for its lack of enforcement mechanisms to hold member states accountable for protocol violations.
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Document type: Research paper
Will Tax Reform Drive Equitable Development in Oil-Dependent Angola?
Angola is implementing a tax reform programme to increase non-oil tax revenues to 20% of GDP by 2017, aiming to reduce its acute dependence on oil. The reform includes merging national tax and customs agencies, updating tax codes, and introducing new property and consumption taxes. However, the document highlights significant obstacles, including a narrow tax base, lack of fiscal decentralisation, endemic corruption, and a weak taxpaying culture. While political will exists, the ease of collecting oil revenues may reduce the urgency for the sweeping reforms needed to address persistent underdevelopment and high inequality.
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Document type: Policy brief
A Regional Approach to National Development Priorities in Mozambique
Mozambique faces significant development hurdles despite high economic growth, primarily due to a severe domestic skills shortage and uncompetitive business environment. The report suggests that the government should leverage regional resources and liberalise foreign labour regulations to facilitate skills transfer and economic growth.
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Document type: Report
What does Hydrocarbon Wealth mean for Foreign Aid in Mozambique?
The document examines the potential for Mozambique's hydrocarbon wealth to supplant its chronic reliance on foreign aid, particularly from the G19 group of Western donors. While resource revenues could increase government autonomy and shift commercial partnerships toward Asia and South America, the author warns that this may replace aid dependence with a new dependence on foreign capital and technology. The brief highlights risks such as the 'resource curse', rent-seeking, and the limited local economic impact of capital-intensive 'mega-projects', recommending that the government integrate resource strategies with broader development goals and that donors shift from budget support to targeted sectoral funding.
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Document type: Policy brief
To Bélinga or not to Bélinga?
The document examines the strategic partnership between China and Gabon, centered on the Bélinga iron ore project. It analyzes how Gabon seeks to diversify its oil-dependent economy through Chinese investment in mining and infrastructure, while China seeks to secure strategic mineral resources. The paper highlights significant delays in the project's execution following the death of President Omar Bongo in 2009, commodity price volatility, and increasing pressure from civil society regarding environmental and labor issues. It concludes that while the project offers potential for regional development and infrastructure, the current 'barter' model of loans-for-resources may limit short-term economic benefits and fail to trigger a major structural change in Gabon's rentier economy.
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Document type: Research paper
Angola: Parallel governments, oil and neopatrimonial system reproduction
The briefing describes Angola's political system as a hybrid of a formal government ruled by the MPLA and a more resilient 'shadow' government controlled by President José Eduardo Dos Santos. This shadow structure, powered by the national oil company Sonangol, manages international policy, money supply, and security independently of formal ministries. The author argues that recent legislative changes, including the 2010 constitution, have formalized the president's unlimited power and weakened the formal state's autonomy. While the regime maintains stability through a vast patronage network, the document identifies internal tensions within the MPLA and the risks of uncontrolled corruption as primary threats to the system's reproduction.
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Document type: Briefing
Angola’s Strategic Co-operation with the BRIC Countries
The document examines Angola's pragmatic foreign policy towards the BRIC nations following the 2002 Luena Peace Accord. It details how Angola utilizes different strengths of each partner—such as China's infrastructure credit, Brazil's educational ties, Russia's technical expertise in diamonds and energy, and India's technical capacity in rail and gas—to reconstruct its economy and diversify away from oil dependence.
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Document type: Research paper
Recursos Naturais, Actualizacao: Petroleo em Angola
The document examines Angola's economic performance between 2002 and 2008, highlighting the risks associated with high oil intensity and the potential for 'peak oil' between 2010 and 2025. It argues that while the oil sector has a positive direct impact on the non-oil sector, a poor business climate and weak public spending effectiveness hinder broader development. The author recommends prioritizing domestic capital investment over the creation of a national wealth fund and emphasizes the need for transparent public finance management and democratic stability to ensure long-term economic sustainability.
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Document type: Policy brief
Chinese Economic and Trade Co-operation Zones in Africa: The Case of Mauritius
The paper examines the JinFei ETCZ in Mauritius as an anomaly in China's African investment strategy, which usually targets large markets or resource-rich countries. It argues that the project was realized through the proactive agency of the Mauritian government, which leveraged its stable 'soft infrastructure' and strategic location to position the island as a business platform between Asia and Africa. Despite initial delays due to land disputes and the 2008 financial crisis, the project was rescued by high-level Chinese political intervention and the entry of large state-owned enterprises from Shanxi Province, shifting the zone's focus from light manufacturing to services, real estate, and logistics.
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Document type: Research paper
Can Uganda’s Oil Endowment Support its Economic Development?
The document examines the potential for Uganda's oil wealth to drive economic growth, warning against the 'resource curse' and 'Dutch disease' that could undermine its agricultural sector. While noting progress in transparency legislation, it highlights critical gaps in revenue management and the need for stabilisation funds.
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Document type: Briefing
Sustainable Development Impacts of Investment Incentives: A Case Study of the Pharmaceutical Industry in Singapore
The document examines Singapore's use of financial incentives to attract foreign direct investment (FDI) in the biomedical sciences (BMS) sector. While the sector saw significant growth in FDI and employment between 2000 and 2007, the report notes that its total employment capacity is limited compared to other manufacturing sectors like electronics. It argues that incentives must be part of a broader industrial policy to avoid reducing national welfare through competitive bidding and suggests focusing on specific disease areas where Singapore has a comparative advantage.
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Document type: Case study
Securing a Social Licence to Operate?
The report examines the Tanzanian mining sector, noting that while it contributes modestly to GDP (2.3%), it accounts for approximately 45% of foreign earnings. It highlights a significant gap between public perceptions of mining profitability and the operational realities of the industry. A case study of Barrick Gold reveals varying levels of social legitimacy across its mines, with the North Mara mine facing severe challenges including criminal activity and community mistrust, while the Buzwagi mine was designed to follow global best practices. The report recommends greater fiscal transparency through EITI compliance and the creation of a national mining forum.
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Document type: Report
Will oil build or break Ghana's democracy?
The paper examines the potential for a 'resource curse' in Ghana, noting that while strong civil society and a history of fair elections provide a democratic foundation, risks such as 'Dutch Disease', budget volatility, and a lack of transparency in oil contracts persist. It argues that the impact of oil on Ghana's democracy is ambiguous and depends on the government's ability to manage revenues through stabilisation funds and industrial policies that support economic diversification, particularly in agriculture.
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Document type: Research paper
Will Oil Build or Break the Back of Ghana’s Democracy?
The document examines the risks and opportunities associated with Ghana's transition to an oil-producing nation. While Ghana has a strong record of democratic transitions and a vocal civil society, it faces challenges including a lack of absorptive capacity for sudden revenue increases, delays in passing oil revenue management legislation, and a history of local communities receiving few benefits from the mining and timber sectors. The author argues that oil alone will not drive structural economic change and recommends the establishment of stabilisation and heritage funds, the use of associated gas to fuel industrial policy and agriculture, and increased transparency in contract negotiations to prevent elite capture and social unrest.
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Document type: Policy brief
Sustainable Development Impacts of Investment Incentives
The document examines Singapore's strategic shift toward a knowledge-based economy by developing a globally competitive biomedical sciences (BMS) sector to mitigate the decline of the electronics industry. It details the use of financial incentives, infrastructure like the Biopolis hub, and R&D subsidies to attract multinational corporations (MNCs) and foster a high-value-added industry. While the strategy successfully increased foreign direct investment (FDI) and high-quality employment, the report notes limited spillover effects for domestic small and medium-sized firms and suggests focusing on niche disease areas and ASEAN regional integration for future growth.
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Document type: Case study
Managing Resources and the Democratic Order: The Experience of Botswana
The paper argues that Botswana's success is not due to minerals alone but to a combination of professional public institutions, disciplined leadership, and the integration of traditional Tswana democratic values with modern governance. It highlights the role of the Ministry of Finance and Development Planning in linking revenue to specific projects and the strategic partnership with De Beers. However, the authors warn that this 'miracle' is threatened by high income inequality, over-reliance on diamond exports, a high HIV/Aids prevalence, and an excessively powerful executive presidency.
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Document type: Research paper
La gestion des ressources et l’ordre démocratique : L’expérience du Botswana
The document analyzes Botswana's 'miracle' of economic growth and political stability following the discovery of diamonds. It attributes this success to a professional, merit-based bureaucracy, the integration of traditional Tswana consultative values with modern democratic principles, and disciplined leadership. However, it warns that this image is challenged by persistent poverty, high income inequality (Gini index of 60.5), a 23.8% unemployment rate, and an over-reliance on diamond exports, which account for approximately one-third of the GDP.
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Document type: Research paper
Northern Entrepreneurship
The report analyzes entrepreneurship in Northern Canada, noting that while small and medium-sized enterprises (SMMEs) dominate the business landscape in the Yukon, Northwest Territories, and Nunavut, they face distinct obstacles compared to southern businesses. It highlights the intersection of northern entrepreneurship with social and environmental goals and explores 'indigenous economics,' which emphasizes community values and holistic wealth over simple profit. The document argues that fostering a 'creative class' and improving local capacity and infrastructure are essential for sustainable economic development in the region.
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Document type: Report