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Outcomes of COP 14 in Poznan
The report details the progress of the UNFCCC negotiations at COP 14 in Poznan, highlighting the operationalization of the Adaptation Fund and the agreement to enter 'full negotiating mode' for 2009. It examines the work of the AWG-LCA and AWG-KP, noting a lack of breakthroughs on global emission goals and a divide between developed and developing nations regarding mitigation commitments. The document concludes by outlining the critical issues and deadlines remaining for the COP 15 meeting in Copenhagen.
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Document type: Report
Expanding Agriculture’s Role in a Post-2012 Climate Change Regime
The document analyzes the role of agriculture in global GHG mitigation and adaptation, highlighting that while the sector has a technical mitigation potential of 5.5 to 6 GtCO2e per year by 2030, progress is hindered by accounting complexities and non-permanence of soil carbon. It details Canada's domestic offset experiences, such as Alberta's tillage protocol, and argues for expanding the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) or creating new market mechanisms for sustainable development (MMSDs) to engage developing countries, where 70% of agricultural mitigation potential resides.
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Document type: Report
Options for improving the treatment of LULUCF in a Copenhagen agreement: forest and wetland degradation, factoring out, harvested wood products, and approaches for fuller accounting
The working paper by the Graz Group outlines strategies to enhance the environmental integrity and completeness of LULUCF accounting. It suggests moving toward 'fuller accounting' through activities-based, emissions/removals-based, or land-use-based approaches. Key recommendations include mandatory accounting for forest and peatland degradation, a 'restricted stock-change approach' for harvested wood products to prevent false credits, and policy-based methods for 'factoring out' natural disturbances. The authors argue that current Kyoto Protocol rules allow significant emissions from degradation to go uncounted, particularly in Annex I countries that did not elect Article 3.4.
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Document type: Research paper
The role of land-based offsets in Emissions Trading Systems: Key design aspects and considerations for linking
The document examines the role of land-based offsets in emissions trading systems across the EU, Australia, Canada, the US, and New Zealand, as well as voluntary standards. It identifies that differences in the stringency of additionality and the management of carbon reversibility (non-permanence) are primary obstacles to linking these systems. While most schemes use offset mechanisms, New Zealand's approach of including deforestation within the cap is highlighted as a way to bypass additionality and reversibility issues. The paper concludes that harmonizing the generation of forestry offsets is essential for successful future linkage.
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Document type: Research paper
Scaling Up AFOLU Mitigation Activities in NonAnnex I Countries
The report identifies that the creation of expiring units (tCERs and lCERs) and complex methodologies have severely diminished investment confidence in A/R CDM projects, leading developers to prefer voluntary markets. It recommends replacing expiring units with a risk-buffer system, simplifying methodologies, and potentially extending national accounting systems (Article 3.3) to non-Annex I countries to increase mitigation potential, which is estimated at 10,000 MtCO2 per year by 2030 in developing countries.
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Document type: Research paper
Making Sense of the Voluntary Carbon Market
The report analyzes the voluntary carbon market, contrasting it with compliance markets and evaluating ten specific offset standards. It identifies structural flaws in project-based offsetting, such as the difficulty of proving additionality and inherent conflicts of interest where auditors are paid by project developers. The authors argue that while the voluntary market fosters innovation and participation, it requires more rigorous, transparent standards to ensure environmental integrity and the delivery of sustainable development co-benefits.
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Document type: Report
Market Mechanisms for Sustainable Development: How Do They Fit in the Various Post-2012 Climate Efforts?
The report analyzes 43 proposed post-2012 climate regimes, categorizing them into five types: targets with flexibility mechanisms, targets with emissions trading only, policy and sectoral approaches, technology approaches, and other approaches. It argues that while the current project-based CDM is compatible with some regimes, an 'expanded CDM'—incorporating programmatic, policy-based, or sectoral crediting—could vastly increase the volume of greenhouse gas reductions but risks swamping the carbon market if not matched by ambitious developed-country targets. The authors emphasize the 'development dividend'—benefits beyond GHG reductions—and suggest that graduating large emitters (like the BRICSAM nations) from the CDM could improve regional equity for least developed countries (LDCs).
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Document type: Report
Realizing the Development Dividend: Making the CDM Work for Developing Countries
The report evaluates the Clean Development Mechanism's (CDM) ability to provide a "development dividend" to developing countries. It finds that the current project pipeline is dominated by low-cost, end-of-pipe industrial projects (such as HFC23 decomposition) that offer minimal sustainable development benefits and are concentrated in a few larger developing nations. The report identifies high transaction costs and a cumbersome project-by-project approval process as significant barriers to the deployment of small-scale, community-based projects. To address these issues, the authors recommend transitioning toward policy-based and sectoral CDM approaches, reforming the CDM Executive Board into a professional body, and establishing internationally agreed principles for sustainable development.
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Document type: Report
Mapping Katowice decisions related to Nationally determined contributions (NDC)
The document maps the decisions of the Katowice Climate Package, specifically focusing on the modalities, procedures, and guidelines (MPGs) for the enhanced transparency framework. It details the requirements for Biennial Transparency Reports (BTRs), the process for Technical Expert Reviews (TER), and the Facilitative Multilateral Consideration of Progress (FMCP). The guide also outlines accounting standards for NDCs, the role of the Global Stocktake, and support mechanisms for developing countries, such as the Capacity Building Initiative for Transparency (CBIT).
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Document type: Guide
Comprehensive land-use planning: A rights-based approach
The document advocates for a land-use planning framework that separates terrestrial carbon sequestration from industrial emission reductions due to the temporary nature of the former. It emphasizes that mitigation must prioritize food sovereignty, legally enforce the land rights of indigenous peoples and local communities, and avoid using land-sector targets to offset continued fossil fuel emissions. The paper critiques current Kyoto Protocol accounting as overly complex and prone to loopholes, suggesting instead the use of direct indicators like hectares of forest maintained. Specific recommendations include addressing high meat consumption and synthetic fertilizer use in developed countries to achieve permanent emission reductions in agriculture.
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Document type: Research paper
landuse_adp_jun2014-d45a4ec9cd4fb382.pdf
The policy brief outlines key principles for land-use mitigation, warning against using carbon sequestration to offset fossil fuel emissions and emphasizing the protection of food security and indigenous rights. It critiques current Kyoto Protocol LULUCF accounting as overly complex and prone to loopholes, recommending separate targets for industrial and land-use emissions due to the temporary nature of terrestrial carbon pools. The document advocates for policy-based measures, improved forest governance, and a focus on methane and nitrous oxide in agriculture to achieve permanent emission reductions.
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Document type: Policy brief
PAPER SERIES ON ANALYTIC SUPPORT TO TARGET BASED NEGOTIATIONS
The document argues that current national emission pledges for 2020 are incomparable due to differing accounting methods and are collectively insufficient to maintain robust carbon market prices. It highlights that the global recession has reduced the actual effort required to meet these targets and warns that weak short-term pledges shift a disproportionate and potentially infeasible burden of emission reductions onto future generations to meet 2050 goals.
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Document type: Executive summary
1104_Country case study Peru_FINALx
Peru's emissions are projected to triple by 2050, driven by economic growth and energy demand. While the country has established mitigation plans and Nationally Appropriate Mitigation Actions (NAMAs), implementation is hindered by financial, regulatory, and knowledge barriers. Significant potential exists in renewable energy, forestry, and waste management, though the energy sector is currently dominated by natural gas. The report suggests that SECO can support Peru through capacity building for market mechanisms, financing marginal abatement cost studies, and promoting specific technologies like solar water heaters and energy-efficient industrial equipment.
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Document type: Case study
Zeroing in on net-zero
The report finds that EU member states are failing to responsibly govern negative emissions, often relying on vulnerable land-based sinks that are declining due to climate impacts. It highlights a systemic lack of separate, binding targets for permanent CDR and a failure to clearly define 'residual emissions' that CDR is intended to balance. While some countries like Sweden and Germany have initiated research or funding for bio-CCS, the report argues that most plans lack feasibility assessments and conflate permanent removals with fossil-fuel-related carbon capture and storage (CCS).
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Document type: Report
austria_170607_ngo-brief_esr-ee93e90bd6c7d6a8.pdf
A joint statement from NGOs (GLOBAL 2000, WWF, VCÖ) to the Austrian Environment Minister calling for the EU's Effort Sharing Regulation (ESR) to be revised with higher emission reduction targets, updated baselines, and the closure of forestry and ETS loopholes to meet Paris Agreement goals.
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Document type: Statement
cyprus_esr_foecy_final_withlogos-6ad981caf038e234.pdf
The document advocates for the strengthening of the EU's Effort Sharing Regulation (ESR) to ensure Cyprus and the EU meet Paris Agreement goals. It identifies transport, waste management, and building heating/cooling as key sectors for emission reductions in Cyprus and proposes specific policy improvements, including higher 2030 and 2050 targets, more accurate emission baselines, and stricter governance to prevent the use of legal loopholes in forestry and the Emissions Trading System (ETS).
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Document type: Statement
LOOPHOLES IN THE 2030 EFFORT SHARING DECISION
The report identifies four primary loopholes in the proposed 2030 Effort Sharing Decision (ESD) that could undermine the EU's climate goals. These include the use of land use offsets (LULUCF), the inflation of carbon budgets based on 2020 targets, the use of surplus EU ETS allowances, and the carry-over of unused carbon permits ('hot air'). Collectively, these loopholes could result in the EU emitting 4.7 billion tonnes more CO2-equivalent than pledged, potentially allowing emissions to increase rather than decrease between 2021 and 2030.
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Document type: Fact sheet
eu-letter-to-malta-a5772429ea3021cd.pdf
A coalition of environmental organizations calls on the chair of the Environment Council to increase the ambition of the Effort Sharing Regulation (ESR) and ensure robust accounting for land use, land use change and forestry (LULUCF). The authors argue that the current ESR proposal is inconsistent with the Paris Agreement and propose specific reforms, including higher emission reduction targets, the removal of forestry and ETS loopholes, and the implementation of stricter governance and compliance mechanisms.
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Document type: Statement
A Guide to European Climate Policy
The Effort Sharing Regulation (ESR) is the EU's primary instrument for reducing greenhouse gas emissions in sectors not covered by the Emissions Trading System (ETS), accounting for approximately 60% of total EU emissions. For the 2021-2030 period, the ESR sets an overall target of -30% compared to 2005 levels, with individual Member State targets ranging from -40% to 0% based on GDP per capita. The regulation covers transport (35%), buildings (25%), agriculture (17%), industry (16%), and waste (5%). To ensure compliance, the ESR utilizes Annual Emission Allocations (AEA) and various flexibility mechanisms, including banking, borrowing, and trading units between countries, though some are criticized as 'loopholes' that may undermine decarbonization.
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Document type: Guide
Fossil and biological carbon: a tonne is not a tonne
The document asserts that fossil and biological carbon operate on fundamentally different timescales and cycles, making them non-fungible. While fossil carbon is permanent, biological carbon is subject to rapid fluxes and risks of reversibility from fires, pests, or rising temperatures. The author contends that relying on biological offsets to mitigate fossil emissions is scientifically unsound and practically limited by land area and nutrient requirements, concluding that emissions from both sources must be addressed in parallel rather than through offsetting.
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Document type: Briefing