The IPCC’s Fifth Assessment Report What’s in it for Africa?
Summary
The document outlines that Africa is experiencing significant warming and increased extreme weather, which threatens food security, health, and economic growth. It argues that while Africa has contributed little to historic emissions, it is highly vulnerable and must integrate adaptation and mitigation into long-term development planning. Key opportunities for the region include adopting decentralized renewable energy, implementing conservation agriculture, and planning low-carbon urban growth to avoid fossil fuel lock-in.
Key insights
- Africa has already experienced significant warming, with land surface temperatures increasing by 0.5–2°C over the last 100 years, and there is 95% certainty that human activity is the dominant cause.
- Future warming in Africa is projected to occur more rapidly than in other land areas, particularly in arid regions; under a high-emissions scenario, temperatures could rise more than 2°C by mid-century and more than 4°C by the end of the century.
- Climate change poses severe risks to African food security, with projected yield losses for major cereal crops ranging from 18% in southern Africa to 22% across sub-Saharan Africa by mid-century.
- Adaptation is critical for Africa due to its low adaptive capacity, but 'no regrets' measures—such as improving health services and diversifying cropping systems—can provide immediate development benefits regardless of climate outcomes.
- African countries have a unique opportunity to 'leapfrog' fossil fuel-dependent infrastructure by investing directly in clean, efficient, and decentralized renewable energy technologies.
- In the energy sector, the levelised cost of several renewable technologies fell significantly between 2009 and 2012, including photovoltaic energy (57%), biomass gas (26%), gas from waste (16%), and wind energy (15%).
- Agriculture, forestry, and other land use (AFOLU) offer mitigation opportunities through carbon sequestration, though these must be balanced against risks to food security and land tenure rights.
- Rapid urbanisation in Africa presents a major opportunity to implement low-carbon planning, such as transit-oriented development and high-density urban design, to avoid future carbon lock-in.
- International cooperation and financial support are essential for Africa to achieve mitigation and adaptation goals, as current global pledges (such as the Cancun Pledges) are insufficient to limit warming to 2°C.
Cite the original document
- APA
- Climate and Development Knowledge Network (2014). The IPCC’s Fifth Assessment Report What’s in it for Africa? http://cdkn.org/wp-content/uploads/2014/04/AR5_IPCC_Whats_in_it_for_Africa.pdf
- Chicago
- Climate and Development Knowledge Network. The IPCC’s Fifth Assessment Report What’s in it for Africa? 2014. http://cdkn.org/wp-content/uploads/2014/04/AR5_IPCC_Whats_in_it_for_Africa.pdf.
- Wikipedia
- {{cite report |author=Climate and Development Knowledge Network |title=The IPCC’s Fifth Assessment Report What’s in it for Africa? |date=2014 |url=http://cdkn.org/wp-content/uploads/2014/04/AR5_IPCC_Whats_in_it_for_Africa.pdf |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}
- BibTeX
- @techreport{climateanddevelopmentknowledgenetwork2014ipccs, author = {{Climate and Development Knowledge Network}}, title = {{The IPCC’s Fifth Assessment Report What’s in it for Africa?}}, institution = {Climate and Development Knowledge Network}, year = {2014}, url = {http://cdkn.org/wp-content/uploads/2014/04/AR5_IPCC_Whats_in_it_for_Africa.pdf}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }
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