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2,011 documents from South African Institute of International Affairs
Success rate of Beijing's plans to alleviate poverty is unprecedented
The document highlights China's significant reduction in poverty from 500 million people in 1980 to under 90 million in 2000, driven by economic growth averaging over 8 percent annually since 1978. While growth is concentrated in eastern coastal cities, the government has implemented preferential policies and infrastructure projects in the west to address regional disparities. In Ningxia province, poverty levels dropped from approximately 70 percent in the early 1980s to about 30 percent through agricultural subsidies, urbanization, and infrastructure development.
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Document type: Research paper
Pointers on Zimbabwe
The document outlines observations from a conference regarding the 2005 Zimbabwean parliamentary elections and proposes a roadmap for political normalization. Key issues identified include the 'democratic deficit' caused by repressive legislation like POSA and AIPPA, the lack of standardized training for electoral observers, and the use of food as a political tool. The briefing argues for an all-inclusive constitutional debate, the repeal of restrictive laws, and a coordinated regional intervention led by SADC and the African Union to pressure the Zimbabwean government toward democratic reform and national reconciliation.
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Document type: Briefing
Facilitating Trade in a Security Conscious World
The document examines the tension between international trade facilitation and the security imperatives introduced after the September 11 attacks. It details specific US-led initiatives—such as the Container Security Initiative (CSI), the 24-Hour Advance Vessel Manifest Rule, and the Customs-Trade Partnership Against Terrorism (C-TPAT)—and their potential to marginalize developing countries due to high implementation costs and technical requirements. The author argues that while security is essential, there is a risk that GATT Article XXI security exceptions could be abused for trade protectionism. The briefing recommends that African nations pursue collective regional standards and capacity building, while advocating for a global WTO framework to ensure security measures remain proportional and non-discriminatory.
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Document type: Briefing
Democratic Republic of Congo Country Report
The document describes the DRC's transitional parliament as a 'parliament of crisis' that serves to prevent a return to full-scale war and assist in ending violent conflicts in the east of the country. It notes that this is the first research of its kind conducted on the DRC's transitional parliament.
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Document type: Report
Zim elections expose Africa to ridicule
The author critiques the South African government and SADC for endorsing Zimbabwe's March 31, 2005, elections as credible despite evidence of vote-rigging and intimidation reported by the MDC, the US, and the Zimbabwe Election Support Network (ZESN). The text contends that this 'quiet diplomacy' creates a dangerous precedent for other African nations and contradicts the governance goals of the AU and NEPAD. While the AU mission eventually called for an investigation into discrepancies, the document highlights ongoing human rights violations and a severe food crisis in Zimbabwe.
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Document type: Research paper
The Crisis in Côte d’Ivoire
The document analyzes the roots of the conflict in Côte d’Ivoire, tracing it from the death of President Felix Houphoüet-Boigny in 1993 to the 2002 rebel seizure of the north. It highlights the role of 'Ivoirité' in disenfranchising northerners and the failure of peace accords like Marcoussis and Accra II and III. The author argues that because all major political actors—including Laurent Gbagbo, Henri Konan Bédié, Alassane Ouattara, and Guillaume Soro—have acted in bad faith, they should be barred from politics in favor of an interim government and neutral election supervision.
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Document type: Research paper
Turkey and South Africa: The Development of Relations, 1860–2005
The document details the evolution of South Africa-Turkey relations, moving from early religious and consular contacts in the 19th century to formal diplomatic ties established in 1992. It examines significant political frictions, including Nelson Mandela's refusal of the Ataturk Peace Prize, disputes over arms sales and human rights, and the sensitive issue of Kurdish separatism. Economically, the report notes a trade balance heavily skewed in South Africa's favour, driven largely by gold and coal exports, and discusses the role of 'Anatolian Tigers' in promoting direct investment. The report concludes with the 2005 visit of Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, which aimed to cement relations and implement Turkey's 'Outreach to Africa' policy.
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Document type: Report
Rejoignant le Continent: Madagascar et la SADC
The document evaluates the SADC's integration efforts, highlighting the strategic entry of Madagascar under President Marc Ravalomanana and the exits of Seychelles and Tanzania (from Comesa). It analyzes how external partners like the EU, US, and China both facilitate and hinder regional cohesion. Finally, it reviews the ratification status of 34 legal instruments, arguing for a 'single undertaking' approach to ensure uniform implementation across member states.
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Document type: Report
ZIMBABWE: A Pre-election Overview and Recovery Scenarios
The document describes a Zimbabwean economy in collapse, characterized by a GDP drop of over 30% in three years, hyperinflation, and a breakdown of the agricultural sector due to land seizures. It details a political environment of repression and a skewed electoral process ahead of the 2005 polls. The report argues that recovery requires a return to the rule of law, macroeconomic restructuring, and a comprehensive resolution of the land issue, while noting that the removal of President Robert Mugabe is a necessary but not sufficient condition for stability.
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Document type: Report
Working Together Assessing Public–Private Partnerships in Africa
The report examines the record of public-private partnerships (PPPs) in Africa, arguing that while they can address infrastructure backlogs, they are not a 'magic bullet' and are prone to the same failures as privatisation, including corruption and high consumer costs. Through eight case studies in transport, prisons, telecommunications, water, power, and eco-tourism, the document highlights that success depends on thorough feasibility studies, strong political commitment, and effective regulatory frameworks. Key failures are attributed to a lack of transparency, poor risk management, and unrealistic design specifications. The report recommends that African governments build institutional capacity, implement integrity pacts to combat graft, and adopt a phased approach by starting with smaller projects.
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Document type: Report
The TDCA: Impacts, Lessons and Perspectives for EU–South and Southern African Relations
The report examines the 1999 TDCA as a benchmark for Southern African states negotiating Economic Partnership Agreements (EPAs) with the EU. It highlights the 'spaghetti bowl' of overlapping regional memberships in Southern Africa—including SADC, COMESA, and SACU—which complicates the establishment of customs unions and the implementation of reciprocal trade deals. The text details South Africa's negotiating lessons, such as the need to understand internal EU dynamics and the importance of proactive leadership. It also analyzes the legal tensions between the SACU customs union and individual member states' potential EPAs, suggesting that expanding SACU could be a viable solution to regional fragmentation.
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Document type: Report
Global Monitoring Report 2005
The report finds that global progress toward the human development MDGs is inadequate, with Sub-Saharan Africa off track for every goal. It identifies critical bottlenecks in the supply of skilled health and education workers and a disconnect between the need for recurrent personnel funding and the technical assistance provided by donors. The document advocates for pragmatic human resource strategies, such as using paraprofessionals and contract teachers, and calls for a shift toward predictable, budget-aligned donor support and improved public sector accountability to ensure services reach the poorest populations.
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Document type: Report
El Gran Exito: The Chilean Success Story
The report examines Chile's transition from military dictatorship to a stable democracy, highlighting how the combination of liberal economic policies and progressive social initiatives led to an average GDP growth of 7% in the 1990s. Key success factors include pragmatic leadership, public-private partnerships, and a strategic focus on trade diversification and foreign direct investment. The document suggests that African nations can emulate Chile's approach by completing structural reforms, prioritizing infrastructure, and using increased tax revenues to fund social services without abandoning long-term macroeconomic stability.
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Document type: Report
Small Business The Case of Brazil
The document analyzes Brazil's approach to small, medium and micro enterprise (SMME) development, highlighting the success of SEBRAE as a public-private partnership that provides non-financial logistical support. It contrasts this with the finance-centric approach often found in developing African nations and argues that clear business categorization and a decisive national strategy are essential for integrating survivalist businesses into the formal economy. The report also includes a case study on the challenges and potential of SMMEs in Lesotho.
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Document type: Report
Corporate Governance South Africa, a pioneer in Africa
The document examines South Africa's leadership in corporate governance through the self-regulatory King Reports, which integrate financial, social, ethical, and environmental standards. It details the transition from a closed, rent-seeking economy to a liberalised market, the role of the Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE) in enforcing standards, and the challenges of institutional capacity and erratic enforcement. The report also discusses the impact of Black Economic Empowerment and provides recommendations for other African states to adopt governance measures scaled to their specific market sophistication and institutional capacity.
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Document type: Report
Developing an African Growth Plan
The author contends that the UN Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) act as a 'political camouflage' that prioritizes alleviating the visible signs of poverty—such as hunger and disease—over addressing the structural causes of African underdevelopment. While acknowledging the MDGs' role in improving the global debate on aid effectiveness, the paper argues that focusing on gross enrolment in primary education and basic health outcomes ignores the need for technical skills, commercial infrastructure, and a competitive business environment. To counter this, the author proposes a comprehensive 'African Millennium Growth Plan' centered on eight pillars: strengthening commercial infrastructure, investing in rural economies, enhancing technical skills and research, increasing domestic lending and savings, raising domestic revenue, promoting the rule of law, removing bureaucratic obstacles, and fighting corruption.
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Document type: Research paper
WHAT CAN HONG KONG DELIVER TO SOUTH AND SOUTHERN AFRICA?
The report outlines the divergent trade priorities of South Africa and other Southern African nations ahead of the 2005 WTO Hong Kong Ministerial. South Africa focuses on agricultural liberalisation, specific non-agricultural market access (NAMA) gains in developing economies, and defensive positions on services. In contrast, Southern African countries are more concerned with the impact of domestic support and export subsidies on world prices and the potential erosion of preferential market access. The document argues that Southern African nations should leverage South Africa's negotiating capacity and the G90 coalition to achieve developmental outcomes while avoiding a total impasse in the WTO process.
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Document type: Report
Developing Country Coalitions in Multilateral Trade Negotiations
The report analyzes the evolution of developing country participation in multilateral trade from the GATT era to the WTO, highlighting a shift from passive reliance on Special and Differential Treatment (S&D) to the formation of proactive, issue-based coalitions. It identifies a 'first-division' of developing countries—led by China, India, Brazil, and South Africa—that increasingly drive negotiations, most notably through the G20 coalition focused on agricultural protection. The authors argue that the WTO's negotiating mechanism is currently malfunctioning due to 'UN-isation' and regulatory overload, suggesting that future success depends on a core group of approximately 30 major trading nations focusing on market access while providing generous S&D to the least-developed countries.
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Document type: Report
Public Sector Governance Singapore and the Czech Republic
The report examines the governance models of Singapore and the Czech Republic, highlighting how strategic leadership and institutional frameworks drove their socio-economic success. Singapore is analyzed as a state-driven 'hi-tech economy' transitioning toward innovation, while the Czech Republic is presented as a successful transition from a communist state to a market democracy, heavily incentivized by European Union membership.
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Document type: Report
Glimpse of Hope in West Africa
The report examines South African foreign direct investment in Ghana, highlighting the country's role as a stable 'beacon of hope' and a strategic springboard for expanding into the wider West African region. While South African firms benefit from Ghana's political stability, skilled workforce, and attractive investment incentives—particularly in the mining, telecommunications, and franchising sectors—they face significant hurdles. Key constraints include the high cost of finance, a slow legal system, bureaucratic red tape, and limited consumer disposable income. Despite these challenges, most South African companies remain optimistic about Ghana's economic prospects and intend to maintain their operations.
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Document type: Report