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The report analyzes the recurrence of climate disinformation during extreme weather events in 2026, specifically focusing on wildfires in Canada, the US, and the UK, and heatwaves in the EU, Spain, and Portugal. It highlights the role of 'participatory disinformation' and the failure of social media platforms to act on advance warnings from organizations like CAAD and EDMO.

Following catastrophic flash floods in Central Texas in July 2025, digital discourse was dominated by cloud seeding conspiracy theories. These claims, which alleged that a program over 100 miles away triggered or worsened the floods, were amplified by GOP representatives including Marjorie Taylor Greene and Michael Flynn to reach millions of viewers on X.

The report finds that while a majority of respondents in Spain and the UK acknowledge human-caused climate change, a significant portion (70% in Spain and 60% in the UK) believed at least one false narrative regarding the causes of the April 2025 Iberian blackout. The most prevalent disinformation was that the blackout resulted from an 'over-reliance on renewable energy', a belief particularly strong among far-right voters. General attitudes toward energy sources are divided, with about half of respondents wrongly believing that net zero policies increase energy dependence or that abandoning oil and gas would cause extreme hardship for the poor. Despite this, over 70% of respondents in both countries believe preventing climate disinformation is necessary to protect freedom of speech. There is broad support for measures such as legally obligating social media companies to stop spreading misleading climate information, banning fossil fuel advertising, and increasing support for fact-checking organizations.

Anti-migrant mobilisation in Ireland has shifted from localised protests to a structured, cross-border movement. This evolution is marked by tactical collaboration between Republic-based nationalist activists and Northern Irish Loyalist networks, overriding historical sectarian divisions. The movement is further amplified by British far-right groups, North American influencers, and Russian-aligned propaganda outlets, which integrate local incidents into global 'Great Replacement' narratives and transnational far-right discourse.

The briefing identifies three primary disinformation narratives used to deflect from climate change during the 2025 Canadian wildfire season: the emphasis on arson (including conspiracy theories about 'climate change agendas'), claims of government mismanagement of resources, and accusations of 'fearmongering' by political leaders. Monitoring from April 21 to June 20, 2025, shows these narratives are most prevalent on X and right-wing outlets, often utilizing 'junk science' to discredit peer-reviewed data. The document recommends that Canadian policymakers enact laws against greenwashing, adopt a robust definition of climate disinformation, and require transparency from large online platforms to mitigate the influence of fossil fuel-backed disinformation networks.

Following a major power outage in Spain and Portugal on 28 April 2025, disinformation networks utilized social media algorithms to spread false claims attributing the event to renewables and net zero policies. The report notes that these falsehoods were often presented as speculation or news reporting to undermine climate solutions, mirroring patterns seen during extreme weather events.

A network of up to 600 accounts on X has been identified spreading disinformation to influence the 2025 Canadian election, specifically targeting Mark Carney by claiming his firm, Brookfield, would benefit from the Liberal Party's "net zero agenda". CAAD identified at least 60 accounts with strong bot markers—such as lacking profile photos, bios, and original content—that primarily shared videos from right-wing and conspiratorial channels including Rebel News, Northern Perspective, and Moose on the Loose.

The report analyzes the spread of disinformation following a major power outage on the Iberian Peninsula on 28 April 2025. It identifies a pattern where initial speculation about cyberattacks transitioned into coordinated narratives blaming renewable energy and 'net zero' policies, largely driven by English-language actors and UK press. The document also details the emergence of conspiracy theories framing the event as a 'test run' for government control or a 'climate lockdown' linked to Agenda 2030. Analysis across Spanish, Portuguese, and English languages shows that X/Twitter was the primary vector for these narratives, while YouTube and TikTok favored conspiracy content.

The document identifies a Russian propaganda campaign that exploited the aftermath of hurricanes Milton and Helene to foster domestic discontent in the US. Russian state-affiliated outlets, including RT and Sputnik, amplified narratives claiming the Biden administration diverted disaster relief funds to Ukraine and migrants. The analysis highlights a strategy of amplifying existing divisive US domestic discourse and the use of AI-generated imagery to portray devastation. The report notes that these campaigns spread largely unchecked on social media platforms, particularly X, to erode trust in democratic institutions and reduce support for Ukraine.

The report analyzes how Russian propaganda has shifted from official state media to semi-covert tactics to bypass EU sanctions, while maintaining significant reach in the MENA region and Latin America. It identifies key vulnerabilities in the Western alliance—including economic stagnation in Germany, US isolationism, and the rise of far-right parties in the EU—that the Kremlin is likely to exploit. Additionally, it examines how Russia instrumentalizes the Israel-Hamas conflict to portray Western 'double standards' and promote a multipolar world order.

The report identifies four primary categories of Russian disinformation in Germany: civilian targeting, escalation rhetoric, demoralisation, and conspiracies. These narratives aim to weaken German support for Ukraine, exacerbate societal divisions, and undermine the contemporary security order. While some narratives do not resonate with the majority of the population, the report warns that the adoption of conspiratorial talking points by members of the German Parliament and the convergence of Kremlin narratives with extremist movements like the Reichsbürger pose risks to civic integrity.

The report analyzes a disinformation campaign that falsely blamed wind energy for the February 2021 Texas power outages. It finds that while mainstream media debunked these claims, right-wing outlets and fossil fuel-funded politicians used social media to spread the narrative, with very few high-performing posts receiving fact-check labels. The authors conclude that current platform moderation is insufficient and recommend a 'two-strike' policy for repeat disinformers and the removal of climate disinformation from organic and paid content.

The report by Climate Action Against Disinformation (CAAD) analyzes ten 'misleading claims' used by fossil fuel interests to delay the energy transition. It argues that fossil fuels are the primary driver of climate change, with 36.6 billion tonnes of the 40.5 billion global CO2 emissions in 2022 originating from their use. The document debunks claims that emissions—rather than fossil fuels themselves—are the problem, and challenges the industry's focus on Scope 1 and 2 emissions, noting that Scope 3 emissions account for 80-95% of total carbon emissions for oil and gas companies. It further critiques technological 'solutions' like Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS), Direct Air Capture (DAC), e-fuels, and 'blue' hydrogen, characterizing them as expensive, inefficient, or unproven at the scale required to limit warming to 1.5C. Finally, it argues that fossil fuel reliance hinders economic growth in Africa and Asia and exacerbates the global cost-of-living crisis.

The report finds that while 85% of the UK public recognizes human impact on climate change, significant gaps in understanding and a high prevalence of disinformation persist. 82% of respondents believe in at least one piece of climate disinformation, with common myths centering on the unaffordability of net zero and the inability of the electricity grid to support electric vehicles. Trust in corporate climate commitments is very low, with 91% of respondents not fully trusting brands to accurately portray their commitments. Social media is identified as the primary source of disinformation by 40% of the public.

The report documents a systemic and strategic environment of online hate in Canada, where marginalized groups—including Indigenous, Black, Asian, Muslim, Jewish, 2SLGBTQIA+, and women—are depicted as threats to national identity. It identifies a network of domestic actors, such as Rebel News and Jordan Peterson, and foreign state-linked entities from Russia, China, and India that amplify these narratives. Key findings highlight the use of 'reverse racism' tropes to oppose equity efforts, the persistence of colonial tropes against Indigenous peoples, and the weaponization of 'gender ideology' to target 2SLGBTQIA+ individuals. The document also notes a dangerous feedback loop where online hate mirrors and accelerates real-world hate crimes, which have more than doubled since 2018.

The document details a rise in political violence in Germany, noting 3,691 attacks against politically active individuals in 2023. It analyzes how disinformation narratives targeting political leaders, civic institutions, and immigrants are leveraged by domestic actors (such as the AfD and BSW) and foreign actors (primarily Russia via RT Deutsch and Pravda-DE) to destabilize the democratic system. The report highlights the role of 'mirror websites' and VPNs in bypassing sanctions on Russian media and notes that over 75% of adversarial content from analyzed domains relates to the Russia-Ukraine conflict.

The report analyzes how Russia-aligned actors use disinformation in Germany to discredit Ukraine, NATO, and the EU. It categorizes these narratives into four types: targeting civilians (such as 'denazification' and anti-refugee claims), demoralization (focused on energy security and sanctions), conspiracies (including bio-laboratories and QAnon), and escalatory rhetoric (regarding NATO encirclement and nuclear threats). The document highlights that Germany is a prime target due to its economic status and historical ties to Russia, and recommends ad-tech reforms and continued monitoring to counter these narratives.

The document analyzes Germany's disinformation environment, highlighting the role of domestic far-right actors and foreign influence from Russia, China, and Turkey. It examines the shift from the Network Enforcement Act (NetzDG) to the EU Digital Services Act (DSA) and reports a persistent reach of disinformation websites, with 3.6 billion page views from Germany in 2024. Key narrative clusters include election denialism, anti-immigrant hate speech, and climate policy opposition, while foreign operations aim to polarize society and weaken support for Ukraine.