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BURUNDI DEVELOPMENT FUTURES: GEOGRAPHIC FUTURES
This report details a series of scenario interventions for Burundi's development, utilizing the IFs v7.84 model to project outcomes across governance, health, education, agriculture, manufacturing, infrastructure, and trade. It compares potential improvements in Burundi against historical benchmarks from other African nations and forecasts Burundi's relative standing among low-income African peers by 2043.
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Document type: Report
The Education Scenario
The document outlines 'The Education scenario', a set of ambitious interventions for the African education system modeled using the IFs platform. It compares this scenario against a 'Current Path' to demonstrate how improvements in primary, secondary, and tertiary access, quality, and gender parity could impact Africa's ability to meet SDG 4 targets by 2043.
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Document type: Research paper
AFRICA GENDER FUTURES: THEMATIC FUTURES Scenario
This research paper describes a 'Gender scenario' model designed to forecast the impact of reducing gender inequalities on Africa's development prospects between 2024 and 2043. The scenario compares a targeted push for gender equality against a 'Current Path' business-as-usual forecast, focusing on four primary clusters of intervention: labour force participation and wages, political representation, education access, and health and reproductive rights.
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Document type: Research paper
Rainbow at risk: Improving South Africa’s prospects
This policy brief by the Institute for Security Studies (ISS) argues that South Africa is caught in a 'middle-income trap' characterized by sluggish growth, deep inequality, and declining government effectiveness. The authors advocate for a paradigm shift away from a state-led developmental model toward a more flexible, labour-intensive economy and a knowledge-based society driven by private sector partnerships and technological innovation.
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Document type: Policy brief
paper288-64c190369f6eabf3.pdf
This research paper uses the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system to evaluate Namibia's progress toward the goals of Vision 2030 and the Fourth National Development Plan (NDP4). The author analyzes population trends and economic drivers, identifying physical capital—specifically basic infrastructure—as the primary constraint on long-term growth. The paper presents three scenarios (Current Path, Infrastructure Access, and Leave No Namibian Out) to illustrate the trade-offs between investing in physical infrastructure and human capital.
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This summary is written by a language model reading the source document. It is not the publisher's words and is not a substitute for the original.
Document type: Research paper