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This briefing from the Center for International Environmental Law argues that current and projected growth in plastic production is incompatible with global climate goals, specifically the 1.5°C warming limit. It asserts that a global plastics treaty must include ambitious obligations to reduce production, as the Paris Agreement and Nationally Determined Contributions are insufficient to address the climate impacts of plastics.

The document asserts that current exponential growth in plastic production is incompatible with global climate goals, as plastics already account for 3% to 8% of global GHG emissions and could consume over 10% of the remaining carbon budget by 2050. It argues that emissions cannot be decoupled from production through electrification or bio-based feedstocks alone. To address this, the brief recommends that the plastics treaty establish a global production baseline, a freeze on production levels, and a phasedown schedule to reduce production by 46% to 70% from 2019 levels by 2050. It further calls for a ban on new production infrastructure, the elimination of public subsidies, and the implementation of trade restrictions to prevent carbon leakage.

ClientEarth urges the FCA to implement mandatory sustainability disclosures at the point of listing, aligned with TCFD and ISSB standards, to correct information asymmetry and protect investors from climate-related financial risks. The document specifically advocates for a new 'atmospheric viability' test for fossil fuel companies' reserves in Competent Person's Reports to address stranded asset risks. Additionally, it recommends extending these requirements to the debt market and introducing stricter, contractually binding disclosures for labelled bonds to prevent greenwashing and mispricing of climate risk.

Ember critiques the TYNDP 2024 storylines for having low electrification levels and unrealistic fossil fuel price projections. The organization argues that the 'Green Ambition' (GA) and 'Distributed Energy' (DE) scenarios are not fully self-consistent and fail to align with 1.5C pathways. Ember recommends introducing a higher-ambition scenario with at least 90% emissions reduction by 2040 and urges the removal of fossil methane from heating and transport by 2050.

Carbon Market Watch advocates for a legally binding EU target of over 90% gross emissions cuts by 2040 to achieve domestic net zero. The organization argues for 'turbo charging' the EU ETS by increasing linear reduction factors, phasing out free allowances by 2030 in favor of the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM), and keeping carbon removals strictly separate from the ETS to avoid offsetting and ensure deep decarbonization. It also calls for the expansion of the ETS to full scope for aviation and shipping and the use of auctioning revenues for transparent climate projects.

The report identifies coal-based primary steel production as a critical driver of global greenhouse gas emissions, contributing at least 7% of annual totals. It highlights that the blast furnace-basic oxygen furnace (BF-BOF) route is heavily dependent on metallurgical coal, with emissions underestimated by excluding coal mine methane. The document warns that 'business as usual' trajectories would consume nearly 23% of the remaining global carbon budget for 1.5°C by 2050. It argues that efficiency gains and carbon capture (CCUS) are insufficient or unviable in the near term. Instead, it advocates for a transition to green hydrogen-based direct reduced iron (DRI) and electric arc furnaces (EAF). The report establishes 'red lines' against relining existing blast furnaces or building new ones, particularly in OECD countries, to avoid locking in high-emission infrastructure for decades.

The report examines the economic vulnerability of Canada's oil and gas sector due to declining global demand and increasing price volatility. It argues that a 'business-as-usual' approach risks stranded assets and severe socioeconomic disruption. Drawing on case studies from Denmark, Germany, Illinois, and Colorado, the authors propose a 'policy trifecta' of ambitious climate targets, managed energy phase-downs, and proactive economic diversification to ensure an equitable transition.

The briefing advocates for a global Fossil Fuel Non-Proliferation Treaty based on three pillars: ending new exploration and production, phasing out existing production equitably, and enabling a just global transition. It outlines the necessity of international coordination to address the supply side of climate change, noting that current global production plans exceed 1.5°C limits. The document provides a roadmap for governments to support the treaty through public endorsements, diplomatic engagement, and domestic policy measures such as removing subsidies and restricting new infrastructure.

The briefing advocates for an international treaty to end fossil fuel proliferation through three pillars: prohibiting new exploration and production, phasing out existing production equitably, and facilitating a just transition for dependent countries and communities. It outlines the necessary ingredients for such a treaty—including civil society movements and 'champion' countries like Vanuatu and Tuvalu—and provides a roadmap of diplomatic and national policy actions for governments to reduce fossil fuel dependency.

The briefing advocates for an international treaty to end the proliferation of fossil fuels through three pillars: prohibiting new exploration and production, phasing out existing production equitably, and facilitating a just transition for dependent countries and workers. It outlines a diplomatic strategy for 'champion countries' to drive this process, suggests specific national policy actions to reduce supply-side dependence, and provides model text for governments to use in multilateral negotiations.

The briefing proposes a Fossil Fuel Non-Proliferation Treaty based on three pillars: preventing new exploration licenses, phasing out existing production equitably, and ensuring a just transition for workers and dependent communities. It outlines a strategy for 'precursor countries' to drive international cooperation, suggests specific diplomatic actions for national governments, and provides a menu of domestic policy options to reduce fossil fuel dependency.

The briefing advocates for a Fossil Fuel Non-Proliferation Treaty based on three pillars: non-proliferation of new fossil fuels, a fair phase-out of existing production, and a global just transition. It positions the treaty as a necessary supply-side complement to the Paris Agreement, arguing that current production plans exceed the 1.5°C carbon budget. The document outlines a business case for support, citing risks such as stranded assets and increased climate litigation, while proposing specific actions for companies, including public advocacy and the implementation of absolute emission reductions.

The briefing advocates for business support of the Fossil Fuel Non-Proliferation Treaty, asserting that a global mechanism to phase out coal, oil, and gas is essential to avoid overshooting 1.5°C. It highlights that current government production plans exceed 1.5°C limits and that existing reserves alone would result in seven times the emissions allowed by the remaining carbon budget. For businesses, supporting the treaty is presented as a way to reduce physical and transitional risks, unlock renewable energy investment, provide integrity to net zero pledges, and improve corporate reputation among employees and stakeholders.

The study finds that current climate policy in the German transport sector is consistent with a global temperature increase of approximately 3°C, significantly exceeding the 1.5°C target. Using a CO2 budget approach, the analysis reveals that the transport sector is the worst-performing sector in Germany, projected to consume nearly double its allocated 1.5°C budget between 2016 and 2030, with an excess of 840 to 1000 MtCO2eq.

The document defines key metrics and terminology across finance and energy sectors, specifically focusing on capital expenditure (CAPEX) types, oil and gas operational stages, and renewable energy capacity measures used in the context of 1.5°C climate pathways.

The report evaluates three approaches to determining Belgium's fair share of the global carbon budget. Under a 'grandfathering' approach based on 2020 emissions, Belgium would need a 61.0% reduction by 2030. A population-based distribution would require an 81.5% reduction by 2030. However, the report concludes that when accounting for historical responsibility and capability, Belgium has already used its fair share of carbon space and would need to reach emissions below zero by 2030 to be unambiguously fair.

The author contends that Europe's energy scarcity is a long-term reality that cannot be solved by new fossil fuels or nuclear power, necessitating a shift toward 'energy sobriety'. This approach distinguishes itself from energy efficiency by focusing on the fair distribution of energy reduction rather than technical innovation. The text explores historical precedents for rationing in France and the Netherlands to argue that collective sufficiency is feasible. Proposed mechanisms for a just transition include progressive energy tariffs—where essential use is cheap and misuse is expensive—and personal carbon quotas to ensure equitable distribution and prevent social conflict during the energy transition.

The paper argues that while coal transition mechanisms (CTMs) are essential for turning phaseout commitments into action, they carry risks that can undermine climate and social outcomes. To address this, the authors propose a framework consisting of four 'stage gates' to assess coal plant eligibility, transition pathways, social protection, and accountability.

The report warns that massive LNG expansion and a lack of ambitious national climate targets are jeopardizing the 1.5°C warming limit. It highlights that current 2030 targets lead to 2.4°C of warming and that LNG capacity under construction could increase emissions by over 1.9 GtCO2e per year by 2030 above Net Zero scenarios. While some policy progress is noted in the US, China, and the EU, international climate finance remains insufficient, and the phase-down of coal is largely being ignored by major emitters.

The document argues that the Paris financial center continues to support oil and gas expansion despite commitments to the 1.5°C goal. It systematically dismantles ten 'received ideas' used by banks, insurers, and asset managers to justify this support, citing IEA and IPCC data to show that no new fossil fuel projects are compatible with net-zero pathways. The briefing highlights that 'transition' claims by oil majors are often unsupported by investment data and that engagement without the threat of exclusion is ineffective.