Search Climate Insights Directory

This research paper examines the evolution of South Africa's defence industry from its growth during the apartheid era to its restructuring and reorientation toward global markets after 1994. It details the shift from state-driven self-sufficiency to a commercially focused model based on exports, international partnerships, and strategic procurement policies.

A briefing by the Institute for Security Studies detailing the military coup in São Tomé e Principe on July 16, 2003, led by Major Fernando Pereira. The document outlines the immediate aftermath, the formation of a 'Military Junta for National Salvation', international reactions, and the internal political and military grievances that motivated the takeover.

This situation report analyzes the transition from the Organization of African Unity (OAU) to the African Union (AU), highlighting the structural reforms intended to move beyond rhetoric toward effective intervention, political and socio-economic integration, and the inclusion of civil society.

This research paper examines the industrial participation (IP) mechanisms used to offset the costs of South Africa's Strategic Defence Package (SDP), focusing on the Defence Industrial Participation (DIP) and National Industrial Participation Programme (NIPP).

This report analyzes the draft national constitution of Swaziland unveiled by King Mswati III on 31 May 2003. While the draft introduces some legal reforms and human rights acknowledgments, it maintains the monarchy's absolute power and fails to address the legal status of banned political parties.

This research paper examines the dynamics of sex, gender, and power within men's prisons in South Africa, drawing on a study by the Centre for the Study of Violence and Reconciliation (CSVR). It describes a hierarchical system where sexual roles are used to assign gender identities, often through coercion and violence, and discusses how these dynamics are reinforced by prison gangs and the broader societal views on masculinity and femininity.

This report from the Institute for Security Studies consists of several articles analyzing critical issues within the South African criminal justice system. It examines the high rates of police killings and the factors contributing to them, the closure of the SAPS Anti-Corruption Unit, the dynamics of sexual violence and gender roles in men's prisons, trends in child sex offenders and their custody, the effectiveness of the Independent Complaints Directorate in monitoring police brutality, and the implementation of firearm unfitness hearings under the Arms and Ammunition Act.

This briefing reports on an interview conducted on May 1, 2003, with Al-Sadig al-Mahdi, leader of the opposition Umma Party in Sudan. Al-Mahdi discusses the limitations of the IGAD-facilitated peace talks between the Sudanese government and the SPLM/A, arguing that a sustainable peace requires a more inclusive process involving 'new forces' and a transition to democratic elections.

This research paper by the Institute for Security Studies explores whether auditors in the Southern African Development Community (SADC) region can provide unique insights into money laundering and the extent to which they can assist in combating it. Based on surveys and interviews with professionals from four multinational auditing firms, the paper concludes that while general auditors are poorly positioned to detect money laundering, forensic auditors may offer valuable qualitative data. It further identifies significant gaps in auditors' understanding of anti-money laundering regulations and highlights systemic challenges in the SADC region that hinder the effectiveness of legal measures.

This briefing discusses the impact of oil discoveries off the coast of Western Sahara on the long-standing territorial dispute between Morocco and the Polisario Front. It details the failure of the UN-led referendum process, the geopolitical tensions involving Algeria, France, and the United States, and the legal disputes over oil exploration licenses issued by Morocco in the occupied territory.

This April 2003 briefing by the Institute for Security Studies describes the severe humanitarian and political crisis in Burundi. It details the impact of prolonged conflict since 1993, including massive internal displacement, refugee crises in Tanzania, and a fragile food security situation exacerbated by drought. The document argues that humanitarian deterioration and political instability are mutually reinforcing, with peace prospects hindered by elite power struggles and the lack of a comprehensive ceasefire.

This 2003 research paper outlines the framework of the NEPAD African Peer Review Mechanism (APRM), detailing its five-stage review process and the roles of the APR Forum, Panel of Eminent Persons, and APR Secretariat. It emphasizes the distinction between political governance review (handled by AU institutions) and economic/corporate governance review (handled by the NEPAD Secretariat and partners like UNECA). The paper also discusses the integration of the APRM within the broader African Union structure and the proposed mutual accountability between Africa and its international development partners.

This document is a table of contents and preface for the Institute for Security Studies (ISS) Monograph No 83, titled 'Sustaining the Peace in Angola: An Overview of Current Demobilisation, Disarmament and Reintegration', published in April 2003. It outlines a structure covering the challenges of resettlement, Angola's institutional capabilities for DD&R, and the state of play regarding DD&R policies and practices in 2002.

This research paper provides an overview of money laundering threats within the East and Southern African Anti-Money Laundering Group (ESAAMLG) region. It examines the strategic importance of laundering for organised crime and corruption, identifies common typologies (internal, incoming, and outgoing), and details specific predicate crimes such as drug trafficking, armed robbery, and currency speculation. The document also analyzes the region's vulnerability as a destination for illicit funds due to offshore financial regimes and regulatory weaknesses.

This report by the Institute for Security Studies analyzes the African Peer Review Mechanism (APRM) within the New Partnership for Africa's Development (NEPAD) and its integration with the African Union (AU). It details the APRM's organizational structure, the five-stage country review process, and the challenges of harmonizing political governance assessments with existing AU bodies like the African Commission on Human and Peoples' Rights.

This research paper by David H. Shinn analyzes Sudan's strategic position in Africa, focusing on its internal civil war, the economic impact of oil, and its complex bilateral relations with its nine neighboring countries as of March 2003.

This document is a table of contents and introductory page for a monograph titled 'Sierra Leone - Building the Road to Recovery' published by the Institute for Security Studies. It lists the authors and the eight chapters that comprise the report, which cover topics including disarmament, reintegration, UNAMSIL, media, military reform, policing, government authority, and justice and reconciliation.

The report details a severe decline in Burundi's peace process by February 2003, marked by the FDD's suspension of talks, the failure of the December 2002 cease-fire, and a growing movement to dismantle the existing political system. It warns that the mandatory transition of the presidency on 1 May 2003 could lead to chaos due to a lack of national consensus and the incomplete integration of security forces.

This February 2003 briefing by the Institute for Security Studies examines the internal power struggles within Zimbabwe's ruling ZANU-PF party and the reported attempts to negotiate an exit strategy for President Robert Mugabe amidst a severe economic collapse.

The National Victims of Crime Survey South Africa 2003, conducted by the Institute for Security Studies, examines crime prevalence, public perceptions of safety, and the effectiveness of the criminal justice system. The report finds that while overall victimisation rates dropped slightly between 1998 and 2003, public feelings of safety declined significantly, with housebreaking being the only crime type to increase in prevalence.