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Boom and Bust Coal 2025
In 2024, the world commissioned the lowest amount of new coal power capacity in twenty years (44 GW), yet the global coal fleet still grew by 18.8 GW because additions exceeded retirements. The report highlights a stark divergence: while the UK became coal-free and EU27 retirements quadrupled, China saw its highest construction starts since 2015 (94 GW) and India recorded its highest year for new proposals (38.4 GW). Together, China and India accounted for 92% of all newly proposed coal capacity in 2024. In the OECD, proposals have plummeted from 142 in 2015 to five today, though annual retirements must more than triple to 70 GW to meet 1.5°C pathways. The report also notes the rise of 'captive' coal plants in Indonesia and the promotion of ammonia co-firing in Japan and South Korea as strategies to prolong coal use.
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Document type: Report
Leveraging the SA G20 Presidency to Scale-Up the Compact with Africa
The G20 Compact with Africa (CwA), initiated in 2017, aims to boost private investment and infrastructure in Africa through reform agendas in macroeconomic, business, and financing frameworks. While CwA countries often show stronger growth and trade performance, a direct causal link to investment flows remains unproven, and foreign direct investment to Africa rose only by $4.5 billion between 2017 and 2023. To enhance the initiative, the author recommends that South Africa's G20 presidency facilitate the admission of interested countries such as Angola, Kenya, and Zambia, and elevate the African Advisory Group (AAG) to a permanent G20 working group. Additionally, the note suggests spotlighting critical minerals and energy investment, improving investment grades to reduce Africa's $75 billion risk premium, and implementing 'country platforms' to increase private sector engagement in reform agendas.
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Document type: Policy brief
RE-GAIN: Scaling solutions for food loss in Africa Burkina Faso, Ethiopia, Kenya, Malawi, Tanzania, Uganda, Zambia
The RE-GAIN programme is a 5-year initiative designed to strengthen food security and climate resilience in seven African countries by scaling the adoption of Food Loss-Reduction Solutions (FL-RS). The programme addresses climate hazards—such as extreme heat, erratic rainfall, and flooding—that cause grain shattering, rotting, and mycotoxin contamination. It employs a three-pronged strategy: increasing farmer demand through awareness and training, enhancing supply and affordability via MSME business development and innovative financial models (including 'smart-subsidies'), and creating an enabling environment through policy reform. The project targets 2.63 million direct beneficiaries and expects to reduce GHG emissions by 111,275 tCO2e over 10 years.
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Document type: Report
“The howler monkeys are everywhere”: How women in Belize are harnessing the power of nature to conserve their community
The Community Baboon Sanctuary Women’s Conservation Group (CBSWCG) in Belize's Belize River Valley implements nature-based solutions to combat climate-driven threats such as drought, wildfires, and flooding. Supported by the Climate Adaptation and Protected Areas (CAPA) Initiative, the group focuses on reforestation, agroforestry, and riparian restoration to protect biodiversity and improve local livelihoods. Their efforts have contributed to a significant increase in the local howler monkey population and the promotion of sustainable agricultural practices to replace traditional slash-and-burn farming.
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Document type: Case study
Consideration of accreditation proposals and activities – Addendum X Accreditation assessment of APL172
The GCF Accreditation Panel recommends the accreditation of World Vision Australia (WVA) as an international entity under the normal track, with a medium project size limit and medium environmental and social risk category (Category B). WVA demonstrated strong capacities in project management, gender equality, and environmental and social safeguards, though it must meet specific conditions regarding the publication of investigation and procurement guidelines to finalize its accreditation.
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Document type: Report
Reforming Environmentally Harmful Subsidies
The document argues that environmentally harmful subsidies (EHS) exceed USD 2 trillion annually, creating perverse incentives that drive biodiversity loss and climate change. It proposes a theory of change based on the 'Multiple Streams and Policy Windows Framework'—defining the problem, identifying solutions, and creating political support—to catalyze reform. The playbook outlines 25 specific opportunities for philanthropic engagement, ranging from independent national assessments and technical support for Global South governments to the creation of 'first-mover clubs' of governments. It emphasizes that transparency alone is insufficient and that durable reform requires the co-development of repurposing strategies to support vulnerable groups and businesses transitioning away from harmful subsidies.
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Document type: Guide
Digging Deeper: Embedding Minerals Sovereignty in Africa’s Mining Value Chains
The document examines systemic barriers in Africa's mining sector, including tax avoidance, high borrowing costs, and technological monopolies. It proposes a 'resource leverage strategy' to exchange mineral access for technology transfer and local beneficiation, while advocating for the adoption of African-led financial frameworks like the African Continental Ratings Agency (AfCRA) and AMREC-PARC to foster economic independence.
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Document type: Policy brief
Unearthing the Reality of “Zombie Energy Systems” in Africa’s Energy Transition
The paper defines Zombie Energy Systems (ZES) as outdated, inefficient, and environmentally harmful energy assets that persist in Africa despite being obsolete. It argues that the current international focus on new renewable energy projects overlooks the necessity of decommissioning or rehabilitating these failing systems, which include ageing power plants, inefficient grids, and second-hand appliances. The authors trace the origins of ZES to colonial legacies, poor maintenance, and political corruption, and propose a holistic strategy involving comprehensive system assessments, regulatory strengthening, and local capacity building to ensure a just and effective energy transition.
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Document type: Research paper
Text Network Analysis-Based Decision Framework
The researchers used a co-creative, narrative-based approach in Lusaka, Zambia, combining natural language processing (NLP) and text network analysis (TNA) to integrate residents' experiences from informal settlements into flood-risk maps. This process, facilitated through 'learning labs' with stakeholders, aimed to address gaps in disaster risk management and social vulnerability. The primary finding was a critical need for local government to be more adaptive and inclusive of community voices in decision-making. The authors argue this framework provides a dynamic way to enhance stakeholder engagement and tailor resilience-building measures.
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Document type: Research paper
Mapping Africa’s Green Mineral Partnerships
The report maps nearly one hundred agreements on critical minerals between African states and global actors, highlighting the strategic competition for resources. It identifies a lack of transparency in these deals and notes that while China and Russia are prominent, other actors like Turkey, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE are expanding their footprints. The analysis emphasizes that these partnerships often reflect broader geopolitical and historical ties rather than just economic needs.
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Document type: Report
Climate Security Policy Recommendations for the New Administration
The policy brief argues that climate change threatens US national security by damaging critical infrastructure, increasing state fragility, and intensifying geopolitical competition. It recommends that the US government implement a National Adaptation Plan, integrate 'Operational Resilience' into military budgets, scale up resilience funding for strategic allies, and strengthen interagency coordination on the food-climate-security nexus to protect US interests and economic competitiveness.
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Document type: Policy brief
STAKEHOLDER ENGAGEMENT PLAN FOR THE KAFUE FLATS CLIMATE ADAPTATION AND RESILIENCE PROJECT
The Stakeholder Engagement Plan for the Kaf-Adapt project in Zambia's Lower Kafue Basin outlines a framework for involving government entities, NGOs, private sector actors, and local communities in climate adaptation efforts. The project, funded by the Least Developed Countries Fund (LDCF) with approximately $2,760,000, focuses on water security, rangeland management, and resilient value chains. It identifies key stakeholders across national and sub-national levels, including the Ministry of Green Economy and Environment (MGEE) and various traditional chiefdoms. The plan includes a structured Grievance Redress Mechanism (GRM) to handle complaints within 7 to 10 working days and sets specific monitoring indicators to track beneficiary engagement and gender inclusivity.
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Document type: Report
THE KAFUE FLATS CLIMATE RESILIENCE AND ADAPTATION PROJECT ENVIRONMENTAL AND SOCIAL SAFEGUARDS FRAMEWORK
The KaF-Adapt project, funded by the Least Developed Countries Fund (LDCF), aims to reduce community vulnerability to water scarcity and promote resilient livelihoods in the Kafue Flats of Zambia. Classified as a Category B (medium-risk) project, it implements a comprehensive safeguards framework to manage risks such as resource access restrictions, habitat degradation, and social exclusion. The framework mandates site-specific Environmental and Social Management Plans (ESMPs) and Livelihood Restoration Plans (LRPs) for high-risk activities, supported by a dedicated Grievance Redress Mechanism (GRM) and a joint Project Management Unit (PMU) shared with the sister project, KaF-Wild.
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Document type: Report
Leveraging the Water–Energy–Food Nexus to Support Agroecological Transitions
The document advocates for integrating agroecology into the Water–Energy–Food (WEF) nexus to transform African food systems from industrial, extractive models to resilient, equitable ones. It highlights that while agroecology offers a science-based alternative, it is often fragmented and underfunded. The authors propose that philanthropic organisations, due to their risk tolerance and flexibility, can bridge these gaps by funding policy integration, capacity building, and research. The brief outlines the multi-scalar benefits of the WEF nexus—from the farm to the regional level—and provides case studies from Zambia, Kenya, and Uganda to demonstrate the efficacy of integrated resource management, such as solar-powered irrigation, in enhancing climate resilience.
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Document type: Briefing
Agroecological Territories and Integrated Landscape Approaches to Advancing Food Systems Transitions in Africa
The document advocates for a territorial approach to agroecology in Africa, integrating agricultural practice adaptation, biodiversity conservation, and the development of embedded food systems. It identifies key practices such as agroforestry, integrated landscape management (ILA), and territorial markets, while highlighting systemic hurdles including limited financial resources, loss of indigenous knowledge, and policy silos. The briefing recommends catalytic philanthropic funding for multi-actor governance, local market infrastructure, and participatory research to scale locally-driven solutions.
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Document type: Briefing
Pan-African and Regional Trade and Policy for the Food Systems Transition
The document examines the intersection of trade policy and food systems transformation in Africa, specifically advocating for the alignment of the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) with agroecological principles. It identifies significant hurdles to this transition, including high intra-continental tariffs, complex non-tariff barriers, and the dominance of industrial agriculture. The briefing emphasizes the role of territorial markets in supporting smallholder farmers and calls for philanthropic investment to bridge funding gaps, as agroecology currently receives less than 10% of total agricultural funding in Africa. It provides specific recommendations for philanthropies to support local food trade, advocate for policy changes that recognize ecological services, and invest in capacity-building for agroecological communities.
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Document type: Briefing
Agenda for Competition Reform in Africa for Fair Agrifood Systems
The policy brief highlights how market concentration in African agrifood systems, particularly in inputs like fertilisers and poultry feed, inflates food prices and undermines the ability of smallholder farmers to adapt to climate shocks. It notes that nearly half of Sub-Saharan African countries lack functional competition laws. The document recommends a three-pillar reform agenda based on market intelligence, regional cooperation (such as through the COMESA Competition Commission), and international donor support to dismantle cartels and ensure fair market access, especially for women-led agribusinesses.
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Document type: Policy brief
Gender and Women in Agroecological Transition
The document argues that while agroecology offers a sustainable alternative to industrial agriculture in sub-Saharan Africa, these transitions are not gender-neutral and often overlook the systemic barriers facing women. It highlights how women's indigenous knowledge is critical for biodiversity and resilience, yet they face significant hurdles in land tenure, financing, and market access. The brief provides recommendations for philanthropic and governmental support to ensure equity, including long-term funding and investment in women-led cooperatives and processing infrastructure.
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Document type: Policy brief
Harvesting Change: Innovative Strategies for Delivering Food Systems Adaptation Finance for Local-level Impact
The document argues that while Africa's food systems face profound climate impacts, only a small fraction of adaptation finance reaches local actors. It proposes a shift toward 'locally led adaptation' through principles like subsidiarity, flexible funding, and risk-taking, alongside practical strategies such as engaging local governance, supporting microfinance, and leveraging digital technologies like blockchain.
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Document type: Briefing
African Indigenous Foodways
The document advocates for a transition from industrialised agriculture to African Indigenous Foodways (AIFs), which are rooted in traditional ecological knowledge and agroecological principles. It emphasises that knowledge co-creation between farmers and researchers is essential to overcome gaps in documentation and the 'epistemicide' of indigenous knowledge systems. The brief highlights the role of networks like the Alliance for Food Sovereignty in Africa (AFSA) and the Seed and Knowledge Initiative (SKI) in promoting seed sovereignty. It identifies significant funding gaps, noting that philanthropic support for agroecological transition is less than 1% of total philanthropic food and agriculture funding. The authors recommend that philanthropy shift toward community-led investment models, long-term trust-based funding, and support for participatory research to enhance climate resilience and biodiversity conservation.
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Document type: Briefing