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This report provides development forecasts for Cape Verde up to 2043, comparing a 'Current Path' trajectory with various sectoral scenarios and a combined 'Agenda 2063' scenario. It analyzes demographics, economic growth, poverty levels, energy production, and the potential impacts of improvements in stability, health, education, and trade.

This report analyzes the state of education in Tunisia, highlighting a history of strong investment and high enrollment rates contrasted with current challenges in quality, curriculum relevance, and regional disparities. It projects educational attainment trends toward 2040 and identifies systemic bottlenecks in secondary and tertiary transitions.

This report provides a development forecast for Seychelles up to 2043, comparing a 'Current Path' scenario based on existing policies with various sectoral improvement scenarios and a combined 'Agenda 2063' scenario. It analyzes demographics, economic growth, poverty, energy, and carbon emissions, highlighting the country's high-income status in Africa but persistent challenges with poverty and food security.

This document provides a concluding analysis and a set of policy recommendations for the Economic Community of Central African States (ECCAS), highlighting structural challenges in agriculture, energy, and manufacturing that may prevent the region from achieving sustainable development targets by 2043.

This report analyzes how a potential shift toward absolute demographic decline in the United States, driven by falling net migration and negative natural population growth, could reshape the global balance of power and increase the strategic importance of Africa.

This document is an introductory summary of a conference titled "Controlling small arms proliferation and reversing cultures of violence in Africa and the Indian Ocean," organized by the Institute for Security Studies (ISS), the Institut Français d’Afrique du Sud (IFAS), and the Université de La Réunion (ULR). The conference aimed to address the proliferation of illicit small arms and improve strategic interactions between anglophone, francophone, and lusophone participants.

This briefing discusses the implications of the Mo Ibrahim Foundation's decision not to award the Mo Ibrahim Prize for good governance in Africa for a specific year, examining the prize's criteria and its role in promoting democratisation on the continent.

This research paper by Dr Jolyon Ford examines the institutional aspects of counter-terrorism strategies in Africa during the second decade following the 2001 9/11 attacks, focusing on the tension between countering threats and maintaining the rule of law and human rights.

This research paper analyzes the structures, actors, and interactions of a criminal gang network operating in Cape Town, South Africa, using data from a Western Cape High Court case judgment and social network analysis protocols.

The joint Kenyan Defence Force (KDF) and African Union Mission in Somalia (AMISOM) have captured Kismayo, Al-Shabaab's last stronghold. While a significant victory, the threat persists as Al-Shabaab is expected to shift toward unconventional and guerrilla warfare, including the use of suicide bombers and improvised explosive devices, to destabilize the region.

This policy brief examines the 2010 elections in Burundi, highlighting how the withdrawal of opposition candidates led to the election of President Pierre Nkurunziza and a landslide victory for the ruling CNDD-FDD party in both the National Assembly and Senate. The authors warn that this shift toward one-party dominance threatens the country's peace and democratic stability.

A research paper by Berouk Mesfin of the Institute for Security Studies examining the political stability, governance challenges, and territorial disputes involving Somaliland and Puntland.

This research paper by the Institute for Security Studies (ISS) examines the establishment and operations of a Jama’atu Ahlis Sunna Lidda’awati wal-Jihad (JAS) cell in the Shiroro area of Niger State, Nigeria. The document details how the cell, led by Abubakar Saidu (alias Sadiku), has successfully expanded outside the Lake Chad Basin by forming strategic, flexible alliances with local Fulani bandits, tolerating their non-religious vices in exchange for weapons, fighters, and local knowledge.

This research paper examines the shift in Africa's strategic relevance following the Cold War, arguing that the decline of superpower competition has left African states more fragile and prone to regional conflicts. It advocates for a transition from traditional deterrence to a 'collaborative security' model based on reassurance, transparency, and domestic stability, while cautioning against donor efforts to capacitate weak, undemocratic states to provide regional peacekeeping.

This research paper examines the peace and security efforts of the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS), focusing on best practices, lessons learned, and the implementation of the African Peace and Security Architecture (APSA).

This policy brief argues that state-centric strategies to combat organised crime must be supplemented by community-based, context-specific responses, particularly in conflict and post-conflict settings. The document identifies five key drivers of community resilience: social capital, community capacity, the role of women, economic capital, and infrastructure, based on analysis of four communities in Nigeria, Guinea-Bissau, and Burkina Faso.

This report examines the proliferation of self-defence groups in West Africa, analyzing their role as sources of community resilience and their potential to create political and security risks. It aims to provide a framework for mitigating these risks and leveraging the benefits of such groups based on cross-continental experiences.

This research paper by Lala Camerer of the Institute for Security Studies evaluates the debate over whether South Africa should improve its existing anti-corruption bodies or establish a single, centralized anti-corruption agency.

A briefing by the Institute for Security Studies analyzing the outcomes of Zimbabwe's Second All Stakeholders' Conference regarding the draft constitution and the political tensions between ZANU-PF and the MDC formations.

This research paper analyzes 787 police dockets to examine the nature of firearm-related crime in South Africa, highlighting the role of both legal and illegal weapons and the limitations of police investigations.