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Measuring the Unimportance of Being Earnest
The paper argues that foreign direct investment in Africa is often driven by natural resources rather than good governance or low corruption. While countries with poor governance rankings often attract significant FDI, the author contends that sound governance is necessary for long-term resource management and sustainable economic growth.
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Document type: Research paper
Global terror: Africa not immune to terror
The paper assesses the inadequacy of Africa's counterterrorism framework, highlighting the failure of the African Union (AU) and member states to operationalize the African Centre for the Study and Research on Terrorism in Algiers. It identifies specific regional vulnerabilities—including Somalia, the Sahel, Nigeria, and South Africa—and proposes a practical division of labour between the Algiers centre, key states, and regional organisations to improve security capacity.
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Document type: Research paper
APRM: The Need for Transparency
The author contends that the African Peer Review Mechanism (APRM) is threatened by a lack of transparency and government interference. To maintain legitimacy, the document argues that civil society must lead governing councils and that the Self-Assessment Questionnaire (SAQ) must be simplified to remove duplication and unclear wording. It recommends a collaborative approach between governments and citizens, including the use of media, research institutions, and household surveys to ensure inclusive and candid national reviews.
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Document type: Research paper
Africa breaks down on neglected roads
Africa faces a severe road infrastructure crisis, with 90% of passengers and freight relying on tarmac that is frequently neglected due to budget deficits and diverted funds. The World Bank estimates the annual cost of this neglect at $1.2 billion in lost productivity, with nearly a third of the $150 billion invested in roads by the late 1980s already lost. While some countries like South Africa and Kenya are exploring private sector concessions, tolls, and Chinese financing, challenges such as low traffic volumes in Malawi and the high cost of vehicle overloading persist.
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Document type: Research paper
It's good to be the king
The research paper analyzes the persistence of one-party dominance in Africa, noting that ruling parties leverage state resources, security forces, and 'struggle credentials' to maintain control. It contrasts this with opposition parties that are often fractious, resource-poor, and centered on individual ambition. While citing the 2002 Kenyan election as an example of incumbent vulnerability, the author argues that genuine pluralism requires stronger civic responsibility and organized, broad-based support from civil society.
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Document type: Research paper
Editorial: Fair land reform without violence
The author contends that while land redistribution is morally and politically necessary to address colonial inequities, success depends on systematic reform and support systems. Using examples from Kenya and South Africa, the text highlights the dangers of violent land grabs and the necessity of providing newly settled farmers with technical training, working capital, and market knowledge to ensure commercial viability.
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Document type: Statement
Leveraging the Dragon Toward an Africa That Can Say No
The paper examines the rapid growth of China-Africa relations, noting that while Chinese investment and debt forgiveness are welcomed, the relationship is often asymmetrical. It suggests that African leaders should adopt a pragmatic approach—inspired by Deng Xiaoping's reforms—to negotiate better terms, including technology transfer, local labour requirements, and preferential trade agreements. The author advocates for using the China-Africa Co-operation Forum to establish a formal code of conduct and a civil society forum to hold Beijing accountable for its commitments regarding human rights, arms trafficking, and fair trade.
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Document type: Research paper
Taxing Africa to Death
The author contends that governments in developing nations, especially across Africa, undermine global efforts to lower drug prices by imposing high tariffs and sales taxes on medicines. These financial barriers disproportionately affect the poorest citizens, such as HIV-positive patients in South Africa, by making life-saving treatment unaffordable and reducing the funds available for nutrition. The paper highlights that a 1% reduction in tariffs correlates with a 1% increase in medicine access. Beyond taxation, the author criticizes 'burdensome bureaucracy' in countries like South Africa and Namibia, where slow registration processes and redundant regulations delay patient access to drugs. The document calls for the urgent removal of these 'pernicious taxes and tariffs' and the reform of medical bureaucracies to improve healthcare outcomes.
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Document type: Research paper
Graft follows AIDS money
The paper examines how the rapid increase in global HIV/AIDS funding creates opportunities for graft and misappropriation, particularly in low-income regions. It highlights cases of fraud in South Africa and Kenya, while discussing the tension between the need for strict financial controls and the limited administrative capacity of grassroots organisations. The author suggests that intermediary organisations may provide a viable model for ensuring accountability while supporting small-scale community responses.
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Document type: Research paper
Plurality: Coming or Going?
The document examines the precarious state of opposition politics in Africa, using the Movement for Democratic Change (MDC) in Zimbabwe as a primary example of the 'lose-lose scenario' faced by opposition parties. It argues that while many African nations have nominally transitioned to democracy, ruling parties often undermine fair elections through biased laws, violence, and media bans. Additionally, the text highlights internal failures within opposition groups, such as frequent splintering and a lack of strategic maturity, which hinder their ability to challenge dominant party systems.
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Document type: Research paper
Can the South African business experience in Africa offer a way forward?
The paper examines the challenges of doing business in Africa, noting that political instability and corruption deter investment. It highlights South Africa's position as a leading non-oil and gas investor in Africa, with firms investing an average of $1.4 billion annually since 1991. While some local businesses fear South African domination, the author argues that these investments introduce new technologies, increase consumer choice, and serve as a catalyst for broader international confidence in African markets.
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Document type: Research paper
National Chairman's Annual Statement 2008
The National Chairman of the South African Institute of International Affairs argues that South Africa's global credibility depends on its domestic stewardship and responsible leadership. The statement identifies key tests for the country, including maintaining institutional integrity and collaborating on global issues like climate change and poverty reduction. It emphasizes the need for African states to manage relations with emerging powers like China and India through good governance and to actively participate in the transition to a low-carbon economy.
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Document type: Statement
Zimbabwe`s Future in the Balance
Following the 29 March 2008 elections, Zimbabwe entered a period of high tension as the Zimbabwe Election Commission (ZEC) withheld presidential results. The country is described as politically polarised between ZANU-PF's focus on regime security and the MDC's focus on good governance. The authors highlight a severe economic meltdown characterized by inflation exceeding 100,000 percent and widespread shortages. The briefing outlines five possible scenarios: a run-off election, Mugabe conceding via a transitional government, a state-led clampdown, an outright Tsvangirai victory, or an outright Mugabe victory. The authors argue that the international community's peace and security architectures are ill-equipped for such crises and recommend the deployment of more international observers and technical expertise for the ZEC.
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Document type: Briefing
Zimbabwe`s Future in the Balance
The briefing examines the political deadlock in Zimbabwe after the March 2008 elections, where the Zimbabwe Election Commission (ZEC) withheld presidential results despite parliamentary and senatorial outcomes indicating a deeply polarised society. The authors argue that the country is caught between two narratives: one of regime security and sovereignty championed by ZANU-PF, and another of good governance and human security advocated by the MDC and civil society. The document details a severe economic collapse characterized by inflation exceeding 100,000 percent and widespread shortages. It outlines five possible scenarios—a run-off, Mugabe's concession via a transitional government, a state of emergency clamp-down, an outright Tsvangirai victory, or a Mugabe victory—and concludes that stability requires political compromise and maturity over 'winner takes all' politics.
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Document type: Briefing
Market Barriers to Clean Cooking Fuels in Sub-Saharan Africa: A Review of Literature
The document identifies that 76% of the sub-Saharan African population relies on traditional biomass for cooking, leading to deforestation, indoor air pollution, and gender inequality. It argues that while clean fuels like LPG, ethanol, and biogas offer significant health and environmental benefits, their adoption is stifled by high costs, lack of infrastructure, and socio-cultural preferences. The authors recommend national government intervention through targeted subsidies, the creation of clean cooking fuel bureaus, and the development of local sustainable energy resources for rural areas.
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Document type: Research paper
Force Africaine en Attente
The document provides an update on the African Standby Force (ASF), a multidisciplinary force designed for rapid deployment in peace support operations across Africa. While significant progress has been made in developing doctrine, standard operating procedures, and training, the author notes that the project has failed to meet its original ambitious timelines. Key obstacles include severe logistical deficits, a lack of leadership and staffing at the African Union (AU) level, and a heavy reliance on external funding and technical expertise from international donors. The paper details the varying levels of readiness across five African regions and argues for a more integrated partnership between the AU and the UN to ensure sustainable security operations.
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Document type: Research paper
South Africa in Africa: An Assessment
Since 1994, South Africa has acted as a primary catalyst for African integration, leveraging its economic dominance and diplomatic efforts to promote the 'African Renaissance'. While it leads in conflict resolution and institutional building through the AU and SADC, it faces tensions regarding its perceived 'big brother' role and a persistent trade imbalance with other African states. Its global role involves representing African interests in the G20 and UN Security Council, though its moral authority is sometimes undermined by a reluctance to criticize fellow African leaders, specifically in Zimbabwe.
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Document type: Briefing
Internal Displacement and the Threats to Human Security
The Africa Human Security Initiative (AHSI) is organizing a workshop in Nairobi on May 7, 2008, focusing on internally displaced persons (IDPs) in the Greater Horn of Africa. The document argues that IDPs are a highly vulnerable population often neglected by states due to conceptual debates, lack of political will, and the non-binding nature of the Guiding Principles on Internal Displacement. It highlights the scale of the issue, noting that in 2004, IDP numbers in three specific countries far exceeded refugee numbers in five. The workshop aims to map displacement, assess government capacity, and develop a regional policy document and strategic action plan for managing displacement crises.
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Document type: Briefing
The African Peer Review Mechanism
The report examines the African Peer Review Mechanism (APRM), an African self-monitoring tool for governance, democracy, and human rights adopted under the New Partnership for Africa’s Development (Nepad). Based on a five-year research project by the South African Institute of International Affairs (SAIIA), the text analyzes the rules, national governance, and research processes of the APRM. It specifically focuses on the experiences of five pioneer countries—Ghana, Kenya, Rwanda, Mauritius, and South Africa—to identify the political dynamics and the role of civil society in making the process credible. The document argues that the APRM represents a 'governance revolution' in Africa, shifting from post-independence rule by decree toward accountability and transparency.
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Document type: Report
The African Peer Review Mechanism
The African Peer Review Mechanism (APRM), launched in 2002 under the New Partnership for Africa's Development (Nepad), is a voluntary governance assessment tool for African states. It employs a five-stage process involving national self-assessment, expert review, and peer review by heads of state. Early implementation in 'pioneer' countries like Ghana, Rwanda, Kenya, and South Africa revealed that the process is significantly more time-consuming than initially estimated, often taking 33 to 39 months rather than the projected six to nine. The document highlights the critical role of civil society in the National Governing Councils and the challenges of managing the political tensions inherent in open governance critiques.
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Document type: Report