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The report assesses how carbon pricing affects the competitiveness and investment strategies of energy-intensive industries (EIIs). It finds that while carbon costs are a factor, they are often secondary to energy and raw material prices. The analysis highlights the risk of carbon leakage, where production shifts to regions with lower emissions costs, particularly as demand grows in Asia. The report emphasizes that current short-term policy horizons, such as the EU's 2020 targets, are insufficient for the 20- to 40-year investment cycles typical of these sectors, suggesting a need for longer-term regulatory certainty and support for breakthrough technologies like Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS).

The report finds that while global economic impacts of market-based measures (MBMs) for international aviation and shipping are small, effects vary significantly by country. Small, remote island states dependent on air tourism, such as Samoa, face the highest GDP risks, while large economies like China and India experience minimal impacts. The study concludes that MBM revenues and increased demand for Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) offsets can be used to mitigate these undesired economic effects.

The report details climate finance in Germany across five key sectors. In 2010, the energy sector saw EUR 10.3 billion in climate-specific investment, dominated by private funding (98%) and renewable energy. The buildings sector received at least EUR 16.3 billion, primarily from households. The agriculture sector saw EUR 5.4 billion, almost entirely in renewables. Industry climate-specific investment was EUR 579 million in 2009, mostly for energy efficiency. Transport climate-specific investment averaged EUR 559 million, focused on energy-efficient vehicles. The report highlights the critical role of the public bank KfW in providing concessionary loans and the influence of the Feed-in Tariff on private investment.

The document examines how Taiwan can engage with international carbon markets despite not being a party to the UNFCCC or the Kyoto Protocol. It analyzes formal eligibility requirements and material 'market readiness' conditions across various systems, including the EU ETS, RGGI, WCI, and others. The study suggests that while formal treaty-based access is restricted, Taiwan can utilize indirect participation, bilateral cooperation, and the development of a robust domestic cap-and-trade system with absolute targets to facilitate future linkage.

The briefing argues that any ICAO market-based measure must rely on stringent requirements to ensure emissions reductions are real, permanent, additional, and verified. It recommends that only UNFCCC-guided offset credits be eligible, while specifically advising against the use of Joint Implementation (JI) credits, voluntary market offsets, and bilateral mechanisms due to quality and oversight concerns. Furthermore, it warns that any cap-and-trade system must avoid over-allocation and prohibits the use of surplus allowances from oversupplied schemes like the EU ETS to maintain environmental integrity.

The report analyzes the effectiveness of Estonia's environmental fee system, focusing on resource use and pollution charges. It finds that while emissions have decreased, this is primarily due to EU regulatory compliance rather than the fees themselves. The document notes that resource productivity in Estonia remains low compared to the EU average and suggests that future fee structures should be more predictable and integrated with support measures for eco-innovation to better incentivize resource efficiency.

The report finds that while public attention to climate change waned after 2009, businesses have increasingly internalized climate concerns, shifting from a focus on mitigation to a broader approach encompassing adaptation and business resilience. Cost savings remain the primary driver for action, though investor pressure and consumer preferences are rising. The document highlights that physical climate risks are becoming real-world impacts, as evidenced by the 2011 Bangkok floods and 2012 U.S. weather extremes. Furthermore, businesses are expanding their focus to include water scarcity and biodiversity loss as critical risks to operational resilience.

The briefing analyzes the outcomes of the 70th CDM Executive Board meeting, highlighting a perceived failure to strengthen additionality and environmental integrity. Key criticisms include the Board's rejection of fixed crediting periods, its refusal to address perverse incentives in nitric acid plant projects, and the approval of a voluntary rather than mandatory sustainable development tool. Conversely, the document notes positive steps toward improving global and local stakeholder consultation processes.

The report argues that current carbon pricing, such as the EU ETS, is insufficient to alter global emission trends in the steel sector because costs are lower than production cost differences between regions. It highlights a lack of immediately deployable breakthrough technologies and suggests that a 'coalition of the willing' among steel-producing countries is necessary to scale up RDD&D and address competitiveness and leakage concerns.

The EU-ETS is the world's largest cap-and-trade system, regulating approximately half of the EU's CO2 emissions across 30 countries. While it has evolved through three trading periods to include more greenhouse gases and airline emissions, the system has suffered from severe over-allocation of allowances, leading to price collapses and a surplus of approximately 2 billion allowances by the end of 2012.

The report evaluates the capacity of China, Germany, Italy, and the United States to meet evolving international and domestic MRV requirements for greenhouse gas emissions and mitigation actions. While most countries are well-positioned for emissions reporting, significant gaps exist in tracking the impact of specific mitigation policies and coordinating sub-national data.

In 2010, Germany invested at least EUR 37 billion (1.5% of GDP) in climate-specific measures, with the private sector providing over 95% of this finance. Renewable energy generation was the primary recipient, attracting EUR 26.6 billion, while energy efficiency received EUR 7.2 billion in incremental investment. Public banks, particularly KfW and Rentenbank, played a critical role by providing EUR 16.5 billion in concessionary loans, which accounted for 43% of renewable energy and 72% of energy efficiency investments. The report highlights significant data gaps, noting that climate finance is not systematically tracked in public budgets or by the private sector, and recommends establishing a central registry and improved reporting standards to evaluate policy effectiveness.

The document analyzes the divergent paths taken by Canada and Australia to mitigate greenhouse gas emissions. While Australia implemented a unified national carbon pricing system (transitioning from a carbon tax to cap-and-trade), Canada adopted a decentralized, sector-by-sector regulatory approach utilizing provincial equivalency agreements. The authors argue that Canada's fragmented system is likely to result in higher regulatory costs for emitters compared to Australia's streamlined national approach, although the actual emission reductions of both schemes remain uncertain.

The report analyzes the steel sector's transition to a low-carbon future, noting that while current carbon pricing (like the EU ETS) has had limited impact on plant location and investment, deeper emissions cuts will require breakthrough technologies such as carbon capture and storage (CCS). It emphasizes the need for collaborative research, development, demonstration, and deployment (RDD&D) and suggests a 'coalition of the willing' among major steel-producing nations to maintain competitiveness while decarbonizing.

The report finds a significant surplus of Assigned Amount Units (AAUs) from the first Kyoto commitment period (CP1), totaling 12,637 Mt, which vastly exceeds the estimated demand of 11.5 Mt. It notes that the ability to carry over these surpluses to the second commitment period (CP2) depends on a country's participation in CP2, meaning Russia's stated intent not to join would remove 5.8 Gt CO2e from the available surplus.

The cement sector is a major global CO2 source, with emissions projected to reach 4.0 Gt by 2030. While emissions intensity is declining due to the adoption of best available technology (BAT) and alternative fuels, these gains are offset by rising production volumes, particularly in China. The report argues that current carbon pricing, such as the EU ETS, is insufficient to drive the breakthrough technologies needed for a low-carbon future, such as carbon capture and storage (CCS) and new low-carbon cement forms. It suggests that a combination of public-private financing, revised building standards, and Border Carbon Adjustments (BCAs) is necessary to prevent carbon leakage and incentivize deep decarbonization.

The report argues that the EU ETS is failing due to a massive oversupply of allowances caused by the 2008 economic recession and industrial overallocation. Sandbag identifies a total excess of 3.1 billion tonnes (Gt) of allowances, including 2.2Gt from obsolete demand forecasts and 0.9Gt from industrial overallocation. The document highlights that 78% of the net surplus is concentrated among ten steel and cement companies, which have generated significant revenues from selling surplus permits. To remedy this, the report recommends the permanent cancellation of 3.1Gt of allowances from Phase 3 auctions, the establishment of a more ambitious Phase 4 carbon budget aligned with 2050 goals, and the introduction of mechanisms like a "heat exchanger" and a strategic demand-correction reserve to protect the system from future exogenous shocks.

The research paper evaluates the economic and emissions impacts of increasing the EU's 2020 GHG reduction target to 30%. Using the E3MG model, it focuses on three energy-intensive sectors: iron and steel, aluminium, and cement. The findings indicate that while a 30% target significantly increases EU ETS allowance prices, there is no evidence of substantial carbon leakage through import substitution. Border adjustment measures partially protect EU output but have a negligible macroeconomic impact, as the affected sectors collectively account for less than 1% of EU GDP.

The paper evaluates the EU ETS allocation method—specifically the New Entrants Reserve (NER) and grandfathering—against output-based allocation (OBA), full auctioning, and border adjustments in the cement industry. It finds that while the EU ETS method effectively tackles carbon leakage, it creates economic distortions between new and existing plants, leading to lower overall welfare compared to border adjustments or OBA. The analysis suggests that the EU ETS method's primary advantage is its lower distributional impact on consumers and producers.

The report assesses MRV systems in four major emitting countries, finding that while emissions tracking is generally sophisticated and transparent due to international frameworks like the UNFCCC, tracking the specific impacts of mitigation actions remains inconsistent and less reliable. It highlights a gap in the ability of policymakers to identify the most cost-effective policies, as MRV systems often track policy outputs rather than actual emissions outcomes. The analysis provides country-specific evaluations and identifies good practices, such as the U.S. facility-level data portal and China's annual progress reports.