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The Role of CDM Post-2012
The report evaluates the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) and its impact on the EU Emissions Trading System (EU ETS) and developing nations. It finds that a significant portion of CDM projects lack additionality, leading to global emission increases and reduced domestic abatement in Europe. The authors argue that the CDM has failed to facilitate meaningful technology transfer or support a systemic shift to low-carbon development in host countries, often subsidizing carbon-intensive activities instead. To address these failures, the report proposes supply-side restrictions on project eligibility and demand-side reforms in the EU, such as auctioning the right to use CERs, to ensure the mechanism serves as a transitional tool rather than a permanent subsidy regime.
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Document type: Report
Carbon Pricing for Low-Carbon Investment
The report evaluates the EU ETS's impact on corporate investment behavior, finding that while it successfully reduced investment in carbon-intensive assets, its ability to trigger a shift toward low-carbon strategies is hindered by insufficient stringency and the use of free allowances. It highlights that the current cap reduction trajectory is insufficient to meet the EU's 80-95% emission reduction goal by 2050 and argues that the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) creates uncertainty and reduces effective emission targets. The authors recommend tightening the ETS cap, phasing out offsets, reforming IFRS accounting practices to reflect the true value of allowances, and combining carbon pricing with technology-specific support schemes to create a more enabling environment for low-carbon projects.
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Document type: Executive summary
Climate Change, Investment and Carbon Markets and Prices – Evidence from Manager Interviews
Based on interviews with approximately 800 manufacturing firms in Belgium, France, Germany, Hungary, Poland, and the UK, the study examines how carbon pricing influences corporate behavior. It finds that while many firms implement energy-saving measures and process innovation, product innovation is more strongly driven by the expected stringency of emissions caps. The research highlights a 'trading threshold' where firms with small excess allowances avoid the market and suggests that generous free allocation of allowances may hinder innovation by reducing the signaling effect of tight carbon budgets to senior management.
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Document type: Research paper
Relative Importance of different Climate Policy Elements for Corporate Climate Innovation Activities
The study finds that climate policy elements, including the EU ETS and long-term targets, are generally less influential in corporate investment decisions than market prices and technology-specific regulations like feed-in tariffs. While technology providers view long-term targets as significantly more relevant than the EU ETS for RD&D and sales, power generators see the EU ETS as slightly more relevant for new plant adoption. The research emphasizes that a coordinated policy mix of stringent, predictable instruments and ambitious long-term targets is necessary to drive low-carbon innovation.
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Document type: Research paper
Emissions Trading Schemes under IFRS
The paper examines the lack of authoritative IFRS guidance for the EU Emissions Trading Scheme (EU ETS), leading to inconsistent accounting practices. It argues that the prevailing 'net liability approach'—recognizing free allowances at nil—understates assets and hides the economic cost of carbon. The authors advocate for a mandatory fair value approach for initial measurement, combined with a government grant model to avoid 'day-one-gains' and a distinction between allowances held for compliance versus trading to ensure a 'true and fair view' of a company's financial position in a carbon-constrained economy.
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Document type: Research paper
The Role of CDM Post-2012
The report finds that the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) has largely failed to meet its core objectives of additionality, sustainable development, and low-carbon technology transfer. In the EU, the use of CDM credits has significantly reduced domestic abatement efforts, potentially increasing global emissions by 30 to 106 million tonnes of CO2eq between 2008 and 2009 due to non-additional projects. The authors argue that the CDM often subsidizes carbon-intensive activities and creates perverse incentives that discourage developing countries from implementing national mitigation policies. To realign results with climate goals, the report proposes limiting project eligibility to those providing long-term sustainable benefits, differentiating crediting periods by project type, and introducing tradable or institutionally procured usage rights within the EU ETS.
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Document type: Report
PRODUCT CLASSIFICATION AND ITS IMPLICATION ON COMPETITIVENESS AND CARBON LEAKAGE
The report analyzes the aluminium sector's exposure to carbon leakage, finding that while the sector as a whole is trade-intensive, the risk varies by product. Unwrought non-alloy aluminium is identified as particularly vulnerable due to high trade and CO2 intensity, whereas secondary aluminium and semi-fabricated products pose lower risks. The study highlights a shift in primary production capacity toward China and the Middle East, while the EU27 remains a leader in recycling but continues to export scrap to China.
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Document type: Report
A SUSTAINABLE ENERGY SUPPLY FOR EVERYONE
The report assesses how the EU can achieve a 30% greenhouse gas reduction by 2020, analyzing the interplay between the EU Emissions Trading System (ETS), renewable energy targets, and energy efficiency goals. It finds that full implementation of energy efficiency and renewable targets, combined with post-recession baselines, could lead to a domestic reduction of approximately 30%. The analysis also explores the impact of offsets and LULUCF accounting, noting that these mechanisms could reduce the required domestic effort to between 17% and 22% while still nominally meeting a 30% target. The report concludes that a 25% to 30% domestic reduction is consistent with long-term goals of 80% to 95% reduction by 2050.
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Document type: Report
PRODUCT CLASSIFICATION AND ITS IMPLICATION ON COMPETITIVENESS AND CARBON LEAKAGE
The report analyzes the pulp, paper, and paperboard sectors, finding that while both are classified as at risk of carbon leakage under EU ETS criteria, the drivers of trade intensity are often related to biomass availability and market effects rather than carbon pricing. It highlights a trend of the EU importing raw pulp and low-quality paper while exporting high-quality products, and notes that the export of recovered paper to China may cause 'negative carbon leakage' by depriving EU producers of low-emission raw materials.
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Document type: Report
Nuestro clima no está en venta
The document critiques carbon markets, specifically the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) and the EU Emissions Trading System (ETS), as tools that perpetuate dependence on fossil fuels and facilitate 'carbon colonialism'. It highlights how offsetting allows rich nations to outsource their climate responsibilities to developing countries, often resulting in human rights violations, land grabbing, and the funding of projects like coal plants or gas flaring. The author advocates for a systemic transformation based on energy efficiency, renewable energy, and public climate finance instead of market-based mechanisms.
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Document type: Briefing
Open letters to companies involved in HFC-23 projects
Civil society organizations, including CDM Watch and EIA, sent open letters to various financial institutions and energy companies to express concerns over HFC-23 projects under the CDM. The letters argue that these projects lack environmental integrity, reward inefficient production, and create perverse incentives for the production of HCFC-22. The signatories call for changes to CDM methodology and the exclusion of these credits from the EU ETS.
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Document type: Statement
Highlights International Advisory Council Meeting 15th November 2010, Budapest
The document details Climate Strategies' transition to a new research programme for 2011, focusing on eight themes including the low carbon economy and adaptation finance. It reviews 2010 projects on carbon pricing, power sector decarbonisation, and the EU's 2020 emissions targets. A significant portion of the text argues for a steel-specific negotiation forum within the UNFCCC to address carbon leakage and competitiveness, and proposes 'Climate Innovation Centres' (CICs) to facilitate technology transition in developing countries through multi-disciplinary coordination.
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Document type: Briefing
An Overview of the Carbon Trading Landscape: Possibilities and Pitfalls for South Africa
The paper examines the carbon trading landscape, focusing on the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) and the potential for South Africa to establish a local carbon market. It highlights that while South Africa is the only African country among the top 20 CDM host countries, it remains underrepresented in carbon credit generation due to financing and technical hurdles. The authors argue that a shift from coal dependence to renewable energy is necessary to meet domestic and international targets, and that policy certainty is required to attract further investment.
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Document type: Research paper
Industrial N2O Projects Under the CDM: The Case of Nitric Acid Production
The paper finds that CDM nitric acid projects have successfully fostered abatement in a sector that previously lacked such practices, with limited risk of carbon leakage and no evidence of systematic baseline manipulation. However, it highlights significant variability in baseline emissions between plants and monitoring periods, and notes substantial delays in credit issuance, particularly for projects using secondary abatement (AM0034). The authors recommend transitioning to a common benchmarking approach for baseline emissions to simplify methodologies, reduce transaction costs, and ensure environmental integrity.
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Document type: Research paper
Industrial N2O Projects Under the CDM: Adipic Acid - A Case of Carbon Leakage?
The research finds that while the CDM successfully drove N2O abatement efficiencies to 98-100%, it created significant competitive advantages for registered plants. This led to carbon leakage during 2008 and 2009, where production shifted from plants in industrialized countries or those with existing abatement to CDM plants. The authors estimate that approximately 13.5 MtCO2e of issued CERs for 2008 and 2009 did not represent real emission reductions. To mitigate this, the paper recommends implementing ambitious baseline emission benchmarks in the CDM methodology.
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Document type: Research paper
U.S. Government Policymaking on Climate Change
The briefing analyzes the shift in U.S. climate policy from a focus on national cap-and-trade legislation toward regulatory agency actions, subnational initiatives, clean-tech funding, and international trade issues. It argues that while a national mandatory system is unlikely in the short term, climate action is diversifying across administrative, local, and trade-related channels.
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Document type: Briefing
HFC-23 offsets in the context of the EU emissions trading scheme
The document contends that HFC-23 destruction projects create perverse incentives for manufacturers to increase the production of potent greenhouse gases to profit from carbon credits. It highlights that these credits, which made up 59% of offsets used by European companies in 2009, do not support sustainable development and conflict with the goals of the UNFCCC and the Montreal Protocol.
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Document type: Briefing
HFC-23 OFFSETS IN THE CONTEXT OF THE EU EMISSIONS TRADING SCHEME
The document examines the environmental and economic flaws of HFC-23 destruction projects within the CDM, noting that the high value of Certified Emission Reductions (CERs) encourages the production of HCFC-22 and its byproduct HFC-23. It highlights a conflict between the CDM and the Montreal Protocol, where CDM subsidies may prolong the life of older, more emissive factories. The briefing concludes that the EU should ban HFC-23 CERs from the EU ETS to redirect investment toward sustainable energy and support the Montreal Protocol's phase-out of HCFCs.
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Document type: Policy brief
Carbon leakage and the future of Old Industrial Regions
The document argues that national-level analyses of carbon leakage underestimate the severe economic risks to Old Industrial Regions (OIRs), where heavy industry is highly concentrated. Using an applied general equilibrium (AGE) model for the Basque Country, the authors find that relocating 1.5% to 35% of iron and steel production could lead to a GDP drop of up to 2.26%. While such relocation reduces CO2 emissions, the implicit cost of this mitigation (187 to 202 €/Tco2) is significantly higher than technological alternatives like carbon capture and storage. The authors recommend that climate policies be carefully designed to avoid imposing undue burdens on sectors prone to relocation in OIRs.
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Document type: Policy brief
The financing of Stora Enso
The report details the financial structure of Stora Enso as of late 2009, noting that shareholders and bondholders are the primary sources of capital. It identifies key institutional investors, banks providing loans, and the company's participation in the EU Emissions Trading Scheme.
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Document type: Research paper