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Climate Action Tracker Warming Projections Global Update
The Climate Action Tracker reports that recent Paris Agreement pledges and targets have reduced the estimated end-of-century warming to 2.4°C, down by 0.2°C. While the 2030 emissions gap for a 1.5°C pathway has narrowed by 11-14%, current policies still project a warming of 2.9°C. The most optimistic scenario, assuming full implementation of net zero targets, suggests warming could be as low as 2.0°C, though this remains above the Paris Agreement limit. The report emphasizes that stronger near-term 2030 targets are more critical for reducing warming than the addition of new net zero targets.
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Document type: Briefing
ANALYSIS OF THE HYDROGEN RESOURCES USAGE IN ESTONIA
The analysis evaluates Estonia's readiness for a hydrogen economy, focusing on the transport and industrial sectors as primary drivers for decarbonization. It models two scenarios (low and high) for hydrogen penetration by 2050, estimating that total investments could reach EUR 22.4 to 44.7 billion. The report highlights that while the transport sector—particularly shipping and rail—and the production of green ammonia and methanol offer the highest potential, significant barriers exist, including a lack of refueling infrastructure, high initial costs, and the need for a national hydrogen strategy. To unlock this potential, the study emphasizes the necessity of increasing renewable electricity capacity, specifically through offshore wind, and providing public investment to kick-start the market.
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Document type: Executive summary
Proposals to Make the T20 a More Impactful, Effective, and Continuous Think Tank Process
The authors argue that while the T20 has grown in diversity and productivity, it suffers from limited policy impact, a lack of continuity across presidencies, and an over-reliance on the production of policy briefs over substantive dialogue. To address these, they propose establishing a permanent steering committee based on a troika system, decoupling the T20 timeline from the G20 calendar to allow for earlier agenda-setting, and reducing the volume of policy briefs in favor of higher-quality, joint recommendations. The goal is to transform the T20 into a more continuous process that engages both current and incoming G20 presidencies and mid-level government officials.
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Document type: Report
The Role of Fossil Fuel Subsidies in Preventing Action on the Climate Crisis
The testimony argues that US fossil fuel subsidies primarily increase excess profits rather than creating jobs, undermine global climate goals, and contribute to public health crises and environmental inequalities.
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Document type: Statement
Corporate climate advocacy in action as business stands ready to deliver US NDC increase
The We Mean Business coalition highlights the role of corporate advocacy in the US government's decision to increase its 2030 emission reduction target to 50-52% below 2005 levels. The statement emphasizes that over 400 businesses and investors, representing $4 trillion in annual revenue, urged this increase to provide the policy clarity needed for private sector investment in a zero-carbon economy. It further calls for other global economies to align their NDCs with the 1.5ºC trajectory to maintain economic competitiveness.
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Document type: Statement
Biden Climate Summit Requires Bold Industrial Decarbonization Plan
The authors contend that while corporate pledges to reduce emissions are increasing, the decarbonization of heavy industry—which accounts for approximately 18% of global carbon emissions—requires significant government funding and regulatory support. They highlight the 'Global Framework Principles for Decarbonizing Heavy Industry' as a tool to coordinate these efforts and criticize the gap between the climate rhetoric and actual policy actions of leaders in the US, China, Japan, and India.
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Document type: Statement
Public Support for International Climate Action
A September 2021 survey of 898 registered U.S. voters shows broad support for international climate action, including a 73% approval rate for the U.S. pledge to reduce carbon pollution by 50% by 2030. While 66% of voters believe the U.S. should reduce emissions regardless of other countries' actions, there is even stronger consensus that developing countries (81%) and other industrialized nations (74%) should do more to address global warming. Support for providing financial and technical aid to developing countries for mitigation (66%) and adaptation (61%) has increased since March 2021, though significant partisan divides remain, particularly among conservative Republicans.
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Document type: Executive summary
Joint Statement re: 2021 Revisions to Biomass Plan Development Guidelines (Japan’s Feed-in-Tariff)
A coalition of international and Japanese environmental organizations criticizes the April 1, 2021, revisions to Japan's biomass power generation guidelines under the feed-in-tariff. The statement argues that the guidelines lack essential lifecycle greenhouse gas emission limits and fail to implement rigorous sustainability standards for woody biomass. It specifically calls for the removal of palm oil from the feed-in-tariff, citing contradictions in the 'inedible byproducts' rule and the inability of RSPO or RSB certifications to resolve food-fuel competition. The authors also highlight transparency gaps in certification and the negative impact of extending compliance deadlines for sustainability certificates.
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Document type: Statement
Definitions Matter: The Role of WMD in Shaping U.S. National Security Strategy
The document analyzes the historical development of the 'WMD paradigm' in the United States, which primarily equates WMD with chemical, biological, radiological, and nuclear (CBRN) weapons. The author argues that while this framework provided bureaucratic stability during the Cold War and post-9/11 era, it now creates a 'failure of imagination' by excluding other technologies—such as cyber weapons, drones, and synthetic biology—that can produce similar mass-casualty or mass-destruction effects. The text highlights a disconnect between the WMD paradigm and the actual historical record since 1990, noting that violent non-state actors often rely on conventional means and state actors frequently use CBRN for targeted assassinations or psychological impact rather than mass destruction.
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Document type: Briefing
4 Big Outcomes the Leaders Summit on Climate Can Deliver
The briefing argues that the Leaders Summit on Climate should be used to secure a 50% emissions reduction target from the US by 2030, align the 2030 targets of major economies like China and Japan with net-zero trajectories, increase climate finance for developing nations while ending public coal funding, and ensure COVID-19 recovery packages prioritize green infrastructure over fossil fuels.
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Document type: Briefing
PROTECTING BENGALURU’S CHILDREN: time to act for clean air around schools
The report analyzes air quality around 270 schools in Bengaluru, finding that PM2.5 levels frequently exceed WHO and US EPA standards, particularly during school departure times and winter months. It links this pollution to increased childhood asthma and respiratory issues, and recommends policy interventions such as restricting heavy traffic around schools and increasing monitoring networks.
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Document type: Report
Zero-carbon power is a key milestone on the route to net-zero
The document identifies an "unspoken consensus" among the UK, EU, and US that transitioning to zero-carbon power by the 2030s is essential for reaching net-zero emissions by 2050. It analyzes official pathways, noting a shared commitment to rapidly phasing out coal and reducing fossil gas, while dramatically scaling up wind and solar power. The briefing highlights a "credibility gap" in other OECD nations, such as Japan and South Korea, which have net-zero targets but lack corresponding coal phase-out commitments.
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Document type: Briefing
BOOM AND BUST 2021
In 2020, a significant increase in coal plant development in China offset a global retreat from coal, leading to the first increase in global coal capacity since 2015. While China commissioned 38.4 GW of new capacity, the rest of the world saw a decline of 17.2 GW, driven by record retirements in the U.S. and EU27. South and Southeast Asian nations, including Indonesia, Bangladesh, the Philippines, and Vietnam, announced plans to cut up to 62 GW of planned coal power due to falling renewable costs and financing difficulties. Despite these regional shifts, the report finds that global coal capacity remains far above the levels required to meet the IPCC 1.5 degree pathway, with an estimated 1,350 GW needing to be cancelled or retired.
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Document type: Report
BOOM AND BUST 2021
In 2020, global coal-fired power capacity increased by 12.5 GW, driven primarily by China, which operated 38.4 GW of new capacity. This offset record closures in the US (11.3 GW) and EU27 (10.1 GW). While China's development grew as an economic stimulus during the pandemic, other Asian nations like Indonesia, Vietnam, Bangladesh, and the Philippines announced plans to cancel up to 62 GW of planned projects due to falling renewable costs and financing difficulties. The report concludes that current global trajectories remain far from the 1.5°C warming limit, with approximately 1,350 GW of capacity needing to be cancelled or closed to meet IPCC targets.
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Document type: Report
YÜKSELIŞ VE ÇÖKÜŞ 2021
The report highlights a global divergence in coal power: while the US, EU, and parts of Asia are seeing record retirements and project cancellations, China's significant increase in new capacity in 2020 led to a net global growth of 12.5 GW. The document argues that current national trajectories remain far from the IPCC 1.5°C pathway, which would require the cancellation or retirement of 1,350 GW of capacity.
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Document type: Report
BÙNG NỔ VÀ THOÁI TRÀO 2021
The report highlights a global divergence in coal power: while most of the world saw record closures and project cancellations, China experienced a significant boom in new capacity, offsetting global declines. In 2020, China's new coal capacity reached 38.4 GW, accounting for 76% of the global total. Conversely, the US and EU27 led in closures, with 11.3 GW and 10.1 GW retired respectively. In South and Southeast Asia, countries like Vietnam, Indonesia, the Philippines, and Bangladesh announced plans to cut up to 62 GW of planned coal capacity due to funding difficulties and the falling cost of renewables. The report also notes that global coal capacity is far exceeding the levels required to meet the IPCC's 1.5°C warming limit, with a projected 2,400 GW by 2030 compared to the required 1,100 GW.
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Document type: Report
LAST CHANCE FOR THE POWERING PAST COAL ALLIANCE
The briefing argues that the Powering Past Coal Alliance (PPCA) has failed to trigger a meaningful global coal exit due to significant loopholes in its declaration and a lack of monitoring. It highlights that many financial institution members continue to invest in coal, and co-chairs Canada and the UK are not leading by example, with Canada developing new coal mines. The document calls for a reform of the PPCA to align with climate science, requiring an immediate stop to new coal projects and a full sector exit by 2030 in OECD/European countries and 2040 globally.
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Document type: Briefing
Demand Under the Ban China Ivory Consumption Research 2020
The report finds that self-reported ivory purchase in the past 12 months reached a four-year low of 12% in 2020. While the 'Diehard Buyers' segment has shrunk from 14% to 8% of the population, those remaining are more persistent, with higher purchase rates and a stronger belief in ivory's artistic value. Conversely, 'Rejectors' have grown to 72% of the sample. The study highlights that while 88% of participants believe ivory trade is illegal, spontaneous awareness of the specific 2017 ban has declined. The Ma Weidu campaign showed strong resonance, particularly among 'Diehard Buyers' and regular overseas travelers, with 74% of future intenders changing their minds after exposure to the ban and the campaign video.
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Document type: Report
Endangered Seafood Guide
The 2021 Endangered Seafood Guide by WWF International advises companies to avoid sourcing seafood species listed as Endangered or Critically Endangered by the IUCN Red List, as well as those in CITES Appendix I and II. The document emphasizes the necessity of robust traceability to prevent seafood fraud and the accidental sourcing of at-risk species. It specifically warns against 'ranched' aquaculture, where wild endangered fish are removed to be raised in controlled settings, as this increases pressure on wild populations. For sustainable alternatives, WWF recommends the Marine Stewardship Council (MSC) for wild-caught seafood and the Aquaculture Stewardship Council (ASC) for farmed seafood, suggesting 'closed-cycle' (hatchery-reared) aquaculture as a minimum requirement when ASC certification is unavailable. The guide provides detailed fact sheets on high-risk groups including bluefin tuna, freshwater eels, sharks, and sturgeon, noting that some species, such as the totoaba, are subject to illegal poaching for high-value organs like swim bladders.
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Document type: Guide
BANKING ON CLIMATE CHAOS 2021
The report finds that the 60 largest global banks provided $3.8 trillion in fossil fuel financing from 2016 to 2020. Despite a 9% drop in 2020 due to the COVID-19 pandemic, financing levels remained higher than in 2016. JPMorgan Chase is identified as the world's worst fossil fuel banker, with $317 billion provided over the five-year period. The analysis highlights a significant gap between banks' 'net zero by 2050' pledges and their continued funding of fossil fuel expansion, particularly in sectors like LNG, offshore oil and gas, and coal. The report also details the human rights and environmental impacts of specific projects, such as the East African Crude Oil Pipeline and the Line 3 pipeline, and argues that current bank policies are insufficient to align with the 1.5C goal of the Paris Agreement.
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Document type: Report